TSLA: About to Bounce.• TSLA is reacting now that it hit its 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement;
• This is expected, but TSLA is still in a bear trend, and there’s no bullish reversal structure on it yet;
• In the 1h chart, it is inside a Descending Channel (trying to break it this morning), while in the daily chart, it triggered an H&S chart pattern;
• In theory, a pullback to the neckline is acceptable, which is at $187, exactly where the 21 ema is today, making this area a dual-resistance level;
• The 38.2% retracement is our key support, and in order for TSLA to resume the bearish momentum, it’ll need to break it again. Right now, we are between two important key points. Let’s see how TSLA will react from here.
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SPX: Crashing! How Low Can It Go?• The SPX lost two important support levels last week. First, the 3,885, a key point that worked as a support a few times this year. Second, the baseline of a Descending Channel;
• Meaning, the trend was already bearish, now the index is just crashing;
• There’s no meaningful bullish reaction indicating that a bottom is near;
• Even if the index reacts today, the problem is that the previous support levels, the 3,885 and the baseline of the Descending Channel, are now resistance levels, and any bearish sign under this resistance would mean an opportunity to sell. Now, let's take a look at the weekly chart:
• In theory, the SPX is looking for its next support, which is at 3,773, and that's the next technical target in the daily chart. Long-term speaking, if the index loses this support, it would trigger a kind of Double Top chart pattern in the weekly chart, indicating that it could seek the 3,500 next.
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TSLA: Dead Cat Bounce.• Yesterday, TSLA hit an important support level, the 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement;
• This is its first mid-term support level, and it seems TSLA wants to react this morning (pre market);
• Since TSLA just triggered an H&S chart pattern, a pullback to its resistances is likely to happen. As I said yesterday, according to Bulkowski, H&S patterns have 68% chances of a pullback - the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual;
• The next resistance levels on TSLA are the $187 (previous support) and the 21 ema;
• Any top sign under these resistances might indicate that TSLA will seek lower levels, maybe the next retracements;
• Could TSLA reverse this bearish bias? Yes, but it would need to break its resistances first. For now, let’s see how it reacts near the 38.2% retracement.
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TSLA: Triggered a Very Powerful Bearish Reversal Pattern.• TSLA lost its key support at $187, and it triggered a H&S chart pattern in the daily chart;
• In the 1h chart, it failed in breaking its resistances, and the bias is clearly bearish, as it is doing nothing but lower highs/lows;
• Even if TSLA does a bullish reaction, it would have to face multiple resistances, making a bullish thesis more unlikely;
• First, in the 1h chart, there are the 21 ema and the purple trend line connecting the previous tops;
• The $187 is a key point visible in both, 1h and D charts (it is the neckline of the H&S pattern in the daily chart);
• In the daily chart, there’s the 21 ema, which TSLA for the first time since January;
• In order to reject this bearish thesis, TSLA would have to do an amazing reaction, breaking all these resistances – so far, there’s no such reaction;
• Keep in mind that TSLA just triggered an H&S chart pattern in the daily chart, and a pullback to the next resistance area is plausible. According to Bulkowski, H&S patterns have a pullback ratio of 68% (Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns);
• I’ll keep you updated on this every day.
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TSLA: Very Dangerous Situation.• TSLA is still dropping, and although it is in a support area, there’s no bullish reaction confirming a bottom sign yet;
• The key support is the $187, which is the baseline of a this congestion, and if TSLA loses it, we might see a bearish reversal structure;
• What’s more, the $187 could be the neckline of a Head & Shoulders chart pattern;
• If TSLA turns bearish, I see it filling the previous gap at $146 in the next few weeks;
• In order to avoid this scenario, TSLA would have to do a very good bullish reaction as soon as possible, and break its main resistance area;
• The main resistance area on TSLA is made by 3 resistances that are very close to each other: In the 1h chart, there’s the 21 ema and the purple trend line connecting the previous tops; In the daily chart, there’s the 21 ema. Only if TSLA breaks this resistance area we would see a frustration of this bearish thesis.
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DNA - Falling WedgeIt`s in our DNA to create reliable and objective analysis for our dear followers, and we will continue doing so.
We can see a falling wedge occurring on this chart, and we therefore expect a move to the upside.
Also the RSI has shown bullish divergence lately.
We will wait for a breakout of the trend, to take our long position.
More details are shown on the chart.
TSLA: Dangerous Reaction in a "No Man's Land".• TSLA did a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern yesterday, and it is back to its 21 ema area;
• If TSLA loses this 21 ema, it could seek the next support at $187 again;
• TSLA is still in a congestion, and only a breakout of the $187 would reverse the bullish sentiment;
• On the other hand, it has to break the previous resistance at $214 in order to trigger this Bullish Flag and seek higher levels;
• So far, TSLA is in a ”no man’s land”, and any reaction inside this congestion shouldn’t be taken too seriously;
• What if TSLA loses the $187? Then the next target would be the gap around $146;
• TSLA is dangerously close to its support level, and the way it reacts in this area might dictate if we’ll see a downwards breakout or a bullish continuation to the resistance at $214. Either way, we’ll have our answer soon. I'll keep you updated every day on this.
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[Tutorial] Price Action And How Can We Use It To Make MoneyWelcome to this video on Bitcoin and price action Part 1 of 3. But what exactly is price action, and how can it help you make informed trading decisions?
Price action is a technique used by traders to analyze market movements based on the price and
volume of a security, without relying on technical indicators or other external factors.
In this video, we'll explore some of the most commonly used price action patterns in Bitcoin trading
, including support and resistance levels, trend lines, candlestick patterns, price action patterns, and moving averages.
We'll also discuss how to use these patterns in combination with other forms of analysis to make informed trading decisions,
and how to manage risk when trading Bitcoin.