AMD more downside?This is the perfect example of Support becoming resistance.
Look at how many times price rejected off previous support now resistance, and every time it forms a new trendline which breaks and set new lows.
This could be a great opportunity to short it towards $80
Keep in mind AMD reports earnings this week ...
Chips
Nvidia Losing SteamNvidia and other tech stocks like AMD are losing steam. Currently it is outside of it's main channel and printing a head and shoulders pattern. I am expecting some kind of bounce in the DCA area, the trick is to buy s l o w l y so you don't get caught without liquidity.
It's been nothing but bad news for the stock market, and the next Nvidia offerings are a ways away. Sit tight and buckle up, it's discount season soon
MU breaking above pivotMU is trying to bounce of long time support ($65.65) and has just taken out a swing low from 4/18 ($69.75)
From here there is room to retest highs at $76.00
It does need to break above $70 again in my opinion.
Trade idea:
Entry: Above $70.00
Target: $75.00
Contract idea: $75c 6/13 (currently trading at $1.00)
Stop Loss: 65.50
Disclaimer: This is not a trade signal, This is just a trade idea. Trade at your own risk
$TSLA: Conservative ApproachLots of attention with Elon Musk regarding TWTR; therefore, TSLA is also reacting.
I'd say be a little conservative on TSLA and keep in mind how the broader markets are behaving -- not just on a small time frame like 1-5 minutes.
Yes, it may be a fantastic company with a great product, brilliant leader, etc.; however, as technicians we need to focus on 'what is happening' in the now without the human biased emotions of thinking what the company 'could be' or 'could not be' in the future. Does it fall today? That is up to the markets. Keep focused on what the broader markets are doing so you don't get stuck holding the bag due to 'thoughts and theories' forecasted 5-15 years from now.
Never know, we could see that retail trader/investor spike at the open (FOMO chasing the price up) and trend lower the rest of the day. This doesn't go for just TSLA, but broader implications.
Trade Smart; Live to Trade Another Day!
ASML BARR + Broadening descending wedge1D Chart: Normal candle.
On the day we look at the course of the Bump & Run compared to the previous TA. ( )
This is because we are on the verge of claiming or being rejected as the price is now on the “Lead-In line”.
This Friday will probably play a role in that, if the bulls really claim this, the RUN can be used.
What is also interesting on the day chart? Is that when the EMA crosses 26 on the EMA 50 a Mini Golden Cross occurs which is the beginning of bullish momentum. Of course, the EMA 50 on the 200 is the intersection that is an extra confirmation on that.
4H chart: Normal candle
On the 4 hour chart we zoom in on the Broadening Descending Wedge which has more or less put us on the Lead-In line of the bigger picture. The price is still above the old neckline of the previous M pattern and I would like to see the bulls claim this zone (as indicated on the day) to be able to move further up. What worries me a bit is the gap that is a lot lower and is also beyond the Golden Pocket. Also keep an eye on that scenario because in the MACD indicator we see that a downward crossing has been made, this can be temporary but I would like to add.
I also share the 4H chart: in Heikin ashi which I often find gives a calmer picture.
$RIVN - Ready to Make New LowsEarnings were not kind to $LCID.
Lucid Group cut its car production forecast for this year by as much as 40%.
The company cited supply chain constraints and parts quality issues for slashing production to between 12,000 and 14,000 vehicles, down from initial expectations of 20,000.
“This reflects the extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges we’ve encountered and our unrelenting focus on delivering the highest-quality products,” Lucid CEO Peter Rawlinson said in a statement. “We remain confident in our ability to capture the tremendous opportunities ahead given our technology leadership and strong demand for our cars.”
It hasn't been much different for car companies across the world, EV or not.
This brings us to RIVN. A stock that has been cratering from its highs earlier this year. They report earnings on March 10th. The same day CPI is released. Talk about a double whammy.
Supply chain constraints remain and I expect RIVN to guide in a very similar manner to LCID. They are both in the early innings of their life cycle as companies and not as well equipped to handle inflationary and supply risks like the seasoned TSLA. Until this point I had not even mentioned the tremendous chip shortage.
Expect RIVN to only make new lows from here on out with this inverted cup and handle setup as noted above.
BUYING DIPS AND EATING CHIPS (Btc-Usdt)Last night….saw some uptrend but held my bearish position since $39,967 previously…….thought they had us in the first half not gonna lie. Now I will continue to push for lower threshold, unless people wake up on Monday’s and decide to buy but let’s see how stocks perform. Historically the week starts off bearish for stocks and ends the week bullish. But the world is unpredictable as ever nowadays. Buy those dips and Eat those Chips! (Using Pionex trading bots) currently up +22%
NVDA Downtrend.Looks like in downtrend.
hoping to hit ~270 range to support the earnings and post which it would come to ~200 range.
