NIO 9.50 THEN 10 THEN 11 LONG Trading Idea for NIO Inc. (NIO):
Long Position:
Key Points:
Electric Vehicle (EV) Growth: NIO is a key player in the electric vehicle market, and the global shift towards electric transportation provides a favorable backdrop for the company. Growing awareness of sustainability and government incentives can drive increased demand for NIO's electric vehicles.
Market Expansion: NIO's expansion beyond the Chinese market and its efforts to enter international markets, particularly in Europe, could open up new revenue streams. Positive developments in international expansion plans may boost investor confidence.
Innovative Technology: NIO's focus on innovation, including battery technology and autonomous driving features, positions the company competitively in the EV space. Positive advancements in technology may attract investors seeking exposure to cutting-edge developments.
Battery-as-a-Service (BaaS) Model: NIO's unique Battery-as-a-Service model, allowing customers to purchase electric vehicles without the battery, could appeal to cost-conscious consumers and potentially expand NIO's market share.
China
The Dragon Awakening: China's Stock Market Set for GrowthThe Chinese stock market has been volatile in recent years, but there are signs that it is on the verge of a major rebound. The government is implementing a number of reforms that are aimed at boosting economic growth and investor confidence. These reforms include tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and measures to support small and medium-sized businesses.
As a result of these reforms, there is a growing sense that China's stock market is undervalued. This is reflected in the fact that the MSCI China Index, which tracks the performance of Chinese stocks, is currently trading at a discount to the MSCI World Index, which tracks the performance of stocks in developed markets.
Investors who are looking for long-term growth opportunities should consider investing in Chinese stocks. The country has a large and growing economy, and its stock market is poised for a major rebound.
Here are some of the reasons why China's stock market is set for growth:
The Chinese economy is growing at a rapid pace. The Chinese economy is expected to grow by 7.8% in 2023, making it one of the fastest-growing economies in the world.
The Chinese government is committed to supporting the stock market. The government has implemented a number of reforms that are aimed at improving the environment for investors. These reforms include measures to increase transparency and protect investors from fraud.
The Chinese consumer is growing in affluence. The Chinese consumer class is growing rapidly, and this is creating strong demand for goods and services. This is a positive sign for the Chinese economy and its stock market.
Investors who are considering investing in Chinese stocks should carefully research their investment options and consult with a financial advisor.
CHINA50 interesting LONG set upI don't usually trade CHINA50, when it comes to China I prefer HK50, but this is an interesting set up/amazing buying opportunity:
- RSI is very low - 29 on daily chart, RSI was 24 few days ago.
- 11000-11100 is a strong support level. Even in March 2020 the index found support at 11500
- I'm aware of economic situation, but I still believe that recession will hit US and European market really bad in 2024/2025, but this will be opportunity for China to grow in strength
- bearish move might be not over yet but once the trend reverses, I believe it can easily start movement towards 15000-16000 (in next 12 months or so)
*This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky. Always do your own analysis before entering the market.*
Shanghai Composite SHCOMP ~ Bearish H&S Formation (Dec 2023)SSE:000001 chart mapping/analysis.
Bearish H&S formation on weekly chart.
Price action already broken below multi-decade trend-line.
Pattern follows through = -29% measured move down to 78.6% Fib / retrace to 2005 breakout / gap fill (weekly) confluence zone (green box).
A few trends in China's economyToday, we would like to briefly discuss a few underlying trends in China's economy, touching on the subject of unemployment, demographics, and deflation.
Youth unemployment
While the unemployment situation has improved in 2023, youth unemployment (for those aged between 16 and 24) has been a longtime issue in China. Indeed, it has steadily risen since 2018 (back then, it stood at around 10%), with government programs promoting a higher level of education contributing to the problem. As a matter of fact, this year, in June, the youth unemployment rate hit a staggering 21.3%, prompting the Chinese government to stop reporting the number.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of China’s unemployment rate.
Demographics and fertility
Another big issue in China is the country’s aging population and declining fertility among women. The median age has risen from 28.9 years in 2000 to 34.1 years in 2010 and 37.4 years in 2020. On the other hand, the average number of births per woman stood at 1.6 in 2000; in 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2017, the average rose to 1.8. But since 2018, the rate has been rapidly collapsing. In 2021, the number stood at 1.2, representing approximately 33% decline since 2018.
China’s deflation
As much of the Western world grapples with inflation, China has the opposite problem. For November 2023, the country recorded -0.5% deflation compared to the previous year. With that said, there were three periods when China experienced deflation (annually) since the 1990s. The first period occurred between 1998 and 1999, when the annual inflation rate was -0.8% and -1.4%. The second instance took place in 2002, and the third in 2007. For the eleven months of 2023, the inflation rate averages about 0.3%, the lowest figure since 2009.
Housing prices
Amid the ongoing property crisis in China, house prices have been sliding down this year. Actually, there were only two prints when the year-over-year change was not negative, particularly in June 2023 (coming in at 0.1%) and July 2023 (coming in at 0%).
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
002575 (Guangdong) is forming a pattern, to target 10.7Weekly chart,
Stock 002575 (Guangdong) is trading inside a triangle, and after crossing the resistance line (BLUE), the target will be 10.70
Resistance levels 6.94 , 8.25 , 9.15 to be monitored.
Both technical indicators MACD and RSI are positive
Top Beaten-Down Chinese Stocks to Buy Right Now
Reasons to buy
Alibaba Group Holding Limited ( NYSE:BABA ) : Leader in the Chinese e-commerce market, strong track record of innovation and growth.
JD.com, Inc. ( NASDAQ:JD ) : Well-established and profitable company with a strong market position, benefiting from the growth of the Chinese e-commerce market
Baidu, Inc.( NASDAQ:BIDU ) : Dominant player in the Chinese search market, strong track record of innovation, expanding into new markets, such as cloud computing and artificial intelligence
BZUN X, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BZUN ) : Rapidly growing company with a strong market position, benefiting from the growth of the Chinese fintech market
I would recommend allocating your funds as follows:
BABA: 40%
JD: 30%
BIDU: 20%
BZUN: 10%
This Chinese portfolio is designed to provide you with exposure to the Chinese stock market while also diversifying your risk. BABA is the largest company in the Chinese e-commerce market and has a strong track record of innovation and growth. JD is another well-established e-commerce company with a strong market position. BIDU is the leading search engine in China and is also expanding into new markets, such as cloud computing and artificial intelligence. BZUN is a rapidly growing fintech company with a strong market position.
I believe that this portfolio is a good investment for the long term. The Chinese economy is growing rapidly and is expected to continue to grow in the years to come. This growth is being driven by a number of factors, including an expanding middle class, rising urbanization, and increasing consumer spending. As the Chinese economy grows, so too will the Chinese stock market.
I recommend you should consider your own individual circumstances and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
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China50 forming a bottom?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 11165 level.
We look to Buy at 11150 (stop at 11050)
Our profit targets will be 11400 and 11450
Resistance: 11420 / 11690 / 11880
Support: 10910 / 10550 / 10360
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Anta Sports: Turning Point Reached 🛑The bears dominated Anta Sports' price action last week, causing further sell-offs. Given this development, we do not consider the magenta wave (x) to be over yet and give it some room to fall. However, the price should not fall too much further and especially not below the support level of HK$67.85. Above this level, the low should be reached and the bullish move in the form of the magenta-colored wave (y) should resume. On the other hand, a break below this level would trigger our alternative scenario, to which we assign a fairly high probability of 44%, which would entail a direct completion of the green wave (2).
$CNINTR - Interest Rates Cut- The People’s Bank of China on Tuesday trimmed its one-year loan prime rate (LPR) by 10 basis points from 3.65% to 3.55%, and reduced the five-year rate by the same margin to 4.2%. The cuts follow reductions in other interest rates last week.
The LPR sets the interest that commercial banks charge their best clients, and serves as the benchmark for household and corporate lending. The one-year rate affects most new and outstanding loans, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of longer term loans, such as mortgages.
This is the first time the PBOC has cut both LPR rates since August 2022, when renewed Covid lockdowns and a deepening property downturn were pummeling the economy.
