Buying a LTCBTC PullbackCOINBASE:LTCBTC Litecoin has been on a majestic bull run somewhat suddenly. Even when compared to bitcoin as seen on this LTCBTC chart, its been an epic couple of weeks. A few things I'm observing here makes me like litecoin as a multi-week trade. The floor of this chart is extremely healthy. A fib retracement from Dec '17 lows to the Feb 2018 highs shows how sellers got trapped (or greedy if short) selling at high volume on a close below the 88.6 fib, only for buyers to re-appear and price to float slowly higher. I see the potential for a cup & handle pattern developing here. The weekly chart Ichimoku cloud system suggests we should begin to see some strong resistance as the Chinkou Span (orange lagging line) challenges the cloud top (also the 38.2% fib). At this point, I expect a decent dip, maybe even a lower shadow challenging the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud, but likely not a weekly close below the 61.8% retracement point, similarly to what we saw earlier this week before the blast-off. This could be anytime in the next few weeks (maybe even the next few days). I plan to add more Litecoin to my crypto portfolio anywhere around the 0.013 BTC price. A drop below 0.010 BTC would suggest weakness, and a weekly close below 0.012 BTC may even spell short-term pain. However, the pattern isn't technically invalidated unless it takes out the previous lows, and as we've seen time and time again, crypto loves to trap with excruciating wicks.
As far as targets go, 0.03 BTC is absolutely possible by this summer. I won't necessarily hold all my LTC until then, simply because it tends to be so volatile, but if we approach this price point, I'll definitely be letting some loose. Expect resistance at psychological levels ($100 may be right around the corner), but unless we start putting in lower lows again, I don't see getting bearish again as a very good idea anytime soon.
Chinkou
Bitcoin’s final destination close to $4920Today’s insights.
Although the left chart shows a significant support zone between 5555 and 5920, the OBV indicator still shows a downtrend of volume.
The bears rule the game.
We separate two time periods for more studies the recent downsides.
2018/01/05 to 2018/02/10: bitcoin price dropped 50% near one month
2018/03/05 to 2018/06/19: bitcoin price dropped 42% near three months
Obviously, we see that the recent fear was smaller than at the beginning of this year. Because most of us should know or technical analysed or even mentally prepared that bitcoin will fall to a bargaining level i.e. 4k to 5k.
If the support zone lost the name what it is called, then what will we do ? because there is no demand zone any more !
Ichimoku analysis may help you to locate where the support or resistance is.
This time we use chinkou span that many ichimoku traders selectively ignored.
The chinkou span cross bearish signal occurs when the chinkou span falls below the price.
The yellow oval A was telling us that chinkou span lies adjacent kumo, it was not safe to go SHORT.
However, the yellow oval B was telling us that chinkou span lies under kumo, it was safe to go SHORT. (i.e. since 7700)
Chinkou span fell sharply two days ago and what will you expect the market does (Falling or Rising)?
Now, we drew some dotted lines so that you will know how our logic thinking work.
Each dotted line tells you the chinkou span hooked either in a V-shape or inverted V-shape.
Chinkou span in V-shape means support, while chinkou span in inverted V-shape means resistance.
When you look carefully between the relationship of chinkou span and the price, you will see the below findings.
Chinkou span 1 @ 7807 : Support became Resistance
Chinkou span 2 @ 6874 : Support became Resistance
Well, you may discovered that chinkou span is the closing price shifted into the past, the cross that triggers this signal will be 26 days behind the price and, hence, the actual date that the signal occurs. The strength of the signal is determined by the relationship of the price on the date of the signal to the kumo.
How about Chinkou span 3 @ 5870 and Chinkou span 4 @ 4921 ? These are the exercises you are going to watch in the next couple of days.