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CHF/JPY October Forecast: Bearish Divergence and Key Sell Setup CHF/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Analysis In the CHF/JPY pair, the October monthly structure reveals an open high-low-close pattern, which points towards a potential sell setup. As of now, we are awaiting confirmation through a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross to validate entry points for sell trades. Key Technical Highlights: 1. Bearish Divergence: A clear bearish divergence has been forming since July 19, 2024 , extending to the current market price. This divergence signals a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting a downward move may be imminent. 2. Open High Structure on Daily Chart: The daily timeframe for October continues to display an open-high structure, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the month. 3. Overbought Market Conditions: The price is showing signs of being significantly overbought following a strong bullish breakout from October 1, 2024. This overbought condition makes the pair vulnerable to a correction, further strengthening the sell setup. 4. TDI Cross for Confirmation: A bearish cross in the TDI indicator will provide confirmation of the presence of sellers in the market. This signal is crucial before initiating sell positions. Take Profit Levels: - Take Profit 1: 172.000 - Take Profit 2: 170.750 - Take Profit 3: 170.000 Trading Recommendations: Patience is key—wait for clear, valid signals such as the TDI cross to confirm entry points. As always, exercise caution and apply proper risk management when trading to protect your capital. If you find this analysis insightful, please like, leave a comment, and follow for more updates. I will happily follow back. Good luck with your trades! ---
Short
by ezeepips
1
CHFJPY bullish again... the week of 14 Oct, 2024Weekly chart – bullish Daily chart – bullish H4 chart – bullish (was in consolidation between 172.70 and 173.50 but broke out to the upside). The structure of this pair has resumed the bullish nature (HL and HH) and for the most part the 20sma has been holding price above it. A pullback would be nice and provide a good location to take a long. However, if a strong move to the down side forms, that would negate my analysis. My initial target would be in the 175.00 region with the possibility to let some part of the trade run higher. This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
#CHFJPY 1HA rising wedge pattern has formed on the CHF/JPY 1-hour chart. This pattern typically indicates a bearish reversal, characterized by a narrowing price range with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting weakening momentum. As the price consolidates upwards within this wedge, volume often declines, hinting at an impending breakout to the downside. Forecast: Sell The rising wedge is a reversal pattern, and in this case, a bearish breakdown is anticipated. A sell position could be considered, with a target near the lower support levels, once the price breaks below the wedge’s support line. Traders should be cautious of false breakouts and monitor key levels for confirmation.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
2
SELL view on CHFJPYSelling CHF/JPY could be based on several macroeconomic and technical assumptions. Here’s a rationale based on both real-world factors and potential market dynamics: 1. Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy Monetary Policy Divergence: If the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a dovish stance, perhaps due to concerns about inflation being too low or economic growth faltering, it may continue to hold interest rates lower for longer or engage in monetary easing. This could weaken the Swiss franc (CHF), making CHF/JPY a good candidate for a sell. Interventions: The SNB is known for intervening to prevent excessive CHF appreciation, especially since a stronger franc can hurt Switzerland's export-dependent economy. This intervention could lead to CHF depreciation, favoring short positions. 2. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Shift Potential Policy Shift: If the Bank of Japan (BoJ) signals a shift away from its ultra-loose monetary policy—possibly by reducing bond purchases or raising rates slightly—this would support a stronger yen (JPY). Recent inflation pressures in Japan have prompted discussions about tighter policy, which could drive yen appreciation. Inflation and Wages: Japan has seen modest inflation, driven by rising wages and cost-push inflation, which could encourage the BoJ to adjust its policies more aggressively in the future, strengthening JPY. 3. Risk Sentiment and Safe Haven Flows Shifts in Global Risk Appetite: Both CHF and JPY are considered safe-haven currencies, but JPY tends to outperform CHF in times of heightened risk aversion, especially with Asian investors and markets playing a larger role in global trade. A sudden rise in geopolitical tensions or market risk could favor the yen over the franc, creating downward pressure on CHF/JPY. 4. Technical Analysis Overbought Conditions: If CHF/JPY has been in a prolonged uptrend and technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or MACD suggest overbought conditions, this could signal an upcoming correction or reversal, making it a good time to sell. Resistance Levels: Price approaching a strong resistance level, where CHF/JPY has previously reversed, might be another technical signal to initiate a sell trade. Combined with weak fundamentals, this could increase the likelihood of a pullback. 5. Switzerland’s Economic Slowdown Slower Economic Growth: If Switzerland’s economic indicators, such as GDP growth, export performance, or business confidence, show signs of slowing down, it may reduce demand for the franc as investors anticipate lower returns or a more stagnant economy. 6. Japanese Trade Surplus Strength in Japanese Exports: Japan's trade balance has been improving, driven by strong exports, especially in high-tech and automobile sectors. A growing trade surplus supports JPY strength, which could pressure CHF/JPY downward. By combining these factors—particularly monetary policy divergence, risk sentiment, and potential technical signals—a sell position on CHF/JPY could be strategically viable.
