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Gold Fibonacci Analysis of (XAU/USD)📊 Fibonacci Levels Overview: 23.6% Level: Minor correction zone, price rejected this area and continued lower. 38.2% Level: Acted briefly as a support but eventually broken. 50.0% Level (~$2,351.6): Currently being tested — a key level. Price is consolidating here. 61.8% Level: If 50% breaks decisively, 61.8% becomes the next major support zone. 📉 Trend Outlook: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 50% Fibonacci level, we could see a bounce toward 38.2% and potentially back to 23.6%. Key upside targets: $2,345 – $2,380 zone. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the 50% level fails to hold, the price could drop to test the 61.8% Fibonacci level and possibly lower. Downside target: $2,330 – $2,320. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is currently at a decision point: Holding above 50% = potential recovery. Breaking below = confirmation of a short-term downtrend. Traders should watch for price action and volume confirmation near the $2,351 level to determine the next move.
TVC:GOLD
by vrbscs
15
USD/JPY 1H Analysis – Channel Breakout and Buy SignalOverview:** The USD/JPY chart shows a **bullish breakout from a descending channel**, supported by technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and a strong demand zone. This setup suggests a potential bullish reversal and upward momentum. *Key Technical Points:** * **Descending Channel Breakout:** Price action has broken out of a falling channel, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. * **Strong Support Zone:** Around 143.28 – 143.73, the price found significant support, which aligns with a previous demand zone. This area held firm, helping trigger the breakout. * **Ichimoku Cloud:** Price is emerging above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential start of an uptrend. If the price maintains above the cloud, bullish momentum may strengthen. * **Resistance Levels:** * **First Resistance:** Near 146.00 – a critical area to watch for short-term profit-taking. * **Second Resistance:** Around 148.00 – a more extended target if bullish continuation holds. --- ### **Trading Idea:** **BUY USD/JPY** on successful retest of the breakout or sustained move above the Ichimoku Cloud. * **Entry:** 144.30–144.40 zone * **Target 1:** 146.00 * **Target 2:** 148.00 * **Stop Loss:** Below 143.20 (under the support zone) --- Conclusion:** The chart presents a classic **bullish channel breakout** supported by the Ichimoku indicator and price action at a strong support zone. As long as the price holds above the breakout level and Ichimoku Cloud, the upside targets at 146 and 148 remain valid. Let me know if you want this formatted as a trade plan or journal entry. To ensure you do not miss the upcoming analysis, be sure to follow me! Please leave a remark and a like!
Long
by KingProTrader
2
BEST XAUUSD M3 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📊✨ Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – 30-Min Chart ✨📉 Price is currently trading within a rising channel after a bounce from the marked reversal zone 💜, suggesting a short-term bullish trend 📈. However, the chart outlines two key scenarios: if price breaks out upward, we may see a move towards the 3,366 resistance zone 🔼. Conversely, if the channel fails and price breaks downward, a retest of the reversal zone could trigger a deeper bearish move 📉, potentially targeting the 3,300 area or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation at key levels and react accordingly — not predict impulsively. 🧠⚖️📍
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Top M30 XAU/USD Trade Setups for Today – Buy & Sell Opportuniti📊📉📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading within a key support zone 🟣, retesting after a previous bullish breakout. If the price holds this zone and forms strong bullish candles, we could see a move toward the 3,366 resistance level 🔵 and potentially higher toward 3,389 📈. However, if the price breaks below this zone with strong bearish momentum, a drop toward 3,280 🔽 becomes likely. Watch the price action closely within this zone, as it could lead to a decisive move. ✅ Patience and confirmation are crucial to avoid false breakouts. 💡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
BTCUSD in an Uptrend: Can Buyers Push Price to 130,000 USD?Currently, OANDA:BTCUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Price has broken through a key resistance area and may now return to retest this zone as support. This area also coincides with the coin cluster from the recent volatility, and therefore, it deserves particular attention. If this support zone holds, I believe it will reinforce the current bullish structure and open up the possibility of moving toward the 130,000 USD level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a reasonable target based on current price action and market structure. As long as price holds above this support zone, I maintain a positive outlook. However, if price breaks below, the bullish scenario will no longer be valid, and the risk of a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel will increase. Make sure to always apply proper risk management.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
