Cl_f
Elliott Wave View Calling for More Downside in OilElliott Wave view on Oil (CL_F) suggests a 5 waves decline from April 22 peak ($66.6) which ended wave (1) at $60.04. In the chart below, we can see wave (2) bounce ended at $63.32 at the blue box. The internal of wave (2) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from $60.04, wave W ended at $62.95, wave X ended at $60.66, and wave Y ended at $63.32.
Oil has since turned lower in wave (3). However, it needs to break below wave (1) at $63.32 to confirm the next leg lower and avoid a double correction. The initial decline from $63.32 appears impulsive and ended wave 1 at $60.64. Wave 2 bounce is in progress to correct the cycle from $63.32 peak before the decline resumes. Potential target for wave 2 is 50% – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave 1 at $62 – $62.3. We don’t like buying Oil and expect sellers to appear in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at $63.32 stays intact. A break below wave (1) at $63.32 will confirm the next leg lower in CL_F. A 100% extension target from April 22 peak can see Oil reaching $55.3 – $56.8 at least.
My forecast on CL this weekFinally a daily close above 54.75 for the bulls. Looking for a retest of this area to hold and continue the trend up. As long as the lower trendline and 18 day sma hold, we most likely grind higher to the 57.44 target I have then ~60. Losing the 54.75 on a closing basis would put selling pressure on oil and most likely test the 53 area.
As always let price discovery be your guide :-).
Cl thoughts for tomoz Tuesday 13th Nov 2018Chopped up by CL today, v clear now on the daily though.
Check out the hourly from the 14th of Feb this year. Look how precisely the bottom of today drop bounced from the start of the leg. I think it should rally from here, but needs to stay under the 15 min level to keep shorting from this area..... i think! (famous last words)
Oil 1 Hour Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggesting More DownsideHello Traders,
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, we will have a look at Oil in the 1 hour chart.
The commodity ended its cycle from 8/1/2016 low (39.19) at the peak of 07/03 in red wave III and currently, it is correcting that cycle in 3-7 or 11 swings in red wave IV lower before the rally can resume.
Near-term it ended blue wave (W) at 07/12 low (69.23). The internals of blue wave (W) unfolded as an Elliott Wave flat structure where it ended red wave A at the low of 07/06 (72.15), red wave B pullback at 07/10 (74.71) and red wave C of blue wave (W) completed at 07/12 low (69.23). Above from there, blue wave (X) correction ended at 07/13 peak (71.66). Below from there it is at the 61.80-76.40 Retracement area from 07/03 peak which can end soon the cycle from 07/13 peak (71.66) in red wave A and as long as pullback in red wave B stays below 71.66 peak, we expect Oil to resume lower towards the equal legs of 65.62-64.19 from 07/03 peak before a reaction higher can be seen. We don’t like selling Oil.