Cme!
BITCOIN: Moment in History! October 2021 - Bull vs Bears CMEIs Bitcoin a commodity? NO! The scammers on Wall Street manage to think they can manipulate the price of Bitcoin via arbitrage? Sorry banksters, your decades of travesty are over. You have a month to pack your boxes and follow your Leecheman Brothers!
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Copper bit of a bear marketHello, I see copper is in a bear market and a leg down could happen.
Not going to provide a full in depth analysis.
Here is a quick overview of this industrial commodity.
Here is the 30Y chart compared to gold you should notice a few things:
Copper could drop to 3.5-3.85.
3.85 is an extension of 1, 3.5 or 1.618.
Those extensions are really very common.
Gold bear market extended to 1.618 (for now):
Copper, assuming this is a bear market, is no stranger to 1.618:
The price extends 1 to 2 all the time.
Sometimes it does more than "correct" it makes a whole downtrend.
But it rarely does so (ever) without big retracements first.
The old saying goes "don't trade corrections".
Here this is something that repeats itself often so...
And in the short term there are nice enough trends.
I think trade corrections, but only if you are skilled.
Newbies that struggle in 3 year straight line trends...
Well of course they best stay away.
As long as you have strong hands but don't overstay either,
it should work out in the long run.
The inflation trade is sleeping. Ah lumber has dropped so much.
Too many people noticed it so they cut half the planet's trees.
It dropped so much. And it had gone up so much.
So much actually, that gamblers got caught up in lumber ponzis.
I don't see the US going hyperinflation or even 15% a year.
But people could buy commodities. In the short - medium term.
Better something that returns 0 rather than say a -8% return.
Disclaimer: I am long Soybeans and short Copper.
To look for in the following days (to my knowledge):
- China plans to release the state supply
- China plans to monitor (translation: manipulate) the market
- The US plans to "monitor" their economy (FED easing)
- China industry has shown signs of slowing down
Remember China buys half of the world Copper production (I think).
China had bad numbers in particular their industrial production dropped hard.
And As George Soros said, Housing Sector aïe aïe aïe.
Since they learned, to their surprise (somehow) they had a 1 child policy,
well there is no need for houses now is there? China doesn't take migrants either.
And the rural exodus has slowed down.
Economy contracts, demand goes down. Whole world contracts.
China and the EU follow Japan. The US follows the EU.
No reason for copper to go up. Supply is big an growing.
Demand has no reason to grow.
Only reason for the price to go up is inflation.
For now the USD goes up as silly as it seems.
Boomers worldwide all want to be safe.
Safe with the greatest ponzi scheme in history.
Is S&P 500 guiding bitcoin atm?If the CME will test the orange trendline, there will be space for another temporary dip for BTC. All the indexes are down today (Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russel). The difference from the last May dip is that in this case, we don't have FUD...instead we have good news like El Salvador Two days ago the pubblic Italian TV did a show talking about Bitcoin VS Banks. They had a very honest and precise narrative, and at the end the banks looked like monsters. Is the revolution more near?
USDCAD - LONGRe-enter setup. Consider the development of a North Impulse after a reversal volume pattern. The target is the POC level in Supply Zone.
USDCAD - LONG
ENTRY PRICE - 1.20930
SL - 1.20200
TP - 1.22640
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
Current Downside TargetThe hash ribbons indicator which is very rare to happen has already lit up into buying signal and after days of green candles,
I suspect and hope (actually) for a better leg up in a retracement of BTC's current price.
My good case retracement scenario is BTC testing the 41K level as it is the price where the blue downward slope and as 41K price level is around 0.5 Fibonacci level from the newest daily low (37.3K-ish) up to the highest point (45.3K-ish).
(This price might be a good time to go long in trades and take profit quickly after meeting the resistance around 42k-43k). #Not a Financial Advisor
If it broke down, we will see a test around 36K level, and from that point, it's best to continue watching BTC price movement as this is the second to last support level.
The last support level in a very worst-case scenario according to my analysis is around 32.2K which is accidentally the same as the 1.6 fib level and CME level.
So yeah, This is my current price analysis of the downside level that BTC can put its leg up to...
Looking forward to seeing your comments and what you think will likely happen according to your analysis... THX
Bitcoin CME GapsThe “Bitcoin CME Gap” is the difference between the trading price of a CME Bitcoin futures contracts when the market opens on Sunday, and when it closes on Friday.
In 77% of these cases the retracement occurs in the subsequent week, before the next CME market open.
No matter which type of trader you are, never forget: “mind the gap”.
BITCOIN - Watching 36K For Continuation!In our last Bitcoin Analysis. we were signalling that we may see a breakout soon. Since that post, we got a massive 30% breakout!
Retracement Long Scenario:
Watch for price to retrace back to the 36K level where we have previous structure. Entry on breakout of the retracement correction.
Continuation Long Scenario:
Watch for price to break the 41K level and get in on the retest of 41K with stops below the structure.
Short Scenario:
Watch for price to break the 36k level and enter on the retest with targets of 30K. Stops above the 36K structure level.
CME Gaps explained - Sunday night suckersI've been exploring CME Gaps for sometime. Here in this chart I go through several of the most outstanding gaps left in the BTC market.
Tonight was a wonderful example of how CME Gaps can lead you astray. Generally speaking, CME Gaps are filled relatively quickly, and or the gap price hovers closely over the weekend, so the fill almost goes unnoticed.
This weekend however, went differently (so far), but not so differently if you look into the past. There is in general gap theory on all charts, but BTC holds many peoples close attention. The last time the CME gap was this large, it slowly but surely filled that gap methodically. Once market makers saw this opportunity (imo), there was an explosive run away gap scenario to take advantage of. Many retail traders observed an opportunity to short once CME began trading again, this is generally not a poor strategy. However, other market makers saw an opportunity to grab liquidity, and they have thus far.
Which other major CME Gap will fill first $49K or $23K? Or alternatively, fill the newly existing CME Gap and remain range bound for another month or so?
Interesting confluence for BTC around $23.8K Fib + CME GapRecently found some interesting confluence around $23.8K for BTC. If you like this let me know, or why you disagree.
The entire Global Fib "Golden Pocket" from Bitstamp, happens to overlap with the largest remaining CME Gap yet to be filled from Dec 2020.
Fib extension from the very top has a 2:2 smack in the middle of the overlap, as well as a 1:1 Fib extension from the local price action.
Will we reach this level before rising back into a full bull market? Personally, I believe we will.