UPDATE: Premature buy for Clicks but still bullish to R340.76Previously we saw the price break above the Inverse Head and Shoulders.
It was short lived and the price came back down to the support (which was a resistance).
Now it's testing the uptrend and the 200MA.
If the JSE continues up, then it should bring up the price which will give us a conservative...
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target remains at R340.76
Clicks
UPDATE: Clicks just gave two extra buying signals!Inverse Head and Shoulders formed on Clicks.
The price broke up and then there was a consolidation to the downside forming a somewhat Falling Pennant.
During this time the price bounced off the 200 MA and the uptrend.
This coonfirms the upside will continue along with other indicators.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target remains at R340.76
UPDATE You pay less for Clicks for NOW target still R340You pay less at Clicks but the price is going up so now is the best time to buy.
We have an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern form, as I mentioned earlier. the price broke up and is showing strong upside to come.
We have other indicators confirming including:
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R340.76
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Clicks is a well-known South African retail pharmacy, health, and beauty chain.
Clicks was founded in 1968 in Cape Town, South Africa, as a health and beauty retail store.
Product Range:
Clicks offers a wide range of products, including pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter medications, beauty products, skincare, haircare, personal care items, and more.
Store Network:
Clicks has a vast network of stores across South Africa, with locations in cities, suburbs, and shopping malls.
Pharmacy Services:
Many Clicks stores have an in-house pharmacy, providing prescription medications, advice from qualified pharmacists, and other pharmaceutical services.
Private Label Products:
Clicks has its own private-label brands for various products, offering customers affordable alternatives to well-known brands.
Wellness Clinics:
Some Clicks stores have wellness clinics that offer various healthcare services, including vaccinations, screenings, and family planning consultations.
Beauty Services:
Some larger Clicks stores offer beauty services such as nail bars and eyebrow threading, enhancing the shopping experience.
Online Shopping:
Clicks offers an online platform where customers can shop for a wide range of products and have them delivered to their homes.
Rewards Program:
The Clicks ClubCard loyalty program offers customers discounts, cashback rewards, and personalized offers based on their shopping habits.
Parent Company:
Clicks is part of the Clicks Group, which also owns other retail brands like Musica, The Body Shop, and UPD (United Pharmaceutical Distributors).
HOW IT GOT ITS NAME
The "Clicks" name was apparently derived from the sound that the founder, Jack Goldin, heard from a clicking stethoscope, embodying the health focus he wanted for the company.
However, due to the existing legislation, the health focus was not immediately realized until later years.
Clicks broke above the Inverse Head and Shoulders FINALLYInverse Head and Shoulders has been forming with Clicks since March 2023 as it was being formed.
We've seen the price making higher lows, breakout of its year downtrend, and things are now looking better for the bulls.
Other indicators confirm:
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target 1 will be quite extended and it could be a medium term hold but my first price is to R340.76
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Clicks Group is a retail-led healthcare group which has been listed on the JSE Limited (Johannesburg Stock Exchange) since 1996.
Clicks Group was established in 1968 in Cape Town, South Africa by entrepreneur, Jack Goldin.
Clicks was originally conceived as a drugstore concept in the style of American retailers such as Walgreens and CVS, but with legislation in South Africa at the time prohibiting corporate ownership of pharmacies, the model had to be adjusted to a variety retailer.
The first Clicks store was opened in St. Georges Street in Cape Town.
The "Clicks" name was apparently derived from the sound that the founder, Jack Goldin, heard from a clicking stethoscope, embodying the health focus he wanted for the company.
However, due to the existing legislation, the health focus was not immediately realized until later years.
The Group operates through multiple retail brands like Clicks, GNC, The Body Shop, Claire's, Musica (which you can't find anymore), and more, providing a wide array of products from health and beauty to homewares.
In 2003, Clicks was finally able to introduce pharmacies into their stores after South African legislation changed to allow corporate pharmacy ownership.
Clicks Group has the largest retail pharmacy chain in South Africa with over 500 in-store pharmacies.
Room for a retracement on Clicks?JSE:CLS has been on a good run lately and has continued to form new all-time highs up until the previous high on the 22nd of September. At the same time, it has been consolidating sideways mostly since mid August. With today's downwards price action, we have broken out of the bottom of the consolidation area. If this downward momentum continues, I think we could see a retracement down towards the .5 or .618 Fibonacci levels before turning again upwards to potentially form new highs. Let's see what happens.
