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US Crude Oil Prices Hover at $82: Bearish Setup in Sight?US crude oil prices continue to fluctuate within a sideways trading range, currently hovering around the $82.00 mark. This consolidation phase has presented an intriguing supply area, suggesting a potential bearish movement in the near term. In this context, it's essential to consider the positions of various market participants. Commercial traders, who often include producers and large institutions, are maintaining a bearish stance. This bearish sentiment from the commercial side contrasts with the behavior of retail traders, who are currently in buying mode. This divergence between commercial and retail positions can be a significant indicator of potential market direction. Given the current market conditions, we are monitoring this supply area for a bearish setup. On a daily timeframe, the possible targets for this bearish movement are the next demand areas. These zones represent potential levels where buying interest might re-emerge, providing support to the prices. While there isn't a strong seasonal trend supporting a bearish continuation, statistical analysis suggests that there could be a bearish impulse lasting until mid-August. This potential decline aligns with historical patterns, even though the current market lacks a definitive seasonal bias for a prolonged bearish trend. The interplay between commercial and retail traders' positions provides a nuanced view of market sentiment. Commercial traders' bearish outlook, combined with the retail traders' bullish stance, creates a dynamic environment that could lead to significant price movements. This scenario highlights the importance of closely monitoring market sentiment and positioning to identify potential trading opportunities. In conclusion, US crude oil prices remain in a sideways range around $82.00, with an interesting supply area indicating a possible bearish movement. The contrasting positions of commercial and retail traders add complexity to the market outlook. Despite the absence of strong seasonal trends, statistical analysis suggests a potential bearish impulse until mid-August. Traders should remain vigilant and consider these factors when developing their trading strategies in the current market environment. ✅ Please share your thoughts about Crude Oil in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
WTI OIL on the 3.5 year Support!WTI Oil (USOIL) is attempting to form yet another bottom below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the ultimate long-term Support since February 2021. As you can see, since May 2023, Oil has been forming Higher Lows just below this level. Despite the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line since September 25 2023, the pattern shows a break-out above Resistance 1, every time such a low is formed. Our long-term Target remains 90.50 (potential Higher High on an emerging Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
WTI OIL Correction is over. Buy strongly.WTI Oil (USOIL) followed our July 02 (see chart below) sell signal to perfection as it got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line and Resistance 1 and broke today below the 0.618 Fib, hitting our 77.00 Target in the process: For that projection we used the February 05 Low as a benchmark, which also hit the 0.618 Fib and rebounded on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). That has been the multi-year Support level for WTI, so we currently won't get a better long-term buy signal than this. As a result, we are now turning bullish again on Crude, targeting the -0.5 Fib extension (as on the April 05 High) at 90.50. Note also that the 1D RSI is almost oversold at 30.00, a clear cyclical buy signal in the recent past (green circles). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
4
WTI OIL Still bearish but watch this level for a reversal.WTI Oil (USOIL) is posting today the 2nd straight green 1D candle following yesterday's EIA report but the short-term pattern remains a (dashed) Channel Down, which keeps the trend bearish. Ever since the July 05 rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Triangle pattern, we've been aiming for a 1W MA200 (red trend-line) contact, similar to the February 05 2024 Low. As long as the 1D RSI remains below its MA trend-line, we will remain bearish, moving however our medium-term Target a bit higher to 78.50. If however the RSI breaks above its MA, we will close the short immediately and buy instead on the bullish break-out, targeting 87.60 (Resistance 2). Keep also an eye on the RSI's Symmetrical Support level (43.35) for a potential reversal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
2
WTI OIL Rejected on the 9-month Resistance. Still good to sell.Last week (July 02, see chart below) we called for a short-term correction upon a potential Lower Highs rejection on WTI Oil (USOIL): As you can see, the strong rejection was materialized last Friday on that 9-month Resistance, and the long-term Triangle pattern is technically looking for a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level test. Zooming out on the 1W time-frame, we can see even more relevant info. During the previous two 0.618 Fibonacci pull-backs, the price also hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has served as Oil's long-term Support in the last 3.5 years (since February 01 2021). The only time it closed a 1W candle below the 1W MA200 during this time span was recently on the week of June 03 2024. As a result, besides the 0.618 Fib, we expect the 1W MA200 to be tested also, so depending on the decline's strength, we may have to move our 77.00 Target a bit higher (e.g. 78.00). It has to be mentioned though that the decline to the 0.618 Fib during the past 2 corrections has been dealt within a week. So technically we should be expecting an aggressive move this week. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
2
Slow Monday? Crude OilSo we took some Daily BSL last week on Friday and since we have sold off slowly. NWOG gapped down and this indicates for at least today some sort of Raid or hunt to also touch a PD array thats near to a discount. We have no major news catalyst today and that brings slow PA although it may travel its not ideal for scalpers. ( Lots of back and forth ) Wednesday and Thursday have crucial Crude Oil news events and these will be the optimum days to trade. For Today I am bearish until we reach these targets and or a htf Market structure shift. Be prepared to stay dynamic.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader
WTI OIL Testing 9-month Resistance.WTI Oil (USOIL) has so far ignored last week's 1D Death Cross formation and made a strong jump yesterday that isn't about to only test Resistance 1 (84.50, the April 26 High) but also the Lower Highs trend-line, a 9-month Resistance going back to September 28 2023. The 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overbought level after a Double Bottom at 30.00, which is a pattern we last saw leading to the January 29 2024 High. That was also a Resistance test. As a result, it is now worth attempting a tight SL sell (using that level as stop) and Target 77.00, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, being the target of the February 05 correction. That will also make a technical test of the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is again what happened on Feb 05. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot