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EO500 Tracker: Xiaomi Boosts Overseas Sales Amid COVID-19Among the 45 largest (by market cap) publicly traded EO500 companies, 16 firms saw their overseas revenues increasing in 2020. In this regard, BYD, Xiaomi and Tencent were among the best performers, with year-on-year growth of 203%, 34% and 103% respectively. Xiaomi (01810:HK), established in 2010, has emerged as a top consumer electronics brand. The company offers numerous products like smartphones, laptops and smart home products, garnering support in more than 100 countries and regions around the world. With a large share of many European and Asian countries' markets, its overseas revenue increased steadily amid the epidemic from CNY 91.2 billion to CNY 122.4 billion, accounting for 49.8% of total revenue. In June 2021, the firm's global mobile phone market share rose to 17.1%, overtaking Samsung (15.7%) and Apple (14.3%). Meanwhile, its mobile phone sales grew by 26% on the back of Huawei's decline and prioritization of 4G and 5G-enabled smartphones, marking it the fastest-growing brand for the month.
OTC:XIACFLong
by EqualOcean
iQIYI Earns CNY 7.6 Bn in Q2 2021Owing to the success of original TV dramas, the large Internet content company still maintains remarkable revenue in the off-season. On August 12, 2021, iQIYI published the unaudited financial report for the second quarter of 2021. In the second quarter of 2021, its total revenue reached CNY 7.6 billion, up 3% year over year. Among them, the revenue from member services reached CNY 4 billion, accounting for 52% of the total revenue, while the revenue of online advertising services reached CNY 1.8 billion, accounting for 23%. Meanwhile, in the second quarter, iQiyi's revenue cost reached CNY 6.9 billion, of which the content cost was CNY 5.1 billion, basically the same as the same period in 2020. It is worth mentioning that the company's net loss was reduced to CNY 1.4 billion, which has narrowed year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. The company also announced that, as of June 30, 2021, the company had 106.2 million subscribers. Yu Gong, CEO of iQIYI, said that although the second quarter was an off-season, driven by the company's continuous launch of original TV dramas, its subscription members increased significantly and continued to lead the market in a number of operational indicators. At the same time, iQIYI Extreme App for users in sub-tier cities in China and the company's overseas business have shown a strong development momentum.
NASDAQ:IQ
by EqualOcean
A Glance at Ant Group 's Technology VentureThe wave of fintech has spread to the insurance industry, giving rise to the 'Insurtech' and the related niche markets. However, in China, the insurance penetration rate (2.7%) and premium per capita (USD 47) are both lagging, leaving much room for potential. Chinese Big Tech is seizing this opportunity and the competition is just getting started. The term 'Insurtech' is self-explanatory, expressing the blending of technological solutions with insurance. By applying such technologies to various scenarios, insurance companies boost service quality and expand their product portfolios. In a broader sense, Insurtech is an innovative technology cluster consisting of new digital tools developed to optimize the performance of insurance companies and to deliver a better customer experience. A strong point of Insurtech to date has been strengthening companies' underwriting abilities by incorporating artificial intelligence-based risk assessment. This boosts revenue by allowing them to move into adjacent niche markets. The emergence of new technologies has installed new dynamics in insurance products while also adding more complexities. When traditional insurance companies and Internet giants are drawn to share a piece of the market, the competition is likely to intensify in the short term. The Chinese insurance market has grown rapidly over the past decade, and so has the Insurtech segment. The tremendous development that Insurtech has experienced was mainly driven by changes in customers' behaviors (according to EY, 59% of mainland China's life insurance consumers' preference for interactions and relationships with insurers skews strongly toward digital), technology advancements (big data, IoT, blockchain, Cloud computing, etc.) and more supportive policies. Several internet giants in China have entered the market as distributors by utilizing their large volumes of traffic, while the traditional risk carriers – or to say, insurance incumbents, have also made scaled investments in technology solutions. Other technology enablers, such as start-ups focused on specific pain points in insurance operations, have accounted for a part of the whole market as well. Ant Group's insurance play In July 2017, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) announced the approval of the establishment of Hangzhou Baojin Insurance Agency Co., Ltd, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Ant Financial. After six months, the company officially changed its name to Ant Insurance Agency Co., Ltd — the same old trick other big names always play — which hinted at the company's ambition to fully enter the insurance industry. AntSure (as it is named in the English version of Alipay), a one-stop platform for servicing insurance needs, is designed to assist insurance company partners to provide a wide range of innovative, customized and easy-to-obtain products. Up to H1 2020, the Alipay-owned insurance platform had closely cooperated with over 90 Chinese partner insurance institutions, offering over 2,000 products, covering areas from life insurance, health insurance to property insurance and other customized products. The company's revenue mainly comes from the technical service fees paid by the partners based on the premiums and apportioned amounts promoted by Ant Insurance Agency. According to the prospectus for the Hong Kong IPO, the insurance premiums enabled through Ant Group's platform – as well as contributions by Xianghubao (i.e. an online healthcare mutual aid program launched in October 2018, which aims to provide mutual protection with no upfront payment or admission fees required) participants – reached CNY 52 billion for the 12 months ending June 30, 2020, and the total number of customers served reached 570 million. The biggest advantage of the in-house agency platform is the huge traffic acquired through Ant Group's products. The huge user base accumulated in the early stage of superapp Alipay and Alibaba-based e-commerce have laid a solid foundation for the rapid expansion of Ant Insurance Agency, making it the largest online insurance services platform in China, according to the prospectus. In addition to platform-based insurance, Ant Group also has scenario-based insurance offers that are closely connected with Alibaba, Alipay and other businesses, such as consumer insurance, Alipay's account security insurance, freight insurance and so on.
