CN50 to find support at previous resistance?CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 13350 (stop at 13245)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
The 50% Fibonacci retracement is located at 13357 from 13116 to 13599.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 13350 level.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 13660 and 14440
Resistance: 13660 / 14440 / 15080
Support: 13180 / 12790 / 12400
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Chinastocks
Hang Seng bounced strongly! Is the China bull back?Something bullish is happening in China, potentially primarily due to the reopening and all the liquidity injections by the PBoC. China never raised rates while slowly adding liquidity to markets. We saw a significant capitulation when Xi became emperor for life by removing everyone that could potentially cause trouble to him from the CCP, as well as when we first saw the first sanctions on China by the US. It's clear that the US and China are in a cold war, and the US will keep imposing sanctions on China... Many of which might come back to bite it. Now there is talk about capital controls, yet China holds many US bonds and has been part of why inflation stayed low for so long. Of course, China has many issues, but so does the US, and what they both have in common is that they will have to print a ton of money.
What's critical here is that the Hang Seng has been trending lower for a while, especially since China started taking 'back' Hong Kong, but then started bottoming around peak China fears (never reopening + Taiwan invasion). For now, an invasion seems unlikely, and all the concerns about capital controls could not have the result everyone thinks they will. The market is incredibly oversold, and Chinese investors may be forced to repatriate their capital and start investing there.
''The Hang Seng Index can be used as a bellwether for markets worldwide. If the gain in Hang Seng holds, that would be a bullish indicant for markets worldwide. If the low is violated, that would suggest continued decline in other markets as well. We say this because the late January and early February market peaks were a worldwide phenomenon. Stocks, Bonds and Commodities all peaked in tandem, suggesting a shift in the underlying perception of the fundamentals from one of continued growth and declining inflation to one of slower growth or recession accompanied by persistent inflationary pressures.''
Milton W Berg CFA
@BergMilton
I agree with Milton, and to me, this looks special. First, HSI bounced right at the Yearly pivot. The bounce came to a massive rally from the lows, which swept the double top, hit resistance, and had a decent pullback. The bounce straight into the monthly pivot, which usually acts as a magnet. So we have gone from pivot to pivot very quickly. When looking at CN50, we get an extra confirmation that something bullish is happening. Again, massive rally, significant pullback, bounce at support, reclaim yearly pivot, a break above the monthly pivot, slight pullback, and sit right above the monthly pivot. Technically both look bullish to me.
Only a close of 2% below the recent lows would make me think that the market is about to keep going lower. Until then, I assume that both these markets are in a bull market and that China isn't as uninvestable as many make it seem to be. Of course, if you are a US investor, you shouldn't be investing in China, but for most of the rest of the world, China seems fine (for now). They keep getting cheap oil from Russia, they are politically stable (nobody to go against Xi), won't invade Taiwan anytime soon (based on what they saw in Ukraine), and Japan also kept printing and didn't raise rates (capital flows into China)
Buying CN50 at current swing low.CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 13261 (stop at 13101)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Trading within a Bearish Channel formation.
Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 13661 and 13741
Resistance: 13570 / 14235 / 15080
Support: 13110 / 12645 / 12070
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold BABA when Charlie Munger did:
or reentered when it was cheaper than the IPO:
Now looking at the BABA Alibaba options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $110 strike price Calls with
2023-8-18 expiration date for about
$10.20 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
I have chosen that expiration date to allow me to be wrong and not close the position and to have a bigger gain by the expiration date, if BABA Alibaba keeps on climbing.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Cobalt - Long; There is no such thing as a "cobalt mine"Cobalt occurs as a metal mining byproduct - mainly copper, zinc, etc. -, 80% of the world production is centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo - which is neither democratic nor a republic, or a state. (It's claim to fame is perpetual genocides, an endless civil war, accompanied with abject poverty.)
70% of cobalt refining capacity accompanied with worldwide cobalt mining interests is held by China. In short, the DRC has the cobalt and China owns the DRC.
The market recently became awash with the metal and prices promptly collapsed to multi-year lows. However, ...
... what about the "EV revolution"? ... (Which, I contend, is pure fiction on the scale as it is being imagined or rather, fantasized. But that's a longer story.)
The fundamental factors - i.e. the physics/chemistry - remain the same;
Lithium, the main component in almost every kind of electricity storage apparatus - i.e. batteries - is one of the least energy dense metal in the periodic table of elements. (Look at it's electron configuration and it will be immediately clear.) A pure lithium battery would be as effective as pissing into the wind. I.e. Lithium must be alloyed with something, most commonly with cobalt.
Long story short, there are two (2) potential plays here;
1) Glencore (OTC:GLNCY) - Long; The main chart; Watch for that Double-top at $14, though!
2) China Molybdenum (OTC:CMCLF) - Long; Should one trust the Chinese? ... (Might care to factor that in!)
Buying CN50 at trend of higher lows.CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 13540 (stop at 13470)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The trend of higher lows is located at 13455.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 13740 and 14235
Resistance: 14235 / 15080 / 16150
Support: 13110 / 12645 / 12070
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
TME: VCP Pattern / PowerPlaySetup: PowerPlay
VCP: 4W 14/5 2T
RS: 98
Contraction 2 is setting up after the turn (trendline). China stocks are leading!
The posted chart contains a VCP (volatility contraction pattern). The first label "W" stands for weekly and shows the duration of the entire consolidation. In the middle label, the percentage of contractions is indicated (for example, "15/4"), with 15 representing the -15% depth of the base and 4 representing -4% of the last contraction. The last part "T" represents the number of contractions. The light blue lines in the chart correspond to the contractions. A more detailed description can be found in Mark Minervini's books.
