CLDR over 14.20This is probably best as a long-term swing play, but due to the cost a leap or bundle of shares is accessible. Here on the monthly you can see it would be a break of the downtrend, monthly resistance, and .5 fib. Holding over this level could see big continuation.
Cloud
Cloud computing looking goodI really like this ETF NASDAQ:CLOU and now is looking good. Is one of the leading tech industries due the higher demand for online solutions for everything, and I believe that is just getting started. It broke out of a symmetrical triangle with good buying volume and now is testing the 20 day MA with low selling volume, for me that's a good buy signal. All thought the best time to buy is at the close so I'll wait until then to buy.
CRM likely test 215 to gap close, buyable on technical reversalCRM has gained 48% this yr or 50 bil market cap into a total of 200 bil. The gain is a small potato compared to the new market darling such as SNOW, DASH, AI and ZM, PTON, ETSY, CHWY. It has the disadvantage of a large flow and low short interest so it's not a cult stock.
So it acted like all mega-caps like AMZN AAPL FB NFLX with large flow and small short interest, it's choppy aimlessly.
It's a stock to consider at money IC or 2 ATR and plus an upside butterfly as it is close at ST support. One is to generate income and the other is to anticipate a bounce but not a huge one, $20 to 30 upside. The range is 220 to 250 where there would be major resistance.
CLDR over 12.00Growing account pick. After a great earnings response it has sold off pretty violently, but has likely found support at a long term trend line and .5 fib. Over 12.00 should see continuation.
Zoom testing convoluted levelTechnical analysis
From October 19th, we have seen a 26-trading-day downtrend. The second attempt to break the trend was at the 38.2% fibonacci retracement level, which failed.
We are now trying to test the same downtrend line (Red arrow), while also testing the 61.8% fibonacci retracement level.
The 50sma which is converging with the 50% Fib; which seems to have a heavy resistance weight.
OBV is in a range.
Rotation analysis
Cloud/WFH stocks saw a big rally in response to the pandemic. With vaccine news, the gave some of it back.
Looking at the ratio of Value vs Growth in the $SPX, we still haven't broken the uptrend; indicating strength is still in play in growth.
I expect the small caps to continue to outperform if we get the stimulus that is anticipated in the next couple of months.
Fib channel gives path to 255Taking a different approach with this one and seeing how accurate the fib channel will prove to be. Whether a fib channel or not, price has been traveling in this channel with some exceptions bottoming out or breaking out. Overlaying volume profile indicates its about to find a base over 228-230 and may make its next move from there.
Will Tesla Break Below Support?According to the Kurutoga Cloud, we can see TSLA just tapped into its support zone. Will it bounce back up or break through support?
Comment your thoughts!
Monday is key, if it falls below it will be a start of a bear trend and fall into the high 300s. While if it continues its bull trend Monday is a great opportunity to buy.
SAP ready for a slow n steady climb back up ? SAP was until recently the largest tech company in Europe, Now replaced by PROSUS but after a disappointing Q3 earnings it fell 20%+.
Total revenue fell 4% to €6.54 billion, cloud and software revenue fell 2% and operating profit fell 12%. However, Pure-cloud services grew 11%, to €1.98 billion.
SAP’s revenue was around €300 million under expectations, though per-share profit beat expectations.
“Over the next two years, we expect to see muted growth of revenue accompanied by a flat to slightly lower operating profit. After 2022 momentum will pick up considerably though. Initial headwinds of the accelerated cloud transition will start to turn into tailwinds for revenue and profit. That translates to accelerated revenue growth and double digit operating profit growth from 2023 onwards,” SAP CFO Luka Mucic said in a call with analysts.
Looking to scale in when price is in BUY ZONE (purple box), with Entry target of $100. Stop Loss $90. Exit target MINIMUM 2:1 RR , look at levels to find an exit.
This will probably be a longer term play due to the revised forecast targets being pushed back from 2023 to 2025
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, JUST A RANDOM IDEA
Cup formed, handle next, run into earningsUpdating my ADSK idea from a few days back which has played out nicely. This has formed a nice cup and considering 1. the bullish week it had and 2. the fib retracement (1) and extension (1.618) immediately above, it should bounce off resistance to begin forming the handle. I am reticent to predict an exact path but I think there is a good likelihood that consolidates below, potentially creating a proportional handle at 30% of the cup, before moving upward to new ATH in a pre-earnings run up.
In the past version I had incorrectly listed the 1.618 extension by a point and have updated it to 265.85. I have also updated the upper trend line and fib extensions above.