Pinduoduo Holds Key Level as China Tech StabilizesChinese technology stocks like Pinduoduo were among the top performers in 2020. They’ve pulled back hard in the last two months, but now certain members of the group are showing signs of stability.
PDD could have the most interesting patterns. First is its recent bounce around $120, which matches a high-volume bullish gap from a strong earnings report on November 12.
Second, consider how that line corresponds with the rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Next is the upward-turning MACD.
PDD might not be well known in the U.S., but its $160 billion market cap makes it bigger than about 90 percent of the S&P 500. It gained more than 550 percent between April 2020 and February 2021.
We can also look at some of its peers like Bilibili, Vishops and Baidu.
BILI has basing pattern around $100:
VIPS has based out around its 200-day SMA with some kicker candlesticks near the lows:
BIDU has held $200 following a single high-volume bounce from under $180:
Consider last the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index , which tracks the broader Chinese technology group. It bounced twice at its 200-day SMA. Also notice how buyers defended 15,000, which was a peak in late December. Is old resistance new support?
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Chinatech
Photronic Future Projection and DD over the coming ~3 monthsI project an increase in the stock price of NASDAQ:PLAB due to:
Increase in revenue since the last quarter.
Commitment to Chinese and Taiwanese production plants that have a solid backing of governmental support.
New technologies within the industry combined with a solid demand that wont decrease and the mono-product nature of Photronic.
Demand for smartphones and similar products have increased in the last quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2021.
Internally the company believes that the industry-wide stocks is oversold, as told in their 'Photronics Q1 - FY21 Earnings' web-conference available on their website.
The lack of supply of their product market-wide has made possible for the first time in 35 years an increase in main-stream pricing of their product, as shared in the same conference at the 40 minute mark.
Available on the website is also two videos, hosted on YouTube, discussing two of their most recent production plants in China. But the low view-count (500) tells me they are videos made for investment meetings and similar meetings and therefore the company itself are making big steps to increase their production and gain governmental and private support.
As far as indicators go:
The MACD is below 0 and looks to move over the signal line and over the 0 line again.
The Ichimoku cloud has a red cloud within the near future but I project that it will quickly close and return to a green cloud.
The RSI is below the mid line and the current situation is reflected in past movements of the RSI.
As far as fundamentals go:
The support and resistance of the stock has had incremental increases since the start of the quarter.
The revenue movement compared to last years Q1 is only -2%, which is a market situation that doesn't reflect most other industries as many are still recovering from the effects of Covid-19.
As far as the only negative I can find in this DD is that the CEO of the company sold a fifth of his personal stocks for an undervalued price of around 11$ at the turn of the year. It could be personal reasons or a need for more capital in the company could have necessitated this sell of, but in any case its the only point I cannot fully explain or reason, but that may also be down to a lack of experience on my own part. If you have any thoughts on this please share.
Personally, I have an alert set for the crossing of the Ichimoku Conversion line up and over the Ichimoku Base Line to indicate a value increase that could projectically rise and stay risen at least temporarily over the next month or two.
Thank you, and please, if you have any other thoughts or counter-points make sure to share them so I may discuss this symbol with you.
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Alibaba's chart resembles Apple before its recent breakoutToday was Singles Day for cyber-shoppers in Asia. The annual event by Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (BABA) set another record, up 27 percent from 2018.
Earnings have beaten estimates for the last three quarters. BABA's also a key stock to watch if trade relations between the U.S. and China continue to show signs of improvement.
Still, it's been trapped in a range all year while making higher lows. Interestingly, the current price action may resemble Apple (AAPL) about two months ago. The iPhone maker was in a range and holding its 50-day SMA. Then it broke a triangle and paused for a few weeks before heading to new highs. Does BABA face a similar setup now?
BABA AAPL
Here's the AAPL chart showing price action in September and October: