CHFJPY-Bullish Reversal in Sight After Morning Star FormationThe CHF/JPY pair is currently displaying signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking out of a consolidation phase. The pair has shown resilience at key support levels, with candlestick patterns and trend indicators suggesting a probable upside movement.
Key Technical Observations:
Three White Soldiers Pattern:
The Three White Soldiers formation observed on the left side of the chart is a strong bullish reversal signal, often indicating the end of a downtrend and the start of a bullish phase.
This pattern was followed by a significant upward rally, highlighting increased buying interest in CHF/JPY.
Sideways Movement:
After the initial bullish surge, the price entered a prolonged sideways consolidation phase, spanning around 62 bars (approximately 14 days and 9 hours), as highlighted in the chart.
This period of indecision reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with no clear directional bias.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The support level at 174.414 acted as a strong floor, preventing further declines.
Another critical support zone was observed around 174.130, where the price recently bounced back, forming a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern, further affirming the potential for an upward move.
The current resistance zone to watch is 176.958, which acts as the primary target for the bulls.
Morning Star Pattern:
The Morning Star pattern that emerged near the 174.130 support level is a strong bullish signal, indicating the likelihood of a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
This pattern typically shows a shift in market sentiment, where buyers gain control after a period of selling pressure.
Trend Analysis:
The recent downtrend (marked by the red arrow) seems to have concluded as the pair finds support and forms a bullish candlestick reversal pattern.
An upward movement is expected if CHF/JPY can hold above the 174.414 support zone and breach the minor resistance at 175.014.
Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price continues to hold above the 174.414 support, there is a high probability of an uptrend resumption.
A break above the 175.014 resistance could lead to a rally towards the primary target at 176.958.
Conservative traders may wait for a confirmed breakout above 175.014 with a retest before entering long positions.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to sustain above the 174.414 support could lead to further downside, with potential targets around the 172.642 support zone.
Bears may consider entering short positions if the price breaks below 174.130 with high selling volume.
Conclusion:
The CHF/JPY 4-hour chart analysis suggests a potential bullish recovery, driven by strong candlestick patterns and solid support levels. However, traders should keep an eye on the key resistance at 175.014 and 176.958 for a confirmed bullish continuation. As always, employing proper risk management techniques is crucial to navigate potential market volatility.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research before making any trading decisions
