BABA may retest 87 zone if 100 fails; upsides are 110/120/130If BABA fails to hold the psychological 100 yellow zone, the the green 87 zone may be retested due to low volume below 100. Breaking 100 will also mean breaking below the red uptrendline as well as the Ichi Cloud in daily chart.
However if BABA holds 100 & the uptrendline, then we may see upside targets at 110, 120 & even 130. Last July there was a 2-day false BO above 120 resistance before BABA reversed down back inside the downward Fib Channel to retest 100. Breaking ma200 above 120 will be bullish.
Not trading advice
Chinastocks
Jamie Gun2Head Trade - Selling China50 Trade Idea: Selling China50
Reasoning: Reaction from major support level . Interim support at 1713 in front of FED meeting later today.
Entry Level: 13943
Take Profit Level: 13630
Stop Loss: 14078
Risk/Reward: 2.32:1
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Chinese stocks have incredible surprise for youChina is number one, huh? Are you really afraid of communistic party going mad and destroying everything they've earned with hard work last 20 years?
They already spread covid and use their russian doll to harm West and that will be enough for them to continue going forward and building more trading routes in South America, Africa and Asia. China is here to stay no matter you like it or not, but they are working hard and providing value.
Long your longs before FED change it's policy in September-November and revaluate food and energy weight in CPI indexes or else...
Also most covid noob plebs already out of stonks and crypto and done with investing, rooting in a crisis.
Would you buy the blood and fear here or sell with normies is the question?!
Dollar value is still going down since the day it was born no matter what.
7/17/22 LILi Auto Inc. ( NASDAQ:LI )
Sector: Consumer Durables (Motor Vehicles)
Market Capitalization: $37.118B
Current Price: $38.45
Breakout price: $39.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $38.10-$36.15
Price Target: $40.50-$41.40 (1st), $47.30-$48.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 13-15d (1st), 54-58d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $LI 8/19/22 40c, $LI 9/16/22 40c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.70/contract, $3.80/contract
KWEB: UNIQUE LONG TERM OPPORTUNITY?KWEB, Chinese internet ETF
Chinese techs have been in a bear market since February 2021, with the price of KWEB unable to break above the long trend line (in blue).
Kweb has found a bottom in March 2022.
Is Kweb bullish? Is it the end of the bear market for Chinese tech stocks?
Here is everything you need to know before making a decision:
- Currently the price is trying to create a bottoming base as we have seen higher lows (light black line) since March and the bearish trend line (blue) was broken.
- I see an ascending triangle with the top horizontal line of the triangle at 32.71. We tried to break this line 3 times but failed to maintain above. A sustainable break above 32.71 would be considered as bullish.
- We could backtest the rising black line of the ascending triangle before starting a bullish trend, but not sure.
- Mind the small gap around 28 that could also be filled.
- We're above the ichimoku cloud, which shows that the trend is changing. The lagging span (in green) still have to confirm the change of trend by crossing the bearish blue trend line.
- China in quantitative easing mode as western economies are tightening.
I'm long KWEB with a long term view. My buying zone is between 30 and 27.74 with a stop at 26.40 .
Trade safe.
#ALIBABA looking structurally bullishReally like the way Alibaba is bottoming here. Not only have we broken the steep downtrend which has held price down for the last year, but we have broken horizontal resistance at $120 while holding above a new daily uptrend line. Today is the first break above the 200dma since Feb 2021, which is another encouraging sign. Should we hold this breakout above $120 on the daily close today, next targets are $130 which was a major weekly pivot bottom from 2018. Further targets sits at 138.50 and then 161.
Chinese Property Equities Bubble Crash?Well, it has already popped. Evergrande is down 90%+ and Country Garden is almost down 60% from 2018 highs and testing 7.36 support.
A simple 1:1 extension of the 2018 drop would mean sub-14HKD prices are not too far away... watch for a break of local support at 19.20 for another 30% drop.
SSE Shanghai Composite W1 topped w/ a diamond? W2 comingThis China index confirmed its completion of ABC when lockdown ended & their economy resumes. It has risen so much from the ABC correction low of 2888 & we may see wave 1 topping out with a diamond reversal pattern. As seen in the past 2 times shown in chart, a diamond can be either a reversal or continuation pattern so proceed with caution.
Reasons why I see this as a reversal:
1) index has already risen 500 points (2888 to 3388 completes the 5 sub-waves of wave 1) without any major retracement.
2) price was rejected exactly at wma 50 & an anchored VWAP from 3300 bottom of July 2021
3) price was rejected at the 2015 red trendline
4) price has reached the 1.272 FIB retracement of the most recent leg down (an ideal spot for abc zigzag retracements)
The 2 most probable supports (the 2 yellow zones) for the wave 2 correction are:
1) the 0.383 FIB near the 3100 to 3200 pivot zone
2) the 0.618 zone near 3100
If wave 2 is shallow, then the future wave 4 may be a deeper correction like 61.8% or 78.6%.
Not trading advice
BABA: The worst is over?!Alibaba
Short Term - We look to Buy at 101.70 (stop at 87.10)
Broken out of the triangle formation to the upside. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A mild correction has been posted from yesterdays high, this is seen as a retest of the breakout level. Reverse trend line support comes in at 100.00. Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 139.64 and 150.00
Resistance: 140.00 / 160.00 / 200.00
Support: 100.00 / 90.00 / 60.00
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The SZSE Component Index 6/5/22The SZSE Component Index is an index of 500 stocks that are traded at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE). It is the main stock market index of SZSE.
Price reached Fib ( 0.618 )
Price reached Weekly FVG
Good opportunity of long position.
+41.5% if price reached first red line
Good Luck Trader💯💯
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🧅Disclaimer :There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. This is Not Financial Advice
🧅JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.🧅
6/12/22 KWEBKraneShares Trust CSI China Internet ETF ( AMEX:KWEB )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $--
Current Price: $37.80-$39.60
Breakout price: $32.70
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $31.60-$26.35
Price Target: $37.80-$39.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 50-53d
Contract of Interest: $KWEB 8/19/22 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.38/contract
China ETF GXC pre-launch testPreviously been highlighting China, particularly as Chian equites have been misunderstood, maligned, and assumed to have downside due to their tough COVID-19 strategies.
As expected, GXC launched with a gap up. However, this gap up did not translate further into a gap and run, but instead stalled. In view of the overall technical picture, it appears may have formed the last triangle pivot point.
Hence, the triangle has been adjusted accordingly, from previous.
The weekly chart has nice technicals with RPM and MACD crossing over upside. Would have preferred a more bullish candlestick for the week, but that did not happen.
The daily chart has a gap and stall, and this is likely to pan out with a retracement close and reopen the previous gap. Possibly to reconnect with the MA band, and then the real launch with a triangle breakout at the end of June. Path sketched out there.
Bullish but need some more baking time...
SSE COMPOSITE close to a bullish reversalThe Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE COMPOSITE) broke and closed today above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 12. This alone is a first major step towards restoring the long-term bullish sentiment. There are two more barriers ahead, the Lower Highs trend-line from December 13 2021 and then the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). In our opinion, the index can methodically hit each target if a 1D candle closes above the previous barrier.
For example now that we got the 1D close above the 1D MA50, a buyer can target the Lower Highs trend-line. If we close above the trend-line, then target the 1D MA200. Complete long-term reversal to the bullish trend should come only above the 3500 Resistance.
Notice that the RSI on the 1W time-frame has broken above its own MA trend-line and achieved Higher Highs, which is a strong step towards the direction described above.
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BABA may not hold 87 pivot; is 73 D. Bottom next or the 50 zone?BABA is in a long downward pitchfork since the 320 ATH. In this weekly chart, BABA has been oscillating between the 2 green PITCHFORK lines (in a closing basis) since it made a diamond continuation pattern last Nov2021.
Last week it bounced from the pitchfork mired dotted median line has turned down again to the 87 pivot zone. If the 87 pivot zone doesn’t hold, we may see a double bottom at 73.
Worst case scenario may be the Max Pain zone at 50 to 45 down back to the green line but the bottom reversal will be very fast this time. That will take us back to 57.20 the 2015 bottom before the 5 Elliott waves even started, erasing all gains.
Not trading advice
BABA Stock buy area for long timeThe price of Baba stock is around 86$ after dropping 77% from 320$ .
i believe it is good area to start first buying and if drop more and more, second buying will be around 65 to 70 $ .
first target is around 130$, and second target 180$ , and third target is 216$.
this one without stop loss and without leverage.
Risk management is your work .
Good luck
Thank you.
one.exness.link
China ETF GXC finding its foot to launchThe China ETF, GXC, has in recent weeks been beaten down. This is great part dur to concerns about their ideology about a Zero COVID strategy, where it comes with great economic costs. The Western media (mostly) has had a field day whacking China on their "primitive" idea, saying that it is impossible, it is unreasonable, it is irrational, etc.
I beg to differ...
The saying... "Do not listen to what people say; watch closely what people do" is apt for application here.
China has an idealogy it is willing to play out. It also indicates that there is something about CoV2 that they might know, which if true, are not telling the rest of the world about it. And as the world is in bewilderment, makes a laughing stock of China, I do beg to differ. Something deep, something beyond what meets the eye is underlying this hidden dragon.
Meanwhile, with bated breath it can be observed the Chain equities have been beaten down... as Shanghai is locked down, and Beijing is at risk of being locked down too. Thing here is... intently watching and looking for a bottoming, it is observed that it might be just starting to break out to the upside.
