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Chfjpysignals

CHF/JPY AnalysisWe can easily expect the creation of a higher high Monthly: We have an impulse and correction respecting precious resistance now turn support. When we have an impulse and correction we can definitely expect another impulse. Weekly: In weekly we have an impulse correction pattern. Also price is respecting .50 fibonacci level. We could expect a creation of a higher high at least to the price of 126.435. Daily: The price is in a consolidation period. The price is most likely creating liquidity before the continuation to the upside. We can definitely expect more continuation according to our multi-time frame analysis.
Long
by Wiiso
2
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith over 60pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), I am expecting that the retracement phase will push into a 50, 61.8 or 78.6% retracement before the trend continuation begins. So, if you are not in the bearish train you still have a minimum of 150pips to catch before the buyers find a good price! Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Retracement | Harmonic move (AB=CD) expectations Observation: i. This is going to be a follow up on my last speculation on this pair as it appears that the retracement of the Impulse leg identified as finally taken course and we are looking at the Key level (JY121.000) area for reversal set-ups. ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows on the weekly chart reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action since September 2019. iii. And after considering the long term bullish perspective in this market, it is appropriate that we remain a little more patient for buying opportunity after the exhaustion of the correction phase after which we can look forward to a possible harmonic move (AB = CD pattern) with parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is expected to fall within 50 to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B @ JY128.000 area.. iv. So, while we wait for buying opportunity; the counter-trend in the guise of a retracement could be a risk worth taking (see link below for my previous analysis supporting a bearish bias)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 10 to 20days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
1
CHFJPY Multi-timeframe Analysis & Trade IdeaHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. We can see on the COT - Commitment of Traders, which is what Hedge funds and the non commercials so the biggest in the market are doing. Where we can see that CHF's net positions have been decreasing, where we went from having positive 9,678 net positions to down to minus -17,584 we can see that in CHF is weak, but JPY is weaker from minus -55,190 to minus -102,734, where there has been a lot of shorts being added, we can see that JPY is weaker, hence we are looking for a SELL to BUY trade. We also have a W formation on the Monthly & Weekly where we have 2 sets of trades as seen below. We are looking into a neckline retracement before the move to the upside. Sell is from the M pattern entry on the daily and the correction Buy on the Monthly & Weekly. All entries are on the break and retest of the structure. Trade Signals SELL 1 Entry: 124.338 Take Profit: 119.850 Stop Loss: 124.808 SELL 2 Entry: 124.338 Take Profit: 121.194 Stop Loss: 124.808 BUY 1 (Weekly W Pattern - Neckline reversal) Entry: 119.861 Take Profit: 127.331 Stop Loss: 118.564 BUY 2 (Monthly W Pattern - Neckline reversal) Entry: 121.193 Take Profit: 127.087 Stop Loss: 119.458 Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~FX_SHIFTER
by fx_shifter
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe Swiss have been Bullish in the last 8 weeks and I suspect a temporary correction is evolving with anticipation of a rally continuation in the coming week(s). Therefore, we shall be looking for the completion of the reversal pattern sighted on the Daily chart to take advantage of a counter-trend opportunity this new week. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder) Observation: i. After hitting a peak @ JY125.500 at the beginning of this month, I observed that buyers lost momentum as this is evident in price action afterwards and this is assumed to be "quick sells" from participants who took advantage of the last Bullish run. ii. Since the beginning of the month of November 2021, price continued to find lower highs which evolved into a Head and Shoulder look-a-like structure. iii. Technically, the appearance of a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. iv. Noticing a baseline with three peaks at this juncture in the market, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest requires a little more patient before a decision is made. v. Below key level @ JY123.500 remains my yardstick for the bearish expectations; In this regard, we shall be awaiting confirmations for entry if the price falls below the support level @ JY123.500 (Key level) to signal Bearish tendency in the coming week(s). vi. However, it is worthy to state here that the early hours/days of the new week might see price climb to test the Supply level I have identified around @ JY123.500/124.500 to incite further decline. NB: Considering the fact that it is a Bullish trend from a long-term perspective it is appropriate that we remain conscious with locking profits at appropriate zones to avoid unexpected spikes that could incite rally continuation ... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 7 to 15days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
3
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsFollowing a 100pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), I see a short term opportunity as the current structure in the market insinuates that a temporary decline in price is imminent after observing a significant Breakdown of JY119.500 in the course of the last week trading session. b]Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Breakdown) Observation: i. If we go as far back as August 2021, we will observe multiple rejections of the JY120.5000/120.000 zone; a feat that suggests a strong zone for the demand of Japanese Yen. ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows in the last couple of weeks reveals the prevailing direction of price action which culminated at a peak of JY120.210 before the downward spiral. iii. The sudden Breakdown of this Bullish trendline during last week trading session reveals that buyers lost momentum. iii. However, It is worthy to note here that we are still within a good demand zone (JY119.000/119.200) for the Swiss Franc. iv. Following the Breakdown of the Key level @JY119.500, the retest of the Key level on Friday signals a change of baton as I anticipate a takeover from the sellers in the coming week. v. In this regard, below Key level remains a comfortable zone to sell the Swiss Franc with an opportunity to add to our existing position if the Demand zone no longer holds the selling pressure. vi. In the meantime, the Bearish bias on this pair remains temporary... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 1 to 4days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe had a 100pips move in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) and with the current structure in the market, it appears we are back on the track of a rally continuation which I projected on the 11th of July 2021 (see speculation in the link below). With the anticipation of the Swiss Producer and Import price later on in the coming week- an event termed as non-high impact, the indecision that gripped the market in the last couple of months could be coming to an end as I look forward to taking a long position on this pair as only if price action remains above my Key level @ Y119.700. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (retracement) Observation: i. Like I stated in my publication on the 11th of July 2021 (see link below); The Swiss Franc lost all it had gained (over 300pips) between 29th of April and 15th of June 2021 and at the time of writing this report price remained effectively "supported" at Y119.000 tagged the Demand zone. ii. Considering the Bullish long-term perspective on this pair (see daily/weekly chart) and the inability of sellers to push below Y119.000 in the last two months, the consolidation phase that started mid-June 2021 has a tendency to do a Breakout in the coming week(s). iii. Multiple rejections of Y119.400 in the latter part of last week trading session is a clue that Bullish momentum is building in the background. iv. In this regard, I look forward to a significant breakout of Trendline which will make a confluence of Key level @ Y119.700 in the near future and a possible transition into a harmonic pattern (AB = CD) with parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (with a possibility of retracing into 78.6%) of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B move @ Y122.000/122.200 area. v. As long as the event unfolds to us as speculated, an opportunity to add a position may present itself to us when price successfully do a breakout/retest of Y120.000... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:7 Potential Duration: 6 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith a break-even position on this pair and considering the appearance of a Double top structure, I suspect that price is going through a correction phase in anticipation of a rally in the coming week hence an opportunity to take a quick trade in the opposite direction of my last speculation arises (see link below for reference purposes). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top) | Trendline Observation: i. Since the 20th of July 2021, the price has continued to find a higher high and appear to have found a roadblock @ Y121.200 following a double rejection of this level. ii. Double Top: The appearance of an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern after the price reached a peak two consecutive times (Y121.200 & Y121.130 respectively) with a moderate decline between the two highs and it is confirmed when the price fell below support level equal to the low between the two prior highs (Neckline @ Y120.500). iii. In view of my last speculation on this pair, I suspect that the double top at this juncture in the market signals a medium-term trend change in price with the anticipation of a rally in the nearest future. iv. In this regard, the neckline remains a Key level for a short-term bearish continuation. v. Please note that the early hours/days of the new week might see price climb to test Y120.750/120.900 area to incite bearish continuation...Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 80 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 5days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe witnessed over 500pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) and it appears we are at another juncture where a possible Trend continuation is looming. The general risk-off tone of the markets is very likely to surge the Swiss franc into a higher high as I anticipate a Breakout/retest of Neckline @ Y120.700 area to clear all doubts off of Bearish tendencies. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. In the view of a long term perspective that projects Bullish expectations, it is pertinent that we notice that price has continued to remain above Y119.000 since it broke above this level on the 29th of April 2021. ii. The Swiss Franc lost all it had gained (over 300pips) between 29th of April and 15th of June 2021 and at the time of writing this report price has come back to settle at the Demand zone where the Bullish run started. iii. The price consolidating between Y119.000 and Y120.700 confirms the indecision that has gripped the market in the last 3 weeks which also calls for patience if we plan to trade this pair in the coming week(s). iv. The appearance of a Double Bottom (an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern) inside the Demand zone expresses a build-up that supports a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading bearish price action as the twice-touched low @ Y119.000 area confirms this zone to be a strong support level (as long as it is not broken). v. Considering the Impulsive Bearish move prior to the consolidation phase; I look forward to a Breakout of Neckline (key level @ Y120.700) for confirmation to hop in a rally. vi. It is also necessary that I state here that the Demand level is exactly at a 61.8% retracement of a Bullish Impulse leg on a higher time frame (see weekly chart). vii. Even as I remain unable to rule out a possible breakdown of Demand zone, Break out of key remains our yardstick for Bullish expectation in the coming week (s)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 7 to 15days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
CHFJPY | Perspective for the week | Follow-UpMy last publication on this pair witnessed Price moving 90 and 100pips consecutively from our Buy windows before the crash (see link below for reference purposes). I remaining Bullish on this pair as we find ourselves in another trading opportunity arising from a simple Reversal set-up on the 4Hour chart. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal Pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. We have been in a long term Bullish perspective since 2019 as the price continues to reject Fr116.000 level in recent times. ii. The decline that started mid-March 2021 appears to have found bottom @ Fr116.000 again as the appearance of a Double Bottom structure signals another reversal from the Demand zone. iii. My Key level @ Fr116.650 which will also serve as the Neckline shall be my yardstick for Buying opportunity in the coming week(s). iv. With a Breakout of Neckline finally happening during the latter part of last week trading session, it is time to make a move to join the rally as we look for buying opportunity above this level... Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 180 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
1