Short
by ForexCompany
The #1 Reason I Was Wrong About AUDJPY Or CHFJPY...AGAIN!!I was wrong about the FX_IDC:AUDJPY again..because I was trying to find the right forex trading system to not only make money but also manage my personal stress - Listen as of now am using a FREE account on Tradingview So most of these trades will be long-term trading options. Until I am able to get a paid subscription on trading view. - Long-term term trades are very good for beginners because it slows down the fast pace trading - And allows you to learn more if you are using proper risk management - This forex trade FX_IDC:CHFJPY sadly is a 7-month move at best 3 months. - Maybe later on when I upgrade to trading view essential I might be able to really develop a trading system for day trades. - Honestly, day trading does have a cost to it There is no way around it you have to pay to play in day trading. - Including mid-term trades such as 3-month holds or 1 month holds. This buy signal is a 7-month hold. This means you have to calculate your risk management strategy well. These past few days I have been battling With my trading systems because I really wanted to design a day trading system But all I can manage right now are long-term trades. My hope is that you will continue to follow and learn from these long term trades Now will this reduce my popularity sadly yes. But with my long term trading signals, I think I will be able to attract the right type of people Who have an investing mindset also its safer to trade long-term {7 months] than short-term gains. So don't feel discouraged if you are looking for short-term gains. If that's you then this recommendation and my other recommendations will never suit you because all my trades will be now focussed on me finding the best Long-term trades. Using the rocket booster strategy which has the following 3 steps: #1-The price should be above the 50 EMA #2-The price should be above the 200 EMA #3-The price should be in an uptrend This is a strategy of trading and I hope it will serve you well. Remember if you want to learn more rocket boost this content Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies. :
Long
by lubosi
#CHFJPY 2HOn the 2-hour chart for #CHFJPY, the price is currently moving within a well-defined channel pattern, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown scenario. Traders should prepare for both directions, with opportunities to either buy or sell depending on how the market reacts to key levels. Key Insights: 1. Channel Pattern: The price is fluctuating between a clear support and resistance level, forming a horizontal or slightly sloping channel. This indicates market indecision, with buyers and sellers battling for control. 2. Breakout Scenario (Buy): - If the price breaks above the upper resistance of the channel with strong momentum, it signals the start of a bullish move. - Traders should look to enter buy positions after a confirmed breakout, ideally with increased volume, to validate the upward movement. 3. Breakdown Scenario (Sell): - Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower support of the channel, it points to a bearish shift. A breakdown would signal a good opportunity for sell positions, especially if supported by rising selling volume and momentum. 4. Volume Confirmation: Pay close attention to trading volume, as significant increases during a breakout or breakdown will strengthen the validity of the move. 5. Stop-Loss Considerations: - For the breakout (buy), place a stop loss just below the resistance level (now turned support) to manage risk in case of a false breakout. - For the breakdown (sell), place a stop loss above the broken support (now turned resistance) or the latest swing high. Trading Strategy: Entry: Buy if the price breaks out above resistance. Sell if the price breaks down below support. Take Profit: Set take-profit levels according to key resistance zones (in the case of a buy) or support zones (in the case of a sell). Stop Loss: Set stop losses above resistance for a sell trade or below support for a buy trade to minimize risk. This technical analysis provides a flexible strategy for trading #CHFJPY on the 2-hour timeframe, allowing traders to react to either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown from the channel pattern.