Australian dollar on a roller-coaster, US NFP loomsThe Australian dollar is trading quietly on Friday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6611, up 0.14%.
It has been a roller-coaster week for the Australian dollar. After declining 1.88% early in the week, the Aussie rebounded on Thursday and gained 0.80%. Today's US nonfarm payrolls report could result in further volatility from the Australian dollar in today's North American session.
All eyes are on the US nonfarm payroll release later today. After falling sharply in October to 150,000 from a revised 297,000, nonfarm payrolls are expected to rebound to 180,000. If nonfarm payrolls are weaker than expected, speculation of a Fed rate cut will rise, while a hot report would undermine market confidence that a rate hike isn't too far away.
Outside the headline data, average hourly earnings will be closely watched, as wage growth is a key driver of inflation. The consensus estimate for average hourly earnings in November stands at 0.3% m/m, compared to 0.2% in October. A higher-than-expected reading could generate a market reaction and give the US dollar a lift.
Australia's largest trading partner is China and the slowdown in the world's second-largest economy will likely dampen Australia's economy. China's economic woes were reflected in this week's Australian GDP, which posted a weak 0.2% gain for the third quarter, compared to the 0.4% gain in Q2. Notably, exports dropped for the first time since Q1 2022.
China's economic slowdown has resulted in disinflationary pressures. Chinese CPI decreased 0.1% in October and another 0.1% decline is expected in the November release on Saturday. If China's economy continues to weaken, demand for Australian exports could fall even further and that could weigh on the Australian dollar.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6603. Above, there is resistance at 0.6639
0.6530 and 0.6494 are providing support
Petrochina: Please reverse! 🔄Last week, the PetroChina share price continued its downward trend and has now reached the level at which it should form the low of the blue wave (iv) in our primary scenario. Consequently, it should soon stabilize and stop its downward movement. With the low in its pocket, a further rise is then on the cards to complete the turquoise wave 4. Only when this overarching movement is completed should stronger declines follow. However, there is also an alternative scenario with a fairly high probability of 40% that would come into effect if the sell-off continues into next week. In this case, the high of the turquoise wave alt.4 would already be in place and the price would be in the subsequent downtrend.
Another cycle another dollar to be madeHi guys its been a while since I've posted last
the cycle is continuing again as predicted
volume slowly picking up
etf bitcoin news is very promising
there is a new bullish channel emerging on the shorter period of the next 6 months
with a min growth of up to 65k
and max growth of up to 140k
after the spike it'll drop back down and slowly fill back to 45k as support while maintaining
the long term bullish channel from 2017
#EEM Emerging markets poised for a breakup ?While not a perfect construction this does look like an inverse Head and Shoulders. A break above the neckline resistance at 39.85 should see this poised to move to 42.00 and then the target of 43.30 which is almost 9% higher. Note price has been consolidating above the 200dma now for 13 days which is quite significant and i think the probability favour an upside breakout.
SUN/USDT 1D. Main trend. Secondary. Local. All main details.Coin Sun. This is an altcoin from the TRX ecosystem. Other coins in this ecosystem are: NFT, JST, BTTC(BTT), TRX.
On the backstage of XRP rise(China money partly) TRX class of assets also look very interesting.
In this idea i'll share my view on SUN from TRX group of assets.
From the beginning of the trading history coin has been dumping, which is basic for almost every altcoin.
After reaching certain prices trend reversed and broke the main downtrend.
After that the retest followed and that was also the moment of the beginning of big diamond forming.
I remind you that diamond is a reversal of the trend pattern, also consider the timeframe it's forming on(the bigger the TF the stronger the formation).
This diamond is forming already for something about 400 days.
Local and midterm trends are shown on the chart. Also consider the volume spring shown, which means that there's a potential for big impulse soon.
Local targets and zones are shown on the chart.
Capitalization of this coin is 55m$ as for the moment of writing. So there's quite a potential of 10x on the high of the trend. This will be 666 zone...
Leveraging the AUDUSD Strength Amidst USD WeaknessThere has been an opportunity that has emerged due to the recent fluctuations in currency values and the growing demand for copper exports to China.
