CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (169.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 3H timeframe (167.500) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 171.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 174.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟡Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors driving CHF/JPY stem from the Swiss and Japanese economies, central bank policies, and safe-haven dynamics.
╰┈➤Interest Rates:
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Rates likely at 0.75-1% in Feb 2025, down from 1.25% in 2024, reflecting global easing. Negative real yields (e.g., -1.5% with 2.5% inflation) bolster CHF’s safe-haven status.
Bank of Japan (BoJ): Rates at 0.25-0.5%, a cautious hike from near-zero, but still a funding currency. Yield differential favors CHF slightly.
Impact: Mildly bullish for CHF/JPY, as CHF retains a yield edge.
╰┈➤Inflation:
Switzerland: Inflation at 2-2.5%, above SNB’s 0-2% target, prompting potential currency strength to curb import costs.
Japan: Inflation at 2.5%, high for Japan, but BoJ tolerance limits JPY gains.
Impact: Neutral to bullish, favoring CHF resilience.
╰┈➤Economic Growth:
Switzerland: GDP growth ~1.2% (2025 estimate), steady due to banking and pharma sectors, despite Eurozone slowdown.
Japan: GDP ~1%, export-driven (e.g., U.S. tariff diversion), but domestic weakness persists.
Impact: Mildly bullish, CHF edges out JPY in stability.
╰┈➤Safe-Haven Flows:
Both CHF and JPY are safe-havens, but CHF benefits more from European risks (e.g., Eurozone PMI at 46.2, Feb 2025) vs. JPY’s Asia-centric exposure.
Impact: Bullish for CHF/JPY in risk-off scenarios.
╰┈➤Trade Balance:
Switzerland: Surplus ~CHF 4B monthly, driven by exports (watches, pharma).
Japan: Surplus ~¥1.5T, but vulnerable to U.S. tariffs.
Impact: Neutral, both currencies supported.
🟠Macroeconomic Factors
A U.S.-focused lens with global context:
╰┈➤U.S. Influence: Fed rates at 3-3.5%, DXY ~100. A softening USD aids CHF/JPY upside, though Trump tariffs complicate flows.
╰┈➤Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China at 4.5% (slowing) and Eurozone at 1.2%. Risk-off favors CHF over JPY.
╰┈➤Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 (FXStreet) pressures Japan’s import costs, mildly weakening JPY.
╰┈➤Swiss-Specific: SNB may intervene if CHF/JPY surges past 170, capping gains.
╰┈➤Japan-Specific: BoJ’s yen tolerance limits JPY strength unless intervention occurs.
🟤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME):
╰┈➤Large Speculators: Net long CHF (30,000 contracts), net short JPY (150,000), suggesting CHF strength vs. JPY weakness.
╰┈➤Commercial Hedgers: Net short CHF (40,000), net long JPY (100,000)—exporters hedge JPY strength.
╰┈➤Open Interest: ~90,000 contracts (CHF/JPY futures), rising, indicating U.S. trader interest.
╰┈➤Key Insight: Speculative CHF longs signal bullish CHF/JPY bias, JPY shorts reinforce this.
🔴Market Sentiment Analysis
Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders:
╰┈➤Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 65% long CHF/JPY at 167.000 (hypothetical broker data), expecting safe-haven CHF gains. Contrarian risk if shorts pile in.
╰┈➤Institutional Traders: U.S./European funds (e.g., UBS, per Dec 2024) favor CHF (USD/CHF to 0.84 by 2025), neutral on JPY (USD/JPY to 145). Bullish CHF/JPY sentiment persists.
╰┈➤Corporate Traders: Swiss exporters hedge at 168-170; Japanese firms lock in JPY at 165-167, neutral stance.
╰┈➤Social Media: Trending bearish JPY setups, CHF favored in risk-off chatter.
╰┈➤Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~60% long—mild overcrowding.
🟣Positioning Analysis
╰┈➤Speculative: U.S. longs target 170, shorts eye 165.
╰┈➤Retail Crowding: Longs at 167.500-168.000 risk a flush.
╰┈➤Institutional: Balanced, leaning bullish on CHF strength.
╰┈➤Corporate: Hedging stabilizes near-term moves.
🟢Overall Summary Outlook
CHF/JPY at 167.000 reflects CHF’s safe-haven edge over JPY amid U.S. tariff risks and global slowdown fears. Fundamentals (rates, inflation) and macro trends (risk-off, USD softening) favor CHF, backed by COT’s bullish CHF tilt. Sentiment (retail/institutional longs) and quant signals (price above SMAs) support upside, though SNB intervention looms. Short-term bullish to 168.50-170.00, medium-term range-bound with a bullish bias.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
