Cme!
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels:
That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
BTC Futures Expectations: Anticipating the Next Market MovesTwo major macro events are now behind us; the Fed rate decision and more notably, the U.S. Presidential Election. With a clean red sweep, we have begun to see Scenario 1 play out from our previous post. However, given the surge of retail euphoria and excitement, this run towards the 90k mark was not entirely unexpected. November 11, 2024 has now set a crucial range for the weeks ahead.
Big Picture BTC Futures:
Key Levels to Watch:
pATH support: 78,960 - 77,155
Key Bull Zone: 68,100 - 65,500
Yearly Mid: 67,375
Yearly VPOC: 68,100
Scenario 1 — Consolidation While Capped by Weekly High and Monday’s Range
In this scenario, we can expect further consolidation as more participants enter the market.
Based on our current expectations, BTC may consolidate near new ATHs and above key pATHs support. Perhaps we may see another bull flag formation, which may fail at first and test the key pATHs support before another upward move. Here, the key would be shaking out late breakout traders, with a possible dip before another move higher as outlined.
Scenario 2 — Euphoria Turns to Frustration and Shakeout for Late Breakout Traders
In this scenario, we expect a deeper pullback that could be more intense—shifting the euphoria into gloom. A bottom signal will likely emerge as market sentiment turns bearish. BTC futures could dip back to pATHs, followed by a quick V bottom recovery that tests the confluence of yVPOC, key bull support, and yearly midpoint.
Scenario 3 - Sustained Bullish Momentum to 100K
In this scenario, a bullish run continues towards the 100K mark before it starts to cool down and consolidate between 90K and 100K price levels. This is a warning for those trying to time a top in BTC futures. It is better to plan than to step in blindly and fire from the hip.
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Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding
CME Gap Update: $77K-$80K ZoneThere is a recent CME gap sitting between the $77K and $80K range. CME gaps are known for being open levels in price that tend to get filled sooner or later. With this gap still unfilled, it’s crucial to keep an eye on this area as price action could revisit it in the near term, potentially acting as a pullback target or confirmation of further upward momentum. As always, traders should be prepared for price to retrace and fill the gap, especially if the current bullish trend continues. NFA.
BTC CME GAP- CME and cryptocurrency ETFs are important, but in different ways :
- The CME is more influential in terms of institutional trading, price discovery, and market structure, while ETFs play a crucial role in making cryptocurrencies accessible to a broader range of investors and driving market adoption.
- Don't focus on ETFs, they are still young and small in BTC/ETH market ( around 5% ).
- Chicago Mercantile Exchange are older.
- Wealthy investors are in BTC from 2017.
- This Gap have to be taken soon or later.
PS : the green line is EMA200
Happy Tr4Ding !
Beginning of AUDUSD workout. H4 03.09.2024Beginning of AUDUSD workout
Yesterday in the closed channel I recommended subscribers
to look for sales of the Australian dollar from the strong zone
0.6790-0.6816 with the perspective of corrective
fall to 0.6640+-
The price gave a reaction in the morning and I believe that
the push down will continue. It remains to cover a major
growth candle and then I will increase sales.
It is also desirable that the cumulative starts
to grow on the fall, they often get after that.
Already right now, even at 0.1 lot almost returned
the cost of a monthly subscription
Ethereum - CME Gap yet to be filled#ETH/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ As shown in the chart, the Bitcoin CME futures gap is still unfilled.
+ This gap was created during the sudden market crash driven by recession fears.
+ Historically, 90% of CME gaps get filled sooner or later, and we expect the same outcome in this case.
+ Currently, the ETH price is around the support zone, and it appears to have recovered after hitting this level.
+ It's likely this gap will be filled in September, as it is typically a bearish month, but it should certainly be filled before the end of October.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
USDCAD in the area of option hedges. H4 29.08.2024 USDCAD in the area of option hedges
The price has entered the area of option hedges and margins at 1.3460.
However, given the strongly growing cumulative delta, there are concerns
whether it can go up without updating the low near 1.3440.
I think it will be pulled down first, ideally to knock out stops, capture liquidity,
show a culmination and then go into corrective growth. The nearest target is around 1.36
Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction H4. 22.08.2024Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction
On the Euro I expect a rebound to the area of 1.1170
and the start of correction there.
The rebound was made, but the nuance is that the cumulative
continues to fall,
which means that they can still make an outburst to fill
the culmination volumes.
Without them they are unlikely to make a downward reversal.
They may reach 1.12, where there is also a strong option resistance,
and then down.
In any case, I will not enter without confirmation of volumes
and I advise you to wait for the conditions.
CME gap still not closed! Expect uptake of price and more ATH Increadibly, CME is still open now with a secondary formation because of bitcoin volatility
The gap is marked with the orange box with range 59,445 and 62,470
Extremily possible that price will need to go there, so big players do not lose money
Another evidence that price will go there, is that the price of bitcoin is finishing a flag pattern
Target of bull flag is around 85,000 usd per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Bitcoin - Reversal is imminent - CME Future Gaps#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ It's unusual to see consecutive unfilled CME futures gaps, but recent market volatility has created just that scenario. Historically, CME gaps tend to be filled sooner or later, and current market conditions suggest that prices may be heading directly towards these gaps.
+ The appearance of two consecutive unfilled gaps is a rare occurrence. Given the strong historical tendency for these gaps to be filled, it’s likely that the market will attempt to revisit these levels.
+ The recent bounce from support has been robust, indicating strong upward momentum. This move bolsters confidence that the gaps will be filled in the coming weeks, especially as traders and investors often target these areas.
+ With the current price action showing strength after the bounce, it seems increasingly probable that the price is headed towards the gaps. If this momentum continues, we could see these gaps filled relatively soon.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 57000
Stop Loss: 50000
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Target 1: 59900
Target 2: 61000
Target 3: 65000
Target 4: 70000
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Timeframe: 1D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k areaIt seems that BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k area, as seen from several indicators including:
1. Fibo 0.618 (goldenratio) correction from impulsive wave from January to March
2. Major support at 51k has not been visited since February
3. Finishing ABCDE correction wave
4. Bottom trendline descending channel formed since March
5. Liquidity heatmap is around 51k
6. CME gap at 58k has been filled, and another gap has emerged above in the 59.5k - 62k area
7. Fear and greed at 26 (FEAR)
47k Coming for Bitcoin?$Bitcoin #CME 1D chart;
The gap formed by the opening last week has not yet been filled. I think the rise will not start before this place is filled.
The Bat Harmonic structure, which is also formed in the current structure, points us to $ 47k levels. It is difficult to say anything clear if it will come true. However, we should not forget that this possibility also exists.
Bitcoin had received an upward reaction with the support it received with its last visit to the IMB level. However, as can be seen, it has not yet made any contact with the IMB zone at $ 47k levels.
It doesn't always touch these areas, of course, but why not:)
CME 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Takle profit:
+ 1/3 1 to 2 R/R
+ 1/3 to a Daily CREEK
+ 1/3 to a monthly 1/2
Daily Context
"- short balance
- unvolumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volumed of the Day wave"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- volumed T2
+ support level
- unvolumed manipulation"
MBT long/short if-then scenarioIf price returns to discount, then I am looking at Friday's BISI for longs. There is 1D v.POC & t.POC in proximity.
I prefer this first, as untapped t.POC at 69650 is a great initial target for longs
Stop loss near the 67100 local low upon End of Value
The higher probability, if price forces a higher high I am looking for a short
Right above this local high is a t.POC, there is also as SIBI from Thursday. Also a very large volume node & potential for RSI bear div.
I will NOT put blind limits for anything. I will be watching structure on the lower TF (5min) as we approach these key levels; among other edge, & these are just key levels N.F.A.