CL bullish bias as a wedge gets a wedgie.You can see the formation here of a down wedge within a down wedge (wedge gets a wedgie).this is the yellow wedge and the black wedge. This points to a bullish bias longer term. Though you can see I am a seller right now from 65.10 with target price of about 63.70. This is where the yellow and black wedge intersect. I love this kind of confluence. You can see an example of how price may become bullish (red arrow) by bouncing off the demand zone.
However what if the demand zone doesn’t hold and price breaks through this. We could see a drop to about 59.60 as price takes the path represented by the black arrow.
So watch what price does at the demand zone. If the demand zone doesn’t hold wait for confirmation of it becoming resistance and take a short position. There really isn’t great support in this area so it could be a lucrative trade.
Thoughts and comments always welcome. Please give thumbs up if you like this idea.
CL
Trading Plan for USOILToday, we will share what we are waiting to develop bullish setups on Crude Oil
Let's understand the idea:
a) Currently, the price has reached a major resistance zone. What happened before? We can see that we had a corrective pattern and then a continuation of the bullish movement towards 75 - 76
b) The corrective pattern we are waiting for has a duration of 4 weeks approximately.
c) The corrective pattern will be the first filter that allows us to start developing the setup on a lower timeframe, such as 4HS.
d) The resolution can take between 2 to 4 months if everything goes as expected.
We will make updates if the situation goes as planned. Thanks for reading!
CL- three possible scenarios
3 possible scenarios. Represented by green up shade box and 2 red down shade box.
So far path is following my prediction from earlier chart (see previous CL post)
- green box trigger if price breaks black resistance
- first red shade box triggers if price do not break resistance
- second red shade box triggers if double to forms.me which would also end the green box trade
As always aggressive entry on break of resistance or failed break of resistance and conservative entry on retest of this resistance.
Please hit thumbs up if this idea interesting and please leave comment.
OIL DROP OVER THE WEEKEND (WARNING)OIL is creating numerous bearish signals and it appears as though over the weekend and monday we will have a significant drop lower.
The sp500 is also going to drop on monday so maybe some news will come out about oil over the weekend that will affect the markets in a negative way.
Oil- long position triggeredPrice has found support at above neckline of head and shoulders (H&S more apparent on lower timeframe but easily seen on rsi). Rsi also find support at neckline. (You can read Rsi same as price action in most cases). Now middle of regression line (dashed black line)is support. Green arrow is proposed path to 1st target and second red arrow proposed path of breakdown of up wedge
Also see link for details about long trigger
Please give thumbs up if you find this interesting.
Crude futures As we see sector rotation and interest rates rise crude continues to climb, we still have huge resistance above us that we must break.
Here are my two paths for crude futures going into next week. It will be important to watch this closely, a breakout of the upper trendline could cause historic rallies(Path A, red). However, I do believe we never retested that bottom trendline for a reason so I see path B(Blue) as our most likely option. There is a second option of path B where we fail the retest of that trendline and continue lower so keep a heads up.
Goodluck.
Continue short ES. So far so good.You see that price made through big resistance. Now maybe matter of time until target one. Possible big another
Drop to next target where no major supports. This be continuation of my previous ES trade. I come very close to stop out several times. But now in good profit. Now I let t run.
Adding to short for OIL.
Here you see long trend resistantant since 2008, and up trend support since 2019 Dec. Also ascended triangle. And now recent gap fill which now act as resistant. I am going to add more short on retest of this resistant line. Here is my setup: second RR grid is my second entry.
Go short on oil.I know gap not fill yet but I feel this is exhaustion gap. So even though I do not like to taking trade before gap this might be exception to rule. Look at volume on big candle after gap. This is good sign. Also indicators overbout, and though this can stay for a long time I think ready to drop.
CL Week Ahead 2/14/21 - 2/19/21> Very strong momentum higher
>> Past two weeks have had 9/10 green days
> Previous weekly value area: 57.75 - 58.75 w/ POC at 58.33
> Friday built a HVN above the weekly value area between 59.30 - 59.82.
>> buying the lower end of this area early in the week could offer good r:r if the market doesn't get any real pullback.
> If we do get a pullback, it will be important to see if last week's value area is defended.
>> if it gets back inside last week's VA, the weekly POC should act as a magnet for deciding further direction.
>> expect the weekly VAL to be heavily defended as well.
> No shorts on Monday; I don't want to try to fight this momentum. I need it to show me it's ready to pullback before I try to lean on levels for shorts.
>> Take short profits quickly next week if short positions are initiated.
> If there is a significant down move, watch out for the multiple untested daily POC & HVN below; one or more of those should be good for at least a relief bounce.
GBP/NZD : PRICE ACTION + BULLISH HARMONIC GARTLEY PATTERN 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #GBPNZD
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Strategy: Price action + Bullish Harmonic Gartley on H4 timeframe - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter in this trade.
A clear chart is Always the best business card for a trader.
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Thank you for your time.
The information contained herein is not intended to be a source of advice or credit analysis
Regards,
Walter
Still bullishUKOIL Brent (Gulf oil) is still to rise.
Monthly ATR is is 107 pips. And this month we did only 39 percent so far.
I believe we will end the year at 54.33.
But there will be BIG reaction at yearly low 52.28 from where price released in March. I would exit there.
Close with daily bearish candle below 8 daily ema on daily chart will be a signal of trend change.
Crude oil rise is one of the factors why euro, aud, nzd, cnh had been going up too.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
Considering short OILAfter a total of 130 days of sideways trading for 80 plus 50 days, crude oil started a unilateral long trend and experienced nearly 1100 pips in 38 days.
The main upward momentum comes from:
1. The depreciation of the U.S. dollar is good for commodities
2. Expectations of the future economy
3. Expectations that vaccines can solve core demand issues
But this is just expectation.
Considering the potential increase in production and the substitution effect of new energy sources,
the actual value of OIL should not be higher than US$45. Consider a reasonable short position at 48.50-53.50.