CIFR
Bitcoin Miners Overview The performance over recent months as we enter a new CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull cycle (RELEVANT & recent timeframe)
NASDAQ:CLSK - 307%+ since Dec 2022
NASDAQ:CIFR - 485%+ since Dec 2022
NASDAQ:MAR - 4,729%+ since Mar 2020
NASDAQ:RIOT - 1824%+ since Mar 2020
Keep an eye on who is holding the 200 day and who holds diagonal support
PUKC
Bitcoin Miners Update - CIPH, CLSK, MARA & RIOT Cleanspark Inc - NASDAQ:CLSK
$1.5 Billion Market Cap
✅Trade remains open in 39% unrealized profit
(average DCA of $5.85)
✅ The Volume on this chart is exceptional and really adds to my conviction. I may double down with another buy if we get down to the 200 day MA.
🚨 I have raised the stop from $4.50 turning it into a 23:1 risk reward. Raising as 23% below current 200 day MA is enough IMO.
A lot people see the recent pull back as a reason to deleverage, this is where I trade differently, its a long term position. The short term volatility will either allow me to get another decent discount buy in or sink deep enough to cancel out the trade. This is how we can gain a full long term bullish trending move with exponential upside. The risk is 23% or not taking the risk and not remaining patient having taken it.
Cipher Mining - NASDAQ:CIFR
$0.83 billion market cap
✅Trade remains open in 9% unrealised profit
✅ Look at that volume increase. It’s a beautiful thing. It reassures us that there is significant green buying rushing into this stock & hints that we on the right side of the trade
🚨 I have raised the stop from $1.77 to $2.16 turning it into a 7:1 risk reward.
- Raising the stop as there is plenty of support above it that should hold from recent lows, H&S baseline and diagonal support line. If all these are lost, cutting losses would be ideal.
Like most of my trades, they require a little more patience and a distain for intermittent short term volatility.
Marathon Digital - NASDAQ:MARA
$4.22 Billion Market Cap
❌Our stop was triggered on the last trade at @ $7.66 with a notable 30% loss. Subsequently this was exactly were price bounced. The original position size was very small so its not end of the world stuff. In the end the stop was too high, we should have place it just a tad lower but…this happens and that’s trading. All the other trades are in profit and fully cater for this loss. Without these rules id be broke. I consider it a necessary loss. I didn’t want more than the 30% limit lost so, that was my risk tolerance for the position size.
Onto the front foot what do we do next?
✅ I set a bid at $14.31 where i think we may get a bounce from the 200 day SMA
✅ You could enter right here for the potential head and shoulders baseline bounce. I could consider that but if but it would be watched like a day trade. I'll just see how tomorrow goes first. The bid is at $14.31 for now.
🚨 I am allowing for a 30% loss again with a stop @ $4.41 however I am starting with what was left after the last loss, 70% of my original position and I'll be watching this a lot closer.
I actually love these trades because they teach you something, you realize the small position size and the 30% loss was within your tolerance, enough so that you can come back at the trade again and with exponential potential returns the prospect draws you in once again. The risk reward is there. Alternatively, you could just DCA into these and for years through thick and thin, BUT again, position size should be tolerable for you to patiently sit on your hands and let the trend take shape.
Riot Platforms NASDAQ:RIOT
$2.42 Billion Market Cap
▫️ No position open in RIOT yet as it appears to be the weaker of the charts we have looked at.
▫️ In our last post we noted volume is declining which is negative and the RSI was not yet oversold. We noted both of these could mean more sideways or price declining action. Since then we have actually increased and hold a 30% higher position from $9.13 - $11.73 however price is dropping fast and has not managed to break out of the pennant. I believe this demonstrates relative weakness to the other charts noted.
▫️ We are still forming midterm pennant (dashed lines). A break out of this pennant would be an a good signal on direction.
▫️ Strong Historic Price Support between $8.50 and the POC at $7.40 (green bar). If you were going to risk a trade here, Id be playing off the lower end with a tight stop.
▫️ We are falling below the 200 day SMA (Not Ideal with pennant over head resistance).
Now don't get me wrong, RIOT will likely rise like the other miners, however at present NASDAQ:CLSK is showing significant relative strength having broken out of its pennant , well above its 200 day MA and sitting in 40% profit. On the contrary, we have strong support for NASDAQ:RIOT at c. $9.00 which could present an opportunity. We noted $8.50 as a good level last post, in the end price bounced from $8.61. We cant be too greedy.
Summary
The clear winner is Cleanspark NASDAQ:CLSK with a moderate market cap of $1.5 billion and a chart demonstrating relative strength with us sitting in approx. 40% profit.
The MARA chart is demonstrating strength and may provide a great opportunity as instructed above however the market cap of $4.22 Billion clearly out sizes CLSK and may mean a slower rise or growth potential. MARA actually mined a record 1,852 BTC in Dec 2023 and have increased BTC Reserves have increased from 12,964 to 15,174 as of Dec 2023. Theses are incredible numbers.
Tomorrow I will look at a comparison of how each of these miners are performing in terms of rigs active, reserves held and BTC being mined.
PUKA
Cipher BTC mining - Major upside potentialCIPHER MINING (CIFR) $CIPR
- Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout & retest?
- Above 200 day SMA with turn up
- OBV increasing
- On daily chart we are above the Point of Control which
aligns which closely with purple horizontal
- We could see a retest of this line so I would be DCA'ing from
here in dribbles especially after a big move like this weeks 25% +, regardless I want exposure so ill dip my beak here.
In terms of managing this trade the chart really shows you everything. This is a long term trade with a good risk return ratio. Align the trade with your own risk tolerance and remember to always be patient and keep an allocation aside in case of a lower price entry opportunity. Stop loss is outlined on the chart and should be honored. We can always re-enter the trade at a later date having reviewed the situation. Setting a stop under the 200 day SMA could be used as a trailing type of stop also.
Fundamentals (for fun and stamping the stock into our mind):
- CIPHER appears to be half the size of Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) which is a well known industry large player
- Cipher have 59,000 mining rigs deployed (MARA by comparison have 105,200 rigs)
- Cipher mined 493 bitcoin in the month of May (MARA by comparison mined 825 in March 2023)
- CIPHER announced record production during the month of May 2023. It appears things are just heating up.
Fabulous Quote from the CEO from back in November 2022 which gives you an idea of the location and their unique offering
“We are delighted to announce that our Odessa data center has begun bitcoin mining operations just 10 months after we broke ground at the site. The start of mining at Odessa represents a critical step in Cipher’s journey to become a market leader in the U.S. bitcoin mining industry. Since going public in 2021, we have built four data centers in Texas and are now one of the lowest cost producers of bitcoin,” said Tyler Page, CEO. “Because of our long-term, fixed price power contract at Odessa, we also have an advantage that few other bitcoin miners have -- the flexibility to mine bitcoin or resell our power to the market, which can help mitigate the effects of falling bitcoin prices.”
I Predict A RIOTRiot Platforms NASDAQ:RIOT
- Above 200 day SMA & sloping upwards
- Ascending parallel price channel .
- Break of OBV resistance levels have been positive
- We have just broken above the Feb 2021 OBV high
New entries into this trade would be better waiting for a re-test of the bottom of the channel with a stop placed beneath it.
As we are breaking out of the OBV high, you could enter a trade here but with a tight stop loss at $18.30. Probably not worth it IMO. Better to wait or look at the other smaller miners.
I previously covered CIPHER Mining NASDAQ:CIFR and Marathon Digital Holdings NASDAQ:MARA both of which at similar junctures, however $CIPHER has had major developments of recent and could rise up to it next resistance at $9.60 fairly quickly over a few months (an 80% + move).
You'll find these charts in my trading view link in my bio. I also cover some fundamentals on Trading view also. They are also in my feed hereunder.
Play it safe
PUKA
Bitcoin Miner Moon Race - BMMR - CORZQ Leads the way!
The great power of the Bitcoin ecosystem, where is the hash rate coming from? Miners.
And most of these miners have bases in Americas only.
Most of the Eurasia / South America / Central America (El Salvador Volcano) are not publicly traded yet or direct government related but I suspect this trend is occurring globally.
Forget the Moon race, its the Hash Race.
All of this too when we are in early stages of a bull market. Don't hear a peep of Bitcoin miners or the ecosystem on Bloomberg either? BlackRock radio silence. . . but the waves are public.