NYSE:BABALong
by EqualOcean
NIKOLA: NKLA Can Be A Good Buy NowTraders, Nikola price has been it badly but it has reached a level where it can be a good buy on the completion of a good FCP pattern. Beware of the fact that this pattern can become extended to the downside. Hence we have to possible BUY zones Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by vikinsa
16
DiDi: Charged by Regulators, Stumbles after Launching its IPOThe central government's probes into major tech-oriented transportation companies are obscuring the development of the likes of DiDi. DiDi took only 20 days to be listed in the US market, which appeared odd to investors and regulators. With over 22 rounds of financing, the mobility company has long been under pressure to make profits for its shareholders. DiDi has occupied a large share of the world's mobility market but still struggles to reach profitability because of high operating risks. The Chinese government's investigation inserted high political risk into any plan to invest in the company's stock. On June 30, 2021, DiDi was listed on the New York Stock Exchange with a ticker of DIDI. It offered 317 million ADS with an initial price of USD 14 and raised at least USD 4 billion during its IPO. Oddly, the company took only 20 days to go public and determined the issue price only three days after the roadshow, one of the shortest IPO processes in recent years. The IPO price increased to USD 16.65, up 18.93%, on the IPO day, and the company's market value reached USD 79.8 billion. However, its stock continued to depreciate after that. Founded in 2012, DiDi Global has been constantly strengthening its business in a quest to become the world's largest mobility technology platform. In 2013, owing to massive investments from Alibaba, Tencent and a few other companies, Kuaidi Dache and DiDi formed a duopoly market in the mobility field in China. The two companies merged in 2015, rebranding as DiDi Global. In 2016, the company acquired the Chinese branch of Uber, monopolizing the domain in the country. As of March 2021, DiDi spanned more than 4,000 cities and towns in 15 countries, providing online car-hailing, taxi, free riding, bike-sharing, motorcycle sharing, agency driving, car services, freight, finance and automatic driving services. DiDi currently has 15,914 full-time employees globally, including 7,110 researchers (accounting for 44.7%), indicating the company's emphasis on technology-intensive operations. Qing Liu, the daughter of Chuanzhi Liu, former chairman of Lenovo, joined DiDi in 2014 and was promoted to the president a year later. Previously, Qing Liu served as managing director of Goldman Sachs Asia. According to the company's prospectus, she and Wei Cheng, the founder and CEO, have become two DiDi controllers, holding over 48% voting rights. Since its establishment, DiDi has received 22 rounds of financing, with a total amount of more than USD 20 billion. These funds came from the finest investment institutions such as SoftBank, Sequoia Capital and well-known companies such as Apple, Toyota, Tencent and Alibaba Group. According to its prospectus, prior to the IPO, Softbank (Vision Fund), Uber and Tencent became DiDi's largest shareholders, with about 41% shares. The company has also attracted investment from several state-owned institutions, such as Ping An and Bank of Communications. Possible reasons behind DiDi's accelerated listing We found at least two reasons why DiDi chose to be listed so quickly. First, DiDi has attracted a bunch of investors since the company was founded. But for many years it did not make a profit, remaining a money-burning startup. In other words, the IPO of DiDi was intended to keep the lights on. Second, we believe that the blocked IPO of Ant Group also had a negative impact. Completing the preparation of all the documents and going public within one month may have been to avoid the supervision of the Chinese government. The latter argues that DiDi may have some operation data that does not conform to the laws of either China or the United States. According to some industry insiders, DiDi earlier planned an IPO – in 2015. This is mainly due to the rapid rise of the Chinese stock market in 2015, with the Shanghai Composite Index soaring by 60% and the Shenzhen Component Index soaring by 122% that year. However, the stock market disaster in the following year postponed its listing. In 2021, with the demise of COVID-19, the US economy is expected to become overheated, and Fed rates are expected to rise in 2022, which may have a negative impact on the stock market. 2021 might be the last chance for DiDi to go public in the recent economic cycle. If DiDi is not listed yet this time, the initial investors' payback periods may be further prolonged, with some even choosing to divest. Financials According to the IPO prospectus, DiDi's total revenue in 2020 reached CNY 141.7 billion (USD 20.5 billion), slightly lower than that in 2019. From 2018 to 2020, DiDi's annual net losses were CNY 15 billion, CNY 9.7 billion and CNY 10.6 billion, respectively. Among the revenue segments, China's travel business accounts for more than 94% of DiDi's total revenue in recent years, of which online car-hailing income contributes more than 97%. This indicates a skewed revenue mix. DiDi attracted services to over 493 million annual active users and powered 41 million average daily transactions by the end of Q1 2021. According to the company's estimate, there are 15 million active drivers in the world every year. In the 12 months ending March 31, 2021, DiDi's global average daily trading volume reached 41 million. The total trading volume of the whole platform was CNY 341 billion, ten times ahead of the nearest rival in China. DiDi has formed a monopoly market in the country's ride-hailing sector. And it seems abnormal for an absolute industry leader to have continuous large losses. It is worth noting that DiDi broke even and made a net profit of CNY 5.5 billion in the first quarter of 2021. Nevertheless, about CNY 12.4 billion was a floating investment profit, and the company still suffered an operational loss of CNY 5.5 billion. Before March 31, 2021, the last day of the reporting period, DiDi deconsolidated the community group-buying business, Chengxin (which was only put into operation for one year) from the Group. The split removed the loss of Chengxin from the statements and converted it into a floating profit of 9.1 billion investment revenue, which looks like window dressing. This, we think, also showed an aim of going for a quick listing and a high valuation. High political and operational risks On July 2, 2021, three days after DiDi's IPO, the Chinese government conducted a network security review of the company on suspicion of collecting user information in serious violation of laws and regulations. Shortly, new user registration of the DiDi app was banned, and then 25 apps related to the company were required to be removed from the App Store and Google Store. According to EqualOcean's research, DiDi launched a drive recorder in 2017. This device provides high-precision surveying and mapping data of China's urban and rural areas, and it is mandatory for all contracted drivers to install the recorder – otherwise, they won't be qualified to leverage the firm's platform. On March 31, 2021, the SEC issued the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), which stipulates that the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) is responsible for supervising the audit institutions of listed foreign companies. For example, the inspection team should have access to all working papers. However, DiDi's papers contain much important information, such as the mentioned high-precision surveying and mapping data. Considering DiDi's monopoly position and huge user base, once the US government obtains these data, China's national security is bound to face a great crisis. The company was investigated because it was suspected of unauthorized transmission of important data secrets to the United States. Although the investigation is not over, DiDi's bizarre listing and the extremely harsh wording of the Chinese government have magnified the political risk enormously. Another risk comes from its revenue model. The single revenue model determines that the company can only rely on increasing the commission rate taken from drivers. As a result, the drivers are often the object of complaints and dissatisfied feedback, which has also led to the intervention of the regulatory authorities many times. According to Xinhua.cn, the de facto commission rate has risen to 25% or even higher, far higher than the 21% promised by DiDi. Meanwhile, the detailed calculation of the commissions is unavailable for drivers. Even if DiDi continues to increase the commission rate, the company still does not achieve consolidated profit growth, indicating problems in the operation of the company and its business model. Bottom line To sum up, considering the political risks and potential operational problems, we do not think DiDi stock is a good short-term investment target. Besides, there is a looming risk of delisting. (Wall Street Journal reported on July 29, 2021 that DiDi is considering going private and compensating investors, but DiDi commented later on that the information was untrue). DiDi is likely to continue to rely heavily on China's mainland market to generate profits. The company will remain in the government agencies' scope for a while. The board and principal shareholders of the company are likely to change. We anticipate that DiDi will pay more attention to the development of foreign markets, expecting the proportion of overseas business income to increase in the short term. We also believe the company will market its international products separately from the domestic ones, as ByteDance is trying to do.
DShort
by EqualOcean
China Tower Achieves CNY 42.67 Bn in Revenue in H1 2021Benefiting from the pulling effect of 5G construction, China Tower revenue and profit have gradually increased in recent reporting periods. On August 9, 2021, China Tower released the H1 interim performance of 2021. According to the financial report, the company achieved operating revenue of CNY 42.67 billion in the first half of the year, up 7.2% year-on-year. The net profit of the company reached CNY 3.46 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%. At the same time, more surprising is that the company's capital expenditure has been reduced to CNY 10.36 billion, down 27.6% compared with the same period last year. Revenue from 5G is the driving force to its remarkable performance. Jilu Tong, the CEO of China Tower, said at the 2021 interim performance meeting that 5G contributed 64.1% to the company's revenue. In the first half of this year, about 256,000 5G construction projects were completed in China, of which 97% were conducted using existing towers, leading the whole work. China Tower has also drawn wide attention, with China Telecom and China Mobile returning to the A-share market one after another. For this rumor, the company responded that the company has no plan to return to the A-share market at this meeting. For full articles with the charts, please visit the original link.
