$BABA Sometimes the market gets it wrongYesterday was a typical knee jerk reaction to weekend news. Alibaba sold off to test $58 (-20%) early in the session, just to recover a bit and close at $63,15
I think the market got the fire sale on Chinese listed tech companies wrong
I'm expecting a short term bounce to close some gaps that was the result of this sale
Buy price $58,83
Target price is $69,50
Stop loss just below yesterday's LOD $58
Chinesestocks
China A50 index to fall below the 500-week moving average?China A50 index ( CN50 ), a measure of the Chinese onshore market that keeps track of 50 of the biggest Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges, broke a major upward trend that had been in place since 2016.
The technical picture sees the A50 index currently dominated by a descending channel pattern, having fallen 42% from its peak in February 2021, with prices now approaching a remarkable 500-week moving average.
Given the slowdown in the Chinese economy caused by the government's Zero covid policy, the downward trend in Chinese stocks has been ongoing for a while. However, the most recent sell-off has been triggered by a crumbling confidence among foreign investors as a result of Xi Jinping's reelection as president for a third term and a leadership reshuffle within the Politburo Standing Committee during the 20th National Congress.
The A50 index may not have reached its bottom yet, if the Zero-Covid policy and growing doubts about the new policymakers' plans for the country's economic future continue to dampen Chinese growth prospects. Even though the weekly RSI is beginning to exhibit extremely oversold conditions, which is extremely unusual for this market and hasn't happened since August 2011, bears still have total control over the index. But, given the wild price swings of the past few days, some technical and short-term price bounces could still happen.
The psychological 11,000 point level, which is down 7% from here, and the 10,200 point level, which was the low of January 2019 (down 14% from here), provide the next significant supports. The A50 will have dropped 50% from its peak if it reaches levels from January 2019, which might encourage some dip buying there.
Chinese Stocks Inverse H&S reversal? BABA had strong earnings and beat earnings expectations.
The stock popped and retraced back however it is showing nice support on that right shoulder along with XPEV and & NIO.
I like these stocks as a buy here and think they can easily reach the neckline resistance by the end of the month. They
They have all broke their respective downtrends.
XPEV & NIO have earnings this month and with many people converting to electric vehicles they could surprise us in a good way.
Im still skeptical on SPY at current levels so I would like to see how these stocks react on the next retracement/correction/continuation.
BABA respecting the diagonal trendlineSo far BABA is respecting the diagonal trendline and we've expected this retest. The short and midterm MA's are still in uptrend. BABA is approaching 200 MA, which will be crucial to break and continue higher. We'll most likely retest around there again. Fingers crossed. LT investors deserve some relief in this stock.
YUMC - 200MA - uptrendYUMC - some China related names truly look delicious. YUMC is an American Chinese Fortune 500 fast-food restaurant company based in Plano, Texas, operating in China. Lockdowns are soon over. China just decreased quarantine requirements from 14 to 7 days. This stock is sitting on 200MA. Ready to fly?
this stock is in a critical levelhello investors
Wow the beauty of halves of trends is clear and fascinating here in this chart.
I explain: we are in 50% of the big uptrend correction and also in the 50% of the last downtrend corection so if the elipse zone are broken you should ride the trend up or down.
Remember please that I am not using cristal ball predicting markets' future but I try to be more effecient and more rationnal
Do not hesitate if you want some explanation and more analysis of other markets, just ask me and i will be glade to answer you
an other up channel will accurehello, this stock has a big oppotuinity to grow up more and more,
why?
As you see it tried to break out its channel several times by keeping its uptrend. so if you see it breaks up that up corridor stay at your buying position and blow up your earns.
targets are showen on my chart
NB: i don't have a cristal ball predicting markest' future but i try to be more efficientr and rationnal in my trading.
Good luck and let some feedbacks if you want more markets analysis (you can ask me other markets)
The SZSE Component Index 6/5/22The SZSE Component Index is an index of 500 stocks that are traded at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE). It is the main stock market index of SZSE.
Price reached Fib ( 0.618 )
Price reached Weekly FVG
Good opportunity of long position.
+41.5% if price reached first red line
Good Luck Trader💯💯
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🧅Disclaimer :There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. This is Not Financial Advice
🧅JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.🧅
ALIBABA, a raging bull rearing its horns! BUY now!BABA just broke out of its
long respected descending trendline,
with considerable volume.
