Crude Oil (WTI): Key Levels to Watch This Week 🛢️
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
Resistance 1: 77.1 - 77.3 area
Resistance 2: 78.6 - 79.9 area
Support 1: 72.3 - 73.1 area
Support 2: 66.8 - 67.3 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading this week.
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Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/17/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.85 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Inside of this wide range 77.70 and 67.08 can both contain weekly activity, possibly into August trade.
Closing below 67.08 indicates 62.14 within several weeks, able to contain selling into autumn activity and the level to settle below for then indicating 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a settlement above 77.70 indicates 81.85 within 1 - 2 weeks, able to contain buying into autumn trade, and the region to settle above on a weekly basis for then indicating 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Monday, 77.70 can contain weekly buying pressures, possibly into August activity, below which the 72.86 level is likely within the week, 67.08 attainable over the next 2 - 3 weeks.
Downside Monday, 75.45 can contain session weakness, while closing today below 75.45 signals a test tomorrow of 72.86 - 73.16, able to contain selling into later week and the region to settle below for then indicating 67.08 within 1 - 2 more weeks.
Upside Monday, closing above 77.70 signals 81.85 within 1 - 2 weeks, long-term resistance able to contain buying into autumn activity and a significant upside continuation region over the same time horizon.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/14/23For Friday, the 72.85 - 72.97 area can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.63 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures - possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.63 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Friday, closing below 72.85 signals 69.05 within several days, possibly yielding a retest within 1 - 2 weeks of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.63 remains attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
CL - Crude Oil is respecting the Lower extremes ProjectionI've been often asked, how I choose the A/B/C Points when I apply a Pitchfork.
Just use context and learn the Swing rules.
Then you cannot go wrong, and you will get the correct information from the market when you throw a Pitchfork on the Chart.
Be open minded, but don't force your meaning to the market. The market is doing what he wants.
So, we look for a change in behavior.
Something obvious. FACTS.
Don't FOMO.
There's plenty for you, even if you miss a couple points or eve $s.
Let's put the stalking Hat on.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/13/23For Thursday, the 72.41 - 72.84 area can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.56 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures - possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.56 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Thursday, closing below 72.41 signals 69.05 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08 within 1 - 2 weeks, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.56 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/12/23For Wednesday, 72.83 can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.48 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested - possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.48 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Wednesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.15 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.48 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
Crude Oil (WTI): Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil is retesting a broken horizontal key level.
The price formed a cup and handle pattern, approaching that.
The neckline of the pattern was broken.
I believe that the market will resume the growth soon
Goals: 73.8 / 74.4
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/11/23For Tuesday, 72.83 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.41 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.41 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.25 within several days, possibly allowing another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.41 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
Crude Oil (WTI): Bullish Outlook Explained 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil is very bullish since the end of June.
The market even managed to break and close above a key horizontal resistance on a daily.
The broken structure turned into support now.
That constitutes a safe zone to buy from.
I believe that probabilities will be high that the market will keep growing.
Next resistance is 74.7
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Bottom For oil was May 2023. Oil prices are prepared for strong growth to the upside. NYMEX:CL1! made its bottom in May of 2023.
Three reasons for this case to be made.
Russia cutting OPEC+ production by 500,000. The original balance from OEPC+ was 450,000 barrels of surplus. No Suprise that they cut it by exactly 500,000.
U.S. Now focused on SPR replenishing as opposed to releases.
Strong GDP solidifies no recession, and high employment solidifies strength in the consumer.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/10/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.97 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.97 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Monday, 72.82 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.34 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.34 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out through the balance of the year and a significant upside continuation point into later year.
Downside Monday, closing below 72.82 signals 69.35 within several days, possibly another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.34 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
Crude Oil (WTI): Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil was trading within a horizontal trading range since the beginning of June.
Its resistance was finally broke yesterday.
It is a very important sign of strength of the buyers.
The market will most likely keep growing 75.75 level - next key resistance.
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/7/23For Friday, 69.45 can contain session weakness, above which 72.81 remains a 2 - 3 day target able to contain buying into later next week, and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 77.27 within 1 - 2 more weeks.
Downside Friday, closing below 69.45 signals another test of 67.08 within several days, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.27 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
On the other hand, a daily settlement below 67.08 indicates 62.14 longer-term support within 2 - 3 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity.