Why is the Swiss Franc Defying the Odds?In a global economy where central banks are leaning towards softer monetary policies, the Swiss Franc is charting its own course—strengthening against the odds. But what forces are truly at play here? Is it merely the cautious whispers of the Swiss National Bank, or is there a deeper undercurrent, tied to inflation expectations and global safe-haven flows? As we peel back the layers, we uncover a narrative that challenges conventional wisdom. Discover the intricate dynamics that could redefine how we perceive currency resilience in today's volatile market landscape.
The franc's unexpected strength has sparked a flurry of theories. Some point to the SNB's potential reluctance to cut interest rates as aggressively as its peers. Others suggest that the widening gap between Swiss and global inflation expectations could be fueling the franc's appreciation. Yet, the franc's safe-haven status and its role in carry trades add another layer of complexity to this puzzle.
The EUR/CHF currency pair, a barometer of the Eurozone and Switzerland's economic health, is particularly sensitive to the franc's strength. As the franc appreciates, it can impact trade balances, inflation, and overall economic competitiveness.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the enigma of the Swiss franc's resilience persists. Is this a temporary anomaly, or a harbinger of a new era in international finance? Only time will tell.
CHF (Swiss Franc)
USDCHFWe are in a down trend and currently in the corrective phase of the leg.
We have not gotten a multi touch confirmation but we got a second touch which is also still valid to use. Price tested the previous high and rejected. Going down into lower time frames.
The are 3 bearish soldiers from that rejection which show further market strength. We are in a very corrective ascending channel. We formed another correction (it has been 6-8 hours).
Sell Idea also still has kinks so make sure to follow your plan and manage according to your system.
USDCHF | LONG-Values-
Entry Range: 0.89896 - 0.88857
Average Entry: 0.89164 (RRR: 1.91)
Stop Loss: 0.87765
Profit Target: 0.91860
-HOW TO ENTER MY TRADES-
1. Ladder your entries.
You'll want to ladder place your orders exponentially within the Entry Range to the point your RRR is atleast 1.5 if fully filled.
2. Only first touches are valid.
If price is rebounding back into the entry zone after either the profit target or stop loss was hit the entry zone is no longer valid.
Example:
Trade Idea:
Valid and Invalid Entry:
CHFJPY - SWING - 08. MAY. 2019WELCOME TO DACAPITAL-TRADING!
CHFJPY FOREX BREAKDOWN 08 MAY 2019
1 HOUR
Found a support right now, we need a market turn!
4 HOUR
Bearish market for a couple of days turning bullish now.
DAILY
Strong Support can hold right now, looking for upside momentum!
SWING SETUP
BUY CHFJPY
ENTRY @ 108.200
SL @ 107.610
TP @ 111.200
RR: 5.10
(Use normal Risk!)
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS LET US KNOW IN THE COMMENTS
ALSO LEAVE US A LIKE TO KEEP OUR CONTENT FOR FREE!!
USDCHF Bearish scenario breakdownSince we're still below a major resistance, it's also possible to look for bearish scenarios. We will know what's going to happen once we have a break on either side.
If we break down from here and below the daily breaker (+ daily horizontal level), we'll be looking to short the retest and aiming for those lows there.
Again, wait for confirmation and trade carefully.
For the bullish side check out my previous idea.
GBP/CHF 4H Chart: Bearish market The British Pound has been depreciating in a channel down against the Swiss Franc after it touched the upper boundary of a dominant channel on January 22.
Meanwhile, a breakout occurred through the lower boundary of a triangle pattern as can be observed on the chart.
During the following trading sessions, the GBP/CHF pair is likely to continue its bearish path until it meet a support cluster of the weekly and monthly pivot points near the 1.2888 mark. In addition, technical indicators are all giving signal to sell the pair.
EUR/CHF Channel DownDue to the high trading volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange Marketplace, it was decided upon doing a short review of the technical situation on the EUR/CHF currency pair.
It can be observed that the pair is dominantly trading in two ascending channel patterns. The pair encountered the combined resistance of the channels at the start of August. As a result of that move a descending channel revealed itself in the following weeks.
Most recently the pair encountered the resistance of the channel down pattern. That means it is likely going to bounce off it and retreat first to the 1.1370 level and afterwards to the 1.1280 mark.
USD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel UpRecently the US Dollar encountered a support combination of two notable levels of significance against the Swiss Franc. The support consists of the 2016 low level and the lower trend line of the dominant channel down pattern.
As a result of the rebound a medium term ascending channel has formed itself. However, its lower trend line has not been fully confirmed. Although, on Friday the proposed support line of the pattern was located exactly at the monthly S1 at 0.95, which gives it some credibility.
Due to these factors combined, it can be assumed that the pair will pass the support of the monthly PP at the 0.9613 level, and decline to the just mentioned combination of support at 0.95.
FXCM un-franc-ed? Maybe a little pullback, but watch this.... breakout will be big. Today's 50% candle is very convincing...
news.forexlive.com
Let's see how the restructuring plays out, its not official yet but rumors.