Key resistance level to break is 120, breaking above will mean a surge all the way to key resistance at 180
Actions:
1. Buy the retest of trendline @ current price
2. Wait for a break above key resistance @ 120
Targets:
1. 180 (prev key support flipped resistance)
2. 230 (Big key resistance)
Right now BABA is cheaply valued for its massive potential and earnings, definitely a value buy at these current price levels !!
Definitely a stock to hold for the long term, even if you are not intending to trade it
Which Chinese firms face delisting from US stock exchanges?Geopolitical tensions between China and the US have escalated in recent years amid efforts by both countries to become the world’s economic powerhouse.
Speculations that the Chinese economy would overtake the US by 2030 have led to tit-for-tat tariffs, sanctions, and a revamp of capital market rules aimed at reducing Chinese companies’ access to American investors’ money.
Last week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission added more than 80 more companies to a growing list of Chinese firms that are facing a potential delisting from US stock exchanges.
Trump-era accounting law
Former President Donald Trump signed into law the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) in December 2020, threatening to kick Chinese companies off US bourses if they fail to comply with auditing rules set by the US Public Accounting Oversight Board.
China has since repeatedly slammed the law, describing it as discriminatory and distorts "the basic norms of the market economy." Beijing also denies access to listed companies’ accounting documents, citing state secret concerns.
Protecting state secrets
The country's State Secret Law, which was enacted in May 1989, seeks to protect state secrets and safeguard national interests. This law has prevented the Chinese units of the Big Four accounting firms from handing over certain corporate information to overseas entities.
Even before the HFCAA was passed, the US has already expelled a number of big Chinese firms like the country’s big three telcos: China Telecom (HKG:0728), China Mobile (HKG:0941) and China Unicom (HKG:0762). China Telecom and China Mobile have since raised funds in the mainland market, joining China Unicom to tap into local capital. The Trump administration cited the company’s alleged ties with the Chinese military as the reason for the move.
Chinese oil major China National Offshore Oil or CNOOC (HKG:0883) was also delisted from the New York Stock Exchange in October 2021 for the same reason, prompting it to raise funds at home. Less than a month ago, CNOOC raised about $4.4 billion on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in one of this year’s biggest IPOs.
Most recently, more firms could be booted from US bourses after the SEC released a provisional list of firms that are found to be violating US auditing rules.
Dozens face delisting risks
Last week, more than 80 companies have been added to the list including CNOOC peers Sinopec (NYSE:SNP) and PetroChina (NYSE:PTR). Both companies are already listed on the Shanghai bourse.
Tech firms including e-commerce giant JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Tencent Music Entertainment (NYSE:TME), Trip.com (NASDAQ:TCOM) and electric carmaker NIO (NYSE:NIO) were also added to the list last week, joining big names like aluminum giant Aluminum Corp. of China or Chalco (NYSE:ACH).
Some firms like JD.com have since vowed to protect their US listing status. The company on Thursday said it will "strive to maintain” its listing on the Nasdaq stock market and has been actively exploring possible solutions.
Market reaction
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks 98 of China's biggest US-listed firms, tumbled over 17% over the past five trading sessions since the May 4 SEC announcement.
The passage of the HFCAA marks the latest challenge for US-listed Chinese companies after the SEC earlier warned American investors about investing in shares of Chinese companies that operate through a variable interest entity (VIE) structure, which had been used by companies like Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) to bypass foreign investment restrictions.
The SEC warned in September 2021 that if either the Chinese firm or its US-listed shell company breach their contracts, "US investors may suffer significant losses with little or no recourse available."
Increasing interest in performing Chinese stocksThe good business results and the removal of the danger of the ban on Chinese stocks report on Pinduoduo the interests of large investors.
From the indicator Miracle Viewer it is possible to see as the institutional ones are about to pass long on the title and like the professional investor they are already.
I expect the stock price to rise.
Are investors bullish on Chinese stocks again?A raft of regulations targeting a number of sectors — from technology to real estate and education — have hammered Chinese stocks late last year and into 2022, and although many economists remain bullish on Chinese stocks’ potential, Beijing’s relationship with the Kremlin is now weighing on investor appetite for Chinese shares.
On Friday, April 1, Shanghai’s SSE Composite Index tumbled 5.8% year on year, and is down 9.6% from the start of the year. The SZSE Component Index, the benchmark index of the tech-heavy Shenzhen Stock Exchange, is also down 13.2% year over year on Friday, and 17.3% lower year-to-date.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, likewise tanked 31.9% from last year as of Friday, and down 8% year-to-date.