RS stands for relative strength and measures the strength of the stock compared to the overall market. The value range is 1-99 with 99 being the highest value. The rank was generated by fyntrade.
BABA Short IdeaGood setup for a short. Equity reached highs of the last run and starting to stumble while market ripping and showing some reversial potential here. Also not surprising is that it was one of the leaders in the up move and now is signalling where the market may go next. Red line SL, green lines TP 1, and 2, respectively. GL
$EDU: Bearsh ABCD into Bearish ABCD BAMM with 98% DownsideThis stock looks like it's setting up to lose pretty much all of it's current value below the moving averages and the Bearish ABCD with Bearish Divergence along with Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Weekly. There's also the terrible Earnings and there's just no justifying how bad it is. If this Bearish ABCD plays out then i'd expect an ABCD BAMM Movement down to around $0.75 i'll play it via long-dated puts.
COVID Zero Softening ? $BABAI'm following $BABA since a while for now and I think that is one of the biggest companies in the sector. China has a lot a potencial but we have to achive some millestones before we breakout this endless falling we're suffering. I'm LONG $BABA from this point. Perhaps until 85$ where the POC developes.
LKNCY - Breakout Entered Advance StageLKNCY has made a powerful breakout from its accumulation zone. This breakthrough came on the back of strong quarterly earnings, positive net income, and growing revenue.
INTRODUCTION:
LKNCY is a strong rival of Starbucks in China. It is rapidly adding new stores, reaching the nationwide number of nearly 8,000. In contrast, Starbucks has 6,000 stores in China despite its decades-long presence.
BREAKOUT & ADVANCE STAGE:
When a stock enters Advance Stage (called as Stage-2), its movement gets fast particularly when it is supported by strong earnings. LKNCY stayed in Accumulation Zone (Stage-1) rangebound for almost 2 years while the company did not post positive earnings for many years. But now, it has broken the resistance of accumulation stage, and entered advance stage on the back of impressive quarterly earnings.
EARNINGS GROWTH
Luckin's post-quarter revenue is up 18% while post-quarter earning has expanded a whopping 561%. Its earning trend and footprint growth in China shows it to be a truly growth stock. It has had negative margin for the past few years which kept its price growth lurking and slow. However, its revenue growth has never slowed down because of its rapid expansion and widening customer base.
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Although not enough data is available about the future growth of LKNCY, its current growth trend reveal good prospects for the future. Its technicals are sound and financials are rapidly improving.
HSI Anticipating lower high Weekly Analysis, looking for a lower high compared to 22565 with Weekly Hidden Bearish Divergence on both RSI & MACD
Using retraces for entries, tight stop at the .786 in case of possible reversal and full position at the .886
If you agree or disagree with the setup, please let me know and explain ! We're all here to learn and grow off each other!
PDD is following Up-Trending ChannelAfter following long-term down-trending channel, PDD has now taken successful reversal.
It is now:
1. Following an up-trending channel
2. Has completed Golden cross (50 MA crossed above 200 MA)
3. Has support of positivity in Chinese market
4. Has support of improving financial performance
Have any questions? Please feel free to ask in the comments.
Refer my previous article to know more about PDD.
PDD - Read to Fly?
PDD is ready to fly. Here are some solid reasons:
REASON 1 - Accumulation Completed
Down since February 2021, this e-commerce platform of China has taken a reversal. Entered accumulation zone in March 2022, now enough buying volumes and positive earnings have pushed it out of the accumulation zone. Breakout has occurred at 73 USD key price level, and so now stock seems to have entered advance zone while the key long-term resistance (All Time High) is at 214 USD - a gain of more than 100% possible.
REASON 2 - Higher Revenues & Net Income
The real fuel is provided by better earnings and further higher expectations in the future. Revenue has grown 23% in TTM while income has swelled 260% in TTM - both are impressive signals of continued growth. Further pedestal is provided by positive expectations of end of lock-down in China which can open-up locked industrial growth.
Risk
Still caution is needed as markets aren't out of wood.
FUTU - Breakout for Big Jump (150% Gain)Futu - a Chinese online brokerage & wealth management platform has finally broken its resistance of accumulation zone forming an ascending-triangle chart pattern.
This stock has tremendous potential. Let's know why:
1. Accumulation Completed
Futu entered accumulation stage (stage 1) somewhere in December 2021 following a steep fall inline with general market decline. Its growth was contained. But after a long accumulation period of about 1 year it has finally broken its accumulation zone with ascending triangle pattern, and has swiftly entered advanced stage (stage 2). One word of caution here: Buying volumes are not so high, but golden cross is imminent.
2. Earnings
Futu's revenues, which had slowed down in FY-2022, have again geared up with PQ growth of 11% in the recent quarter. Likewise, net income has grown 17%. These increases are not so high as they were in the previous years when Futu did mind-boggling growth, but mild gains are quite possible. Moreover, as it is a fast growing brokerage platform, its growth will resonate with the general market growth.
China A50 set for a corrective bounce?The China A50 has rallied over 13% since the October low and has since retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level. An elongated bullish Pinbar formed yesterday which shows strong demand around the bullish engulfing candle and marking a potential swing low within a bullish retracement channel. We are now looking for a break above 12,350 to assume bullish continuation and a move back towards the 13,000 resistance zone.
This could be the final move of a 3-wave correction, before it reverts to its bearish trend.