GOLD trending higher: Can buyers push towards 3,350$?Right now OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower borders. The price has broken above a clear resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. This area also happens to coincide with the golden pocket of the recent swing and so it deserves special attention. If it holds as support, then that would be a confirmation of the bullish structure with the most likely possibility of a move towards 3,350, the middle side of the channel. As long as the price stays above this support zone, the validity of the bullish setup is still there. If it does not, the short-term bullish outlook would therefore be interrupted and might be followed by further downside pullback. Be sure to use proper risk management always.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
44
Nvidia Stock 5-Day Consolidation Breakout - Uptrend or Pullback?Trade Duration: Intraday Trade Type: Breakout - Nvidia is currently consolidating tightly between $132 and $136, forming a narrow range that reflects a balance between buyers and sellers unwilling to relinquish control. This range-bound action signals indecision, but it won’t last indefinitely. - Typically, the longer the consolidation, the more significant the subsequent move. As new participants enter the market, a breakout—whether upward or downward—can trigger a powerful surge. - This move is often amplified by breakout buyers joining in and stop-loss orders of trapped traders being triggered, creating an ideal setup for an intraday breakout trade. - I plan to initiate either a buy or sell position depending on the breakout direction, capitalizing on the momentum generated by this tight consolidation phase. Upside Targets : 138$ and 141$ Downside Targets : 128$ and 126$
NASDAQ:NVDA
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL S FOR TODAYETUP Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading in a tight **rising wedge pattern** 📈 on the 30-minute chart, just below a key **resistance level at 3,325** 🔼. The price action shows signs of consolidation, indicating that a breakout could be imminent. If the bulls manage to push the price above this resistance 🚀, we may see a strong upward continuation toward higher targets. However, if the wedge fails and price breaks downward 📉, there is potential for a retracement toward the **support levels at 3,304** and further down to **3,274** 🛑. This is a crucial decision point — traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before taking positions ⚠️.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
4 Profitable Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know Forex, GOLD In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument. 1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within. Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market. Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest. Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag. Target - the next key resistance. Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated. 2️⃣Ascending Triangle Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously. The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline. Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers. Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest. Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle. Target - the next strong resistance. Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD. Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal. 3️⃣Falling Wedge That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern. The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time. Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge. Stop loss is strictly below its lows. Target - the next key resistance. GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend. You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary. 4️⃣Horizontal Range Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend. The price starts consolidation , then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel. Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal. Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range. Target - the next strong resistance. Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend. Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally. The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Understanding the Inverted Cup and Handle Chart PatternUnderstanding the Inverted Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Understanding chart patterns is fundamental for market participants. This article delves into the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal indicating a potential downward movement. Explore its identification, trading strategies, psychological underpinnings, common pitfalls, and more to boost your trading knowledge. What Is the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern? The inverted cup and handle, sometimes called an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that may appear during up- and downtrends. It is the opposite of the traditional cup and handle pattern, which is bullish. The inverse formation consists of two main parts: the "cup," which is an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup. Identifying the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern Identifying the inverse cup and handle pattern involves recognising a specific sequence of market movements that signal a potential bearish move. Here's a step-by-step overview of identifying this formation: Cup Formation - Shape: The pattern begins with an inverted U-shaped "cup." The price gradually rises, consolidates, and then begins to decline, reflecting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. - Depth: The cup should have a rounded top, not a sharp V-shape, indicating a gradual reversal. The depth of the cup can vary but typically represents a significant portion of the preceding movement. Handle Formation - Upward Retracement: After the cup's formation, prices usually experience a minor upward retracement or consolidation, forming the "handle." This movement should be relatively short and not exceed the initial high of the cup​. - Shape and Duration: The handle often appears as a small flag or pennant and should be brief in duration compared to the cup. An optimal handle retraces no more than half of the cup’s depth​. Breakout Confirmation - Neckline Break: The pattern is confirmed when prices break below the neckline, the lowest point of the handle. This breakout often leads to a significant decline in prices, signalling a bearish trend​. - Volume Surge: Volume typically decreases during the formation of the cup and increases as prices decline, especially during the handle formation. A substantial increase in volume during the breakout can validate the pattern and minimise the risk of false signals​. The Psychology of the Inverted Cup and Handle The psychology behind the inverse cup and handle pattern is rooted in market sentiment and behavioural finance. This bearish pattern reflects a shift from optimism to pessimism among traders. - Initial Uptrend: The formation starts with an upward movement, where traders are generally bullish, driving prices higher. This phase is marked by growing confidence and increasing demand. - Formation of the Cup: As prices peak, consolidate, and start to decline, some traders begin to take profits, leading to reduced buying pressure. The rounded decline of the cup signifies a gradual shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish as traders become cautious and selling pressure mounts. - Handle Formation: The minor upward retracement forming the handle indicates a brief period of consolidation where the market tests the resolve of buyers. It can be considered a dead cat bounce. This phase often traps optimistic traders who expect the uptrend to resume, but the overall sentiment remains fragile and cautious​. - Breakout and Decline: The decisive break below the neckline represents a culmination of bearish sentiment. At this point, selling pressure overwhelms any remaining bullishness, leading to a sharp decline. The volume surge during this breakout confirms the shift in market psychology from hopeful to bearish as traders rush to exit their positions or initiate short sales​. Trading the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern Trading the inverted cup and handle pattern involves careful identification and strategic decision-making to maximise potential returns. This pattern presents two primary entry points for traders: during the handle formation or after the neckline break. Entry on the Break of the Handle - Risk-Reward Advantage: Entering on the breakout of the handle’s lower boundary offers a better risk-to-reward ratio but requires more skill and confidence in pattern recognition. - Technical Tools: Traders often use a medium-term moving average (like 21 periods) to confirm the downward leg of the handle. A decisive close below the moving average indicates a continuation of the downward handle leg. - Momentum Indicators: Using momentum indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or stochastic oscillator helps confirm downward movement. Bearish divergence suggests that the bearish trend is likely to continue. - Volume Analysis: Increasing volume during the handle's breakout indicates strengthening seller control. High volume often validates the pattern and potentially reduces the risk of false signals​. Note that volume data may be less reliable in a decentralised forex market. - Stop Loss and Profit Target: Traders typically place a stop loss above the handle's high to potentially protect against upward spikes. The reverse cup and handle pattern target is usually set at a distance equal to the cup's height, projected downward from the handle's breakout point, although it can be greater if the retracement is particularly shallow. Entry After the Neckline Break - Confirmation Advantage: Waiting for the neckline break offers greater confirmation of the formation but may provide a less favourable risk-to-reward ratio. - Price Action: A decisive close below the pattern's low, ideally with a strong candlestick and minimal wicks, indicates a reliable breakout. This typically confirms the bearish trend and provides a clear entry signal. - Volume Confirmation: Higher volume during the neckline break can further validate the pattern and indicate that the breakout is genuine and not a false signal​. - Stop Loss and Profit Target: In this scenario, the stop loss is typically set above the handle's high. The profit target remains the same, projecting the cup's height downward from the breakout point​. Common Mistakes to Avoid When trading the upside-down cup and handle pattern, avoiding common mistakes is key for maximising potential returns. Some of the more common mistakes traders make include: - Premature Entry: Entering a trade too early, before the handle completes or the neckline breaks, can lead to false signals and losses. Most traders wait for clear confirmation, such as a decisive close below the neckline with increased volume​. - Ignoring Volume: Volume is a critical component in confirming the pattern. Low volume during the breakout phase may indicate a fakeout. Traders typically look for a substantial increase in volume to validate the pattern​. - Incorrect Pattern Identification: Misidentifying the pattern is a common error. The cup should have a rounded bottom, not a sharp V-shape, and the handle should be relatively short. Accurate identification requires practice and attention to detail​. - Overlooking Market Conditions: External factors, such as news events or broader market trends, can impact the pattern’s reliability. Traders consider these conditions when planning their trades​. Advantages and Disadvantages As with all chart patterns, the inverted cup and handle pattern comes with its pros and cons. Here are some key advantages and disadvantages of using this pattern: Advantages - Clear Signal: The pattern provides a clear signal of a potential bearish movement, helping traders anticipate market declines​. - Risk Management: With defined entry and exit points (handle high for stop loss and cup depth for profit target), it aids in effective risk management. - Flexibility in Analysis: Several forms of analysis, from support/resistance and momentum indicators to volume and price action, can be used to trade the pattern. - Versatility: Applicable across various timeframes and markets, including stocks, forex, and commodities, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies​. Disadvantages - Complex Identification: Accurately identifying the pattern can be challenging, requiring significant experience and skill​. - Rarity: The pattern doesn’t occur frequently, limiting trading opportunities. - False Breakouts: Like all chart patterns, it is susceptible to false breakouts, especially if not confirmed with volume and other technical indicators​. - Timing Sensitivity: Entering too early during the handle formation can result in premature positions, while waiting for the neckline break might reduce the risk-to-reward ratio​. The Bottom Line The inverted cup and handle pattern is one of the most popular chart patterns among traders of all levels. However, like any technical formation, it should be used alongside other indicators and sound risk management to potentially increase its effectiveness. By mastering patterns like the inverted cup and handle, traders can gain deeper insights into market psychology and price action to navigate volatile markets with greater confidence. FAQ What Is the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern in Forex? The inverse cup and handle pattern in forex is a bearish chart pattern. It features an inverted U-shaped cup followed by a small upward retracement (the handle). This pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and prices are likely to decline further once the neckline is broken. How Can You Trade the Inverse Cup and Handle? Traders can enter positions either on the break of the handle’s lower boundary or after the neckline break. Entering during the handle might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio, while waiting for the neckline break provides greater confirmation. Key tools to validate the breakout include moving averages, momentum indicators like RSI or stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. What Happens After the Reverse Cup and Handle Pattern? After the reverse cup and handle pattern is completed, the price typically moves downward strongly. This bearish movement is often confirmed by a strong breakout below the neckline with increased volume, signalling a sustained decline in prices.​ What Is the Opposite of the Cup and Handle? The opposite of a cup and handle is the inverse cup and handle pattern. While the cup and handle indicates a bullish movement, the inverse version signals a bearish trend. Is the Inverted Cup and Handle Bullish or Bearish? The inverted cup and handle pattern is bearish. It indicates that the price will move downwards, suggesting that traders may open short trades. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
AUDNZD (4H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakout+Falling Wedge ReversalOn the 4-hour chart of AUDNZD, the market has completed a compression phase inside a symmetrical triangle, nested within a larger falling wedge structure. Both patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal after an extended downward trend. The breakout occurred to the upside, with price moving above the triangle and breaking through short-term resistance around 1.0713. Volume increased on the breakout, confirming genuine buyer interest. If the price holds above this level and breaks 1.0766, it opens the path to the next major target at 1.0844, aligned with the previous key swing level. Technical picture: – Symmetrical triangle breakout confirmed – Price also broke out of the falling wedge – Volume expansion on the move – Bullish realignment of EMAs is starting – Holding above 1.0713 + breaking 1.0766 will activate the next phase Fundamental backdrop: The Australian dollar is benefiting from resilience in the commodity and export sectors, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from weakening inflation and growing expectations of monetary easing by the RBNZ. This economic divergence creates short-term advantage for AUD over NZD. This double-pattern setup confirms the transition from consolidation to bullish impulse. Holding above 1.0713 and a confirmed break above 1.0766 would unlock a move toward 1.0844. These patterns offer clean early entries into trend reversals.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
2
ASAHI SONGWON : Chart Pattern Breakout#ASAHISONG #cupandhandle #chartpattern #breakout #swingtrade #swingtrading ASAHISONG : Swing Trade >> Chart Pattern Breakout soon >> Cup & Handle Visible >> Volumes Dried up >> Good Strength in Stock Swing Traders can lock Profit at 10% and keep Trailing Disc : Charts shared are for study Purpose & not a Trade Recommendation Pls do uour Own Analysis or Consult ur Financial Advisor before taking any position, Dont go all in...plan ur Trades with Proper Position Sizing, Risk Management and clear plan.