2021 in retrospect
In 2021, Chinese companies were hit with regulatory changes as Beijing sought to weed out anti-competitive behavior, online gaming addiction, excessive childcare and education costs, and eliminate other risks in the private sector.
Beijing’s crackdown on the tech and financial technology sector led to the record fine of over 18 billion yuan (around $3 billion) on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), the transition of Alibaba’s mobile payments arm Ant Group into a financial holding company and a raft of rules aimed at data security and anti-monopoly, among others.
The government also targeted the education sector last year, launching sweeping rules that upended for-profit tutoring companies. New rules aimed at protecting minors also took a toll on the operations and revenue of big gaming companies like Tencent Holdings (HKG:0700) and NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES).
Towards the end of last year, the vulnerability of China’s property sector came to light as China Evergrande's (HKG:3333) massive debt pileup of more than $300 billion highlighted the risks of the country’s highly-leveraged real estate sector that many fear would lead to a wider contagion affecting the country's financial industry and the global markets.
These factors led to a sell-off of Chinese stocks at home and in the US, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (INDEXNASDAQ: HXC), which tracks 98 of China's biggest US-listed firms, posting its sharpest drop since the financial crisis of 2008 in March after reaching an all-time high in February 2021. As of writing, the HXC is trading lower than its 2008 peak after retracing approximately 70% of the gains it made since its 2008 bottom.
Booting Chinese stocks from US exchanges
Geopolitical tensions and data security concerns prompted the US Securities and Exchange Commission to tighten its auditing rules on Chinese companies listed on US bourses. This threatens the US listing status of companies like KFC operator Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Twitter-like Weibo (NASDAQ:WB), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), and iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ).
Even before these firms were added to the SEC’s “provisional list” of companies that are found to be violating the US Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, the US has already booted several Chinese companies — including China’s big three telecommunications companies — over the past year, citing data security concerns and other alleged violations.
Bullish on Chinese stocks
Despite uncertainties over the outlook for China’s regulatory environment in the coming years, some global banks and economists including Bernstein, Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs remain bullish on Chinese stocks.
Credit Suisse upgraded its outlook on China, noting that values may be depressed, while Goldman Sachs underscored the investability of Chinese assets due to the liberalization and reform measures in the Chinese capital markets, which according to the bank backs its view that China equity is an asset class “that is too big, too growthy, and too vibrant to ignore.”
Geopolitical woes, COVID-19 risks remain
However, some economists are polarized on their outlook on Chinese stocks due to lingering geopolitical tensions and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases that recently prompted lockdowns in two of the country's most populous cities.
Reports highlighting Beijing’s relationship with Russia might be reducing investor appetite for Chinese stocks. Beijing has refused to back a global condemnation of the Kremlin’s military actions against Ukraine, refusing to describe the attacks as an invasion.
US-listed Chinese companies have lost over $1.1 trillion in market value in recent weeks due to these concerns and Asian Corporate Governance Association’s Jamie Allen told CNBC over a week ago that the delisting of US-listed Chinese firms could come in the next two to three years.
GXC... perhaps it is timeSo, the double tailed candles on the weekly chart only resulted on a week of downside, but the second week proved resilient.
The daily chart shows the spike down blowout and the immediate recovery. This indicates very strong support at about 98-100. The new interim support at 102 is holding too.
Now, I expected the lack of liquidity and sentiment to push lower, accentuated by the Chinese New Year absence of market participants. But this appears to be a subtle bullish hint that once the two week holiday is over, this dragon will fly... am expecting a test of the daily 55EMA, maybe even popping over the resistance (white line). Daily technicals are supportive.
$DIDI reversal - EMA Cloud Breakout $DIDI possibly bottomed out chart @ 4
CMF went positive on the 10m,1h,2h chart. 1d should follow
The momentum is about to cross 0 on the 1d chart.
RSI has left oversold zone
The last 3 sessions closed green.
MACD Curling.
Reversal in play
GXC Long Range CycleJust doing some research and then realized that the GXC (China ETF) has a 10 year historical cycle pattern. In this pattern, it appears to be at a bottoming out period.
Just sharing an observation from the technical cycle aspects. Other qualifiers suggest a similar indication (not discussed herein).
What you also can observe is that there is a peak about 2/3 into the cycle... which projects about end 2023 peak from the current projected bottom.