Long for medianNo follow through on drop, even after retesting broken TL from the back resulted in squeezed swings, that left the downsloping median set without reaching it's median. Now the last of the swings got zoomed and is currently being retested. A long postion shooting for the median seems like a good idea to me here. Sl underneath last swing.
CLQ2016
They broke the uptrend but are reluctant to sell it further.Crude did not roll over and die after breaking the uptrend. A BIG emotional candle after a disappointing eia report broke the trendline dating back to january, but what puzzles me is why it did not break down further after the retest of that line from the back.
Maybe they are anticipating the BIG DRAW eia report on wednesday and therefore hesitant? Or is this just a corrective structure (the overlapping price action would fit that) and are we coiling for a bigger move up?
As always, price will tell us.
I have marked out some possible scenarios.
Catch the falling knife.Vertical big bad scary red candle upon eia. Broke both TL and Wedge, which we are currently crawling back into. Now, i am taking a risky position here (falling knives not meant to be caught). But i am counting on profit taking into weekend and some realism plus this upsloping median set which 'cuts' very nicely. Not risking much here just small portion of this weeks gains. If you are thinking about following please maintain rigid stop loss :)
looking for possible long hereWe are still following the downsloper but coming up on three major supports: the uptrendline from the rally going back to january, the lower TL of the big falling wedge and the horizontal support off the 45.80 area). Also price action is becoming wedge-like and squishy. If we bounce back and retest i might become a buyer here. Prerequisite would be a zoom and succesfull retest of the (small) falling wedge upper TL.
follow up on earlier posted short tradewe are following a downsloping median set with a median parallel to earlier mentioned mult pivot line (which got zoomed friday and is due for a retest). Because we are following the downsloper nicely i would move stop to BE and adjust target for downsloping angle of target line
Short scalp with potential to become a swingtradeAs posted earlier i think Crude is on a crucial junction here. A closeup look at the structure revealed a nice short set up. Price action at the Orange Excursion line we zoomed on friday will tell if it is just a scalp or something bigger. If we rebreak that line, the short could be kept open for a bigger downside move. If we bounce back up i will be looking for long entries.