WTI OIL Bearish Cross confirming more selling ahead.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the December 06 2024 Low. The last Bearish Leg started on a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection and was confirmed with a 1D MACD Bearish Cross 3 days after.
At the moment we have had a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection and today we will complete a new 1D MACD Bearish Cross. As a result, we almost have a new sell confirmation. Once completed, sell and target $53.50 (-19% from the point of the rejection).
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Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
WTI CRUDE OIL: Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.387, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 27.186) as it crossed under the 4H MA50. Still, it hit and is so far contained at the bottom of the Channel Up, which makes it a strong short term buy opportunity. Aim for the 4H MA200 (TP = 65.00).
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Potential Decline of Brent Oil Price to $50 in the Near Future.Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Brent Oil Price to $50 in the Near Future.
➖ Increased OPEC+ Production:
On April 3, 2025, eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly decided to accelerate production increases, adding 411,000 barrels per day starting in May. This decision triggered a price drop, with Brent falling 6.42% to $70.14 per barrel at the time.
Analysts like Amrita Sen from Energy Aspects noted that this move pressures “lagging” countries to meet quotas, but the market interpreted it as an oversupply signal.
Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC+ to Raise Oil Production by More Than Expected in May," April 3, 2025 (oilprice.com)
➖ Decreased Demand Due to Economic Challenges:
On April 14, 2025, OPEC revised its 2025 oil demand growth forecast downward by 150,000 barrels per day to 1.3 million barrels per day, citing trade tensions and weak economic indicators. JPMorgan also raised the likelihood of a global recession to 60%.
Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC Lowers 2025 Oil Demand Forecast on Trade Tensions," April 14, 2025 (oilprice.com)
➖ Trade Tariffs and Global Instability:
On April 3, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on trading partners, heightening recession fears. Fitch Ratings described this as the highest level of U.S. import tariffs since 1910. Brent dropped 4% immediately following the announcement.
Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC+ to Raise Oil Production by More Than Expected in May," April 3, 2025 (oilprice.com)
➖ Geopolitical De-escalation:
On April 25, 2025, reports emerged of progress in U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine, as well as Iran’s openness to nuclear negotiations. This reduces geopolitical risks and increases the likelihood of higher oil supply on the market.
Source: OilPrice.com, "Oil Set For Weekly Loss on OPEC+ Supply Rumors," April 25, 2025 (oilprice.com)
Technical Analysis Section:
The monthly chart shows similarities between the 1999–2002 and 2020–2025 periods: an initial impulse, followed by a correction, and then a 6-year upward trend.
Nearest entry point targets at the 161.8% Fibonacci level:
• $52,46
• $49,06
• $46,50
Growth Potential
Medium-term:
• $138,00
Long-term:
• $500,00
Once the price of oil UKOIL reaches $52.46, a review for the entry point will be prepared.
Charts:
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•
Weekly Market Forecast: Buy Stocks! Sell Oil! Buy Gold!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Oil, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of April 28 - May 2nd.
Markets are looking tradeable again.
The indices look bullish, creating +FVGs as they move higher.
Oil has corrected a bearish impulse, so it could be poised to move lower from the Daily and Weekly -FVG.
Gold took a breather last week and could move higher from the Weekly +FVG it just created.
Let's go!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash.
Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term.
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Crude Oil Is Making Hard Work of Gains into ResistanceCride oil may have recovered back above $60, but it is making hard work of it. And with resistance looming and large specs increasing short bets, perhaps a pullback due. But does that mean a break below $60 is imminent?
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
Weekly Market Forecast WTI CRUDE OIL: Bearish! Wait For SellsThis forecast is for the week of April 21 - 25th.
Oil has made a classic bearish impulse down, then a corrective retracement. The natural expectation is another impulse down. The fact that price pulled back into a W -FVG allows for this bearish expectation.
Wait for a bearish break of market structure to confirm a valid sell setup... and trade accordingly. No confirmation, not trade!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WTI Oil Inverse Head & Shoulders looking for a 4H MA50 break-outWTI Oil (USOIL) has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is a technical bottom formation that signals the trend change to bullish.
So far the move is limited by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has 2 rejections already and is keeping the bullish break-out from happening.
If the market closes a candle above the 4H MA50, we will have a bullish confirmation signal. Our Target will be the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $69.00 and not higher, because the long-term trend is limited by the wider Lower Highs trend-line of January.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Channel Down bottomed. Buy opportunity.WTI Crude Oil is heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.039, MACD = -2.310, ADX = 38.046) as it is trading inside a Channel Down for more than 1 year. Last week's low has made a technical LL at the bottom of the pattern and the current consolidation indicates that this may be an attempt to initiate the new bullish wave. The 1D RSI recovered from being oversold previously and this potentially hints to a rebound over the 1D MA200. The last bullish wave crossed above the 0.618 Fibonacci marginally. Trade: long, TP = 71.00.
