Buy Signal: 62.88Stop: 50.00 Potential reversal trade looking for 81 first.
Ingenuity Trading Model is an algorithm used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets. The model is a Geometric Markov Model : Focuses on reversal and continuation wave structures
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal sine wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current sine wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
Chinastocks
JDGROWTH: (info from barchart)
1-Year Return 175.94%
3-Year Return 128.77%
5-Year Return 207.04%
5-Year Revenue Growth 347.07%
5-Year Earnings Growth 143.31%
5-Year Dividend Growth 0.00%
Next Earnings Date 11/16/20
JD.com is an online direct sales company in China. The Companyoffers a selection of authentic products. It offers computers; mobile handsets and other digital products, home appliances; automobile accessories; clothing and shoes; luxury goods including handbags, watches and jewelry, furniture and household products; cosmetics and other personal care items; food and nutritional supplements; books, e-books, music, movies and other media products; mother and childcare products; toys, sports and fitness equipment; and virtual goods. JD.com, Inc. is based in Beijing, China.
92.75 buy stop limit order.
85.33 stop (8%)
CHINA INDEX HLDGS LTD (CIH) - BUYCHI - time to put my toes in the water and buy. will add to my positions if price goes lower than current levels at $1.75
Final Target - (+) $4.50
early stage profit target $2.50
Alibaba Shows Oversold ConditionAlibaba is the most prominent of the major Chinese technology stocks that have soared in 2020. It fell sharply after authorities suspended the initial public offering of its Ant finance arm on November 3.
That decline has landed BABA deep in oversold territory, according to stochastics. This is the most oversold since June 2019 when Beijing and Washington were clashing over tariffs and trade.
BABA has also returned to levels from July and August. The current price area around $260 is near the top of a bullish triangle that the shares escaped in late August (and retested on September 25).
Other Chinese tech stocks have kept climbing lately – even as the Nasdaq struggles. At this point there’s a lot of bad news priced into BABA, even though Singles Day set new records. Traders may want to watch for the e-commerce giant to stabilize and start thinking about some kind of bounce.
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Baidu Apollo Undervalued (Significantly)1. Baidu have had low valuation due to its stagnant growth of its core business - search engine in China, however, it enjoys a significant moat in this segment as it is the largest market share holder - therefore has network effect.
2. Baidu had been investing significantly in developing AI and autonomous driving over the past few years. Its Apollo project is as good as (if not better), than Google's Waymo. However, Apollo is valued at $1.3 billion only (3% of Baidu's market cap) due to Baidu's core business growth, and unclear roadmap of monetization of Apollo. But, Google's Waymo is valued at $30 billion. It is worth noting that only Waymo and Apollo achieved the L4 auto driving, where they begin 1000+ testing of full self driving on road. Tesla's autonomous driving had been recording data of man's driving, while Waymo and Apollo records data on full self-driving.
3. Recently, Baidu began its robotaxi test drive in Beijing, which received huge responses, had cause the stock price to break out its few months resistance level. Therefore, I believe that the break out from a technical perspective may signify huge support for Baidu in addition to its near term upward trend (typical higher lows).
4. Despite full self driving is still years before it could be full commercialised, Baidu's Apollo had also been providing smart city solutions to assist with provinces of China to solve the traffic issue. In Guangzhou, Baidu received RMB 450 million project. This may be the key monetisation way for Baidu in the next 2-3 years, which is very likely given the traffic issues have been causing waste of resources for China, thus the government is likely invest in smart transportation through Baidu. Therefore, we can expect more projects given by the government, which would be a catalyst moving forward.
5. In mid September, Baidu's management noted that re-listing in Hong Kong would gives it a higher valuation that it currently has. Therefore, we may expect a catalyst from this part.
Also, the current risk to reward ratio is worth betting on. If it breaks the current support ( breaking the low of the uptrend), then we might have to look for another entry point. However, recent pull back after break out provide a great entry point.
Alibaba Hits New High as Ant IPO ApproachesOne of the more interesting dynamics since the Nasdaq-100 swooned last month has been the relative strength of Chinese technology stocks like Alibaba.
This hourly chart compares the Golden Dragon China Index with the Nasdaq-100 . First you have the simple outperformance since the low. Second, notice that HXC made a higher low in late September, while NDX made a lower low . That can indicate Chinese names faced less selling pressure than U.S. megacaps.
Alibaba is an important Chinese company. As expected , it probed key support in late September before bouncing. Today it inched to a new all-time high. In contrast, none of the big domestic stocks have returned to old highs since last month’s pullback. For example, TradeStation’s analytics show that the only NDX members to hit new highs in the last week are less prominent firms like Copart , Seattle Genetics and Charter Communications .
