Chfjpytrade
CHFJPY / TECHNICAL CHART - "WEDGE"Pair: CHFJPY
Trade : Long
Time Frame : 1 Hour
Strategy: Wedge
DISCLAIMER:
Please note I am only providing my own trading information for your benefit and insight to my trading techniques,
you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal.
CHF/JPY - 150 Pips OpportunityCHF/JPY is heading for a break of the 50 EMA on the 8H chart.
On the 1H chart, it has broken the 200 ema for the first time since it's bullish run.
As long as the 200 EMA on the 1H chart holds strong as resistence, we can expect CHF/JPY to drop 150 pips+.
*Give it 1-2 more hours for the confirmation of the move.
Trade safe.
Short CHFJPY Longterm Based on Double Top ValidatedWe've had a double-top, validated by the break of the neckline. Price has completed a successful break & retest and we're seeing the rejection now at .382 fib level.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
CHFJPY: basic rules of trading in crossesEach pair in the foreign exchange market is unique. But if we carry out some conditional classification of currency pairs, then we can single out those that are prone to trend movements and those that gravitate toward movement within the the outlined range (flat). The second type includes most of the cross-rates: EURJPY, EURCHF, GBPCHF, CHFJPY, etc. And even among these, gravitating towards flat assets, we can distinguish those that are even more inclined to move in the range. It's about CHFJPY.
This cross consists of quite similar currencies. Similar in the sense that both the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc are classified as safe havens. Or they perform the role of safe-haven assets in the foreign exchange market. Accordingly, in case of uncertainty or panic in financial markets, when other assets begin to move in a directional and one-sided manner, this cross occupies a waiting position and fluctuates in a relatively narrow range. In addition, the ultra-soft monetary policies of the Bank of Switzerland and the Bank of Japan contribute to an increase in the level of "similarity" of these currencies in the eyes of investors and traders.
So, the cross CHFJPY is a very attractive instrument for range trading.
In this regard, we want to pay attention to the current dynamics of the pair. Quotes came close to the level of 112 - the upper limit of the local range. That is, we have an excellent opportunity to open a short position. Sell objectives: bottom of the 110, and optimally - area 109.
As additional arguments in favor of the pair's sales, we can cite quite significant divergences that have formed over the past month: the price is parallel to the X axis, but the indicators (RSI, MACD) clearly point to the “south”. Recall that in the case of discrepancies between the directions of movement of indicators and price charts, as a rule, the "truth" is on the side of the indicators. That is, they indicate the correct direction. In this case, we are talking about depreciation of the CHF relatively JPY.
Summarizing, we can note that in the pair CHFJPY there is an excellent technical signal for sale, which should be not passed by. The risk / profit ratio is better than 1 to 3, which makes the sales of the pair from the current prices very attractive. Our recommendation is the sale of CHFJPY in the area 112 with the targets 110.20 (pessimistic scenario) or 109 (optimistic scenario).
Buy CHFJPY Longterm Based on H1, H4 + D TimeframesThis research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
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CHFJPY longEntires @ 0.382, 0.500, 0.618 retracements of previous swing high (based on risk preference)
Stops @ new low + trendline break (invalidation point)
Targets @ 0.500 retracement of major previous downswing
There is 3 failed tests @ 0.382 before but the newest high put the setup back in to play. Exhaustation signs in the current range should be monitored closely.
Constructive comments are welcome
CHFJPY shorterm positionThe market is trading just below a trend line (the centre of the channel) dating back to the 3rd of the month. Momentum has been holding below the .3899 level. A break of the .3899 on momentum and the centre line of the channel on the market price will open up a long position aiming for the 114.20 area.