HKEX:788
by EqualOcean
China ETF GXC - the music ain't overRecently, the China market had dived on regulatory action over the past couple of weeks. It hit a low point way out of range, and then bounced back technically. And the past week saw a range bound attempt to break out. This attempt failed to extend the rally higher out of the range, but instead fell down to the range support. In the process, it left a gap support and held above this in a range. The weekly chart has a rather unique candlestick pattern, where a long tailed hammer body is engulfed by a down candle. This is ominously bearish. The Daily chart is no better, with a failed breakout, and a gamp down to follow through, ending the week at support with ailing technicals. A revisit to the last low is due... More downside incoming!
AMEX:GXC
by Auguraltrader
2
Farmmi Set to Capitalize on New Wellness TrendsStriving to vertically integrate its business, the company has been preparing for a major boost. ● Farmmi has a long record of unstable financial performance. ● The company's solid supply chain system and business model can integrate online and offline platforms and trigger potential future growth. ● Along with the public's increasing health awareness, Farmmi can seize more opportunities to build extensive global networks and explore new products, like fungi-based snacks. ● The share price of the company is currently hovering at low levels, which might provide investment opportunities in the middle term. Farmmi (FAMI:NASDAQ) is a Chinese agriculture products provider that mainly processes and sells, as of July 2021, four different kinds of products: Shiitake mushrooms, wood ear (or Mu Er) mushrooms, other edible fungi and other packaged dried fungi. The company runs both an e-commerce platform and offline stores. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in a small city in east China, Farmmi is experienced in forming alliances with local family farms that allow the company to offer products to restaurants, cafeterias, local specialty stores, as well as through distributors. Here, we analyze this small share opportunity and discuss the company's potential. Quality – volatile profitability and cash flow generation Farmmi's financials have lately been somewhat unstable. The revenue has been growing slowly – and even declined in 2020; operating income peaked in 2018 and has kept declining since. Farmmi's net income has also shown high volatility. Since 2015, the company has been reporting unstable and negative operating cash flows. Basically, it delivered unfavorable financials all the way after its IPO in February 2018. What is more, the company's capital expenditure kept growing, but the limited value has been generated, resulting in a downward-moving return on capital. Growth – optimistic trends and industry dividends Despite Farmmi underperforming in the past years, investors should not be overly concerned about the lasting effects on the company's future development. We believe the company has a more positive side on financial growth and cash flow stability that will reflect in its future growth. As mushrooms and fungi are categorized as 'wellness food,' Farmmi focuses on such products, exploring overseas markets. Now, 94% of the company's revenue is generated domestically, while 6% comes from international markets, including the United States, Japan, Canada and the Middle East. An insider has informed EqualOcean that Farmmi's top executives have recently been actively building networks and seeking major brand cooperation to further expand in the North American market this year. By May 2021, Farmmi had raised USD 7.4 million of post-IPO financing to fund its business expansion. What is more, with the decreasing price of raw materials and improving cost control capabilities, Farmmi is expected to report better operating margins. So far, the figures have never fallen below the peer average level. Unlike many traditional agriculture producers in the space, Farmmi has been utilizing trendy tools, like web-based products, to ensure its future competitiveness. The recently raised funds are leveraged by the company to enhance its e-commerce capabilities, IT and supply chain systems. These capital expenditures and the integration of online and offline business models may generate more income for the company. The entire industry will release more dividends for Farmmi as well. The Chinese fungi market has been constantly growing since the noughties, providing growth momentum for Farmmi. The health and wellness trend has also expanded the market capacity for mushroom and fungi-based snacks, which Farmmi is building its future strategy around. For most food companies, it is almost impossible to survive for over ten years without a solid supply chain system, technology support and cost and risk management abilities. Paying close attention to these aspects, Farmmi is poised to ride the global wellness trend with the increasing fungi consumption. Price Momentum – upward The stock of Farmmi seems to be currently undervalued. Without any warning signs in its financial performance, the share price has been going down since it went public in 2018, reached the lowest level ever. As a small Chinese food brand, Farmmi might have less recognition among global investors, and we expect this situation to continue in the near future. However, the big picture appears brighter, as the company its making progress in cost control, harnessing technology and has a lot of room for development – both geographically and scope-wise. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NASDAQ:FAMI
by EqualOcean
EVK "Fibbin" again?EVK hasn't been a stranger to big moves quickly. Nor has it been a stranger to the 382 Fib level either. Now the second time it's tested this area, EVK continues to fail to break and hold above it (as of right now). While there's still a clear uptrend with higher lows, there's a pretty important level that may be of interest right now which is the 50 fib line. It's in "no man's" land after today's spike and looking for some solid support is going to be important for longs. If it does settle around this level, it would be the first time it's established support above the 618 fib line in quite some time. We'll have to see how much follow-through, if any, is in play heading into August. "The main reason for this move comes as the China-based clothing supplier and retailer announced that it would be repurchasing roughly $5 million worth of its shares. 'We believe our stock is a good value, and the Board’s approval of this stock repurchase program is recognition of the long-term prospects in our Company’s intrinsic value and the undervalued price of our stock. Repurchasing stock underscores our commitment to enhancing shareholder value and demonstrates confidence in our business.' - The CEO of EVK, Mr. Yihua Kang. For some added context, Ever-Glory International is the first Chinese apparel company to be listed on a U.S. stock exchange. It offers several brands that cater to middle-high end customer markets. As a vertical company in this market, Ever-Glory is able to control all aspects of its day-to-day operations." Quote Source: 4 Hot Penny Stocks to Watch as August Turns Bullish
E
by PennyStocks101
Xpeng Delivered Record 8,040 Vehicles in JulyThe company plans to have the P5 officially available in the third quarter of 2021, with deliveries expected in the fourth quarter of 2021. XPeng Motors delivered 8,040 vehicles in July, its highest monthly delivery record, up 228 percent year-over-year and up 22 percent from June. The company's flagship sedan, the P7, delivered 6,054 units in July, the highest monthly delivery record since its launch, XPeng's data released Monday showed. Cumulative deliveries of P7 reached 40,612 units since its launch in July 2020. XPeng's compact SUV, the G3, delivered 1,986 units in July. As of July 31, the company's total deliveries for the year reached 38,778 units, up 388 percent year-over-year. XPeng previously said the P7 sedan with lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries has seen strong demand since its launch in March this year. Deliveries of the model began in May, with sales increasing 27 percent in that month compared to April. In March, XPeng announced the launch of the P7 and G3 with LFP batteries, with deliveries of the former starting in May and the latter in April. The new P7 is available in two variants a combined range of 480km. The new P7 is equipped with Xmart OS in-vehicle intelligence system, with the lower-priced version equipped with XPILOT 2.5 + automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 229,900 (USD 35,600). The higher-priced version is equipped with XPILOT 3.0 automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 239,900. Together with the newly released model with LFP battery, the XPeng P7 is now available in four models: rear-wheel drive standard range, rear-wheel drive long-range, rear-wheel drive extra long range and four-wheel-drive high performance. Their price range covers CNY 229,900 to CNY 339,900. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by EqualOcean
2022 Might Be a Winning Year for Xpeng – and the Stock Is FinallOn July 7, 2021, the company was listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the code '9868.' We estimate Xpeng's 2022 revenue to show the value of the stock. The methodology includes the forecast of sales of P7, G3&G3i and the upcoming P5 and SUV models. The results indicate that the stock is currently fairly priced Risks primarily come from supply chain and market regulation but remain controllable. With the current global chip shortage, most major auto OEMs have suffered from a lack of electronic supplies. Amid these concerns, China's EV sales are burgeoning, with light EV sales hitting 241,000, or 15% of total light vehicles sales in June, 2021. Among the country's EV pioneers, Xpeng (XPEV:NYSE) has recently presented some positive results: its half-year delivery number has surpassed last year's figure. This article presents a forecast of the company's EV sales in 2022 and evaluates its stock by analyzing each model of Xpeng and using the valuation multiples. Model-level breakdown P7 is Xpeng's hit product. Simplifying the modelling, we project the sales of P7 to increase by 184, 100 and 50 units month-on-month until 2023; 184 is the average monthly increase since the model's launch, while the incremental decrease is due to the upcoming P5 and 2022 SUV models. The average selling price will be around CNY 250,000, the same as in 2020. G3&G3i are the oldest models of Xpeng. The updated version G3i transformed into a more unified family design and attracted more sales. We estimate G3 and G3i will keep lifting sales volume by 46 per month during the same period. The average selling price will be around CNY 150,000 per unit. P5 will shoulder the company's expectations to become a family sedan. We estimate P5's first-month delivery number in October will be at around 1,000, referring to P7's data. Then the delivery figure will increase by 143 units per month, of which 100 will be at the cost of P7 sales declining, as the two models compete with each other, and 43 is organic growth. Based on the official price starting from CNY 160,00 to 230,000, we predict the ASP will be at CNY 190,000. Xpeng is planning to launch a new SUV model. The SUV has a family design 'X' logo that brings its length to 4,800 mm. The car design shares the same platform as the P7, the Edward platform. In addition, it will be equipped with premium specifications like XPilot 4.0 and air suspension. Some industry experts predict the price will be around CNY 300,000. We assume Xpeng will finish its launch day by September 2022. The first-month sale will be 300 units, which will increase by 145 units per month similar to the sales trajectory of NIO's ES6. Apart from EV sales, other services will account for 5% of total revenue. The 2022 EV sales won't be significantly impacted by the chip shortage. To sum up, Xpeng's 2022 revenue