Chfjpy!
CHF/JPY SHORT SETUP ON H1 - LONG TRADEOn CHF/JPY, we have a bearish setup on the H4 timeframe, with the price currently at 162.16 and potentially retracing to 160.40 before resuming upward movement to retest the trendline. Moreover, at that point, we have a FVG, which indicates a high probability of reversal. Let me know what you think. Have a great Trading week, everyone, from Nicola, the CEO of FOREX48 Trading Academy.
CHFJPY: Everything depends on JPY NOW!!Dear Traders, hope you are doing great and having amazing weekend. CHFJPY recently in strong bullish impulse price consolidated and extracted taking CHFJPY prices to all time high. We need some strong pullback so that market price structure have some stability.
There are two scenarios, firstly if JPY remains bearish then we will seeing prices going higher and higher. Though, a strong pullback is expected. Secondly if JPY reverse then we can see a strong pullback of 600-800 pips.
GOOD LUCK
CHFJPY - Continuation Higher?Analysis:
Strong upwards trend (bullish confluence factor)
Break and retest of previous area of resistance for support (bullish confluence factor)
50% fib retracement touch (bullish confluence factor)
Upwards trendline touch (bullish confluence factor)
CHF is the 7th strongest major currency whereas the JPY is the 8th strongest major currency (bullish confluence factor)
2K short position increase for the CHF (bearish confluence factor)
27K short position decrease for the JPY (bearish confluence factor)
Comments:
Whilst some of the fundamentals go against our bullish thesis, we still have the technicals and some fundamentals pointing to bullishness on this pair. With the majority of the confluences we pay attention to pointing to bullishness and with the setup we see, we have enough confidence to have a bullish outlook on this pair. Only time will tell if we're correct but from what we can see currently, we see price continuing this bullish rally that it's in and heading higher.
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
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Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
CHFJPY - Following The Trend ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading inside the rising broadening wedge in red, and it is currently retesting the lower trendline.
Moreover, the blue level is a strong support.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand and lower blue trendline.
As per my trading style:
As CHFJPY is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CHF/JPY Strong Multi Bullish TrendsLong Term Trend Bullish
Mid Term Trend Bullish
Short Term Trend Bullish
6D Bar Chart Bullish
CHF/JPY Technical Analysis
Moving Averages:STRONG BUYBuy (
Technical Indicators:STRONG BUY
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 151.80 151.90 152.01 152.11 152.23 152.32 152.44
Fibonacci 151.90 151.98 152.03 152.11 152.19 152.24 152.32
Camarilla 152.07 152.09 152.11 152.11 152.14 152.16 152.18
Woodie's 151.80 151.90 152.01 152.11 152.23 152.32 152.44
DeMark's - - 152.06 152.13 152.27 - -
Moving Averages
MA5 152.05
Buy 152.09
Buy
MA10 151.98
Buy 151.99
Buy
MA20 151.82
Buy 151.89
Buy
MA50 151.75
Buy 151.73
Buy
MA100 151.58
Buy 151.80
Buy
MA200 152.13
Buy 151.67
Buy
Name Value Action
RSI(14) 69.405 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 52.801 Neutral
STOCHRSI(14) 100.000 Overbought
MACD(12,26) 0.100 Buy
ADX(14) 61.492 Buy
Williams %R -3.847 Overbought
CCI(14) 298.5981 Overbought
ATR(14) 0.1507 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.2454 Buy
Ultimate Oscillator 65.464 Buy
ROC 0.296 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 0.5500 Buy
Fundamentals of the Swiss Franc
Whether a currency is strong or weak often depends on what the country’s or jurisdiction’s leading policymakers want it to be. This is largely within the purview of monetary policy run by the central bank who can influence this.
In the case of Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) wants a weak franc. It is doing this because it wants to boost inflation to rid the country of its deflationary problems that have plagued it for the better part of the past decade.
So, why is deflation bad?
If monetary policy is run with a deflationary bias, this means you will run an economy that never runs into its capacity constraints – e.g., “full employment”. Some amount of inflation will always be present when this is achieved because of structural flaws in our economic system stemming from imperfect competition, such as monopoly, duopoly, and oligopoly.
Therefore, some amount of inflation will always be present when full employment is truly reached. This is why inflation targeting as a central bank mandate is a no-brainer.
When an economy doesn’t achieve full employment it won’t maximize output. Unemployment as a whole will be high, because companies rarely cut nominal wages. Instead, they tend to lay off labour. People won’t earn as much income accordingly. Spending will decline, cash hoarding will become more common, and GDP – in developed economies, consumption is the majority of GDP – will contract and living standards will decline as a direct result.
Deflation produces permanent economic anaemia as not enough money and credit are being spent on goods, services, and financial assets. These cycles tend to be self-reinforcing. Lower incomes lead to lower spending, which leads to lower capacity to borrow, which produces even lower incomes and spending and overall output in a downward spiral.