May be in FEB last to March timeframe.
Somehow I have feeling during this transient bear market almost all scripts would hit pre-pandemic levels.
Note : Not an investment/trading advise. Please do you own DD.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: $AMD) Is Down 36% From ATH PriceAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Computing and Graphics; and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. Its products include x86 microprocessors as an accelerated processing unit, chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units (GPUs), data center and professional GPUs, and development services; and server and embedded processors, and semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, development services, and technology for game consoles. The company provides x86 microprocessors for desktop PCs under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Ryzen, Threadripper, AMD A-Series, AMD FX, AMD Athlon, AMD Athlon PRO, and AMD Pro A-Series processors brands; microprocessors for notebook and 2-in-1s under the AMD Ryzen, AMD A-Series, AMD Athlon, AMD Ryzen PRO, AMD Athlon PRO, and AMD Pro A-Series processors brands; microprocessors for servers under the AMD EPYC and AMD Opteron brands; and chipsets under the AMD trademark. It also offers discrete GPUs for desktop and notebook PCs under the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon brands; professional graphics products under the AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro graphics brands; and Radeon Instinct and AMD Instinct accelerators for servers. In addition, the company provides embedded processor solutions under the AMD Opteron, AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, AMD R-Series, and G-Series processors brands; and customer-specific solutions based on AMD CPU, GPU, and multi-media technologies, as well as semi-custom SoC products. It serves original equipment manufacturers, public cloud service providers, original design manufacturers, system integrators, independent distributors, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers through its direct sales force, independent distributors, and sales representatives. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
QCOM will bleedRide the current trend. Or stay in cash till it drops to $130.
Put options are too expensive at the moment so its not worth doing PUTS.
If shorting fees are low then go ahead.
I'm heavy cash waiting for the market to reverse.
Expect the market to continue to bleed for a few more weeks.
$UCTT go long, potential outperformer in semi equipment spaceUCTT has begun to outperform the overall semiconductor industry represented by the etf SMH. The trend has clearly been broken on the weekly chart.
There has been a good amount of volume in this week so far, creating that very bullish weekly candle. Hoping we finish strong this week. Looking to create a position if it shows continuation.
EV/EBITDA ratios for the leaders in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment; as you can see UCTT has the best one since any EV/EBITDA below 10 is considered healthy.
8.2577 UCTT
16.5404 AMAT
19.0102 LRCX
18.1225 KLAC
All the relevant levels on TSMTSM is the most significant and more relevant chip manufacturer in the world. Probably you have one of these chips in the computer you are using right now or maybe in your car. With all that said, let's take a look at the most important levels on the current chart.
* Yesterday (13/01/2021), TSM made a new all-time high (ATH) after 307 days of corrections inside a flag pattern and a decline of 24.33%
* Flag patterns are continuation structures; this means that after the breakouts, we tend to observe new impulsive movements in the same direction as the previous one.
What we will do now is explain possible bullish and bearish resolutions based on the levels we have:
BULLISH SCENARIO: The price has 3 levels we can use to consider closing positions: First fibo extension, cloned channel, second fibo extension (useful for swing and position traders). Assuming the price replicates the previous impulse that started in April 2020 and finished in February 2021, we should expect a movement of 330 days towards 204 (where the 2nd fibo extension and the cloned channel converge). Remember that when you are looking for big and extended movements you need to be open to corrections during your trade or investment (for example, on key levels)
BEARISH SCENARIO: The price is not able to surpass the resistance zone created by the previous ATH, and from here we observe a bearish movement towards the next target we have, "The ascending trendline) at around 119
Thanks for reading! feel free to add your ideas on the comments ;) Have a great weekend.
$AAPL Bearish FOMC Setup$AAPL follows $SPY almost to a tee with wicks and candles. The orange line is $SPY overlayed on top of the AAPL chart. $AAPL is in a descending channel and a break under the 174.43 level with a $SPY confirmation has a level from 174.43 to 172.31. Puts under this level have potential to fall all the way to the 170.34 level.
BABA 2022 LongT1 is ~123 first level, but has potential to reach T2 around 131 - 132 before the end of January.
The ADRs are more about 'what is happening with China regulation' more than anything else. HOWEVER, BABA has one of the best abilities long-term in my opinion. The earnings have been great and their ability to evolve will surely happen -- just as it has with Amazon (AMZN). The big difference is BABA will have the capability to change the landscape by becoming competitive with Apple (AAPL) through chip manufacturing and potentially acquiring companies that compliment companies here in the U.S., who are dependent on specific technologies.