is projected to reach USD 4.3 billion (CNY 28 billion). Specifically, the company will sell 122,253 vehicles to make USD 4.1 billion topline, and USD 0.25 billion will be from other services. According to the Street's expectations, the stock is priced at 16, 8.8, 5.6, 4, 2.9 forward PS ratios by 2025. We select 9x as the 2022 multiples. Thus, the market cap will be USD 38.7 billion, around 10% up from the market cap on July 27, 2021. Risks Although the expectations for Xpeng are rather bright, the whole industry is facing the chip shortage problem – that is also the biggest threat to Xpeng. For NEV companies, production is challenging while orders are packed. Through our research, we found that most auto stakeholders in China expect the imbalance to last through 2021, affecting the global light-vehicle sales by 2.5-5.0%, but recover slightly in 2022. The edtech sector's regulatory update drove the recent sell-off in Chinese concept stocks. However, this crackdown won't be a long-term issue for EV innovators like Xpeng. According to Bloomberg, the government's motivation is to cut family workloads to turn the declining birth rates up. On the other hand, the 'Made in China 2025' scheme supports EV development radically. So the policy will rather play a positive role in the new energy vehicle market in the long term. Conclusion Up to the present, Xpeng has been on the right track, leveraging business through unified family designs, new stores opening, capacity boost and charging facilities build-up. The company's 2022 revenue would be a realistic basis for stocks to start. The most significant potential risk at present is the capacity problem caused by supply chain shortages. Investors should keep an eye on this topic in the company's upcoming Q2 earnings conference. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by EqualOcean
1
DIDI Global ideaAt the time of DIDI`s IPO i was tempted to enter this stock because i was listing to Jim Cramer`s blessing: 'I would try to get as many shares as you can'. i hope he didn`t. and i haven`t entered either because i considered the valuation too high for a company that last year had negative earnings, -10.84Bil. And in comparison i was listing to analysts saying that UBER will never be a profitable company. So why would i invest in the Chinese copy of a business that didn't find the path to profitability for so many years?! The funny thing is that after going down 55% from the IPO day, Jim Cramer reevaluated the Chinese stocks: "You can't own Chinese stocks"! :) I`m looking forward to read your opinion on Chinese stocks right now.
DShort
by TopgOptions
12
NIO-REVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER, BULLISH WITH CONSOLIDATION1) LONG TERM REVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN, 2) BULLISH TREND WITH CONSOLIDATION BEFORE BIG BREAK OUT, 3) ANTICIPATED NEWS IS ALSO MENTION FOR BRIEF DETAIL, 4) ONE MAJOR FACTOR TO THIS IDEA IS THAT MARKET FACTORS WILL AFFECT THIS IDEA, 5) MY CONSERVATIVE PRICE TARGET IS 72 DOLLARS BY THE END OF DECEMBER 2021. ** I AM USING MY 10 YEARS EXPERTISE TO BREAK THE FORECAST ANALYSIS FOR YOU. I AM USING THIS IDEA FOR MYSELF. ** THIS IS NOT AN FINANCIAL ADVICE, JUST THE IDEA. ** SO GOOD LUCK. **IF YOU AGREE TO THIS IDEA THEN PLEASE DON'T FORGET TO LIKE THIS IDEA.
NYSE:NIOLong
by JD-EducatingTheInvesting
AiHuiShou: Company with Strong Closed-Loop Chain CapacityThe second-hand 3C platform is among the most promising businesses in the space in China. On June 18, 2021, Aihuishou was listed on NYSE under the ticker RERE by issuing 16.23 million American Depositary Shares (ADS). According to the company, 60% of the funds raised in the IPO will diversify services, and expand its AHS store network and sales. 20% will be used to improve technology capabilities further, and another 20% will be used for general operations. As the first ESG US-listed Chinese share offering, the IPO has attracted much attention. Founded in 2011, Aihuishou is one of China's largest second-hand computer, communications and consumer electronics (3C) platforms and one of the pioneers in the industry. After ten years of development, it now has four major business segments, realizing a C2B + B2B + B2C closed-loop value chain: C2B recycling platform (Aihuishou), B2B trading platform (PJT Marketplace), B2C retail platform (Paipai Marketplace), as well as its overseas business (AHS Recycle). On the supply side, the JD.com and Aihuishou offline stores attract stable supply. At the processing end, it has set up seven regional operation centers and 23 city-level operation stations in China for proprietary inspection, grading and pricing. At the end of the sales, the PJT Marketplace can ensure the products flow at high speed (shortening the flow time by three times), while the B2C platform can make the products go directly to the C-end to improve the profit margin. Aihuishou has completed six rounds of financing prior to its IPO. Many well-known institutional investors have great regard for the company, such as JD.com, 5Y Capital, IFC, Cathay Capital and Guotai Junan International. Before the IPO, JD Entities held 34.7%, being the largest institutional holder. 