by PIPSFIGHTER
CHFJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for CHFJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 172.733. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 174.189 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
CHFJPY - Easy 1000pip Trade.. Atleast!Our last CHFJPY over extended a little but it was still valid. Price dropped 1300pips from the break of our entry trendline! We have now created a correction and looking for another 1000pip drop. There's a chance we may make a complex correction, as indicated on the chart. There is still a 1000pip drop to our first target so this one is definitely one to watch! Trade Idea: - Watch for reversal within the fibs - Entry on break of trendline or you can use lower timeframe BOS or other methods - once entered, put stops above price - Target the recent lows as first target (165.5 (1000pips) - Make sure to taper some positions there and watch to see if we get the complex correction or if we continue dropping. What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
1
CHFJPY in important resistance area; yen to strengthen?CHFJPY in important resistance area on daily chart; yen to strengthen? The Swiss franc and Japanese yen currency pair (CHFJPY) has maintained a steady uptrend on the daily chart since 2020, consistently trading above the 200-period Moving Average. However, in September, CHFJPY dipped below the SMA200 for the first time, signaling a potential increase in selling pressure and indicating a stronger appreciation of the yen against the franc. This yen appreciation aligns with Japan’s recent shift in monetary policy – the Bank of Japan had kept interest rates in negative territory since 2016. On July 31, Japan raised its key interest rate for the second time in 2024, bringing it to 0.25%. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has consecutively lowered interest rates during its last three meetings. Technical indicators point to potential downward pressure on CHFJPY From a technical perspective, after breaking below the SMA200 on the daily chart, CHFJPY retested it from below, suggesting that the SMA200 may now act as a level of resistance. The price also reached the 50% retracement level of the bearish Fibonacci on the daily chart, which could serve as potential resistance. A double top pattern is also forming in the same Fibonacci region. From a technical standpoint, a confluence of factors can be seen: 1. The SMA200 was broken, previously acting as support, and could now serve as resistance. 2. A retracement to the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci, which could also act as resistance. 3. A double top forming on the daily chart. From a macroeconomic perspective, the following is affecting CHFJPY: 1. A shift in Japan’s monetary policy with two interest rate hikes this year. 2. Monetary easing in Switzerland – the SNB has cut the policy rate three times in 2024. It currently stands at 1% – the lowest level since early 2023. These factors create a context where a potential short opportunity could become more apparent if the price breaks below 171.30. If that occurs, CHFJPY could decline to the 167.10 level within a few days, where it may encounter some support. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
CHFJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below: The market is trading on 171.73 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 170.25 Recommended Stop Loss - 172.54 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 280 PIP )🟢Pair Name : CHF/JPY Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) Type : Mid Term Swing ——————————— ✅Bearish Break 169.500 Area Reasons ✅- Major Turn level ✅- Visible Range Poc ✅- Channel break ✅- Key level Break ✅- Week High / Year High Break ✅- Fibo Golden Break ✅Bullish Reversal 166.500 Area
Short
by GoldenEngine
2
CHFJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 169.213. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 167.705 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
CHFJPY Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 170.13 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 169.05 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
CHFJPY - SELL IDEADespite price has been pushing high since the last few days, the swing structure is bearish so I was looking for sells in this pair. On the 1h timeframe price created some equal highs and swept that creating kind of a dodji candle followed by this strong bearish candle that gave me the entry. There are so much liquidity to be taken on the downside, let's see how price will flow. Strategy Check: Bearish Structure Price Flow Area of interest - stacked area of daily + 4h imbalance Liquidity Swept Price Action
Short
by moneyconceptfx
1
#CHFJPY 1HCHF/JPY 1H Chart Analysis: Wedge Pattern On the CHF/JPY 1-hour chart, a wedge pattern is taking shape, indicating a potential move in the near future. The current forecast suggests a sell opportunity; however, it is essential to wait for a **breakdown** below the lower trendline of the wedge before executing any trades. A breakdown will confirm the bearish momentum, and entering the trade at this point will help avoid potential false signals. Traders should also monitor for volume spikes during the breakdown, as it increases the reliability of the signal. Trading Strategy: - Wait for a clear breakdown before entering a sell position. - Use support levels as potential profit-taking zones.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
CHFJPY A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the CHFJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 169.67 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 168.40 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1