Equity markets will remain below their peak with declining incomes and contractive (or insufficiently expansionary) monetary policy. Japan’s deflationary problems that have persisted for nearly three decades has left the country with a stock market that is still approximately 42% below its 1989 peak. This is obviously not good for domestic wealth.
The Swiss National Bank’s Effect
In the hope of permanently fixing Switzerland’s deflationary problems, the SNB has resorted to negative interest rates. This can seem counterintuitive because it means that the buyer has to pay in order to hold short-term debt.
In deflationary environments, it can make sense to hold a negative yielding bond if your real (inflation-adjusted) return is positive. In other words, if the negative rate on the bond is higher than the rate at which prices are declining on goods and services in the economy. It also serves as an incentive to get economic actors to put their money into riskier assets to increase collective returns and create a “wealth effect”. Theoretically, this should also boost spending and investment behaviour.
The SNB’s primary rate-setting mechanism, the SARON (Swiss Average Rate Overnight), is minus-75bps and overnight CHF LIBOR is minus-78 to minus-80bps. This helps stimulate outflows (exports) by working to make the currency cheaper. The Swiss franc becomes less desirable when its rate of return – and the rate of return of the assets that are denominated in francs – is not attractive.
The SNB also does their quantitative easing (asset buying) program much differently than the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan. Instead of buying domestic assets, the SNB buys outside assets, such as US large cap stocks, to push out liquidity and weaken the franc. When you buy domestic assets, this has the effect of increasing the value of the currency because these assets are what create demand for it. The SNB is doing the reverse process.
As an antidote to the SNB’s moves, traders largely recognize that Switzerland is in relatively solid shape economically. It has a fiscal surplus and large current account surplus. It also has low indebtedness, high wages, and high GDP per capita. This makes the Swiss franc in demand as it is a structurally sound currency.
In strong global economic environments, the franc is often used by traders as the short leg in buying currencies with high interest rates. This is called carry trading. This borrowing dampens demand for it because it is in effect being sold, which decreases its price.
But when the market is weak you often see strong buying activity in the franc because traders unwind their carry trades. These types of trades often involve being long a riskier asset or currency.
The most broadly helpful thing to know about the fundamentals of the Swiss franc is that it serves as a safe haven currency.
This is because its low interest rates make it attractive to borrow in, and covering these borrowed funds during periods of market turmoil means buying activity will take place.
Therefore, many consider the Swiss franc as a market hedge, similar to gold, or else a basic way to diversify a portfolio.
In good times, you will typically see it appreciate relative to positive-carry assets, such as currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD) or the emerging market equities example.
These rates of depreciation in the franc will generally be of a steadier magnitude than the sharp rates of appreciation during market weakness, given contractions tend to be much swifter and volatile than good economic periods.
CHFJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 162.520.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 158.758 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CHFJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 300 PIP ) Pair Name : CHF/JPY
🗨Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
➕Scale Type : Large Scale
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🗒 spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most important points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
✔️ Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bearish Reversal
163.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- inner Choch Area
- Fibo Golden
Bullish Reversal
160.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- visible Range Value
- 4hr / D choch Area
- Quarter's Area
- Fixed Range Lvn
CHFJPY - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 162.000.
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🔥 MODIFICATION: CHFJPY 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥Being that Price Action (PA) continues to go long, please manage your trades as we take the risk of shorting it from here.
SSO1 @ 158.50 ⏳
SSO2 @ 152.60 ⏳
TP1 @ 141.33 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 131.85 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 124.90 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 114.15 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
BLO1 @ 111.55 ⏳
BLO2 @ 105.25 ⏳
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CHF/JPY SHORT ENTRY - SETUP H1On CHF/JPY, we have a bearish setup with the price breaking through a Forex48 block at the level of 161.88. That will be the point of interest to consider a short position if the market provides a double confirmation at M15 timeframe. The target will be 160.90. Let me know your thoughts. Happy trading to all from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
CHFJPY H4 | Potential Bearish reaction off Fibo confluences?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is raising towards our sell entry at 163.61, that aligns with 61.8% Fibo Projection and 161.8% Fibo extension level indicating Fibo confluence. Our take profit will be at 161.59, which is a pullback support level. The stop loss will be set at 165.35, which is just above 78.6% Fibo expansion level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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CHFJPY H4 | Potential react off Fibo level?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is raising towards our sell entry at 163.58, that aligns with 61.8% Fibo Projection and 161.8% Fibo extension level indicating Fibo confluence. Our take profit will be at 161.57, which is a pullback support level. The stop loss will be set at 165.23, which is just above 78.6% Fibo expansion level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
CHF/JPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers ,
CHF/JPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 160.971
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 160.279
Safe Stop Loss - 161.395
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK