CHFJPY One break-out and one pull-back buy level.The CHFJPY pair has done brilliantly since our last analysis, giving a perfect sell and then rebound at the bottom of the Channel Up:
Right now the price is approaching the top of the Channel so it is best that buy profit is taken. A break above the Higher Highs trend-line of the pattern at 138.500 would be a buy continuation signal. If rejected though, it is best to wait and buy again closer to the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Channel Up. In either case, our Target is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, which is currently around 144.440. As this chart shows, the -0.5 Fib has been the Higher High target since 2021.
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Chfjpysignals
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week With the significant growth of 10% since February 2022; the Swiss franc can be said to be the dominant currency during the first quarter of 2022. We have two scenarios to work with as the possibility that a trend continuation to the upside is feasible and at the same time there is a possibility that a breakdown of the key level at the 132 area could be a consequence of the reversal pattern identified on the daily time frame which might incite a retracement wave into the buy opportunity zone at around 128 where we shall be looking forward to the beginning of new bullish momentum.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY Correction ahead.The CHFJPY pair has been on a strong rally that smashed through our target on the last analysis:
Right now the price formed a new Channel Up, remaining within a Fibonacci Channel where it broke above the 1.5 Fib extension and almost reached as high as the 2.0.
However with the RSI hitting its October 20 2021 Resistance and the MACD forming a Bearish Cross, we have a strong set of indicators pointing towards a pull-back similar to June 2021 and August 2020. On both of those correction phases, the price pulled-back to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Currently that is on 126.565. It might make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) there. If broken, the last Support is the 0.618 Fib at 124.455. After that correction we expect the pair to continue its long-term bullish trend.
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CHFJPY | New PerspectiveQuick one!
Similar scenario with what we have on the EURJPY... It seems to me that the Japanese yen is getting some traction with the fresh new month hence it's worth considering other JPY pairs for opportunities.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY | New PerspectiveIt has been strong bullish momentum in the last couple of weeks and it appears we might be heading for a retracement in anticipation of a trend continuation to the upside. In this regard, we are hoping to take advantage of a counter-trend opportunity if it finally happens. A reversal pattern is identified on the 1H time frame and a signal is confirmed considering the broken neckline. At this juncture, it is advisable that we wait and see how the price reacts to the neckline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY BULL'S ARE IN CONTROLL! {10/02/2022}Educational Analysis says CHFJPY may go LONG. According to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concern with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
On 4HR AND 1HR timeframe pair is making HIGHER HIGH AND HIGHER LOWS.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS
HOW TO TAKE ENTRY ON THIS?
On 15 min timeframe, pair broke the small trendline and price push towards also pair is making higher high and higher lows, confirmation also broken the previous resistance.
ENTRY :- 125.162
STOP LOSS:- 124.890
TAKE PROFIT :- 125.590
CHFJPY Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since early 2020.
Signal: Buy as long as the 1D MA150 (red trend-line) is supporting. Before the September market bottom (Higher Low), the 1D MA150 has been in Support for 1 year and 100 days. A MACD Bullish Cross should confirm the rise.
Target: 128.000 (just below the 3.5 Fibonacci extension as every extension has made a Higher High on the Channel Up since its beginning).
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CHF/JPY AnalysisWe can easily expect the creation of a higher high
Monthly:
We have an impulse and correction respecting precious resistance now turn support. When we have an impulse and correction we can definitely expect another impulse.
Weekly:
In weekly we have an impulse correction pattern. Also price is respecting .50 fibonacci level. We could expect a creation of a higher high at least to the price of 126.435.
Daily:
The price is in a consolidation period. The price is most likely creating liquidity before the continuation to the upside. We can definitely expect more continuation according to our multi-time frame analysis.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith over 60pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), I am expecting that the retracement phase will push into a 50, 61.8 or 78.6% retracement before the trend continuation begins. So, if you are not in the bearish train you still have a minimum of 150pips to catch before the buyers find a good price!
