$GOOGL OverreactionThis situation is quite silly. The media is blowing it out of proportion and believes OpenAi is the second coming of Jesus. Google has 91% market share of Search, and Bing has about 2% share. Microsoft, part owner of OpenAi, plans to grow their search efforts and compete with Google search. The threat is that Bing may take a couple percent. In reality, people won't be switching their browsers where they have their passwords, addresses, bookmarks, email account, extensions, payments, and more saved over an implementation of ChatGPT, which they can just use separately from search.
Remember, people hate change, especially when it ruins convenience. ChatGPT is cool, and I've been playing with it since December, it has plenty of it's own problems. No one has invested more in Ai then Google.
As far as the trade goes. Any buys at this level are a good entry. $85-$90 even better.
Chatgpt
MicroSoft Going Hard on Google (unveils ChatGPT vs BARD) Charts first: 258.78 is double support we can count on, structure is quite strong.
313 will be our main target for 2023 and it could come fast as the news are Huge:
Microsoft has announced a new version of its search engine Bing, which incorporates the latest in artificial intelligence.
The overhaul deploys OpenAI's ChatGPT technology, which has taken the world by storm since its launch last year.
The move is by far the biggest threat Google has seen to its dominance in web search - and marks the beginning of an AI arms race between the companies.
"The race starts today," Microsoft boss Satya Nadella said.
Developed by Microsoft-backed OpenAI, ChatGPT uses deep learning techniques to generate human-like responses to search requests.
At the same time, GOOGLE announces their response to ChatGPT, in a race to come ahead of the popular AI service funded by Microsoft.
Google’s Bard AI will soon enter beta and will be available to select testers around the world, months after OpenAI’s ChatGPT exploded in popularity.
This will be interesting to watch and I do have a feeling that Google will win but the race will benefit Microsoft, at least temporarily.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
GOOG Alphabet Options Ahead of Earnings | Last Quarter of GrowthAs you can see, the last chart was pretty accurate:
Now I think this year we will see Google losing ground in the advertising industry.
The Justice Department filed an antitrust lawsuit Tuesday against Google alleging the company of abusing its dominance over smaller rivals by operating like an illegal monopoly.
MSFT Microsoft bought a 49% stake in OpenAI, who owns CHatGPT, that ca really be a rival to Google in answering questions.
As a matter of fact i am using ChatGPT more than Google search right now.
So i believe this is the last quarter of growth for GOOG / GOOGL, as you can see in the chat, because Q4 was not impacted by ChatGPT so much.
Looking at the GOOG Alphabet options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Calls with
2023-2-10 expiration date for about
$2.66 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google Short IdeaThis is a hypothetical short position on Google.
The basis for this is that Google, despite being pioneers in AI and search have fundamentally been blind sighted by chatGPT and could legitimately go to zero (although it's more likely is a rebound ~68).
Here we have 3 positions.
The first is OTM PUTS just below S1 which should be short dated or put calendar spreads used for extra leverage.
The second is short the shares @market price, with a 2 year leap call @ 100 and CSP leap @ 75.
The goal here is to be hedged in such a way as to give someone flexibility to exit the short by being covered via the short put and the 100 call, as well as the ability to double down via short dated puts.
It should also ideally give someone the ability to transition into a synthetic long, if done right.
Chat GPT Ai stocks list for 2023Is chat gpt and Artificial Intelligence the next boom theme?
Why are so many people talking about it recently?
How long can this new trend create opportunity for , years, decades?
How do we value the opportunity and avoid paying too much?
Dont get ripped off and caught up in the hype, use math and valuation to price the reward and risk in a balanced logical way.
The legends of investing have given us they formulas through lifetimes of trial and error. We just need to apply them.
Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, Phil Fisher, these guys used simple math to make fantastic decisions.
Concepts like Price to Earnings vs growth, and balance sheet valuation concepts.
Stick to the valuation math principles and make better logic decisions in these uncertain markets.
Cheers!
MSFT Microsoft Bought 49% Stake in OpenAI creator of ChatGPTMSFT has reached our Buy area:
Microsoft purchased a 49% stake in OpenAI, creator of ChatGPT, for $10 billion.
Which i think it will turn out to be the best investment in MSFT history!
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) integrates Chat GPT into its Bing, Office, and it Azure service!
Now looking at the MSFT Microsoft options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $245 strike price Calls with
2023-2-27 expiration date for about
$1.60 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Or at least buy shares for the long run! They will compete with GOOGL thanks to OpenAI.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TSM on ChatGPTChip maker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. may benefit from ChatGPT. Their scope is international and they manufacture 95% of small chips.
Targets: confluence of 2 forks, VAH and fib 0.618
SL idea: $86 is below the intersection of the 2 forks medians and below a 4hr fractal
open ai is a nice fun toolpeople have used it to cheat on university exams. people with no coding experience have used it to develop software. people use it to penetration test vulnerabilities in networks. its all cloud based supercomputing. does this mean openai is going to change the world? no. does it mean microsofts cloud computing business is saved? no. does that mean its a good investment? yes. obviously bulls got power bomb suplexed back into the dirt at the end there, but its as if they dont care. as long as were buying the rumor, selling the news, im going to assume theres more rumors, and more news. aquisitions and debt to assets peaked after trumps election, and were rubbing up against corona bottom anchored vwap, and top of regression. if these metrics continue bull, im long, and if we resist and move lower im bear.