There are a couple of reasons. One is Ant Group’s initial public offering later this month: The world’s biggest fintech, doing the largest IPO ever – but outside the U.S.! BABA owns one-third of Ant, so could be the main way for Americans to play it.
Another reason is China versus the U.S. The Asian country has not only recovered from coronavirus more quickly. It may have less political risk (at least in the near term) than the U.S. Just yesterday, the House of Representatives recommended significant antitrust measures against Apple, Amazon.com , Alphabet and Facebook. While these could prove “more bark than bite” in the long-term, they create uncertainty in the near-term. Maybe that’s why all four of those stocks remain below their 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) today.
Meanwhile, China’s settling into a post-pandemic recovery and seems determined to support its financial markets.
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Alibaba May Be Turning Resistance into SupportChinese technology stocks have held their ground better than their U.S. counterparts. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index is 8.5 percent below its 52-week high, while the SPDR Technology Fund is down 12 percent.
Alibaba, a key name in the group, has some interesting patterns on its chart.
First is the bullish-triangle breakout in August, which it’s now retraced. The previous high around $267 has become the bottom of its range this month. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Next, BABA made a slightly lower low on Monday than earlier in September. But it quickly rebounded. That’s a false breakdown and shows that buyers may be willing to defend the support zone.
Third is the descending triangle. This may create the potential for a breakout as the downward line converges with the support zone around $267. Still, there could be some near-term chopping and retesting of support.
Finally, there may be a catalyst relatively soon. Bloomberg reports that Ant Group wants to raise at least $35 billion in an initial public offering in Hong Kong and Shanghai. (Up from the $30 billion total discussed in August.) BABA owns about one-third of the company.
TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
$VNET can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
21Vianet Group, Inc. provides carrier and cloud-neutral Internet data center services to Internet companies, government entities, blue-chip enterprises, and small-to mid-sized enterprises in the People's Republic of China.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a long position from $24,14;
stop-loss — $23,24.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
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Chinese Yuan Chart Could Be More Important than the NasdaqThe monster rally in Nasdaq stocks has obviously grabbed most people’s attention recently. However there’s also been a major shift in currency markets as the U.S. dollar slides.
That trend has paused for more than a month. Looking simply at the dollar index , it’s not clear whether the decline is ready to continue. But DXY is two-thirds European (euro and sterling).
Today we want to look at another currency that’s not even a member of the dollar index: The Chinese Yuan .
USDCNY consolidated under roughly 6.85 in the first half of September before breaking lower this week. That was a low in January, so it appears that old support has become resistance.
The news flow is also noteworthy because China just reported better-than-expected industrial production. Interestingly, the South China Morning Post ran an editorial yesterday titled “China should seize the moment to free up controls on the yuan to expand its international use.” Coming from an officially sanctioned publication, that seems to indicate Beijing is going to let the yuan appreciate. (Which means USDCNY goes down.)
Earlier in the month, Morgan Stanley predicted USDCNY will keep moving toward 6.6 by the end of 2021.
Meanwhile, headlines for the U.S. dollar are just the opposite. Our economic data has rebounded somewhat, but more than half the jobs lost to coronavirus remain lost. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve will probably keep the dovishness coming at their meeting tomorrow.
Most people probably cannot trade USDCNY. However, gains in the currency have previously lifted Chinese Internet stocks like Alibaba and other members of the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index .
We entered 2020 expecting money to flow to China after global indexes were changed. Despite the pandemic, that process has been playing out as expected. Could it even accelerate into year end?
TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Bullish Charts - Online Learning in ChinaRYB Education, Inc. provides early childhood education service in the People's Republic of China. The company offers kindergarten services to 2-6-year-old children; and play-and-learn centers services for the joint participation of 0-6-year-old children and their adult family members to promote children's development, foster bonding with family, and prepare them for their entry into kindergartens and primary schools. It also develops and sells educational products and services, such as teaching aids, educational toys, at-home educational products, and school uniforms through franchisees and other business partners, as well as directly to a market of families. As of December 31, 2019, it operated 100 directly operated and 250 franchise kindergartens; and 6 play-and-learn centers. The company was formerly known as Top Margin Limited and changed its name to RYB Education, Inc. in June 2017. RYB Education, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Beijing, China.
Daily Chart is Bullish
Broke out above the cloud yesterday.
Indicators are Bullish
Long
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The Content herein is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
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