PRICE ACTION VS SMART MONEY CONCEPTS : the double bottomIn the world of technical analysis, the double bottom pattern holds a special place for traders. However, the way this pattern is interpreted can vary, especially when comparing the traditional price action approach with the more intricate Smart Money concepts.
Traditionally, a double bottom is identified by the formation of two distinct lows, approximately at the same price level, separated by a reaction high. Traders keen on price action look for a breakout above this reaction high as a signal for potential bullish momentum.
As a price action trader i was interested by the Smart money concepts approach so i decided to read about it a little bit and i found it pretty detailed after reading here are the differences that i noticed on the double bottom pattern.
Chartpatterntrading
GOLD|Important supply and demand areasHello friends, I hope you are doing well.
We have the gold chart in 1 hour.Currently, gold is fluctuating in a trending range area and we have the top and bottom of the trending range to enter trading positions.
CPI data will be released today, if we have data that is in favor of gold, that is, the US inflation has decreased, this means that it will harm the dollar index and gold can move upwards.
We should know that apart from the top of the trending range, which is a resistance, we have the next resistance in the area of (2046-2044) and after the resistance that is the base of the falling movement, it is around (2066-2064).
On the other hand, if inflation is published more than expected, it will benefit the dollar index and can create selling pressure on gold.
The area that currently maintains the price is the area (2016-2019). If this area is broken, the next support is the price range (2004-2008) and then the price range (1990-1995).
If the price reaches these areas, we can enter trading positions with confirmation
Symmetrical Triangle on EUR/CHF @ H4The 4-hour chart of EUR/CHF is showing a a symmetrical triangle pattern. It can be used for a trend continuation breakout setup. My potential entry is marked with the cyan line, which is located at 10% of the triangle's base width below the lower border. My take-profit will be at the green line, which is located at 100% of the triangle's base width below the lower border. I will set my stop-loss to the triangle's upper angle (0.93490). I will ignore bullish breakouts from this trend-continuation formation.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(10/01/2024)Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY . After opening if banknifty start trading below 47450 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 47050 Level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakdown 46950 level in todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 47550 level.also possible reversal upside 47050 level.
DOHOME| ABC bullish pattern - Breakout Position EntryAfter a long mega bull flag formation breakout and retesting its support
Now a potential ABC wave bullish pennant in progress
Entry: Pennant breakout confirmation
SL: Below pennant
T1: 100% ext. Fibonacci - 15+ baht
T2: 161.8% - 18+ baht
Indicator: RSI week bullish divergence breakout
Always trade with affordable risk, respect your stop
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/01/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY . After opening if banknifty sustain above 48050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 48450 & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 48550 level.Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 47950 level.Also Possible Reversal Downside 48450 level.
⤴️⤴️EURUSD BULLISH MOMENTUM Fullbacks)🚀🚀🚀The dollar edger higher on Friday but is set to end 2023 with its first yearly loss since 2020 against the euro and a basket of currencies, on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates next year as inflation moderates.
Questions for 2024 will be when the Fed begins cuts, and whether the first rate reduction is made to avoid over-tightening as inflation drops, or due to slowing U.S. economic growth.
With markets already pricing in aggressive cuts, debate is also focused on how much further the dollar is likely to fall.
“We’ve already weakened quite a bit in anticipation of a Fed cut cycle to come,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in New York.
The dollar's decline accelerated after the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone and forecast 75 basis points in rate reductions for 2024 at its December policy meeting.
Markets are pricing in even more aggressive cuts, with the first reduction seen likely in March and 158 basis points in cuts expected by year-end. (FEDWATCH)
The Fed’s tone contrasted with other major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE), which maintained they will hold rates higher for longer.
But “I do think they will capitulate. European growth is just struggling too much and inflation’s coming down relatively fast … same in the U.K. in many ways,” said Bechtel. “If all three central banks are cutting, it's going to be very hard for the dollar to weaken significantly."
Against a basket of currencies, the greenback on Friday gained 0.13% to 101.32
DXY
, rising from a five-month trough of 100.61 reached on Thursday. It is on track to lose 2.10% this year and is down 4.62% this quarter, the worst performance in a year.
The euro
EURUSD
dipped 0.19% to $1.1040, hovering just below a five-month peak of $1.11395 reached on Thursday. It is heading for a 3.04% gain for the year, its first positive year since 2020.
"Markets are looking for a cut earlier in the U.S. and are less certain that the European Central Bank will cut as quickly, so that's why the dollar is very soft," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea.
"We also have positive risk appetite which is another negative for the dollar. Going into 2024, the soft dollar will be a theme towards the March central bank meetings," Christensen added.
Policymakers at the ECB and the BoE did not signal any imminent rate cuts at their policy meetings this month, but traders are pricing in 162 bps of cuts by the ECB next year, with the probability of two cuts by April. The BoE is also expected to cut rates by 148 bps in 2024.
"While it feels like the market might have moved too far too fast, the facts are that growth is non-existent in Europe, slowing in the U.S., and inflation is falling globally," said CJ Cowan, portfolio manager at Quilter Investors.
"The ECB is famously slow to change policy course so almost two cuts priced by April looks aggressive, even if it might be the right thing to do."
Sterling
GBPUSD
rose 0.08% to $1.2745 and was on track for a 5.39%
NVDA: Beware of these Support / Resistance Levels (H & D charts)NVDA shares are losing momentum after a powerful upward reaction this morning. It seems that as it approaches its resistance area, it is becoming difficult for NVDA to maintain its upward trajectory.
We had a good reaction near the Fibonacci retracements, which, as we warned in our last public study, was our main area of support. Now the price is trying to recover, but there are still some challenges ahead. The link to our previous analysis is below this post, as usual.
It's interesting to note that despite losing momentum, the price could still seek out the $487.61 region, a secondary resistance and previous top that can be seen on the hourly chart:
At the moment, there is no clear sign of a bearish reversal, but we should remain vigilant as the price is finding it difficult to break through the resistance of its Ascending Channel, as evidenced by the purple lines.
A correction down to the 21 EMA is plausible, but if the price loses this support, then we could see NVDA near the support of its channel again.
So, in the short term, it's all about the Ascending Channel, and in which direction there will be a breakout, as well as the 21 EMA. In the medium term, we should focus on the Fibonacci retracements, and the resistance at $487.
I must admit that I would like to see the price at $487 again, since that point has been a personal target for me since the first buy signal at $469: Ignition Bar + above the support of the ascending channel + breaking a pivot point + breaking the 21 ema on the 1h chart = Clear buy signal (to me, at least). However, depending on how the price reacts today, maybe the bullish thesis will be thwarted.
I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to like this idea, and follow me for more analysis like this.
All the best,
Nathan,