NSE:ASAHISONGLong
by moneyfesttrading
Gold (XAUUSD, 2H) Potential Triangle Structure Near CompletionOn the 2-hour timeframe, gold continues to consolidate inside a well-defined contracting triangle, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows, suggesting reduced volatility before a directional move. The structure appears to follow a five-leg correction (waves 1–5), which may now be nearing completion. The focus is now on how price reacts to the upper boundary of the triangle, but $3,310 is not a decisive level. Instead, the key signal will come from a breakout from the triangle itself with confirmed follow-through and volume. Technical view: – Structure: classic five-leg triangle forming inside the broader retracement – Volume is increasing on approach to the upper boundary – Fibonacci retracement levels in play above: • $3,351 (0.618) • $3,380 (0.5) • $3,443 (0.236) – Critical support remains along the lower triangle base and near the $3,258–$3,192 zone – Breakdown below $3,192 would invalidate the bullish scenario Scenario outlook: This is a hypothetical pattern completion. If the triangle resolves upward, momentum could push price toward $3,350+, aligning with Fibonacci recovery targets. Conclusion: Gold is moving toward the decision point inside a contracting triangle. Watch for breakout confirmation from the structure itself — not individual levels. Until confirmed, this remains a potential scenario, not an active signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Watch for a breakout from the #BANKUSDT📍 The price of MEXC:BANKUSDT.P is approaching the apex of the pattern — a breakout from consolidation is expected soon. The main scenario favors a downward breakout, with a short opportunity if confirmed. 📍 Important note: ➡️ Don’t rush the entry! Wait for a clear breakout from the pennant and confirmation of the direction. 📍 Beware of fakeouts — the key to success lies in confirmation with candle closes and volume. 📉 SHORT MEXC:BANKUSDT.P from $0.04118 🛡 Stop loss: $0.04284 🕒 Timeframe: 1H 📢 Overview: ➡️ The main structure of MEXC:BANKUSDT.P remains bearish, showing consolidation after a drop. ➡️ A break below the $0.04118 support will trigger the Bearish Pennant pattern. ➡️ Volume increase on the breakout will confirm sellers' dominance. 🎯 TP Targets for SHORT: 💎 TP 1: $0.04010 💎 TP 2: $0.03900 💎 TP 3: $0.03815 📢 Entry conditions for MEXC:BANKUSDT.P : Enter only after a clear breakdown and candle close below $0.04118, ideally with volume confirmation. 📢 If the price holds above $0.04588, the structure may be invalidated, and the short scenario should be reconsidered. 📈 LONG MEXC:BANKUSDT.P from $0.04652 🛡 Stop loss: $0.04501 🕒 Timeframe: 1H 📢 Overview: ➡️ Price is compressing inside a Bearish Pennant, but there is still potential for a fake breakout upward. ➡️ A breakout above the pennant on strong volume may lead to a bullish impulse. ➡️ The $0.04652 level is key for a long entry after confirmation. 🎯 TP Targets for LONG: 💎 TP 1: $0.04760 💎 TP 2: $0.04870 💎 TP 3: $0.04970 📢 Entry conditions: Enter only after a confident breakout above $0.04652 and a solid candle close (preferably with high volume). 🚀 Watch for a breakout from the MEXC:BANKUSDT.P structure and trade only in the confirmed direction. Either way — there is good movement potential and the R/R ratio is solid in both directions!
by MoriartyTrading
Bullish Pennant on EUR/USD @ D1A bullish pennant has formed on the daily chart of EUR/USD. It can be used for an upside breakout setup. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (1.12662), it is placed at the low of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (1.17921), it is placed at the pole's length above the stop-loss. I will wait for a significant close above the pennant's border to consider trading this breakout.
Long
by AndriyMoraru
Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners█ Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most widely recognized and reliable patterns in technical analysis. And today, I am going to teach you how to use it as efficiently as an experienced trader would. Learning to spot and trade this pattern can be a great asset in your tool belt —whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies. The Head and Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern in technical analysis that signals a potential trend change. ⚪ It consists of three peaks: The Left Shoulder: A peak followed by a decline. The Head: A higher peak formed after the left shoulder, followed by a decline. The Right Shoulder: A smaller peak resembling the left shoulder, followed by another decline. When these peaks form in a specific order and the price breaks below the neckline (the line connecting the two troughs between the shoulders), it indicates a bearish reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. █ What about Bullish reversals? Don’t worry — there's good news! Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the bottom of a downtrend and signals a potential reversal to the upside. By recognizing the pattern early, you can position yourself for a high-probability trade with a clear entry and exit strategy. █ How to Identify a Head and Shoulders Pattern? I truly believe the best way to learn any trading strategy is to keep it simple, away from the “technical” jargon unless absolutely necessary. We’ll do the same with this strategy. Despite its varied usage, you can break it down into four simple steps: 1. Look for the Left Shoulder The first part of the pattern forms when the price rises , creating a peak. Then, it declines back down to form the trough . This creates the Left Shoulder of the pattern. Example: If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) rises from $85,000 to $90,000, and then declines to $87,500. This is your Left Shoulder. 2. Spot the Head The second part of the pattern is the Head . After the Left Shoulder, the price rises again , but this time, it forms a higher peak than the Left Shoulder. The price then declines again, creating a second trough . Example: Continuing with Bitcoin, after the price dropped to $87,500, it rises to a new high of $95,000 before dropping back to around $90,000. This $95,000 peak is the Head, which is higher than the Left Shoulder. 3. Find the Right Shoulder After the decline from the Head, the price rises again, but this time, the peak should be smaller than the Head, forming the Right Shoulder . The price then starts declining again, and this is where the neckline is formed (connecting the two troughs). Example: Bitcoin then rises from $90,000 to $92,000 (lower than the $95,000 peak). This forms the Right Shoulder, and the price starts to decline from there. 4. Draw the Neckline The neckline is drawn by connecting the lows (troughs) between the Left Shoulder and the Head, and between the Head and the Right Shoulder. This is your key reference level. █ How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern Once you've spotted the Head and Shoulders pattern on your chart, it’s time to trade it. And yes, it did need a separate section of its own. This is where most amateur traders mess up - the finish line. 1. Wait for the Neckline Breakout The most crucial part of the Head and Shoulders pattern is the neckline breakout . This is when the price breaks below the neckline, signaling the start of the trend reversal. Example: After the price rises to form the Right Shoulder at $92,000, Bitcoin then drops below the neckline (around $90,000). This is the confirmation that the pattern is complete. The price of BTCUSD is likely to continue downward past the 90k mark. 2. Enter the Trade Once the price breaks below the neckline, enter a short position (for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern). This is your signal that the market is reversing from an uptrend to a downtrend. 3. Set Your Stop Loss Your stop loss should be placed just above the right shoulder for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern . This makes sure you are protected in case the pattern fails and the price reverses back upward. Example: Place your stop loss at around $93,000 (just above the Right Shoulder at $92,000) on BTCUSD. You can also try one of these strategies I have used in the past: ⚪ Conservative Stop: Place the stop above the head (for bearish H&S) or below the head (for bullish iH&S) for maximum safety. ⚪ Aggressive Stop: Place the stop above the right shoulder (for bearish H&S) or below the right shoulder (for bullish iH&S) to reduce your stop size. ⚪ Neckline Reclaim Invalidation: Exit the trade if the price reclaims the neckline after breaking it. This could be an indication of a false positive/invalid pattern. 4. Set Your Profit Target To calculate your profit target, measure the distance from the top of the Head to the neckline and project that distance downward from the breakout point. Example: The distance from the Head at $95,000 to the neckline at $90,000 is $5,000. So, after the price breaks the neckline, project that $5,000 downward from the breakout point ($89,800), which gives you a target of $84,800. 5. Monitor the Trade We’re in the home stretch now, people. This is the 9th inning. There’s only one job left: keeping an eye on any retests or contrarian moves. As the price moves in your favor, you can scale out or move your stop loss to break even to lock in profits. █ What makes H&S strategy an all-time classic? It’s simple. It works. This pattern works because it reflects a shift in market sentiment: In a Head and Shoulders pattern , the uptrend slows down as the market struggles to make new highs, and then the price ultimately breaks down, signaling that the bulls have lost control. In an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , the downtrend weakens as the market fails to make new lows, and the price breaks upwards, signaling a bullish reversal. ⚪ Here are a few points to remember as a cheatsheet for Head and Shoulders patterns: Wait for the neckline breakout to confirm the pattern. Set a stop loss above the right shoulder for protection. Project the price target using the height of the head for a realistic profit goal. Always monitor the trade for any signs of reversal or false breakouts. Mastering this pattern can be a game-changer for any trader, but like any tool, it’s only effective when combined with other indicators, strategies, and a solid risk management plan. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Education
by Zeiierman
6
The Euro Bull sharpening it's horns against the USD?After further analysis on the weekly and monthly chart, I have identified what looks like a much larger broadening bottom pattern which signals the possibility of much further U.S. Dollar weakness. Based on my previous video analysis, my original target for the EUR/USD was 1.2000 however 1.2500 – 1.3000 is not out of the question now. We haven’t traded in that price range since 2014. In the immediate term, we could see a bullish acceleration if we begin trading cleanly above 1.1500. I will expand on this analysis in my next upcoming weekly video. Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Long
by InternalTraderNYC
2