Cme!
BTC1! cme still respecting channelthe spike to 11.7k yesterday created a gap but priced remained bound to the ascending channel. The gap was closed and more downward price action is expected given the bearish divs on the HTF and price crossing the midline of the channel.
The objective is gap closure at 10.5k, but price action can go deeper to the POC which is confluent with the 4h 200ema.
Only uphill? I think so. Long BTCGood time.
Well - my medium-term price of bitcoin - works for all 99.9%
You can view it here.
"Expect a flat and up!" BTC/USDT - LONG ? WHY?
At the moment, I can only write you what I expect a price above 11,500!
Why higher than now???? - because we are heading to the CME price threshold.
Don't forget to trade with stop losses.
For me, such growth is strange, without any adjustments.
Don't forget to trade with stop losses.
For me, such growth is strange, without any adjustments.
at the moment, I insure myself against a sharp price drop. and set the stop loss at 10950.
All to you good trades, and only with profit!
OR WE TAP $9600 (cme gap) ~ supply zone, bouncing to 16kIf $11,100 is the top it just proves to myself sticking to the plan is the right move (just need to enter initially with less size & DCA in slowly)
We just wicked above the 3rd validation point in the downtrend but a wick down to $9600 (cme gap) which is an area of interest considering it's obviously a potential massive buy zone (which could send us to $16,000)
That would mess with everyone and most people would get liquidated or miss the bounces or a violent move to the downside before we continue up towards ATH and current resistance level at $12,490.
I've shared both sides and bias, now you can decide which you like more and go with that.
Are you bullish or bearish friends?
WILL BE CLOSING MY LONG & ENTERING MY SHORT FAIRLY SOON...After 4 HR close on red bearish full body candle for some confirmation of a short incoming trade,will look for some volume to make sure this is not a double FAKE OUT , so far we have gotten rejected 11 times/FAILS at the new resistance level @ $11100.00 0n the 1 HR not being able to kick thru and move higher and finish this bullish fake out , so i believe we are going lower and will be closing the CME gap @ $9600.00 , maybe not tonight while the market is still consolidating and making up its crazy mind but it should close the gap soon after at market open Monday morning or soon after as it always fill sooner then later the market riggers/whales are very impatient
BTC1! cme in a ascending triangleCME failed to close the gap that opened this week, instead price heading in the opposite direction. As it happened before price will reverse and fall to close the gap. If price maintains within the ascending triangle then price action is bullish and upward trend will resume.
Understanding Risk/Reward through Bitcoin's CME Futures GapsIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
In this post, I will be explaining the concept of the Risk/Reward Ratio, also known as the RRR, and the significance of this idea when it comes to trading.
I will also be explaining how this can be applied to Bitcoin's CME Futures Chart on the daily, in regards to gaps.
Analysis
- To begin with, Bitcoin's CME Futures chart shows a huge gap leading down to 9.6k
- Unfortunately, this gap is yet to be filled.
- Given that 99% of gaps that have been created get filled some time in the future, it's likely that this gap will fill as well
- However, solely approaching the chart from the perspective of gaps has its limitations
- For instance, the gap at 11.4k took almost a year to fill.
- As such, gaps don't provide us with a specified time frame as a reference
- Should we fill the gap right now, and bounce at gap support, that would be a 7% move downwards from the current price
- Should we see a stronger bearish price movement that extends below the price gap, we could see a 15% move downwards based on support levels
- The gap support at 8.8k converges with the descending trend line support on the weekly, as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support (refer to our previous analysis)
- As such, it's reasonable to conclude that a bearish price movement over 15% is less probable.
- On the bright side, it's also important to note that there are some gaps above the current price, indicating potentiality for bullishness
- There is a wide gap at 10.5k levels, and another one at 11.4k
- Given this information, we can estimate our risk/reward when entering a position at current levels
- Splitting our entries into three different levels, we can:
1. Enter at the current price of 10.2k
2. Dollar Cost Average (DCA) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support at 9.4k
3. Enter at gap support around 8.8k
- This way, we know that our risk is limited, and that the upside remains huge, due to the overall trend being bullish.
- Based on significant support and resistance levels, a trader would then calculate his stop loss target and take profit targets according to his risk appetite.
Conclusion
The trend is your friend. While the short term trend may appear bullish, it could be said that the overall trend for the long term remains bullish. As such, it would be better to look for spot/long entries near support.
Don't predict the market. Take it by levels, and play by probabilities.
- Michael Wang-
DOWNTREND WAS INITIATED AUGUST 17TH (lower highs ever since) -Yurlo
Please go ahead & give this post a like 👍
Why I'm bearish when everyone thinks "the bottom is in"
#1: When everyone thinks the bottom is in, it probably isn't.
#2: SPX just dropped below a MAJOR transition point (s/r) & I believe BTC will follow & break the $9800 support.
#3: I don't like to follow the crowd.
#4: Be a lion, not a sheep.
Phases:
#1: (downtrend initiation phase)
#2: (sideways phase)
#3: (fakeout phase)
#4: (downtrend continuation from fakeout phase)
#5: (distribution initiation phase)
#6: (panic phase)
#7: (lower high phase)
Best of luck to you all.
$10200 REJECTION ON 4 HOUR CHART? (9600 gap inevitable) -Yurlo (PLEASE HIT THE LIKE BUTTON IF YOU APPRECIATE THE CONSTANT UPDATES AND VISUALS REGARDING PRICE ACTION) 👍
I took a scalp long after $9950 was defended HEAVILY by bulls, HOWEVER it seems to appear the 4 hour candle is getting rejected & I don't like how strong this downtrend setup is.
I closed my long, and I'm going to take a small low leverage short here. (I'd still like to see the 9600 cme gap tapped) yes of course this MAY never happen and I'm prepared for the potential bottom to be in after the s/r was flipped at the $9950 level.
I've got a feeling this will result in being a bull trap before we head to fill the (9600 CME gap)
Enjoy your labour day, and get ready for another week of high volatility & great returns!
If you have any questions regarding my perspective or the visuals I've provided just leave a comment and I'll do my best to help you!
👍
PLEASE NOTE: this can pump to $1100 USD & still be a lower high & be bearish.
$9600 (cme) or $10620 (cme) first? (PLACE YOUR BETS)-Yurlo (Please give this TA a thumbs up for the visuals created here)
Recent weekends CME just closed at (10620), while the breakout CME at (9600) hasn't been tapped since we broke above (10000) well over a month ago.
I'm placing my bets on $9600 to be tapped before $10620.
Why:
#1: Bears aren't close to reaching an exhaustion phase (every time bulls try to spook bears it gets pushed back down to prior levels)
#2: We've been seeing lower highs & every pump is being sold. (bearish)
Lose $9950 & $9600 will happen quite fast, hold $10000 & the s/r will flip.