WTI continues to defy the strong dollarWTI has been one of the few markets to stand up to recent dollar strength, with prices rising over 16% last week alone.
A strong bullish trend has developed on the 1-hour WTI chart. The 20 and 50-bar EMA’s have provided dynamic support throughout the trend and may provide bullish opportunities with a pullback towards them. The 20-bar EMA is near the daily pivot point and the 50-bar is near the $90 handle and daily 1 pivot. The next area for bulls to consider is around $94 or the daily R1 pivot.
Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
WTI analysis: Will OPEC+ cuts boost crude to $100?OPEC+ has taken a tough stance, slashing output by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) beginning in November 2022, the largest reduction in crude oil production since March 2020.
In addition to production extending the agreement through 2023, oil producers have agreed to hold semiannual rather than monthly meetings.
WTI oil briefly spiked to $87/bbl following the OPEC+ announcement. It then broke through that level in response to disappointing US crude oil inventory data (-1.36 million barrels vs. 2.05 expected) and a strong US ISM Services PMI, which delayed recessionary warning signs following the weak ISM Manufacturing PMI earlier this week.
The move by OPEC+ risks putting renewed pressure on crude oil’s global supply-demand balance in the coming months, potentially resulting in a price floor at pre-OPEC+ meeting levels.
On a technical level, WTI crude and (also Brent) prices are currently testing a key resistance area, defined by the 50-day moving average and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the range between September lows and June highs.
A sharp break above this resistance zone and then the $90/bbl level (September highs) could put additional upward pressure on an extension towards the 50% of the Fibonacci level ($98.6/bbl) and then $100/bbl.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
Titlle: Light Crude Oil Futures ( CL1! ), H4 Potential for BulliType: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 90.21
Pivot: 86.10
Support: 83.00
Preferred Case: The price is above the ichimoku cloud and breaking descending trendline, we have a bullish bias that the price may rise from the pivot at 86.10 which is in line with the overlap support to the 1st resistance at 90.21, which is in line with the overlap resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: If bearish momentum persists, expect price drop to the 1st support at 83.00, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement is.
Fundamentals: There is no major news.
OPEC Lifts OilOil has dipped into the $70's again, but has regained the $80's following reports that OPEC will cut production . We blasted through lower levels in the $80's, and are currently retesting $83.21, with a red triangle on the KRI confirming resistance. If momentum continues, we have several more levels to cross before our target of $85.55. Depending on how much OPEC cuts, this could drive prices back to the $100's again in the longer term. Expect support at the base of the $80 handle if we reject current levels.
Crude Oil in Daily timeframe. UPDATED !Hi Everyone,
Sorry For the late update, but here some update for you.:
Beware of next move.. there is probability to get rebound and aim 88 - 110 and make range around that after some of country and Russia cut the oil Production.
our last Ideas:
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Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
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Crude Oil (WTI) Short Trade Explained 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil opened with a nice gap today.
What we know about the gaps is the fact that 80% of the time they are filled.
To trade this gap, watch 81.3 - 81.5 horizontal support.
It is a neckline of a double top pattern.
Wait for 1H candle close below that, then short on a retest.
Initial target will be 79.8
If the price sets a new high, the setup will be invalid.
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USOIL 3rd OCTOBER 2022 - COMBINATION STRATEGYUSOIL Combination strategy with a Trendline, Unfilled Order (UFO) and Psychological level.
Trend is a movement that shows where the market is moving. The term "trend" in everyday life is often used to express a situation, where something is in vogue or is gaining public attention.
As you know, a trendline is a tool that can be used to recognize the direction of a trend. Therefore, a trendline can serve as both Support (in an uptrend) and Resistance (in a downtrend). Trend line, Its function as a technical tool does not need to be doubted. Besides being able to help identify trends, this tool can also be used to find entry points. In looking for entry points, you can use bounce and breakout opportunities. remember "the trend is your friend". Believe it or not, in forex trading, the trendline is one of the friends that can help you to follow the direction where the market is moving.
This trend movement forms a series of sequential waves with the following levels:
Peak (High/H),
Higher peak (Higher High / HH)
Lower peak (Lower High / LH )
Valley (Low/L)
higher valley (Higher Low / HL )
Lower valley (Lower Low / LL)
By knowing the support and resistance levels, a trader can minimize risks and maximize profits. During a downtrend, a trendline can serve as resistance. But conversely, during an uptrend, the trendline can function as support. In finance market, a psychological level, is a price level in technical analysis that significantly influences the price of the underlying security, commodity or derivative. Usually, the number is something "easy to remember," like a number that is rounded up.
Meanwhile, Unfilled order is a shipment of orders that have not been fulfilled and inventory reported by domestic manufacturing companies. historically it can be seen that the balance between buyers and sellers is broken due to high volatility.
for example in the case of US30 23rd AUGUST 2022
Crude Oil (WTI) Your Detailed Trading Plan For Next Week 🛢️
Hey traders,
As I predicted, WTI Crude Oil has perfectly respected a major falling trend line and dropped from that.
We already caught 2 very nice winners shorting that.
To catch a bearish continuation, watch 79.15 - 80.90 horizontal neckline of a head and shoulders pattern.
We should wait for 4H candle close below that to confirm the breakout.
Then shorting on a retest, we will expect a bearish continuation to 76.5.
If the price respect a yellow zone and breaks a trend line, the setup will be invalid.
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Will the $80's Hold for Oil?Oil has weakened with the price action rounding off at $83.21. We are currently seeing support at the base of the $80 handle with the level at $80.00 holding strong for now. We have several green triangles on the KRI confirming support. The Kovach OBV has dipped with the selloff, and we will need more momentum to come through in order to establish higher levels. If we break down further, then $78.90 or $77.56 are the next levels where we can anticipate support.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Time to Sell?! 🛢
Hey traders,
Update for WTI Crude Oil:
the price finally retested the broken neckline of a descending triangle on a daily.
On an hourly chart, the market formed a double top formation and broke its neckline then.
It looks to me that WTI will drop soon.
Goals: 80.3 / 79.3
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Oil & Gas to NEW HIGHSXOP - is in the same type of consolidation it has been TWICE prior to its' current location. It has already bounced off of $114 support level. I'm anticipating the price running to a resistance level of around $180 with a pull back which would launch it THROUGH the $180 level which it hasn't been over since 2015. If current market condition continue running its' course, $330 is very possible in 2024.
These are just observations and NOT predictions.
New Relative Lows in OilPersistent rececession fears have slammed oil. A momentous selloff has blasted through the $80's, digging deeply into the $70's, currently feeling out the high $77's at the time of this writing. We are getting support from just above $77.56, but are edging lower and things are looking very bearish. The Kovach OBV has pressed lower and is showing little signs of relief. If we are able to pivot, then $80 should be a ceiling, with $76.16 the next target to the downside.
Oil Order Flow - Opens Door To $60.00In this video I offer my train of thought as to why Oil might be en-route to target as ultimate cyclical target the $60.
The OFA script breaks down what otherwise would be a very messy and chaotic price behavior into neat and visually clear waves.
Remember the two key main features of the OFA indicator:
Magnitude: A major clue that will help determine the health of a trend is the type of progress by the dominant side in control of the trend. We need to ask the following question: Are the new legs in the active buy-sell side campaign as identified by the script increasing or decreasing in magnitude?
Velocity: When it comes to the distance the price moves, the magnitude is only ½ the equation. The other ½ has to do with the velocity of the move or the speed. Was the new leg created after a fast and impulsive move? Or did price make a new low or high with the movement being sluggish, compressive and taking too long to form? A good rule of thumb is to count the number of candles it took to achieve a new leg.