CHFJPY, DOOMSDAY BEAR-MARKET Scenario, Wedge-TRIGGER-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CHFJPY on several timeframe perspectives. The CHFJPY conditions have accelerated to an unnatural dynamic recently as the pair moved into new highs instead of the massive overbought condition and the fact that this main reversal into the bearish direction should have setup already long times before especially considering the deficit of capital flows in CHF against the JPY there is a lot of bearish pressure present for CHF.
On the broader perspective the pair is forming this gigantic ascending-wedge-formation in which it already penetrated the lower boundaries with crucial bearish momentum spikes into the lower direction. This means that once a huge bearish pressure spike below the lower boundary has setup this will lead to many long liquidation triggers down the road and will lead to further continuations into this perspective. When the bearish pressure accelerates heavily this will also lead to the massive head-shoulder-formation to be completed triggering further bearish liquidations and momentum.
Especially with a further increase of the deficit in capital flows between CHF and JPY this will lead to the main market momentum to convert into a bearish dynamic and will lead to the underlying bearish scenario perspective to be confirmed by traders and investors moving into a more bearish sentiment consideration. Once the whole head-shoulder-formation has completed the momentum is likely to accelerate to the target-zones mentioned.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Chf
USDCHF Extremely overbought. Start selling. Sharp correction.The USDCHF pair is seeing a dramatic price surge in September.
The pattern post late 2022 is basically very similar to the previous Bear Cycle of 2019-2020.
The bottom fractals in particular seem identical and the price is approaching the 0.5 Fibonacci rejection level.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price and another on the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
Targets:
1. 0.8800 (the symmetricl low of May 4th 2023).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is overbought, marginally over even 83.50 Overbought Resistance. This RSI Resistance has seen sharp declines after every touch (May 3rd 2018, March 4th 2021, May 11th 2022). That is why start shorting now is advised.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
GBPCHF: No short over 1.1050 (would have updates)Hello traders,
We don't long before breaks of trendline and we don't short over 1.1050
Wait for setups after the break! In this post, updates would be included.
Levels calculated order_block, regarding support and resistances, channel and pivot points.
CADCHF📊 #CADCHF
⏱ TIME: 1D
📝It is reaching very important areas for spot purchases, and you can make purchases in a gradual and managed manner.
📍The initial sell limit: 0.68070 $
📍The second sell limit:0.69260 $
❌These analyzes are just to give a better perspective for you dear ones
Do not base on buying and selling❌
USDCHF 24/9/23UC is our last pair for this week, as it stands we have a clear bullish range but as we have said on nearly all of our pairs we do expect the current moves that have ran over the last few weeks, until we actually break out of this trend we will keep following it until it does then we will change our bias and follow price as it moves.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
AUDCHF: Short term strength expectedExpecting the recent retracement to continue at least to 0.586 support, just crossing the mid point of my descending channel.
Overall I'm still bearish on this pair (just), I am expecting the reversal at some point soon, either from here, or around the ATL marked on the chart.
I see AUD gaining in strength as China wakes up. There's a big interest rate decision this Thursday from the SNB which will be big news I feel.
I see this as a great pair to trade once a reversal is confirmed, there's a long way to go up!!
USDCHF - Bottom In Place! ✨USDCHF has recently provided us with an ending diagonal, signalling that the bottom is in.
We are now looking for a retracement. The deeper the retracement, the better!
Trade idea:
- Watch for lower timeframe reversal patterns to indicate retracement has started
- once entered, taper positions as we move lower towards the bottom
- The longer term trade will be going LONG on USDCHF
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
AUDCHF is approaching the daily trendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.58800 zone, AUDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.58800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.9 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
CHFJPY Holding the 1D MA50. Bullish until broken.The CHFJPY pair is trading above the 1D MA50, holding it tightly for the past 10 days. Technically that is the long-term Support trend-line since March 29, while the long-term pattern has been a Channel Up.
As long as the price is trading above the 1D MA50, we are bullish, targeting 171.000 (+8.00% increase). If the price breaks below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, sell towards the 1D MA200, targeting 155.000.
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USDCHF: The top isn't in most likely. 1D MA200 ahead.USDCHF has been rising non-stp since the July 18th bottom on 0.85555 (S1). The 1D outlook is on straight bullish technicals (RSI = 61.656, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 40.729) and as the 1D MA50 has been turned into Support, we expect the rally to peak within the 1D MA200 and the inside LH trendline. That would be as close to the top of the twelve month Channel Down as possible.
We will wait until a LH trendline is formed on the 1D RSI, which preceded every sharp selling and was the ideal short signal. Target S1 (TP = 0.85555).
Prior idea:
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EURCHF broke above the 1D MA50. Bullish signal.The EURCHF pair broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and closed yesterday's 1D candle exactly on it. This is the first bullish signal we encounter since the June 12 1D MA50 break-out. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down but since July 27, the price has been holding the 0.952250 level (Support 1) as well as the 0.96510 (Resistance 1).
As a result, we have the opportunity for a short-term buy if a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. Our target will be Resistance 1 (0.965100), which is also where contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is expected to be made. The 1D MA100 has been the target during the previous Lower High formation (June 22 2023).
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EURCHF to cap the gains again?EURCHF - 24h expiry
0.9600 continues to hold back the bulls.
Risk/reward is ample to call a sell trade.
The primary trend remains bearish.
The preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
0.9599 has been pivotal.
We look to Sell at 0.9597 (stop at 0.9617)
Our profit targets will be 0.9547 and 0.9537
Resistance: 0.9595 / 0.9603 / 0.9620
Support: 0.9580 / 0.9565 / 0.9550
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