Crude in retracementCrude oil prices are in clear retracement this week, in the midst of broad market down trending.
Previous week's assessment was that Crude stalled, and the week passed saw Crude reach near target, almost 124, before stalling and retracing. For interest, white arrows show entry and exit points that were taken. Just days after closing the trade, Crude turned down for a retracement, and started with a weekly down candle that wiped out 5 weeks of gains. The daily chart shows that particularly after FOMC announcement of the 75 basis point increment, Crude took a definitive step back, and as the news sunk in, accentuated the slide downwards. Crude is in retracement mode, that appears to target 95 bounce support at the moment. The trajectory is broken, but the target for USD155-160 for 2022 is still in the making; IF Crude prices falls and maintains below 82, then it nullifies the USD155 projection.
Weekly and Daily technical indicators are bearish for now.
Look for 100 and 95 as supports over the next week.
Crude Oil Futures WTI (CL1!)
Oil Finds SupportAs we mentioned yesterday, lower levels for oil are holding after it retraced from highs. Our level at $122.95 has held as a double top, and we have since pulled back to test support levels at $116, then $113. We are finding good support at $113, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has flattened out, suggesting we will range here at current levels for a bit. Watch $116 to provide resistance, and $113 or $111 to provide support.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Multi Time Frame Analysis & Technical Outlook 🛢
Hey traders,
WTI crude oil is steadily growing within a rising parallel channel.
The price is coiling around its resistance for the last two weeks.
Analyzing the reaction of the price to that structure, I spotted a peculiar horizontal range on 4H.
116.6 - 118.0 is its support.
Wait for its bearish breakout as your trigger to sell.
Then a bearish continuation will be expected to 112.4
If the price breaks the resistance of the range, the setup will be invalid.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Oil RangesA technical retracement has taken oil back to 116, exactly as we anticipated. Recall that we suggested that oil will range for a bit between 116 and 122. The high at 122.95 will provide strong resistance for the moment, but eventually we see it pushing higher. There are few reasons to believe lower oil prices will come our way, but if we break past 116, we expect support at 113, 111 or 108. If we break out, our next target is 126.50.
Another Breakout in Sight for Oil??Oil has gotten support from just above $116, which we anticipated to hold as a lower bound. It hit our target of $122 before a technical retracement brought us back to lower levels. We knew this would only be transient and sure enough, oil is back to relative highs, just a few ticks below our level at $122.95. The Kovach OBV is still strong, so there is no reason to expect a retracement past $116. We may play the range a bit, so watch $122.95 for resistance. If we are able to break it the next level is $126.50.
USOIL 14th JUNE 2022Before July, USOIL was seen moving in the consolidation channel area which tends to be bullish. in July, USOIL sentiment will tend to be bearish.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member states announced plans to adjust oil production upward in July by 0.648 million barrels per day at the 29th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting on June 2, reports the organization’s press service. US President Joe Biden has repeatedly appealed to Saudi Arabia to increase its oil output without success. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson also asked Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to boost production. He too was rebuffed.
Crude pausesThe Crude oil futures weekly chart started the week with a gap up, but ended the week with a doji candlestick, indicating a stall. Weekly indicators are divergent currently, with the RPM clearly pointing out the stalling, but the MACD crossed over to be bullish again.
The daily chart shows of a mid-week extension to near the 125 target, missing slightly, and then stalling and retracing at the end of the week. The rate of daily increase is steady, and not sudden spikes, which is good for the trend build up. Meaning, it would probably last longer uptrend. But for now, it appears to be stalling, and the daily technicals are also showing the signs of a stall.
Expectations for the coming two to three weeks would be retracements and consolidating for a coil, before the next launch, pending no sudden geopolitical events to trigger price spikes.
Oil Extremely BullishWe have been reporting on the bullishness of oil, and called the bull wedge breakout from $120 to $122 perfectly. It was able to break out from this level perfectly, and has reached $122.95, our target level, to the tick before retracing just above $120, where it is currently finding support. After the breakout it is likely to range at currently levels, between $120 and $122.95, but we have nothing fundamental to suggest anything other than a purely technical retracement, if that. If so, we should find strong support at $116. Otherwise, $126.50 is the next target if we can break out again.