USOIL - retracement before moving upOil prices finally broke the key level resistance of 54.75's the other day and made a new high at 56.75's. Price is making a retracement back down to our minor support level of 55.40's (zone in green) or perhaps back to our key level resistance, turned support.
We will be monitoring this area for a long entry back to 56.75 and above.
Cl1!long
CL1! LONG - active tradeHi, thanks for viewing. Just sharing my trade.
Entered late on Friday because I saw wave (i) and (i) but was watching something else when wave (iii) started. Ended up entering on a wave ii retracement of wave i - as I was anticipating - based on wave i that wave (iii) was going to be extended (as it didn't reach 1:1 of wave (i). I was super lucky to catch it right at the 0.618 fib level. of wave (i).
I was 4.5% up when the market closed for the weekend and realised on Saturday I had forgotten to put a stop loss on (I put a SL on 99% of the time) - luckily things went the right way. I put one on this morning that will lock in a minimum of 25% profit if things go bad. I will raise this if an when price action allows but will hold off for a while. Currently 130% up - yay me. Joining wave (iii) wouldn't be a bad idea if you are looking for an entry. That or joining for wave (v).
There were murmerings of a reduction in production being considered this week by OPEC in the news last week. While that isn't why I entered, it certainly didn't hurt. Clearly the market was and is anticipating that - hence the big gap up. I hear on here people say that "gaps are always closed", yeah I guess so... eventually. Never understood what the relevance of that statement. Gaps just indicate a strong trend - normally found in wave iii of wave 3.
My tentative target is $56.91 for a 6x gain (thanks to scary levels of leverage). If that happens it will definitely be my best trade in my limited trading experience. However, I will close the trade based on a MACD cross-over strategy on the daily time frame as things may go a bit higher - as we have recently seen; when the market trends - it really trends. Wave (v) being extended is a possibility,
Normally, I trade 100% on technical factors but I guess this had a little fundamental thrown in. The main factor was that by my EW count we were starting to set the foundations for a bounce after an extended down move that was super difficult to get a good EW count on. I find CL1! difficult to trade due to the $ per pip change - so any move against you can hurt a lot. Anyway, I'm happy to let this one ride for a while.
Thanks for viewing and good luck everyone and protect those funds.
Apologies for any typos and my use of the minuette and subminuette EW, which is purely arbitrary. All I am trying to show is 2 degrees of wave action on smaller one larger.
Crude bullish RSI divergence after deep correctionThanks for viewing. I'm not into fundamental analysis - so we could have complete crushing overproduction and oversupply of crude and I wouldn't know. I'm just looking for a potential bounce to go long.
So I just posted to point out a potential EW count and strong bullish divergence displayed by the RSI. It could go a little lower but the spring is coiling and there will be a significant bounce when it comes. Still, I will be waiting for confirmation and haven't decided if I will miss wave A yet and will wait for wave C up.
Happy trading and protect those funds people.
CL long to 70Last week prices initially showed signs of equilibrium between 64.6 and 65.8; Based on last weeks close a Weekly Inflection has been created at 66.10 and if we see volume move above this level then I will look for my first target at the next high Weekly Inflection at 67.35; and then target near the next high Weekly Inflection above that near 70.51, with a TP of 70.25.
Entry: 66.10 (Prices are in this zone so the Entry is Active)
Target Price 1: 67.35
Target Price 2: 70.25
SL: 64.20
Good trading all!
US OIL slightly longer term view with major trendlineCurrently got an outside channel test which even if it breaks above there's that huge downward trendline not far above which is bound to give us some resistance. Break above and then a test of that we could be looking at continued bullish action. Look for the cheap trade with tightest stops on the test of the trendline if this is the case.
Long in Crude Oil up to USD38, STOP USD27.80After the production agreement between Russia and Saudi Arabia, it is possible that the imbalance between supply and demand decreases and even set aside in coming months.
Based on this statement and Fibonnaci retracemen of previous days rally, while the pet'roleo is over USD28 is likely to advance to USD38 .