Choch
AMD to $100+ by tomorrow?I'm excited for this one. All day I thought the market was gonna be bearish until I started paying more attention to AMD. retested the low and also made a ChoCH and sweep on internal liquidity. Really expecting us to blast through $100 to $101.85+ tomorrow. Loaded up on $100 calls and hopefully this plays out.
GBPUSD LONG (SMART MONEY CONCEPT)GBPUSD has been in an uptrend for a while and the order flow can still be seen to be heading north. Recently, the pair broke structure again to the upside as indicated here by the blue line before heading down south to the demand zone that initiated the break of structure (Last down move before the up move). Price has now changed character and broken structure again. Our next liquidity target now is 1.2550 which we expect to get taken out this week. The liquidity target also coincides with a trendline coming from higher time frames. Look for opportunities to get involved in the LONG from lower timeframes like 15 mins. Remember to always practice good money and Risk management.
chfjpy buy!!!!!1hey traders , noticed that all jpy para's looking for buy
and chf jpy also
in h4 timeframe it was upward trend and we came close to recent low where our orderblock is and in 15 timeframe it broke the structure and it is indended to move forward up
poi 142.000-141.500
tp 1 143.000
tp 2 143.500
rsi also approves the idea !
gbp jpy up from 160.000 !!!!!1hey traders price broke recent high and going to orderblock in timeframe h4 between the area 160.000-159.500
the reason why we buying form there is in larger timeframe it is going up and the price where it stands right now giving us a clue that it cam be nice institutional buy level
more over rsi is shoving us that it can be trend continuation
How to trade Smart Money Concepts:Smart Money Concepts is a more sophisticated way of trading price action, while taking advantage of where institutions are likely to place their orders. This makes Smart Money Concepts a usable tool whenever you are dealing with hedge funds. What you are about to read is an elaborate tutorial explaining a lot about this trading strategy, including some trading strategies (NOTE: there are many SMC indicators and the one I’ll be using is the one by LuxAlgo since I believe is the most “complete” out of all). Let's start.
1) Order Blocks:
Order Blocks are, in my opinion, the most important feature in SMC trading, as it shows where these institutions are likely to place their orders. In order for an order block to form, look at where the market is consolidating, creating an area of volume price is likely to be attracted to (some order blocks are formed due to imbalances in the market). In this image, you can see how order blocks are formed right after a ranging market has been broken. Because of this unique feature, order blocks are not the same as support/resistance zones.
In order for us to trade using order blocks, look for where an order block has been formed recently, as the longer an order block survives, the weaker it becomes. Buy when the candle that hit the order block closes and set your stop loss under that order block. In this example it worked since the volume wasn’t too high and the order block had formed a few candles before the retest. You can do this for shorts as well (NOTE: the more retests the order block gets, the weaker it becomes)
2) BOS & CHoCH:
Supports and resistances usually apply on Price Action, but they can be applied in Smart Money Concepts as well. The difference is that in Smart Money Concepts, you these supports and resistances when the price breaks through them. However, in many occasions these signals can be false and it’s only a retest of the support/resistance. In order to understand what BOS/CHoCH means, we need to look at the graph:
This is an example I made.
From the graph, a BOS or a Break of Structure is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction of the trend direction(bullish/bearish). A CHoCH or a Change of Character is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction opposite of the trend direction. What I mean by this is that in the example I have shown, the trend was bullish until it was not. Normally a bullish trend breaks the resistances instead of the supports, and vice-versa. This is why the name Break of Structure since the price continues going the direction it wants while solving any “issue” in its path. If this “issue” is big enough to break the support/resistance maintaining the trend intact, then it’s known as a Change of Character , since it changes the character of the trend. When this happens, there is a chance for a trend reversal to happen, which is the case for the example I’ve shown. Now I’ll show how to trade BOS/CHoCH in a real graph.
As you can see from the chart, there are a lot of Breakthroughs of Structure and Changes of Character, but this indicator actually shows which of these BOS/CHoCH are major. The trick is that if the indicator shows a BOS/CHoCH marked by a straight line instead of a bunch of lines, this means that it is more accurate. In this example, we ignore the smaller BOS/CHoCH and just look at the 2 important ones. We know they are important because they are marked by a straight line. You buy after the CHoCH/BOS label appears and when the candle that retested the broken resistance/new support closes and the volume doesn’t increase before that (unless the market is ranging after it broke). Same thing with shorts. You short after the BOS/CHoCH label appears when the candle that retested the broken support/new resistance and the volume doesn’t increase from the candle before that.
3) EQH/EQL:
In Price Action , there are chart patterns. One of the most known ones are the double top and the double bottom . Smart Money Concepts refers to these double tops/bottoms as Equal Highs and Equal Lows (EQH/EQL for short). Here’s an example:
As you can see, there is a double top (EQH) which came after an uptrend, meaning that there is a chance that the price will break the necklace (the support line made in the middle of the double tops), causing a change of character, which it did. Due to the nature of double tops and bottoms, this rarely happens. You should use this tool in confluence with other SMC tools like Order Blocks and BOS/CHoCH. Personally, I don’t use them much. I just use them to identify strong supports and resistances, as well as double tops and bottoms. They could also be used to identify trend reversals on major areas of support and resistance.
4) Premium and Discount zones:
Premium and Discount zones are ranges that form in the market when a recent major support and resistance has been established. In this example, you can see when did the premium and discount zones form. The price made a major support and resistance. The equilibrium zone is the 50% line in the Fibonacci Retracement tool if you pay close attention.
This means that price can react off of the Equilibrium zone, and if you pay close attention, you can see it was ranging for a while.
For a trading strategy, wait for the price to reach the Premium or Discount zones, and, if the market's volume decreases, enter a trade and set your take profit at the equilibrium zone. The reason why you should set your take profit at the equilibrium zone is because there is a chance the price rejects off of the equilibrium zone.
5) Fair Value Gaps:
Fair Value Gaps are imbalances that form in the market and can be good support/resistance areas. They usually form when the market is volatile and when a breakout or retest just happened.
In order to identify what a fair value gap is, look for a huge candle body like the one shown in the picture, then, draw a rectangle with its base being at the highest point of the previous candle's upper wick and with its top being the lowest point of the following candle's lower wick. Now, extend the rectangle to the right and now you have a fair value gap.
For a trading strategy, look for the line in the middle which is shown in the fair value gap. This line acts as a support, and the price can bounce off of it. For an entry point, wait for the price to react to the fair value gap, and, if the volume decreases while the reaction is happening, enter.
6) Liquidity Grabs:
Even if you think your trading strategy is amazing, you will always have to deal with scams. No matter how good your trading strategy is, all trading strategies fail to deal with hedge funds and whales. They sometimes act when the price is very close to a support or resistance, and when the people expect a bounce, they place their stop losses under the area of confluence. These hedge funds then act, and end up manipulating the market, forcing the people to panic buy or panic sell, depending on the area of confluence. One major example of market manipulation is in the Crypto Exchange. Trading Crypto is almost like gambling. Liquidity grabs perfectly reference the scam. You can spot them if, on a ranging market, there is a sudden increase or decrease in price. Always pay attention to traps like the ones in these examples shown below:
For a trading strategy, wait for the scam pump or dump to stagnate and then enter your trade in the opposite direction that the candle was going to.
In conclusion, Smart Money Concepts is a fascinating trading strategy for me, and it could be for you too. There are many aspects of it, and it is another way of trading Price Action, which itself is already fantastic.
This tutorial took me 3 hours to make, so please make sure to heart and comment your opinion on this. Thank you for reading through all of this.
BTC Trading Strategy: Selling at Main OB to Buy and Rise to 2500Based on the current market conditions, it may be a good strategy to sell BTC at the current price and then buy again when the market reaches a certain level. There is a main Order Block (OB) between the price range of 22331 to 22067 after a decline in price (CHOCH 23380), indicating that there is a strong support level at this range. Additionally, there is another support level at 21615, which provides an additional layer of support.
The market has already rejected the first OB between 23762 to 24025, and the second OB between 24317 to 24950 is still in play. However, the current support level is at 22766, suggesting that there is a higher chance that the market will pick up trades from the Main OB to buy and rise to 25000.
Therefore, selling BTC at the current price and then buying again when the market reaches the Main OB could potentially yield a profitable return, given the support levels and OBs that have been identified. However, as with any investment decision, it is important to consider your own risk tolerance and do your own research before making any trades.
GBPUSD Possible seeing a Bearish push lower
As you can clearly see from the chart:
-Price reacted to the weekly Swing High and created a change of Character ( ChoCh), Which left an Orderblock (OB).
- Price came back to mitigate the OB after sweeping the trendline liquidity ( $$$)
-We would probably see price dropping lower to fill in the fair value gab( FVG).
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AUDUSD Sell IdeaHere on AUDUSD we have a potential CHoCH. I say potential because if the high gets violated, we can expect price to continue moving upward. If price respects the 4 hr supply that I refined down to 15 min, I think that it will go down and take out liquidity then continue down to the 4 hr imbalance fill. After that, I think that price will reverse and continue up with the higher timeframe direction.
📊 Market Structure: BOS VS CHOCH📊What is market structure?
Market structure is the levels that are created by the price of any currency as it moves up and down.
Price never moves in a single direction for too long. It always takes a few steps in one direction, then moves a few steps back, then a few more steps, then a few steps back.
Over time, these steps form distinct structures in the market: zones of consolidation, zones of support, zones of resistance, and zones where price impulses up and down.
Market structures that form in the past are often respected in the future, and analyzing previous market structure can form a basis for a trading plan.
BoS carries on in the same direction it was initially heading in where as a CHoCH can be viewed as the Markets turning point
🔷BOS - Break of structure forms in the direction of the trend creating continuation patterns.
Break of recent Lower Low when bearish or break of recent Higher High when bullish.
🔶CHOCH - Change of character form at the end of a trend. For example, if we see an uptrend in the market, characterized by higher highs and higher lows,
this means that the overall trend remains bullish. However, when a new high is formed and then impulsively broken to the downside,
this could signal that the bullish trend might be coming to an end, and that a possible choch transition may be happening.
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CHoCH - Orderblock EntryAUDCAD after breaking quite strong resistance in a contraction phase seem to form reasonable CHoCH, which then has also formed a rejected orderblock demand zone. Now we have to see supporting the bullish orderflow will it take on to the mitigation and will buyers fill enough to push the price.
Price could also give a SNR scenario if price keeps onto the first orderblock