The GXC Daily chart is showing a pick up in Money Flow, MACD and RPM are starting to synchronously push upside. Still early days, but with turning indicators, and as price closed the last day of the week above a consolidation range, it is encouraging
Would be looking for a triangle / trend line breakout, with indicators breaking out into bullish territory. The next two weeks would be critical to watch closely.
5/11/22 JDJD.com, Inc. ( NASDAQ:JD )
Sector: Retail Trade (Internet Retail)
Market Capitalization: $88.170B
Current Price: $51.65
Breakdown price: $50.30
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $64.35-$57.45
Price Target: $44.00-$42.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 67-70d
Contract of Interest: $JD 9/16/22 50p
Trade price as of publish date: $7.22/contract
Which Chinese firms face delisting from US stock exchanges?Geopolitical tensions between China and the US have escalated in recent years amid efforts by both countries to become the world’s economic powerhouse.
Speculations that the Chinese economy would overtake the US by 2030 have led to tit-for-tat tariffs, sanctions, and a revamp of capital market rules aimed at reducing Chinese companies’ access to American investors’ money.
Last week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission added more than 80 more companies to a growing list of Chinese firms that are facing a potential delisting from US stock exchanges.
Trump-era accounting law
Former President Donald Trump signed into law the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) in December 2020, threatening to kick Chinese companies off US bourses if they fail to comply with auditing rules set by the US Public Accounting Oversight Board.
China has since repeatedly slammed the law, describing it as discriminatory and distorts "the basic norms of the market economy." Beijing also denies access to listed companies’ accounting documents, citing state secret concerns.
Protecting state secrets
The country's State Secret Law, which was enacted in May 1989, seeks to protect state secrets and safeguard national interests. This law has prevented the Chinese units of the Big Four accounting firms from handing over certain corporate information to overseas entities.
Even before the HFCAA was passed, the US has already expelled a number of big Chinese firms like the country’s big three telcos: China Telecom (HKG:0728), China Mobile (HKG:0941) and China Unicom (HKG:0762). China Telecom and China Mobile have since raised funds in the mainland market, joining China Unicom to tap into local capital. The Trump administration cited the company’s alleged ties with the Chinese military as the reason for the move.
Chinese oil major China National Offshore Oil or CNOOC (HKG:0883) was also delisted from the New York Stock Exchange in October 2021 for the same reason, prompting it to raise funds at home. Less than a month ago, CNOOC raised about $4.4 billion on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in one of this year’s biggest IPOs.
Most recently, more firms could be booted from US bourses after the SEC released a provisional list of firms that are found to be violating US auditing rules.
Dozens face delisting risks
Last week, more than 80 companies have been added to the list including CNOOC peers Sinopec (NYSE:SNP) and PetroChina (NYSE:PTR). Both companies are already listed on the Shanghai bourse.
Tech firms including e-commerce giant JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Tencent Music Entertainment (NYSE:TME), Trip.com (NASDAQ:TCOM) and electric carmaker NIO (NYSE:NIO) were also added to the list last week, joining big names like aluminum giant Aluminum Corp. of China or Chalco (NYSE:ACH).
Some firms like JD.com have since vowed to protect their US listing status. The company on Thursday said it will "strive to maintain” its listing on the Nasdaq stock market and has been actively exploring possible solutions.
Market reaction
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks 98 of China's biggest US-listed firms, tumbled over 17% over the past five trading sessions since the May 4 SEC announcement.
The passage of the HFCAA marks the latest challenge for US-listed Chinese companies after the SEC earlier warned American investors about investing in shares of Chinese companies that operate through a variable interest entity (VIE) structure, which had been used by companies like Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) to bypass foreign investment restrictions.
The SEC warned in September 2021 that if either the Chinese firm or its US-listed shell company breach their contracts, "US investors may suffer significant losses with little or no recourse available."
CHINA: End of a 17 Year Consolidation - Epic Breakout next?
Regardless of your political bias, here's the bullish case
- Pandemic, regulatory clampdown, China-fear mongering has driven stocks down
- Broke down from pennant in April 2022 but recovered and closed within pennant - bear trap?
- Structural shift in new world order (see Ray Dahlio's animated explanation www.youtube.com)
- Curious timing where the major investment banks have gotten majority control of their China business in 2020
- US coming to an end of a 40 year major cycle and a 90 year mega cycle - have printed money out of their problems for the last decade or more. End of low interest rate environment. Funds have to flow somewhere!
$BABA Retest/Short Opportunity
Filled downside gap in a hurry, another gap up held for 2 days. Some brewing rumors hitting wires "China to impose compulsory measures on a person with surname of Ma" per Chinese media.
I think this retests a vwap ($108.41 to be exact) and an obvious place of resistance and sellers. Depending on global macros this could change quickly obviously.
Looking for a probing of $108-$110 then rejection. Always size appropriately for you're own risk management. A bevy of stops set below $80 is likely which could flush this down closer to it's all time lows.