As you may be aware, the USD has been experiencing a period of weakness, while the AUD has shown signs of strength. This presents an advantageous situation, as we can leverage the stronger Australian dollar against the weaker US dollar.
In light of this, I propose that we explore the possibility of exporting copper to China. With the AUDUSD exchange rate in our favor, we can maximize our profits by capitalizing on China's increasing demand for copper.
China, being one of the largest consumers of copper worldwide, offers a lucrative market for our manufacturing. By exporting copper to China, there is a growing demand and take advantage of the current exchange rate of AUDUSD.
$LTHM STOCK - Time for Growth?📈 LIVENT Lithium Analysis - CHINA Destocking / Supply shocks & Merger Speculations
Welcome to Helios Capital Investment! In today's video, we dive deep into the world of lithium and dissect the financial landscape of Livent Corporation (Ticker Symbol: LTHM), a key player in lithium extraction and refining.
🌐 Market Dynamics:
With the lithium market being a crucial player in the global shift towards electric vehicles and renewable energy, Livent has been navigating through turbulent waters. Our analysis explores the impact of China's destocking efforts on lithium prices and how Livent is positioned to weather this storm.
💼 Merger Imminent?
Rumors are swirling about a potential merger, and we break down the implications for Livent and its investors. What could this mean for the company's strategic positioning and market share?
📊 Financial Performance:
Delving into Livent's financials, we examine revenue trends, costs, and the company's ability to maintain a competitive edge in the lithium sector. How has Livent performed in comparison to industry benchmarks, and what does this mean for its future?
📉📈 Stock Analysis:
We take a close look at Livent's stock performance, assessing key indicators and considering factors such as valuation and growth potential. Is now the right time to invest, or are there warning signs that investors should be aware of?
🤔 Key Questions Addressed:
How is Livent positioned in the face of China's destocking efforts?
What are the potential outcomes and impacts of a rumored merger?
Can Livent maintain its competitive edge in the lithium market?
👍 If you find this analysis valuable, don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more in-depth financial content! Let's navigate the markets together.
$NVDA downside gap-fill potential!NASDAQ:NVDA ,1D: Price dipped just below the 50% line and popped back up over the line after coming off the local lows at 403. Given the 'uncertainty' around the level and duration of a 'higher for longer' rate environment along with the market's general preference for 'clarity' over 'uncertainty', it would not be unreasonable to expect the 'increased volatility' that comes with 'uncertainty' until some level of 'clarity' can be established around the duration of the current 'higher rate environment'.
Further adding to the potential for 'market uncertainty' and 'lack of clarity' are the tenuous and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and China around access to semi-conductor IP. NASDAQ:NVDA utilizes the cost benefits provided to its model from the 'cost efficiency' of both Chinese and greater Asia's manufacturing and production capacities. Were trade relations around semi-conductor IP between China and the U.S. to become 'less amenable', the deterioration of that relationship could adversely impact NASDAQ:NVDA 's margins.
If NASDAQ:NVDA had to re-establish production/manufacturing supply chain relationships elsewhere this could inject 'uncertainty' into the price discovery process. These are 'unknown unknowns' at this point and hard to factor into analysis, but at a minimum, they would increase the potential for 'market uncertainty' and the subsequent 'lack of clarity', which often leads to 'price volatility' until some level of 'certainty' could be re-established.
Looking at our 1 day RSI against price I am seeing a 'bearish divergence' whereby price makes 'higher-highs' and 'higher-lows' while the RSI prints 'lower-highs' and 'lower-lows'. This can be taken as a 'leveling off' of momentum that often precedes a change in price direction or, at a minimum, a significant pull back within a constructive trend. (see light violet curves)
I would expect that a downside 'gap fill' could be a 'necessary evil' at some point in time across the next 6 weeks or so, and before further gains to the upside could probabilistically be portended from a structural standpoint. The bottom of the gap fill is roughly in confluence with the YTD VWAP (peach).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALL STOCKS CAN GO TO ZERO.
aaai #BABA needs to hold here - results 16thAlibaba still making higher swing lows on the daily. We recently broke out this falling wedge but have come back to retest the breakout. Important level to hold if the bulls want further upside. Results on 16th November could be a catalyst for a larger move