Is the Top In ?? Time For the Monthly Reversal ?This is a follow-up to the idea I presented last month regarding this pair being severely overbought on longer timeframes. The existing price action strongly suggests that a downward cycle is imminent. Here's my rationale.
In the past three weeks, each weekly candlestick has initially surged to new highs before experiencing a significant selloff in the second half of the week. The 166 level is proving to be a key High Time Frame (HTF) resistance level, with sellers ardently defending this level. See the chart below for the visual
When we look at the daily charts, reversal indicators become even more prominent. It appears we have now entered a distribution cycle , a sideways movement often seen following a long rally in price.
This cycle is more easily identifiable on shorter timeframes, but its appearance on a daily chart strongly points to an impending downward move.
The daily charts show the distribution trading range between 164.5 and 166.3. A decisive break and close beneath 164.5 would serve as a conservative entry point for traders.
Additionally, my TRFX indicator has just signaled its first daily sell alert in quite a while. This is a high-probability indicator for me and prompts my re-entry into the market.
There's a possibility for a minor rally up to the 165.5 level, but I anticipate a substantial sell-off to occur, targeting the 158.7 level which marked July's low.
This trade is expected to unfold in the weeks leading up to the next Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting. The potential drop could provide an entry point for buyers eyeing another upward push.
However, given the extreme overbought conditions evident on the monthly charts and now we are approaching the last Quarter of the year, we might see a deeper correction down to the 150 level, a prior monthly high, which could spark profit taking over the coming months. This becomes more likely if the 158.7 level gives way.
I will hold this trade as the profit potential is huge and given the reasons above anyone buying at these highs should be very cautious as the higher timeframes looking to be pointing to large players positioning for a downward move.
Let's see how it unfolds.
Chfjpyanalysis
CHFJPY is Currently Trading in a Falling WedgeCHFJPY has been experiencing a bullish trend since January 2023. From 137.50, the price is going up. Last month, we saw that the high price of CHFJPY was 166.50, and after that, it has gone down. We have identified a pattern of falling wedge. Breaking the wedge resistance will result in a higher price, as we believe.
TP - 166.30
SL - Join Our Channel
CHFJPY Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
DeGRAM | CHFJPY selling opportunityCHFJPY is trading in the descending channel.
The market is testing the resistance level, golden zone, and dynamic resistance.
Price action is printing lower lows and lower closes, indicating bears are in control.
The price is likely to test the support level.
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CHF/JPY which way?Hello Traders
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CHFJPY SELLHi, According to my analysis of CHF and JPY, there is a good selling opportunity. We note that the pair broke the support at the level of 164.590. With a very large red candle. It also broke the moving average 200. The price bounced from the area but was unable to breach it. A descending channel has formed, indicating that the market is for sale. Good luck everyone
CHFJPY I Short-term buy and potential move lowerWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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CHF/JPY Gave Yesterday +110 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Added !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
CHF/JPY Gave 3 Hours Ago +60 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Added !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
CHF/JPY Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , Short Setup To Get 300 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
CHFJPY : Short Trade , 1hHello traders, we want to check the CHFJPY chart. The price has broken the uptrend line and pulled back to the key level that the price has reacted to several times in the past. If the price cannot break this level and can stabilize itself, this area is a good place to enter a sell trade. We expect the price to fall to around 164,500. Good luck.
CHFJPY - AMD Pattern ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we can see the confirmation of the AMD pattern, as price accumulated for couple of weeks and now manipulated and rejected from institutional big figure 164.000. Now I want price to distribute higher.
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CHFJPY I Potential to correct lower but will go up short-termWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DeGRAM | CHFJPY market consolidationCHFJPY is trading in the ascending channel. There is a high chance that the price will breakout.
The market is consolidating if you look at the 4H chart. It created a bullish harmonic pattern that works well on sideways markets.
We expect a bounce off the support level at 165.000, which is psychological as well.
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CHFJPY Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
CHFJPY Buy?Let's attempt a slightly more daring trade on the CHF/JPY pair, with a 20-pip stop loss – a modest amount considering the potentially substantial gains. Please refrain from harboring excessive expectations for this trade or similar outcomes. This is meant to be a light-hearted endeavor before the week concludes. Anticipate a potential loss on this trade, so I strongly advise against a significant investment .
To calculate a 1% stop loss of your balance, you use a lot size calculator. RR: 1:8.53
CHFJPY - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to go a little bit lower to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 164.000.
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CHF JPY LONGRisk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:3 RR
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