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Chfjpysell

2 FX Shorts with excellent oddsStarting with the pair which makes no sense at current levels, considering the most meager of rate differentials at +2.5% , were it not for the SNB's deranged policy of "supporting the Swiss Franc as an inflation fighting measure" (while Swiss inflation is barely holding at 2%!) and with the Swiss Franc already at nose-bleed levels. CHFJYP; a 50 year SHORT in the making; The main chart is the MXNJPY - SHORT , also the premier carry-trade - while equities are trying to cling to the remnants of an already burst bubble. While the Bank of Mexico has increased the rate differential (versus the static Yen) two-fold, in short order, that rate differential remained the same since 03/2023 while this pair continued on it's upward trajectory an additional 16%, incidentally inline with the SP500's identical increase during the same period; Both of these pairs are at multi-year technical confluences, both pressing against significant resistance and showing distinct patterns of reversal. SHORT & SHORT
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
1
CHFJPY - SHORT; A perfect hit!50 years in the making, this pair has done everything precisely by-the-numbers! - Technically speaking. And while normally one ought to remain reluctant to trade "weak" against "weak" (in rate differential terms) ... ... but when one "weak" suddenly gains +45% versus the other on a newly found nevertheless, less than meager 1.75% rate differential ... ... It is time to pounce! SELL - SHORT - As this pair lacks the fundamental as well as any technical reasons to deviate from it's rather predictable path - which is down from here. p.s. This is a Quarterly chart, e.g., just how much of that likely 50,000 pips one will capture is dependent on whether this is traded with a Short Bias (with some frequency), from here on out, or simply used as a 401k plan - i.e., "just SELL it and forget it". Here are the recent central bank rate differential changes; Here is the CHFJPY Weekly Chart; ... with last week's healthy Reversal.
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
33
CHFJPY Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexPlanet20
Is the Market Primed for a Reversal? 1000 Pip Move On The Cards?Predicting market peaks and turning points is always a challenging task, made even more daunting when a financial asset is achieving unprecedented highs without any clear resistance or sell-off zones to reference. This challenge is even more pronounced when this situation occurs with a forex pair, as is currently happening. This is a true test of your trading experience and your ability to interpret price action. Let's dive in, shall we? When we take a look at the long-term timeframes, especially the monthly charts, we can easily observe an overextension. This overextension is also apparent in the weekly charts shown above, with clear signs of buying fatigue and a visible struggle between buyers and sellers. This struggle is evident in the last weekly candle where sellers managed to drive the price down to 159 (the previous all-time high) - a newly established weekly buy zone, from which buyers have managed to push the price back up. A closer look at the daily charts (refer to the image below) reveals a structural shift with price activity moving sideways, suggesting a potential shift into a distribution phase, indicated by the lackluster buying momentum from the 159-point surge last week, as buyers were unable to establish a new high. All signs are currently pointing towards a potential reversal. Typically, in such situations, we might expect a final upward push, breaking the distribution range's upper limit in what can be seen as a deceptive breakout. This can lure the market into believing that prices are escalating to new highs. Additionally, a number of retail traders might place their stops above 164, as per conventional trading wisdom. From this point, my strategy is straightforward. I'll be waiting for that final upward push and monitor for signs of a false breakout. I'll also begin to look for entry signals on the daily chart from my TRFX indicator to gradually establish a position. As for trade targets, the first one will be last week's low at 159 (the previous all-time high), but it is likely that this level will not hold and the market will plunge further to the previous monthly high of 152, also within a recently formed monthly buy zone. The price charts are suggesting these moves, but as always, it's essential to wait for the right signals. This is a long-term setup grounded in high timeframe charts - these are optimal for tracking institutional moves. At the moment, a sell setup appears to offer the best risk-reward balance, given the apparent dwindling buying momentum. I hope you found this analysis insightful. I'll keep you updated as this situation evolves.
Short
by TheFxAce
26
CHFJPY: Everything depends on JPY NOW!!Dear Traders, hope you are doing great and having amazing weekend. CHFJPY recently in strong bullish impulse price consolidated and extracted taking CHFJPY prices to all time high. We need some strong pullback so that market price structure have some stability. There are two scenarios, firstly if JPY remains bearish then we will seeing prices going higher and higher. Though, a strong pullback is expected. Secondly if JPY reverse then we can see a strong pullback of 600-800 pips. GOOD LUCK
by Setupsfx_
39