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Retracement | Harmonic move (AB=CD) expectations
Observation: i. This is going to be a follow up on my last speculation on this pair as it appears that the retracement of the Impulse leg identified as finally taken course and we are looking at the Key level (JY121.000) area for reversal set-ups.
ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows on the weekly chart reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action since September 2019.
iii. And after considering the long term bullish perspective in this market, it is appropriate that we remain a little more patient for buying opportunity after the exhaustion of the correction phase after which we can look forward to a possible harmonic move (AB = CD pattern) with parameters explained below;
a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is expected to fall within 50 to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B @ JY128.000 area..
iv. So, while we wait for buying opportunity; the counter-trend in the guise of a retracement could be a risk worth taking (see link below for my previous analysis supporting a bearish bias)... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY Multi-timeframe Analysis & Trade IdeaHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
We can see on the COT - Commitment of Traders, which is what Hedge funds and the non commercials so the biggest in the market are doing. Where we can see that CHF's net positions have been decreasing, where we went from having positive 9,678 net positions to down to minus -17,584 we can see that in CHF is weak, but JPY is weaker from minus -55,190 to minus -102,734, where there has been a lot of shorts being added, we can see that JPY is weaker, hence we are looking for a SELL to BUY trade.
We also have a W formation on the Monthly & Weekly where we have 2 sets of trades as seen below. We are looking into a neckline retracement before the move to the upside.
Sell is from the M pattern entry on the daily and the correction Buy on the Monthly & Weekly.
All entries are on the break and retest of the structure.
Trade Signals
SELL 1
Entry: 124.338
Take Profit: 119.850
Stop Loss: 124.808
SELL 2
Entry: 124.338
Take Profit: 121.194
Stop Loss: 124.808
BUY 1 (Weekly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 119.861
Take Profit: 127.331
Stop Loss: 118.564
BUY 2 (Monthly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 121.193
Take Profit: 127.087
Stop Loss: 119.458
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~FX_SHIFTER
CAD/JPY 1HR CHART SELL SET UP POSS HEAD AND SHOULDERS ?Hi everyone this is my trade set up for the CHF/JPY 1hr chart
CHF/JPY looks like it is creating head and shoulders on 1hr chart so i am expecting a pullback to the order block zone and will be looking for a sell trade
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
good luck for this weeks trading
please like and comment both are welcome
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe Swiss have been Bullish in the last 8 weeks and I suspect a temporary correction is evolving with anticipation of a rally continuation in the coming week(s). Therefore, we shall be looking for the completion of the reversal pattern sighted on the Daily chart to take advantage of a counter-trend opportunity this new week.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder)
Observation: i. After hitting a peak @ JY125.500 at the beginning of this month, I observed that buyers lost momentum as this is evident in price action afterwards and this is assumed to be "quick sells" from participants who took advantage of the last Bullish run.
ii. Since the beginning of the month of November 2021, price continued to find lower highs which evolved into a Head and Shoulder look-a-like structure.
iii. Technically, the appearance of a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
iv. Noticing a baseline with three peaks at this juncture in the market, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest requires a little more patient before a decision is made.
v. Below key level @ JY123.500 remains my yardstick for the bearish expectations; In this regard, we shall be awaiting confirmations for entry if the price falls below the support level @ JY123.500 (Key level) to signal Bearish tendency in the coming week(s).
vi. However, it is worthy to state here that the early hours/days of the new week might see price climb to test the Supply level I have identified around @ JY123.500/124.500 to incite further decline.
NB: Considering the fact that it is a Bullish trend from a long-term perspective it is appropriate that we remain conscious with locking profits at appropriate zones to avoid unexpected spikes that could incite rally continuation ... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 15days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY shortthe trend direction is up. now we can enter into a correction which is a greater risk. I have marked the short zone and will open a position when I see a signal from the chart. I have marked the place for the end a short and there I will look for the signal. I will watch the graph and will give signals