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COIN- BUY THE DIP AND FORGET THE CHINA FUDCoin is very undervalued here at these prices, and is setting up for a amazing risk to reward ratio to open a position. If i was just trading this, i would set a stop loss for somewhere below $215 and Set Profit targets at: $250/$290 & $330. I wouldnt be surpised at all if this ran similar to APPS the past month where the stock price has surged from below 450 a share to pushing $75 a share recently. This for me is starting a long-term position, but i may add extra capital and play some shares as a shorter swing trade. Goodluck Traders!
NASDAQ:COINLong
by FinanceGuy204
AUDUSD ShortA Series of Valuation Signals produced by our models on a range of AUD pairs show a potential downside move about to hit AUD/USD. Our analysis shows Chinese Credit Default Swaps are the top driver negatively impacting AUDUSD, which have been uplifted by the recent Evergrande Crisis. Since this macro driven signal emerged on October 2nd, 2x Hidden RSI Divergence Signals have appeared, with the spot value making lower highs while becoming further overbought. Should there be further downside from China, AUDUSD looks to be the way to express it... LOOK UP™
Short
by UnknownUnicorn25542523
Bitcoin Will Drop... Alot. But it Will Rise Above the Ashes.Markets are going to keep going down in fear of Chinese real estate powerhouse Evergrande defaulting; Bitcoin will drop alongside it in the short term. My chart shows we may still rebound after we hit the 38k area. With that being said, if the Chinese housing bubble crashes, which represents 28% of China's entire economy, we will enter a global correction. Combine that with current inflation rates (6% on the year), and if this spending bill passes congress, we will enter a long term bearish outlook; which will shred BTC down to the 20K's in the short term as people liquidate assets in fear of them dropping further. That will be the ultimate buy opportunity, as BTC will serve as an inflation hedge long term, and only augments Bitcoin's use case - despite China working overtime to thwart the coin at every new opportunity it seems. The only chance Evergrande has, is if the Chinese government bails it out. But that will only alleviate things for a short time, a band aid. If that happens, and the markets rebound, im looking to liquidate my stock portfolio and hold cash. The whole world is looking at China right now...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Tokademics
HUYA (1W) - Midterm Plan Hi Traders, Below is my Idea about this very good loking company .... from CHINA !! Compared to competitors (like Twitch) is discountedm same like DOYU. WHich are both owned by TENCENT as one of biggest investors. After some FUD price from chinese government the price is Dummping. In my Opinion, we are approaching end of impulsive wave DWON. you can also see touch with downtrend line + RSI COnvergence + MACD Convergence. Which are very bullish signs for me. ALso fundamentally, this could be very good investment. But lets see. My plan is to take around 75-100% and sell everythin from actual price around 8.40 USD. Trade safe. Enjoy the ride.
NYSE:HUYALong
by Longevity_Contrarian
3
Gaotu Hints at Vocational Education Shift Due to the recent introduction of the 'double reduction' policy by the state to regulate the country's expensive private education industry, Gaotu is looking to adjust its focus. The Chinese edtech firm Gaotu released its Q2 earnings report for the period ended June 30, 2021, on September 23 2021. - Net revenue was CNY 2.23 billion, a 35.3% year-over-year increase. - Net revenues of online K-12 courses increased 51.0% year-over-year to CNY 2.09 billion. - Gross billings were CNY 2.69 billion, a 12.2% year-over-year increase. - Gross billings of online K-12 courses increased 17.2% year-over-year to CNY 2.57 billion. - Paid course enrollments increased 4.1% year-over-year to 1,631 thousand. - Paid course enrollments of online K-12 increased 4.5% year-over-year to 1,563 thousand. - Net loss was CNY 918.8 million, compared with a net income of CNY 18.6 million in the same period of 2020. - Non-GAAP net loss was CNY 763.9 million, compared with non-GAAP net income of CNY 72.7 million in the same period of 2020. - Deferred revenue was CNY 1.97 billion, compared with CNY 2.73 million as of December 31, 2020. Larry Chen Xiangdong, Founder and CEO of Gaotu, said in the financial report that Gaotu has adjusted its organizational structure, transformed its focus to vocational and STEAM education instead and would further work on digital products and vocational education. Shen Nan, CFO of Gaotu, further expressed that in exploring vocational education, the public service examination has maintained a high level. The number of paying users of financial certificates has increased fourfold year-on-year, Shen said, "In the future, we will focus on areas strongly supported by the government and create a multi-faceted interactive platform covering all education categories to achieve lifelong learning."
NYSE:GOTU
by EqualOcean
17EdTech Hits USD 104 Million in Revenue for Q2 2020The Chinese edtech firm’s K-12 tutoring service contributes 98.7% of its revenue 17EdTech released its Q2 earnings report for the period ended June 30, 2021, on September 23. - Net revenue was CNY 671 million, a 147.2% year-over-year increase. - Net revenues of K-12 tutoring service increased 163.9% year-over-year to CNY 662 million. - Paid courses enrollment reached 1.18 million, a 131.1% year-over-year increase. - A 68.3% increase in operating expense year-over-year consists of CNY 307 million in S&D and CNY 230 million in R&D. - Net loss was CNY 218 million, narrowing down by 73% compared to Q1 2021. - Cash and cash equivalent CNY 2.16 billion, an 23% decrease from last fiscal year. - Monthly average users reached 1.65 million, a 24% decrease year-over-year 17EdTech also announced that Co-founder Mr. Xiao Tong resigned from the board of directors due to personal reasons effective from September 23, 2021. Since the uncertainty in the supervision of the firm and the operation circumstances 17EdTech did not release the performance guideline for the next quarter.
NASDAQ:YQ
by EqualOcean
New Oriental Records USD 4.27 billion Revenue in FY 2021AccordinAccording to the latest regulatory developments, it plans to shut down a certain number of learning centers in the fiscal year 2022. The Chinese edtech giant released the audited performance report for the fiscal year 2021 on September 24 Revenue was USD 4.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%. The net profit was USD 230 million, a year-on-year decrease of 35.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 334 million. The revenue of New Orientals plans and services in the fiscal year 2021 was USD 3.93 billion, accounting for 92.1% of the total revenue while the revenue of books and other services was recorded as USD 340 million, accounting for 7.9% of the total revenue. The firm's business is mainly divided into seven categories, including K12 after-school counseling, examination preparation courses, adult language training, kindergartens, primary and secondary schools, textbook development and distribution, online education, overseas study consultation, overseas study tour and other services. - New Oriental's revenue from K12 after-school counseling, test preparation and other courses was USD 3.66 billion, accounting for 85.8% of the total revenue, an increase for three consecutive years. Online education revenue was USD 211 million, accounting for 4.92% of the total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 37.91%. - The revenue of kindergartens, primary and secondary schools, textbook development and distribution, study abroad consultation, overseas study tour and other services was USD 399 million, accounting for 9.33% of the total revenue. - In terms of the number of students, as of the reported period New Oriental has 6.723 million students participating in extracurricular counseling courses for middle school and high school students, and 5.348 million students participating in extracurricular counseling courses for kindergarten and primary school students. There are about 390000 students enrolled in the preparatory courses, including 198000 overseas preparatory courses and 193000 Chinese preparatory courses. About 5000 students enrolled in the adult English course. - In terms of the number of teachers, the financial report shows that as of May 31, 2021, New Oriental has employed 54200 teachers, mainly full-time teachers, followed by contract teachers. In terms of expenses, the total operating costs and expenses of New Oriental during the reporting period were USD 4.159 billion. Among them, the revenue cost was USD 2.037 billion, the sales and marketing expenses were USD 600 million, the general and administrative expenses were USD 1.49 billion, and the impairment loss of intangible assets and goodwill is USD 31.79 million. - In this report, New Oriental believes that the measures taken to comply with the 'double reduction' policy will have a significant adverse impact on the firms' business, financial condition, operating performance and prospects. New Oriental said that it may take further actions on discipline counseling services in the stage of compulsory education in the near future to ensure its legal compliance, including closing some learning centers and layoffs when necessary, so as to maintain continuous operation.
NYSE:EDU
by EqualOcean
Evergrande: A DiscussionConcerns Investors May Have: China is said to contain more of the world's real estate assets than any other country. Therefore one concern is the potential impact a possible default may cause to international property markets. Consumer confidence in real estate investments could reduce and perhaps lower property demand, potentially reducing real estate prices. Should this occur to a great extent, pre-existing property loans could outvalue the revaluation of the real estate asset. This potential major contrast between loans outvaluing the associated properties could collapse some banks internationally. A possible mass sell-off of property globally by investors and banks could burst the property bubble. Another concern is investors could forfeit involvement in companies offering similar services. There ore other confounding factors involving the current pandemic, employment, inflation and among others. Thank you for reading. Please share your thoughts. Do you believe this company could be bailed-out or would other companies in a similar position expect similar treatment? ---- Disclaimer: This does not constitute any form of advice including legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Always seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser. Information presented is for entertainment purposes only.
HKEX:3333
by calculations
Bitcoin: Two Main Scenarios here for the next couple of weeks.Scenario A: Considering BTC is failing to get above the 0.618 fibonacci level located around 43700-43900 this may be a early warning sign that cheaper prices are coming, but there is still hope: In the top image the 0.618 is claimed as support quickly taking us to the next resistance area above, if further resistances were claimed this bearish idea would obviously be invalidated. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario B: In the below image (Scenario B) the 0.618 we fail to claim as support and this adds further panic into the market with the China Banning Bitcoin Transaction news, and Evergrande Debt Crisis leading to a deep market sell off, the most logical area being the 0.382 fibonacci at 38300 or the Previous Strong Support Area at 29200 for Bitcoins next key area of reversal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Evergrande Debt Crisis: edition.cnn.com China Widens Ban on Crypto Transactions: www.bloomberg.com
FTX:BTCUSD
by Worth_The_Ri5k
14
China Bans Crypto - Fact or FUDHello Traders! We got something interesting for you! Chinese authorities ordered a fresh crackdown on crypto mining and trading Friday, according to a statement posted on the People’s Bank of China site.The statement, signed by China’s top financial and cyberspace regulators, gives a comprehensive list of crypto activities that are forbidden, and orders local governments to crack down on them. China’s State Council issued a statement in May ordering a crackdown on crypto mining and trading. The statement sent dozens of crypto companies abroad.The regulators banned banks and other financial institutions from offering services related to crypto and called for increased censorship of information related to crypto.The regulators also want to establish a mechanism for early warning and stopping “hype” in crypto trading and mining activities. Honestly speaking, the intentions of the Chinese government are not clear to me. However, one thing is for sure - this situation will have an extremely negative impact on the cryptocurrency market and may lead to the start of a bear run. We will keep our finger on the pulse and keep you updated on all the latest news from the world of cryptocurrency. Honestly speaking, the intentions of the Chinese government are not clear to me. However, one thing is for sure - this situation will have an extremely negative impact on the cryptocurrency market and may lead to the start of a bear run. We will keep our finger on the pulse and keep you updated on all the latest news from the world of cryptocurrency. Nevertheless, let’s have a look at the chart. As you can see the price I lying on the Support 1. If it’ll close bellow it, the continuation of fell if very probable. The next level is Support 2. It’s kinda difficult look in future deeper:). If the scenario works, we will update out analysis. But, it seems to me that today’s candle is able to close above the support 1. In this case, it may retrace rapidly. Well guys, I don’t want such news get you into trouble, it’s the big game that’s named «Market». The rules are trivial - there are no rules or the are always be rewritten. Try to make deal even in such tough periods and we’ll help you with it.
by Skyrexio
4
🔥 China Banning Crypto FUD: Why You Shouldn't WorryAs of today, the Chinese central bank has announced that all crypto transactions are deemed illegal. Investors who have been in the crypto space for a while know that once in a while China announces that they are banning crypto (again). This FUD comes in once in a while and often sends the market down, but fails to make a lasting impact on the market. A quick google search has netted me a decent amount of times that China has banned crypto, see the chart. I'm sure that if you dig deeper you'll find many more occasions of China "banning" crypto. Feel free to share them below. What you can deduce from this graph and the corresponding news is that, in the long-term, China banning crypto has had no significant impact on the markets. As for today, it seems that the market is already rallying higher with many coins close to their opening prices of today. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
20
Bitcoin in Freefall Towards the Closest Psychological SupportBitcoin's tumble was bolstered today following the decision of China's central bank to declare all cryptocurrency activities illegal. The price action is currently testing the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 41764.04. A potential pullback could ensue to the 38.2 per cent Fibonacci, which is about to be crossed by the 50-day MA (in green) and the 100-day MA (in blue). Conversely, a decisive breakdown below the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci would likely be followed by a dropdown to the psychologically significant support level at 40000.00.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Trendsharks
1
$BABA for those still interested in Chinese stockwhy? Stay away! Yes it is cheap, yes it looks like capitulation, but why get yourself into the headache? China won't let any business get too big and gain power anyway. Keep that in mind. I keep posting these setups but if I took the trade I got out quickly. Catching a knife is dangerous. But if you're still that guy who is convinced this is the opportunity of a lifetime, this combo 13 might be your trigger. Although I would say at this point, when price is this low, wait for a higher low or higher high to be safe.
NYSE:BABA
by kidze
The Evergrande Crisis ExplainedIn this post, I'll be providing an easy yet comprehensive explanation on the Evergrande crisis, and why it's important for us to understand the situation. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. What is Evergrande? - Evergrande is China’s second largest property developer, founded in 1996. - To understand the size of this company, here are some numbers: - Evergrande is running more than 1300 projects in over 280 cities. - They’ve had success with real estate, so they also expanded horizontally, acquiring an electric vehicle company as well as Guangzhou F.C. - They own a lot of other smaller companies, but their main focus and main business is in the field of real estate. The Problem with Evergrande - The main problem with Evergrande is its liabilities. - The only thing you need to understand is that the company is in a lot of debt - specifically, $310 Billion. - The company is also going through hard times with insolvency issues, and underperformance in terms of revenue. - When the Chinese government put a list of companies that could pose a threat to the market and lead to its collapse, Evergrande was also on the list - It was also recently revealed they begged the government for help in their backdoor listing plan as well. Evergrande's Stock and Bond Prices - Overall, Evergrande's stock fell close to 90% from its all time high levels, and over 80% since the beginning of this year - The company’s dollar bond’s price has also dropped over 70%. - What’s also concerning is how the bonds of Evergrande’s real estate counterparts are also dropping sharply, and signaling a potential crash. Evergrande's Debt - Out of Evergrande’s $310B debt, about $85B comes from bonds and loans from banks. - These are the liabilities for which Evergrande actually pays interest on. - $67B comes from shadow banking systems; money from shady sources. - The rest of the $158B is actually the most important part. This is the amount of accounts payable. - When Evergrande is does business and they’re developing real estate, they need to buy the materials and resources needed. - But when they bought whatever they needed from their suppliers, they didn’t pay in cash. - It all went down as accounts payable, which basically means that they owe the suppliers money. The Anatomy of a Market Crash - Financial institutions and suppliers rely heavily on Evergrande, and a lot of companies could go bankrupt if they’re not paid. - This is essentially a domino effect of the entire Chinese market, with Evergrande at the center of it. - Not only that, we also need to think of Evergrande’s employees. - The company has over 123,000 employees alone, and that doesn’t include the number of construction workers who are hired for each of their projects. China's Real Estate Market Situation - China's real estate market is the biggest in the world - The market also accounts for 10% of China's entire economy. - Taking this into consideration, a complete collapse would cause devastating repercussions to not only the Chinese economy, but also the stability of the CCP, and the global economy as well. Why the Chinese Government is Capable of Bailing Evergrande Out - If we take a look at the numbers, it could also be said that they might get a government bailout. - While their liability amounts to $310B, the interest they actually need to pay imminently, amounts to $669m - This is also still a lot of money, but much more manageable than $310B. - So while Evergrande is having a hard time with insolvency, if the government were to help out just a little bit, they might just be able to get back on their feet. - And with investors gathering up in front of the Evergrande building and the probability of a political risk increasing, $669m might be a small sacrifice for the stability of the regime. China's Indirect Intervention - The Global Times, a media that directly reflects the stance, position, and opinion of the Chinese government, said that Evergrande was "not too big to fail". - But, China’s central bank injected $14B in cash in Sep. 17, and another $15B today through Open Market Operations (OMO). - And since the liquidity they provided was the most they’ve done in the past 8 months, it’s safe to say that they had Evergrande in mind Expert Opinion on the Matter - Michael Burry, founder of Scion Capital LLC, shared a tweet by @INArteCarloDoss, who states some important points. - The 3 redlines, which are the debt related restrictions, began last year. - China has been lifting the real estate market by leveraging a lot of debt, and the government wants to deleverage. - It’s almost certain that Evergrande’s bankruptcy is a matter of time, but the question is how severely other companies and financial institutions will be affected. - Of course the Chinese government will provide liquidity in the market, but won’t directly intervene and solve the problem for Evergrande. - Overall, it could be said that Michael Burry agrees with this thread that says Evergrande’s bankruptcy is inevitable, and that the Chinese government will indirectly intervene, if it does decide to intervene at all. - So a crisis in some form will certainly take place, it’s a matter of the degree to which it takes place. - On the other hand, we have @BaldingsWorld - Christopher Balding is a professor at Peking University - His logic is that we won’t see a financial crisis because we’re applying the logic of the free market to a country’s market that is actually completely under control of its government. - So this professor believes that a bailout for Evergrande is inevitable. How to Prepare for a Potential Crash - Since nothing is set in stone yet, the best we can do as investors is to keep my eyes open and look at how the Chinese government might directly or indirectly solve the issue. - Depending on how the situation deteriorates, increasing one's cash holdings might be prudent in case the US stock market also is affected. - This is especially important as the S&P500 index is currently testing the 60 Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily. (chart below) Conclusion Evergrande's debt situation might have greater implications than we can anticipate. Regardless of whether the Chinese government intervenes or not, and whether it does in an indirect or direct manner, there will be repercussions to the Chinese economy. As such, it's important to keep an eye on how the situation may unfold and affect the US stock market as well. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
HKEX:3333
by Michael_Wang_Official
121