5Y Capital owns 14.0%, the largest VC investor, while Tiantu Investment and Tiger Global fund have 8.5% and 7.3%. Notably, in its IPO, two existing shareholders, JD and Tiger Global purchased USD 50 million Aihuishou ADSs respectively, showing an optimistic attitude towards its long-term development. Financials In 2020, Aihuishou achieved revenue of CNY 4.86 billion, up 23.6% year over year, and reported a shrinking net loss of CNY 470.6 million (CNY 202.8 million with non-GAAP adjustment). Then in the first quarter of 2021, its revenue surged by 118.8% to CNY 1.51 billion compared with the same period of 2020. It indicates a strong growth momentum of the company. Further analysis of the company's revenue structure, net services revenue is a bright spot. The proportion of net services revenue rose from 0.4% in 2018 to 13.5% in the first quarter of 2021. In 2020, the company's net services revenue reached CNY 614 million, with a CAGR of 627.7% since 2018. Net services revenue comes from charging commission fees to merchants and customers for transacting in its online marketplaces, and the increase of the proportion indicates it gradually wins market recognition and continuously refines its revenue structure. As for the primary revenue source, the company's net product revenue reached CNY 4.24 billion in 2020, up 13.8% year-over-year, remaining robust. High operating costs are serious problems for the company. In 2020, the company's costs reached CNY 5.35 billion. When deconstructing the costs, merchandising costs accounted for more than 70%, mainly consisting of the cost of acquired products coming through the AHS platform and inbound shipping charges for its product sales. Although we think that the rising costs reflect the company's expansion plan, the high cost may damage the company's profitability. Opportunities and threats The company's opportunities are obvious. First of all, Aihuishou joined a market with great potential. According to Aihuishou's prospectus, China's second-hand electronic products trading and service market has great potential. China's pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services market size reaches CNY 252.2 billion GMV in 2020, and the market is expected to grow at a 30.8% CAGR to reach CNY 967.3 billion by 2025. Secondly, the company occupies a high market share and maintains a high growth. Its total GMV reached 22.8 billion, and the number of consumer products transacted on its platform reached 26.1 million for the twelve months ending March 31, 2021, up 66.1% and 46.6%, respectively, year-over-year. In the second-hand 3C trading sector, in 2020, The company’s GMV for electronics and the number of devices transacted on its platform were both ranking the top and greater than the following five largest platforms combined. At the same time, the profit model of the company's offline stores has been proved feasible. According to TMTPost, the early decoration cost of an Aihuishou offline store is estimated to be CNY 70,000 to 100,000, and the rent and salary expenses are about 30,000 CNY per month. Considering the average monthly sales revenue is about 600,000 CNY, and the gross profit rate is about 20%, the payback period of investing in such a store is less than three months. More than 98% of its stores have made profits, indicating that the company has a great chance to turn losses into profits in the future. However, there are two obvious threats or risks. First, the company does not have an advantage in the whole second-hand e-commerce market, though it is a leader in the second-hand 3C sector. According to Big Data Research, in March 2021, Xianyu (Idle Fish) and Zhuanzhuan occupied about 90% of the second-hand e-commerce market, with a total MAU of over 70 million. In contrast, the MAUs of Aihuishou only take less than 2% of the whole market, through two platforms with only 1 million MAU. Although its main competitors may focus on other kinds of second-hand products, high traffic on these platforms means they can encroach on Aihuishou’s shares easily. Another risk is that, before the IPO, the two founders sold their holdings at a discount, indicating a lack of confidence. According to the prospectus, founder and CEO Xuefeng Chen reduced 1,995,981 shares, and co-founder Wenjun Sun sold 600,645 shares in February 2021 in a series F with a price lower than the preferred shares. It may not be a good sign that the founders are selling their holdings at a discount when the company's operating cash flow is insufficient. Valuation and bottom line Considering that the company has yet to turn a profit and no Chinese ESG company can be used as comparable companies, we used EV/revenue ratios to analyze its valuation and picked five related companies: BQ, MKD MPNG.Y, PDD, and SECO. The average EV/revenue of the competition is 5.42x, while RERE's EV/revenue is 5.43x. Based on the valuation and the analysis of its opportunities and threats, we gave it a neutral rating. Further analyzing the strategies that it should adopt, we think the company may need to focus on the following two ways to maintain its industry advantage. First, helping to establish industry standards is a way out. Second-hand recycling is a specific non-standard industry. The second-hand pieces of 3C equipment sold online and offline are numerous brands and of uneven quality. The establishment of a relatively transparent price evaluation mechanism can stabilize its market share. Secondly, it is necessary to control C-end costs. In the second-hand e-commerce market, both users and sellers naturally gather on the top platforms. A higher user utilization rate will also reduce the marginal cost of each offline store, which we think is the key to turning losses into profits. Considering this IPO aims to develop new sales channels for the B2C platform and further improve the penetration rate of C-end purchases, we think it is a good omen and is worth further attention. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:RERE
by EqualOcean
50 Fib Level for CREGThis 50 fib level for CREG stock has been a pivot for months. No matter if it's broken out or slid lower, this area remains a magnet for the stock. With higher volume recently and a stronger uptrend on 7/19, 50 fib level is once again a point of interest and an important level to watch. Either way, it's come a long distance since it was on the list of penny stocks to watch . Something to keep in mind, however, is that the company gained approval for the Authorized Share increase from 10m to 100m ( 7/9/2021 8K filing ). That can sometimes mean they need more wiggle room in their share structure to issue more stock. In line with this, it can also mean dilution depending on the inspiration behind the AH increase. At the very least, it's something to keep in the back of your head if you've got CREG on your watch list right now.