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WTI OIL Buy opportunity or more meltdown coming?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 25 2023 High and the recent Trade War sell-off helped the price drop towards the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) much quicker.
Technically this has been a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, previously a Lower High rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice how the 1W RSI has also been trading within a Channel Down of its own, with the indicator near its bottom as well.
Being more than -31% down (more than the -29% of the first Bearish Leg), we can technically claim that this is a solid level for a medium-term buy again. The previous Bullish Leg marginally exceeded the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before the Lower High. As a result, our new Target is $70.00.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Support Clusters to Watch
On a today's live stream, we discussed potentially significant
historic supports on WTI Crude Oil to watch.
Support 1: 57.0 - 59.0 area
Support 2: 52.5 - 54.6 area
Support 3: 48.8 - 50.4 area
Support 4: 40.6 - 43.7 area
The price is currently testing a lower boundary of Support 1.
It perfectly matches with a completion point of a harmonic ABCD pattern.
It looks like we may see some pullback soon.
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Oil Futures Moving into Bear Market?Oil futures recently broke down from a long-term wedge, following a failed breakout at the start of the year, and a recent death cross of its 50/200 weekly EMAs and MAs.
It looks to flip long-term bearish here unless we see a rapid recovery of the wedge, the EMAS/MAs and a subsequent breakout.
It could lose half its value or even 2/3rds if it hits TP 1 and then TP 2 over the next weeks and months to come.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Potential bottom and massive rebound to 71.00.WTI Crude Oil got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.096, MACD = -1.620, ADX = 38.232) but is recovering its 1W candle now as it hit the bottom (LL) of the 1 year Channel Down. If the 1W candle makes a green closing, we will consider this a bottom, as the 1W RSI is also on its LL trendline) and go for a long aimed as the previous one at the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 71.00).
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Trump Goes "The Peacemaker", as Crude Oil Turns Gradually LowerThe notion that crude oil prices might decrease due to an abatement of the Ukraine's war not seems to be counterintuitive, as the conflict has historically led to increased oil prices due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
There are several factors that could contribute to a decrease in oil prices if tensions were to ease.
Factors Contributing to Decreased Oil Prices:
Easing of Sanctions on Russia: If tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine were to ease, it might lead to a relaxation of sanctions on Russia, potentially allowing more Russian oil to enter the global market. This increase in supply could help reduce prices.
Market Perception of Reduced Conflict: The market might perceive a decrease in conflict as a sign of reduced risk to global oil supplies, leading to lower prices. This perception could be influenced by expectations of increased oil availability from Russia and other regions.
OPEC Production Increases: If OPEC decides to increase production, as it has recently done, this could add more oil to the market, further pressuring prices downward.
Global Economic Concerns: Economic slowdowns or concerns about global growth can reduce demand for oil, leading to lower prices. The Ukraine conflict has contributed to economic uncertainty, and its abatement might not necessarily increase demand if global economic concerns persist.
Fundamental considerations
Well, in early March 2025, oil prices fell due to a combination of factors, including tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine and OPEC's decision to gradually increase output. Brent crude fell to around $71.08 per barrel, and WTI to about $68.01 per barrel.
Impact of Sanctions: Despite sanctions not directly targeting Russian oil, they have affected its exports by limiting financing and causing some buyers to avoid Russian crude. Easing these sanctions could increase Russian oil exports, potentially lowering global prices.
Market Dynamics: The war in Ukraine initially caused oil prices to surge due to supply concerns. However, if the conflict were to abate, market dynamics could shift, leading to decreased prices as supply risks diminish and global economic factors come into play.
Post war challenge
Crude oil and gasoline prices today are moderately lower, but crude oil tends to breakthrough a long-term 3 - to - 4 years low.
Crude oil prices are under pressure as US tariff uncertainty weighs on the outlook for energy demand.
Also, ramped-up Russian oil exports boost global supplies and are negative for prices.
In addition, crude prices have some negative carryover from Wednesday when weekly EIA crude inventories rose more than expected to a 7-month high.
Conclusion
In summary, while the Ukrainian war has historically driven oil prices up due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions, an easing of tensions could lead to decreased prices through increased supply, reduced market risk, and global economic factors.
--
Best 'Peacemaking' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (68.00) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout Level (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe, Entry from the most Recent or Swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (66.00) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Primary Target - 71.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Secondary Target - 74.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
🛢️ XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (high chance to bullishness),., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
WTI CRUDE OIL: 1M MA100 providing huge buying pressure to $77.50WTI Crude Oil has reclaimed its bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 62.688, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 49.608) as is about to end the month on a strong green 1M candle and a huge 1M RSI bullish divergence. The most important development here is that the current 1M candle (March) marginally hit the 1M MA100 and immediately rebounded. This trendline has been the market's major long term support since April 2021, so essentially for the last 4 years. We believe that this is enough to cause a medium term rebound to the LH Zone and possibly even just outside of it to test the 1M MA50. For now however, our target is contained inside this zone (TP = 77.50).
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