Our Club PortfolioLast year, on the 14th December 2020 we wrote an article about our Investment Club software and our in-house company portfolio which we run on that software. As we said in that article, running this portfolio has proved to be a highly motivating exercise for our staff.
Since 14 December last year, there has been just one change to the portfolio, when the Clicks share price fell at the beginning of 2021, we decided to take advantage of the situation and bought additional shares – which brought our average cost for Clicks down.
Aside from this one change, the portfolio has remained the same.
Capitec has appreciated sharply as that company increased its market share and continued to grow rapidly. Our investment has grown by 31% since December last year and is now up over 100% since we first acquired the shares. Capitec has been a been a remarkable investment since it was listed in 2002 growing a hundred-fold from 180c to R1800 per share. Consider it's chart.
Transaction Capital is up almost 60% over the 10 months since December 2020 and we believe it will continue to grow. Its two primary businesses - mini-bus taxis and buying up debtors’ books - are both likely to continue benefiting from the conditions that prevail in South Africa. The company is very well run and conservatively managed.
Prosus has fallen out of favour with institutional investors since we bought our shares mainly because of the clamp-down by Chinese authorities on the business of Tencent and also because of the recent highly complex transaction that Prosus executed with its parent company Naspers. We think that both of these negatives will cease to impact the share price in time and that Prosus will continue to release shareholder value and benefits from its acquisitions (like the recent acquisition of BillDesk in India). It is our intention to buy more Prosus shares when we have sufficient funds so as to bring our average cost down.
We regard Clicks as an iconic share which should be accumulated on any weakness and should be a part of any portfolio. The company has proved that it is almost immune to national calamities like the pandemic and the civil unrest of July. We were happy to buy more of these shares at the lower prices which prevailed in March this year. We regard it as a highly defensive and conservatively managed growth share that will continue to expand its store base and grow steadily.
Afrimat is somewhat risky because it is exposed to commodity prices, but the company has executed an amazing transition from being a construction company to being a producer of base metals and minerals. Other construction companies, like Aveng and Murray & Roberts, were gutted by the destruction of the construction industry following the 2010 World Cup. Afrimat has managed to completely re-invent itself showing remarkable perspicacity and management acumen.
You can see that our approach is typical Warren Buffett. We try to find high-quality blue-chip shares and buy them when they are out of favour with the big institutions. We are not in any sense traders, we are investors. Like Buffett, when one of our shares falls, we celebrate because that enables us to buy more at lower prices and bring our average cost down. We did that with Clicks, and we are about to do it with Prosus.
Overall, the portfolio is up just over 40% since its inception and the whole process of running an investment club has become highly motivating for our staff.
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Clicks long if trendline brokenJSE:CLS is showing signs of upward momentum based on our trend-following strategy. However, it is struggling to form higher highs and break the down trend that it has been trading in for the past month or so. If it breaks this trendline, I will consider entering a long position.
Swing Trade: Clicks GroupClicks JSE:CLS seems to be bouncing off the bottom of a 100-day regression channel, supported by the 200 EMA line and a decent double bottom pattern.
The leading RSI and Stochastic indicators signalled a trend reversal on 26 February 2021 by turning up through 50 and crossing up through the slow line from a low base, respectively.
The MACD (lagging) confirmed this trend today, 2 March 2021 by crossing above the signal line.
Entry for me would be a confirmed close above R250, with a price target of R264 and R279 based on resistance levels, and if it fell out the bottom I would exit at R239.
Reward: 11.73%
Risk: 4.37%
Ratio: 2.68
Clicks - possible retracement to bottom of channelAlthough JSE:CLS is trending in an upward direction, it is also trading in a parallel channel. It bounced off of the top of the channel and seems to be retracing. For the moment, I think it is possible that it will retrace down to the bottom of the channel before turning up again. The bottom of the channel also coincides with a strong support and the psychological level of 25000
Bullish Engulfing & Consolidation breakoutJSE:CLS has been in a consolidation phase since the 4th of May in a sideways move. Today's price action has caused a breakout of this consolidation zone with quite a lot of momentum causing a bullish engulfing candle pattern to form.
If it trades higher tomorrow, it will be looking good for a move to the upside.
CLS at possible turning pointJSE:CLS is trading at a significant resistance level at the moment. It will most likely not break through this level. The stochastic indicator is looking like a turn downwards is imminent as well.
If this level is broken and a higher high is confirmed, we could continue with the strong momentum in an upward direction.
We will just have to wait and see which direction is chosen