CHFJPY Technical AnalysisThis CHF/JPY 1-hour chart represents a bearish setup with a short position already marked, showing a clear entry point, stop loss, and two take-profit levels (Target 1 and Target 2). The trader appears to be capitalizing on a breakdown from a minor consolidation near the 174.9–175.0 zone, which previously acted as support.
Price has decisively broken below that support, and is now trading around 174.63, with rejection wicks confirming selling pressure just beneath the old support turned resistance. The current candle structure suggests a weak recovery attempt, likely a bearish retest of the breakdown zone, forming what resembles a bear flag or descending channel pullback.
The Bollinger Bands are starting to widen after a squeeze, with the price now below both the 20-period moving average and the lower band, reinforcing bearish momentum. The RSI confirms this bias, currently sitting below the midline (around 38), indicating weakening bullish strength and possible oversold territory—but without divergence, which keeps the short bias intact.
Volume supports this move, as selling volume spiked on the initial breakdown, while the following green candles show diminished buying effort. This divergence between price action and volume is typical of a bearish continuation setup.
The first target sits around the 174.00 level — a round number and previous demand area. The second target is deeper, around 172.88, which likely corresponds to a higher time frame demand or order block. If momentum builds below 174.00, especially with sustained volume, the move toward Target 2 is plausible.
Overall, this trade assumes a continuation of bearish momentum, following a failed bullish attempt, with risk managed just above the broken structure. The setup hinges on the breakdown holding, making the 174.9–175.0 zone critical: any strong reclaim above it invalidates the bearish thesis.
