Xiamen Changelight Soars 108% in Just 16 Days!Xiamen Changelight Analysis:
Xiamen Changelight has seen a phenomenal rally, achieving a stunning 108% gain over the past 16 days. The recent bullish momentum has allowed the stock to achieve all target levels, with each level surpassed in quick succession.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: $8.11
Stop Loss: $7.86
Target Levels:
TP 1: $8.41
TP 2: $8.90
TP 3: $9.38
TP 4: $9.69
Technical Indicators:
The stock has trended strongly above the Risological dotted trend line, showing a clear uptrend and sustained buying pressure. The price action’s alignment with this trend suggests confidence among buyers and the potential for continuation if volume remains supportive.
Market Sentiment:
The sharp rise in share price reflects strong interest in Xiamen Changelight, potentially driven by fundamental catalysts or broader market trends in its industry. With robust volume supporting the upward movement, the momentum appears sustainable, although some consolidation might occur after such a large gain.
Outlook:
With all targets reached, traders should monitor for any pullback or consolidation phase as new support levels are established. The strong trend could attract further interest, especially if broader sentiment remains positive. Keep an eye on volume and price stability to assess if another leg up is likely in the coming sessions.
Chinaequities
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Quick Analyses of China EquitiesBeen such a fan, waiting for so long, but I think the technical outlook for China Equities is not looking too good.
Three fails
Breakdown of the TDST puts it in Bearish primary trend mode.
MACD is bearish
VolDiv shows some accumulation
Some downside, highly probable.
Target at 66/67
then see how...
for those who love China equites!
China A50 index to fall below the 500-week moving average?China A50 index ( CN50 ), a measure of the Chinese onshore market that keeps track of 50 of the biggest Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges, broke a major upward trend that had been in place since 2016.
The technical picture sees the A50 index currently dominated by a descending channel pattern, having fallen 42% from its peak in February 2021, with prices now approaching a remarkable 500-week moving average.
Given the slowdown in the Chinese economy caused by the government's Zero covid policy, the downward trend in Chinese stocks has been ongoing for a while. However, the most recent sell-off has been triggered by a crumbling confidence among foreign investors as a result of Xi Jinping's reelection as president for a third term and a leadership reshuffle within the Politburo Standing Committee during the 20th National Congress.
The A50 index may not have reached its bottom yet, if the Zero-Covid policy and growing doubts about the new policymakers' plans for the country's economic future continue to dampen Chinese growth prospects. Even though the weekly RSI is beginning to exhibit extremely oversold conditions, which is extremely unusual for this market and hasn't happened since August 2011, bears still have total control over the index. But, given the wild price swings of the past few days, some technical and short-term price bounces could still happen.
The psychological 11,000 point level, which is down 7% from here, and the 10,200 point level, which was the low of January 2019 (down 14% from here), provide the next significant supports. The A50 will have dropped 50% from its peak if it reaches levels from January 2019, which might encourage some dip buying there.
China ETF GXC - Bounce off support?It has been a really long time since GXC was updated. Previously, an imminent breakout was expected, but it failed, in an epic fashion, to find itself the bottom support of the triangle.
Has it bottomed out and ready for a bounce?
Early game, but just want to put in the observation that it might bounce for the next attempt to breakout of the triangle. The weeks ahead will be clear that up...
Conversely, a break down of the triangle would be bearish!
Watch this space... IMHO, worth to watch China equities.
Chine ETF GXC about to break out...For some time, GXC had been flagged as potential for upside... massive upside. Within a triangle, it had already gained over 10% since it was flagged.
This week, it appears to be breaking out... out of the triangle that it has been coiling in.
Obvious that the weekly and daily chart technical indicators are bullish, or crossing over bullishly. Candlesticks are pointing that too. All systems go here.
Target 20% upside... 112 in early to mid-August 2022.
China ETF GXC pre-launch testPreviously been highlighting China, particularly as Chian equites have been misunderstood, maligned, and assumed to have downside due to their tough COVID-19 strategies.
As expected, GXC launched with a gap up. However, this gap up did not translate further into a gap and run, but instead stalled. In view of the overall technical picture, it appears may have formed the last triangle pivot point.
Hence, the triangle has been adjusted accordingly, from previous.
The weekly chart has nice technicals with RPM and MACD crossing over upside. Would have preferred a more bullish candlestick for the week, but that did not happen.
The daily chart has a gap and stall, and this is likely to pan out with a retracement close and reopen the previous gap. Possibly to reconnect with the MA band, and then the real launch with a triangle breakout at the end of June. Path sketched out there.
Bullish but need some more baking time...
China ETF GXC to launchAs previously described, yes, the GXC ETF appears to have found its footing to launch.
The weekly chart has clocked a higher low, and this week's candlestick is a nice bullish one with a long-ish trailing tail at the bottom, which is a bullish indication.
The daily chart shows the week closing at a gap resistance, and above the MA band. Technical indicators are also bullish.
Appears ripe for a bullish relaunch!
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On a side note, and non-chart related, I just liek to mention something now, that should help in chart reading for anyone.
You see, many have told me about China, its severe lockdown, its impact on the economy, and such. I get all that, and I do agree to some extent. These fundamental and geopolitical aspects do form a part of my analyses as well; or at least I look for alignment.
This is after all, part of critical analysis over technical analysis... the art in the science.
Another aspect I would also like to point out is that biases can be very entrenched and catch us unaware. Even to me it happens, despite being aware about it. You see, I opine that China knows something about the CoV2, and their economy. 5000 years of histroy did not go to waste. IF at all, China learns much more from their rich history than any other IMHO. Bearing this in mind, I find myself asking what is it that they know that I do not yet know. While not getting the answers with clarity, it allows me to think out of the box. And particularly, deviate from Western media and thinking that China this and China that... I do not disagree with their assessment, or reporting, but I find that a large degree of biases are infused in the analytics. Hence I form my own, and dare to deviate where required.
Again, adjustments are made, when and where necessary. So... do think about these points when we assess another country or economy, or commodity for that matter. In the longer foreseeable future, I really see China doing better than most of the (western) world.
(possibly add Russia into that, but it is way too early and another story for another time)
Stay safe and well!
China ETF GXC struggles to break outAfter an intra-week V shape recovery, with a strong weekly candle, the GXC is now range bound (as seen in the daily chart) attempting to breakout of the range. The Daily technicals are bullish and supportive, as the weekly technicals are somewhat coiling.
We might have to wait a bit more on this one... Needs to break clean of 92.50.
NTES Price TargetPrice target for NTES is $84.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
GXC Chinese New Year down biased consolidationAs expected previously, GXC (China equities) #epicfail, GXC went down and continues to do so for yet another week probably. You can see that the SHCOMP (Shanghai Exchange) pushed further with people closing positions over the rather long holiday.
Waiting for the Buy Zone soon...
GXC #epicfailOn 6 Jan, I posted:
"GXC is not done... not yet.
Another 8-10% downside perhaps."
Thereafter, GXC surprised me with a run up and a higher low, breaking above the daily 55EMA twice. Only to fail the 55EMA on Friday, and following through today (Monday) with a deep gap down -3% at mid-day.
This is very bearish, and is likely to have a lwoer low with a spike down into or near to the Buy Zone. The Chinese Lunar New Year happens Next week Tuesday, and it really looks like about 2 more weeks of downdraft.
The long range analysis appears to hint of a reversal cycle about to restart... and could not be better than after the Chinese Lunar New Year celebrations. Meanwhile, waiting for that lower low...
GXC Long Range CycleJust doing some research and then realized that the GXC (China ETF) has a 10 year historical cycle pattern. In this pattern, it appears to be at a bottoming out period.
Just sharing an observation from the technical cycle aspects. Other qualifiers suggest a similar indication (not discussed herein).
What you also can observe is that there is a peak about 2/3 into the cycle... which projects about end 2023 peak from the current projected bottom.
GXC still BEarishWeekly GXC chart looks bearish with technicals and candlestick ending with a sandwich like stack with a lower low and lower close.
The downside support target appears to be quite a way off, about 10% down from current.
Daily chart (right) is at a previously marked Buy Zone, but MACD is pushing down more. Price now has a gap resistance to close. Let's see if it can work that out. Meanwhile, very obvious that a lower low is indicating more momentum to downside than not.
I like GXC... but seems that it is not yet.
GXC: China Equities going to break out...The GXC Weekly chart is about ready to break out and take off... just did a best case projection.
This is on the back that the Evergrande saga endgame is delayed, which I think would likely be so... into 2022.
Watch the next two weeks or so, needs to break out of trend line/channel and clear the gap resistance area.
Hang Seng Set for Renewed UptrendUS China trade war resolution more forcefully impacts Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component, but Hang Seng should also see some gains. Moreover, we have seen a bit more progress in the negotiations apparently with tech transfers, tech war. Let's see if it pans out though. For more, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
Overall Long on ShenzhenShort-term short, but overall I'm still positive on this index. That said, this can turn ugly very, very, very quickly as the Shenzhen is the most speculative index in Asia for sure, maybe even the world. Definitely the highest volatility. So, if we do see a short-term pullback, this could quickly be followed by 5 percent gains on the day that the US and China sign a trade war deal which is expected to happen sometime in April. Overall though, I'm net positive. And when that trade war deal comes, that's the day I'll sell because I'm not sure what is driving this Chinese market upwards with follow through given the fact that the Chinese economy is still slowing down which should really put into question why we are seeing such huge gains in their three main indexes.