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Chflong

CHFJPY - Continuation Higher?Analysis: Strong upwards trend (bullish confluence factor) Break and retest of previous area of resistance for support (bullish confluence factor) 50% fib retracement touch (bullish confluence factor) Upwards trendline touch (bullish confluence factor) CHF is the 7th strongest major currency whereas the JPY is the 8th strongest major currency (bullish confluence factor) 2K short position increase for the CHF (bearish confluence factor) 27K short position decrease for the JPY (bearish confluence factor) Comments: Whilst some of the fundamentals go against our bullish thesis, we still have the technicals and some fundamentals pointing to bullishness on this pair. With the majority of the confluences we pay attention to pointing to bullishness and with the setup we see, we have enough confidence to have a bullish outlook on this pair. Only time will tell if we're correct but from what we can see currently, we see price continuing this bullish rally that it's in and heading higher. Stay Safe - The JPI Team Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
8
EURCHF - EUR Losing It's Strength?Analysis: As we can see from price action we're in a longer term downwards trend, as shown by the downwards trendline and in recent times we've also been trending to the downside so only shorts look good to us as we want to be going with the trend rather then fighting against it. At this area we've got a major level which has held as both support and resistance in the past and we expect that it will hold again now. To add more confluence to this setup at our area we also have both the 50% fib retracement level and the 61.8% fib retracement level which both could act as levels of resistance as we expect that sellers will be sat at both of these levels. We're also in what's often called the "golden zone" which is the area between the 50% and 61.8% so this is looking like a nice place to enter from. Another confluence we have to enter at this level is the longer term downwards trendline which is clearly visible. Its been respected multiple times in the past and every time this trendline has been touched we've seen a big drop in price so we expect that this will happen again if we get a touch of the trendline, so this goes in our favour. Now fundamentally the EUR is the strongest major currency compared to the CHF which is the 5th strongest major currency. Whilst this doesn't go in our favour this isn't the full picture. As of the most recent report we saw an increase of about the same for long and short positions on the CHF. This isn't a positive but this also isn't a negative, it's just neutral whereas for the EUR we saw a big decrease in long positions and an increase in short positions so this isn't looking good for the EUR and this could be early signs that the EUR is starting to lose some of its strength. This is why currently when comparing the EUR to the CHF fundamentally we actually prefer being bullish on the CHF, giving us our bearish bias for this pair. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
14
CHFJPY - New Highs Being Formed!!!Analysis: As we can see from price action we're in a clear upwards trend, price is forming higher highs and higher lows which confirms the trend direction. We've seen price break above a previous high and now we're retesting that area for support and we expect that it will hold. At this level we've got the 38.2% fib retracement level which we'd expect buyers to be sat at wanting to push price higher. Also at this level we've got an upwards trendline which has been respected recently, showing that it could be respected again. This pair is forming new highs which just shows the strength and bullish pressure we're seeing. Fundamentally the CHF ranks 5th out of all of the major currency pairs where as the JPY ranks 8th being the weakest major currency pair so this goes in our favour which is why we are bullish. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
22
Selling Canadian Bacon.CADCHF broke the above trend line that market have been respecting for the last 2 years & 6 months. When a 2+ year trendline have been broken the market is trying to tell us something, if you look close enough you'll see market dropped 680 pips to break that trendline and is currently consolidating that move. When market decides to break the previous low made (0.71154), i see market dropping towards 0.68, a (-6.06%) decline from markets current position covering -438.6 pips. The CAD have been suffering due to falling oil prices and the CHF is benefiting as a safe haven & aggressive hikes from the SNB. Adjust STOPLOSS to suit your RISK plan.
Short
by xavierNF