NASDAQ:CREG
by PennyStocks101
SXTC back at an interesting level againSXTC had a big pop on 7/16 that took it up and through its 786 fib line. After doing a retracement using last September's lows, this level has shown to be an important pivot over the last few months. Late last year it was resistance in December and heading into the new year. Earlier on this year, it was broken through with the 618 fib becoming a very high traffic area that ultimately was support as SXTC broke out to over $5. The 618 level was a brief area of support in February that ultimately turned into resistance during the following months. If you take a look at where SXTC traded after there, the 786 area once again became a pivot area. Now that it's back above it with higher volume, it will be interesting to see if the 786 fib can establish itself as a new support or if this is just another headfake leading to another breakdown. "Based in China, SXTC is a pharmaceutical company developing traditional Chinese medicines. It manufactures, markets, and sells these products domestically, and is one of the only companies producing these types of compounds. The most recent news from China SXT came a few months ago when it announced a 4-1 reverse shares split. Since then however, not much news has come from the company. So while today’s gain may be inexplicable with press releases, we could attribute it to SXTX’s placement as a meme stock. This means that it is frequently discussed on social media sites such as Reddit and Twitter. While this does make it highly volatile, it also adds potential for large gains (and losses)" Quote Source: 4 High Volume Penny Stocks to Watch in July 2021
NASDAQ:SXTC
by PennyStocks101
AMC - Shadow Banking and Meme StocksIdea for AMCs: - Commercial and Industrial Bank of China: $5T+ AUM. 4 biggest banks in world are in China (they are state owned - guess who is the largest asset manager in the world) with $17T+ AUM. - p value of 0 for correlation with meme stocks. - Look what preceded the short squeezes in meme stocks. - If it quacks like a duck... - Asset Management Companies/Corporations (AMCs) are shadow banks that quite literally rule the world. Money precedes policy. 2 ways to look at it: - China has been cracking down on shadow banks: "Gamestop for AMCs?" - AMC being elevated to meme status has shrouded the actual AMCs and now they are being worshipped. - Who is behind the AMC short squeeze? It's simple... AMCs are behind AMC. That's who is backing the retail apes. Of course hedge funds get eaten alive... Always a bigger fish. - Media blaring is worthless, even hedge fund/MM actions are meaningless. Look at AMCs. It is also too costly for MMs to manipulate this indicator. - This is what moves markets. Know what moves markets and you can frontrun "6 sigma events". - CIBC at the end of a distribution pattern, watch out. - BlackRock and Vanguard together have $18T+ AUM. - Can US and EU AMCs absorb all the selling with money printing (at the expense of further devaluation of USD and pricing out middle class)? I think not. More likely they will move together, US and EU just don't want to be the first one out. Bubble pop soon on global assets. GLHF - DPT
NYSE:AMC
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
2
LKCO Uptrend + Upcoming Levels To WatchLKCO in a nice uptrend and if you're watching a few levels to keep in mind are around the 50 Fib and then another level around that 382 fib. Volume has remained consistent & fundamental events could also be thrown in the mix right now: "The company has established city and industry-level holographic Spatial-Temporal digital twin systems which can be added to autonomous driving vehicles. Recently LKCO expanded its business to more clients despite COVID-19 concerns. “We have placed a premium on cultivating new service relationships with multiple automobile manufacturers globally as the entire industry continues to drive new autonomous-vehicle capabilities. We feel that these recent service contract signings are reflective of our standing within this market, and we are very pleased to be partnering with another reputable and influential company within the auto industry.” - Xuesong Song, Chairman, and CEO of LKCO With its role in the auto industry continuing to grow, LKCO is a large player in the autonomous driving industry. Because of that, it could be worth adding to your list of penny stocks to watch in the coming months." Quote Source: 9 Hot Penny Stocks to Watch For the Upcoming Week
NASDAQ:LKCO
by PennyStocks101