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BABA MOMENTUM POSITIVEWeekly Chart - BABA I am taking an interest in BABA here. It has been in a steep correction for well over a year and appears to have made a bullish wedge. What really has my attention is not only the price breakout above but also the momentum break. I may leave myself a little room and time here but I personally may take a heavier interest if it stays this cheap or drags sideways. These patterns are great for trading the spikes but there are no guarantees. It's not uncommon to see a large spike up (15-30%) only to correct and go nowhere for weeks or months. A breakout does not guarantee profit.. but for me the reward outweighs the risk in this zone. Let's see what happens.
NYSE:BABALong
by gghsusa
1
China A50 index to fall below the 500-week moving average?China A50 index ( CN50 ), a measure of the Chinese onshore market that keeps track of 50 of the biggest Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges, broke a major upward trend that had been in place since 2016. The technical picture sees the A50 index currently dominated by a descending channel pattern, having fallen 42% from its peak in February 2021, with prices now approaching a remarkable 500-week moving average. Given the slowdown in the Chinese economy caused by the government's Zero covid policy, the downward trend in Chinese stocks has been ongoing for a while. However, the most recent sell-off has been triggered by a crumbling confidence among foreign investors as a result of Xi Jinping's reelection as president for a third term and a leadership reshuffle within the Politburo Standing Committee during the 20th National Congress. The A50 index may not have reached its bottom yet, if the Zero-Covid policy and growing doubts about the new policymakers' plans for the country's economic future continue to dampen Chinese growth prospects. Even though the weekly RSI is beginning to exhibit extremely oversold conditions, which is extremely unusual for this market and hasn't happened since August 2011, bears still have total control over the index. But, given the wild price swings of the past few days, some technical and short-term price bounces could still happen. The psychological 11,000 point level, which is down 7% from here, and the 10,200 point level, which was the low of January 2019 (down 14% from here), provide the next significant supports. The A50 will have dropped 50% from its peak if it reaches levels from January 2019, which might encourage some dip buying there.
CAPITALCOM:CN50
by Capitalcom
Did $BABA stock BOTTOM?My experience I owned shares of Alibaba for the last 10 months. I started buying when it dropped to $140 in November 2021, and then I started averaging costing during the downtrend, my average price was around $110 and I completely closed my position at the beginning of July 2022 when it traded at $120. In conclusion, made a small 10% during this period, assuming a lot of risks, having money stuck in there creating an opportunity cost for other investments. My first lesson here was "Never try to catch a falling knife" . I've read this quote many times, but I got pushed by the FOMO back in 2021, when I should have waited for some consolidation or lateral movements of the price, to show me some kind of demand at this level before jumping in. I'm sharing my experience in this situation with the idea to help someone with making better investment decisions. The truth is, you must always learn from your own mistakes. But learning from others' mistakes will save you time, stress and money. However, this is where experience lays, funny isn't it? Long-Term Forecast Alibaba is a very interesting business model, with incredible growth in the past. I think that the chart reflects an evolution from a Growth Company to a Stable Company , that's why the P/E valuation went from 30x in the past to 15x nowadays. The market included the growth slowdown to its market cap. Of course, there are many other risks related to Alibaba that also impacted its price during the last year. Some of them are: - Uncertainty Risk is related to the political pressure between the USA and China. - Delisting Risk from NYSE. - Monopoly fines from China. Changes in Chinese state policy regarding publicly traded enterprises , the warming of relations between the US and China, as well as current geopolitical developments where China is implied have created uncertainty for investors. This results in a negative impact on the price of the stock. There are factors that could influence the Chinese government to be tolerant and lower the pressure on publicly traded enterprises, particularly if they choose to give a higher priority to stronger GDP development . Taking everything into account, this could be a fantastic buying opportunity if China is becoming the next world's superpower. However, from my personal point of view, I would rather have companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in my portfolio. I see better potential returns in them. Short-Term Forecast The price is showing consolidation in the zone between $80-$120, the lower part of the channel reflects a strong demand, which is easily spotted by the strong bounces that it has from there. You can also try to trade it by buying near the bottom of the lateral channel and selling it at the top. $BABA released good quarterly earnings, beating expectations in sales and EPS. We should also take into account that when your revenue stays flat in an inflationary environment, probably your income from operations is going to decrease, and that's what happened here. Bullish Scenario If the momentum stays and the market breaks and maintains the $4300 level we can see a significant upside in this stock. Taking it to 120-160 dollars per share. Which in my humble opinion is less likely due to the market conditions and economic challenges that we are facing. The RECESSION is here, and the INFLATION has to go straight down from these levels to prevent a crash in the financial markets. Bearish Scenario If the INFLATION is unstoppable at these interest rates, the market is going to be severely punished. Less consumer demand due to the recession will impact companies' margins. Profit warnings from companies will accelerate the crash. If we find ourselves in this situation, get your cash ready, many investment opportunities will be out there waiting for us. In this case, I would adapt my strategy, and I could consider buying some $BABA at $60 for sure. Alibaba is having strong buybacks from the management. The company has plenty of cash which is going to be used to reduce the outstanding amount of shares and to undertake investment projects. The Debt-Equity Ratio is around 15%, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The Cloud Segment is getting bigger and it can also be a very important stream of income in the future for the firm. The company is actually trading at 10X Price / Cash Flow, which historically has meant that it is a good buy at this level. From a financial perspective, I think that $BABA is undervalued. The above mentioned characteristics made me start buying the stock at $140, my mistake was that I didn't properly analyse the risks this investment had. Not everything is in the accounting books! Keep your eyes open! I stand SHORT for the next 6-12 months and LONG for the next 3-5 years. Don't forget, I'm a random guy on the internet that is just sharing his point of view. Do not take my reflections as financial advice.
NYSE:BABAShort
by GenadiYankov
2
BREAKING NEWS The Real Estate and Banking Crisis in China! The Real Estate and Banking Crisis in China Is Spreading to Other Aspects of the Chinese Economy! A lot of information is coming out that the Citizens can't get any money from their banks. We have seen that before! Never ends very well. Apart from China's problems, Tesla has been experiencing problems in China. 1. The cameras on the Cars, that they can't be used anymore. China thinks they could SPY on Them! Good luck with a Tesla without cameras ¿? 2. Tesla reduced vehicle production at its Shanghai factory this week due to parts shortages caused, in some measure, by a supplier's Covid lockdown nearby. According to research by JL Warren Capital, Tesla specifically stopped production lines for its crossover electric vehicle, the Model Y, at its Shanghai Gigafactory 3. Tesla faced multiple accusations of brake failure in China 4. China helps NIO to become the number one Electric Car for sure. Made in China is always better for the Chinese Government. 5. China and USA aren't getting closer because of the Ukrainian War and Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TraderMentorX
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by QuantumLabSignals
Safer way to Be long BABA DOTM 80 PutHi everyone, China this am came out with a better tone toward their tech industry and markets. Assuming that geo political events do not get worse between the USA vs China. I am making a Long term asset accumulation bet on Alibaba 1) I discuss straight stock asset ownership vs 2) Getting an income by selling the deep out of the money 80 strike September put for $9.15 resulting in a 11.43% ROI as of this writing, also providing us a safety of margin from current $97 price to 70.85 assignment cost 2 Outcomes a) stocks goes up and stay above the 80 strike by the September Expiration date we pocket the 11.43% or $9.15 b) Stocks tank below 80 get called and I own Alibaba stock the asset, at a price I already decided was a comfortable and good support around (assignment price $80-9.15)=70.85 Hope it helps this strategy is only valid with two things in mind 1)buy asset you love and want to keep for the long term 2)be prepared to hold if it goes below 70.85 and be confident enough of the long term 5-20 years for the underlying stock as an asset in this case Alibaba Hope it helps Marc
NYSE:BABALong
by PowerIndicators
6
BABA may retest 87 zone if 100 fails; upsides are 110/120/130If BABA fails to hold the psychological 100 yellow zone, the the green 87 zone may be retested due to low volume below 100. Breaking 100 will also mean breaking below the red uptrendline as well as the Ichi Cloud in daily chart. However if BABA holds 100 & the uptrendline, then we may see upside targets at 110, 120 & even 130. Last July there was a 2-day false BO above 120 resistance before BABA reversed down back inside the downward Fib Channel to retest 100. Breaking ma200 above 120 will be bullish. Not trading advice
NYSE:BABA
by xtremerider8
2
Jamie Gun2Head Trade - Selling China50 Trade Idea: Selling China50 Reasoning: Reaction from major support level . Interim support at 1713 in front of FED meeting later today. Entry Level: 13943 Take Profit Level: 13630 Stop Loss: 14078 Risk/Reward: 2.32:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:CHINA50Short
by Signal_Centre
Chinese stocks have incredible surprise for youChina is number one, huh? Are you really afraid of communistic party going mad and destroying everything they've earned with hard work last 20 years? They already spread covid and use their russian doll to harm West and that will be enough for them to continue going forward and building more trading routes in South America, Africa and Asia. China is here to stay no matter you like it or not, but they are working hard and providing value. Long your longs before FED change it's policy in September-November and revaluate food and energy weight in CPI indexes or else... Also most covid noob plebs already out of stonks and crypto and done with investing, rooting in a crisis. Would you buy the blood and fear here or sell with normies is the question?! Dollar value is still going down since the day it was born no matter what.
NYSE:BABALong
by WagsCapital
4
KWEB: UNIQUE LONG TERM OPPORTUNITY?KWEB, Chinese internet ETF Chinese techs have been in a bear market since February 2021, with the price of KWEB unable to break above the long trend line (in blue). Kweb has found a bottom in March 2022. Is Kweb bullish? Is it the end of the bear market for Chinese tech stocks? Here is everything you need to know before making a decision: - Currently the price is trying to create a bottoming base as we have seen higher lows (light black line) since March and the bearish trend line (blue) was broken. - I see an ascending triangle with the top horizontal line of the triangle at 32.71. We tried to break this line 3 times but failed to maintain above. A sustainable break above 32.71 would be considered as bullish. - We could backtest the rising black line of the ascending triangle before starting a bullish trend, but not sure. - Mind the small gap around 28 that could also be filled. - We're above the ichimoku cloud, which shows that the trend is changing. The lagging span (in green) still have to confirm the change of trend by crossing the bearish blue trend line. - China in quantitative easing mode as western economies are tightening. I'm long KWEB with a long term view. My buying zone is between 30 and 27.74 with a stop at 26.40 . Trade safe.
AMEX:KWEBLong
by Elpidaldo
#ALIBABA looking structurally bullishReally like the way Alibaba is bottoming here. Not only have we broken the steep downtrend which has held price down for the last year, but we have broken horizontal resistance at $120 while holding above a new daily uptrend line. Today is the first break above the 200dma since Feb 2021, which is another encouraging sign. Should we hold this breakout above $120 on the daily close today, next targets are $130 which was a major weekly pivot bottom from 2018. Further targets sits at 138.50 and then 161.
NYSE:BABALong
by MarcoOlevano
1
SSE Shanghai Composite W1 topped w/ a diamond? W2 comingThis China index confirmed its completion of ABC when lockdown ended & their economy resumes. It has risen so much from the ABC correction low of 2888 & we may see wave 1 topping out with a diamond reversal pattern. As seen in the past 2 times shown in chart, a diamond can be either a reversal or continuation pattern so proceed with caution. Reasons why I see this as a reversal: 1) index has already risen 500 points (2888 to 3388 completes the 5 sub-waves of wave 1) without any major retracement. 2) price was rejected exactly at wma 50 & an anchored VWAP from 3300 bottom of July 2021 3) price was rejected at the 2015 red trendline 4) price has reached the 1.272 FIB retracement of the most recent leg down (an ideal spot for abc zigzag retracements) The 2 most probable supports (the 2 yellow zones) for the wave 2 correction are: 1) the 0.383 FIB near the 3100 to 3200 pivot zone 2) the 0.618 zone near 3100 If wave 2 is shallow, then the future wave 4 may be a deeper correction like 61.8% or 78.6%. Not trading advice
SSE:000001Short
by xtremerider8