The Chinese bond market is showing signs of a bubble, with rapid declines in bond yields and aggressive government interventions. Despite these warnings, some investors remain bullish due to a lack of alternatives. A potential burst could lead to significant financial instability, economic slowdown, and global market contagion. Key Indicators of a Bubble: ...
... and it is about to roll over. E.g. Sell it ALL!! This is the year (2023) to start the Long March (a familiar theme in Chinese history), to gain full stride, right into oblivion. Namely, the Chinese demographic implosion which has been gathering speed for quite a while now, will hit that country with undeniable force, essentially halving the population in...
This is a summary of Michael Pettis' 'Can China’s Long-Term Growth Rate Exceed 2–3 Percent?' carnegieendowment.org As the text was quite long, this summarizes some critical points. China's high investment share of GDP and growing debt burden are interrelated, stemming from an investment-driven growth model that began in the 1980s when the country needed...
I believe, for sometime KWEB should take a pause for a brief time: 1) The current price is right at the resistance zone on the weekly chart ($31.xy to $32.nm) - We can see many times in the past the price has turned back from these levels. 2) 50 ema on weekly chart is right at the resistance, working as double resistance for the price move. 3) Dragon fly doji at...
The chinese Index isn't kidding around when it comes to fulfilling those New Year's resolutions and is using all its power to climb all the way North. We're expecting the Hang Seng to rise further into the turquoise target zone to complete the red wave (3). After completion, the course should fall back into a correction in order to finish the red wave (3). In case...
After following long-term down-trending channel, PDD has now taken successful reversal. It is now: 1. Following an up-trending channel 2. Has completed Golden cross (50 MA crossed above 200 MA) 3. Has support of positivity in Chinese market 4. Has support of improving financial performance Have any questions? Please feel free to ask in the comments. Refer my...
The SZSE Component Index is an index of 500 stocks that are traded at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE). It is the main stock market index of SZSE. Price reached Fib ( 0.618 ) Price reached Weekly FVG Good opportunity of long position. +41.5% if price reached first red line Good Luck Trader💯💯 . . . . . . 🧅Disclaimer :There are risks associated with investing in...
The last time that the price was around 100 $ was at the IPO (2014) and then between AUG 2016- JAN 2017 TOTALL ASSET : IPO(2014) : 41.27 B 2016: 73.55 B 2017: 114.01 B 2020: 257.86 B 2021 :276.25 B (UNTIL Q3) GROSS PROFIT : IPO(2014) : 8.12 B 2016: 14.05 B 2017: 20.66 B 2020: 42.09 B 2021: Q1 + Q2 +Q3 =37.25 + Q4(9.03)(IF WE CONSIDER SAME AZ Q4 OF 2020) =...
Excerpt from Petition:" Source from Petition LLC "Shenzhen-based The Evergrande Group ($EGRNF) is China’s second largest property developer by sales and the 122nd largest developer in the world by revenue according to the 2021 Fortune Global 500 List.* While its core business is buying land and developing it into residential real estate, it is really an...
CEO of ecommerce SaaS company says global platforms are actively courting Chinese sellers. If there's anyone who can explain how Chinese ecommerce sellers have become so successful on Amazon, it's Zhang Jie. The 38-year-old Shanghai-based entrepreneur became an eBay vendor in 2004 and was one of the first Chinese people to explore overseas ecommerce...
This is very likely a one-way move (up) here - as all previous examples would illustrate. Most importantly, this is one of (if not "The") most lopsided FX (and debt, and credit, etc.) positioning currently on the entire Globe! (Everyone and everything is currently Net Short the Dollar vs. the Yuan!) Ergo, as this move gets going (up) it is only likely to gain...
A lot can be expected between the US dollar and the Chinese Yuan in the next coming days / weeks. I think history has the best story to tell and here, I share my overall trends in which the USDCNH has been trading. The U.S. dollar greatly depreciated against the Chinese Yuan and created a pin bar on its all time ascending support I think we could potentially see...
We observed a strong selling signal just before the exit of the trade. The suppor t is still very strong but we noticed a second possible support if the market decides to break the first black line. Possibility of formation or larger candlesticks with huge volumes indicating a significant change. Possibility , therefore, of generating profits in...
The main event of the previous week was not a meeting of the Bank of England or even a decision of the Fed (both the Central Banks left monetary policy parameters unchanged). This is not data on US GDP (annual growth rates have been the weakest since 2016: 2.3% in 2019 compared to 2.9% in 2018), but the coronavirus epidemic in China. Yes, so far the epidemic has...