How to make CME-gap traders happyThe dream of every CME-gap trader:
First we well visit CME Future gap #3 which is the youngest in our CME-gap family. After a mid-short bull-bear fight at the daily support/resistance area at 8930 bears will continue to gain strength as new market participants feel for the first time the rollercoaster ride of emotion the volatility of crypto assets causes. Weak hands ether hedge their remaining profits or accept the losses already made as they cut their bags and trades. At this time we reach CME Future gap #3 were smart money flushes the markets and starts buying their bags. After a short visit price will massively gain steam as the last and also eldest, let's call him Granpa CME Future gap #1 comes into play.
We will see how this dream will turn out. If you are a CME Future gap trader my prayers are with you, as this play also matches my personal bias.
Comments, especially opposing opinions are highly appreciated!
Cheers!
Cme!
BTC: New week - New GapNew week - new CME Gap that needs to be filled. This time it is a gap of 2%.
Last two gaps were filled:
1st one on a first day
2nd - during a week
Let's see how it goes this time.
And do not forget that gap trading can be dangerous because you can get a move to other direction, always limit your losses.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
19.2.2020 - Bitcoin (BTC / USD)Hi Traders!
Today we look at a bit specific bitcoin analysis. It will be about bitcoin but on CME futures exchange. Have you heard of CME gaps?
Many people are starting to talk about CME gaps. How do these gaps actually come to existence? There are two options:
CME doesn't trade futures over the weekend and is off. However, crypto exchanges normally work at weekends, so the first way is that there is a strong movement at the weekend and we open Monday at a totally different value than we closed on Friday.
The second way is that bitcoin simply has such a strong up/down movement that it flies through the order book and creates a GAP.
GAP acts as a magnet on the graph. Many people know about this, but they don't know the logic behind it. In the first case (the weekend), there will be many unfulfilled orders at that point. After a strong movement, the graph later gets tired and still comes after these orders. Of course, this does not work 100%, but in the vast majority of cases, it does.
We currently have a GAP blank at a level of $ 8,500. It's extremely difficult to determine whether this gap is filled or not. There came a wick, but exactly to the edge. If the GAP is not completed in a given week, it will usually only be completed after a certain cycle has been completed. Will it be so?
May the crypto be with you!
Bitcoin $BTC AnalysisWeekly CME has been closed bullish. A Higher High is now Confirmed on CME Weekly scale. Also an Inverse Head and Shoulders is present which its target reach to $12k on CME chart and which is an unfilled gap in there.
It's weekend so expect some crappy candles. But the bigger picture is building quite bullishly.
The Open Interest is also quite high that suggesting a big and Explosive move is near.
But on the other hand if a 12h candle closes below 9600 ( or 4h below 9500 ) it would recommend that the test to the 5 digits BTC is delayed. AND if Bitcoin loses $9200 the bullish case will be closed and down-side targets are back in the game. ( Mid $8k and $7K )
Besides the Weekly RSI is out of the bearish zone and Neutral zone with positive EMA slope.
CME Futures Gap - Will it be closed soon?Bitcoin CME futures gaps are filled with 95% certainty, and the previous one was no exception - it was filled within 24 hours.
But trade them is risky, because gaps can be filled both within 24 hours and within a week
I personally long on bitmex from 9750 (1.2% stop loss), will see where it goes.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
BITCOIN GOING 4% DOWN THIS WEEK?This weekend bitcoin pumped and created another gap on the CME chart.
In 35 minutes CME should open the week and I do suppose it would be the right time for CME to fill that gap.
Just something to be aware of as its possible this will start the next bigger retracement.
My target is $9600, what's yours?
CMEs have just confirmed a Bitcoin trend reversal!Welcome!
I´ll keep this short and sweet, as always.
Apart from the professional traders or maybe those who have been in the crypto game for quite a while now, nobody knows that Bitcoin´s price action isn´t dictated by Bitstamp, Binance etc. but by CME Futures. As they are an institutional broker, they essentially represent smart money.
Looking at CMEs, the first thing that stands out to me is the volume. You can see that the volume is abnormally high compared to the recent months, higher even than the volume during the 2019 rally. What does that mean? It means that while the previous Bitcoin rally didn´t catch the interest of institutional buyers, the bottoming and consolidation at the 7k levels has.
Secondly (and the focus of this analysis), we have just closed the weekly as a higher high which means, very likely, that BTC has reversed the trend from a downtrend to an uptrend. EXTREMELY important piece of information!
Finally, the weekly closed outside the bollinger bands, which is normally just stupidly bullish. Why? Because it implies that what follows next is going to be a bollinger band expansion on a WEEKLY timescale.
I really dislike being too biased when it comes to the markets but the way things stand in the moment, it is actually very possible Bitcoin will reach prices north of 14 000$ in the next two months. Will post an additional analysis on it, so keep an eye on that!
Thank you for reading
Mansasuma
BTC moving down to close CME gap
Last week closed with very bullish candle. Same as month. All together that makes Bitcoin ultra bullish on macro scale. But each move up is usually followed by move down, so this week I expect BTC to head towards CME futures gap.
Support zones located at these levels: 8900 - 9050 - 9160. Highest is little above CME futures gap, but CME price is different from Bitmex/Bybit and this difference is changing all the time, so there will be no surprise, if Bitcoin will dump lower. Just in case, as it always does. Certainly it won't stop where everyone expect it to stop, as whales need liquidity that comes with panic and fomo.
Week chart:
Remaining 2019 Corn Price ActionThis is how 2019 is going to play out.
I can't believe how well this fractal lines up with the trendlines and the CME Gaps.
Both gaps at $8494 and $7175 will be filled by mid-September.
Sideway movement will follow until late January/early February.
Launch sequence to the moon will have begun by Mid-February.
Nasdaq -- Short 40, maybe even 90 pts ???NQ1!
Showing a setup that I am eyeing should price happen to climb and attempt to retake the gap close.
I am potentially shorting the open for a 40 pt, maybe even 90 pt clip.
Tight stop, 5 pts. No need to risk more than that.
Trade is off if it falls lower than 9000.
This is my opinion and trade idea. Please do not consider this as trading advice.
Bitcoin Cheat Sheet 2020!!First off, give this a like/follow - let's get this information out to as many people as possible! We can see the 2019's cheat sheets were very critical for the market.
2019 Cheat Sheet 1 - (3 Month Contracts) -
2019 Cheat Sheet 2 - (6 Month Contracts) -
Now, 2020's cheat sheet, explained.
Index for 2020's Cheat Sheet:
First Purple line is CME futures launch date. 18th Dec 2017. From then on, the purple lines in December are the anniversary of it. Clearly it's created a top, and our bottom's so far.
First Red line is NYE. From then on, each Red line in Dec/Jan cross over is a new year.
Dark Green to Dark Green is Jan 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCF20 (First Trade 28th Oct 2019 - Last trade 31st Jan 2020) Settlement date 03 February 2020.
Yellow to Yellow is Feb 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCG20 (First Trade 2nd Dec 2019 - Last trade 28th Feb 2020) Settlement date 02 March 2020.
Orange to Orange is Mar 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCH20 (First Trade 30th Sep 2019 - Last trade 27th Mar 2020) Settlement date 30 March 2020.
Dark Blue to Dark Blue is Apr 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCJ20 (First Trade 16th Dec 2019 - Last trade 24th Apr 2020) Settlement date 27th April 2020.
Teal to Teal is May 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCK20 (First Trade 16th Dec 2019 - Last trade 29th May 2020) Settlement date 01 June 2020.
Green to Green is June 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCM20 (First Trade 30th Dec 2019 - Last trade 26th Jun 2020) Settlement date 29th June 2020.
Black to Black is July 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCN20 (First Trade 3rd Feb 2019 - Last trade 31st Jul 2020) Settlement date 3rd August 2020.
Pink to Pink is Dec 2020 CME contracts duration found on ticker: BTCZ20 (First Trade 16th Dec 2019 - Last trade 24th Dec 2020) Settlement date 3rd Jan 2022.
Dark Grey shaded area in May is the Bitcoin estimated halving date range.
Horizontal Lines are Major Fib's.
Gold lines = Golden Ratio (38.2% or 61.8%).
Black lines = Fib levels (0.0%, 0.225%, 0.5%, 0.775% and 1.0%).
Purple lines = Custom Fib (0.1112% and 0.888%).
Trend lines are from major levels of support/resistance from highs and lows of $BTC on $XBT's chart.
The point of this chart is to map the effectiveness of these dates. History shows volatility dries up as we get close to them, and gets very volatile shortly after them.
I hope this helps you make, or save a few dollars this year!
M1 Monthly SPX SP500 - Correction neededSPX volumes are issued from the 500 spots tickers, this special ticker is made by Trading View.
-Bear divergence on oscillators
-VWMA55 (volume weighted MA) under MA55, same for 144, 233 are getting closer > confirmation of bearish volume trend, when price is going up (volume bear divergence)
-price stoped its progression on the historic channel central zone
-Rising wedge confirmed ?
Than you.
BTC- Accumulation modeThis week is nothing but reverse bart patterns and scam wicks!
I guess this is the result of decreased liquidity caused by the slowly declining volume during the consolidation phase.
Bitmex is trading below 2 billion volume as of now, yet open interest is on the slow ascending trend. This tells me the accumulation is taking place possibly by big fishes.
In addition, volatility is slowly ticking up as well.
Other signs to pay attention to- CME open interest and volume going up + Backwardation + USDT premium going up
As we all now, low volume is a precursor to the high volatility move... As long as 8.4k is defended, I will continue my buy on the dip mode!
New CME gapChart made a new CME futures gap between 8765 and 8865. This gap will be closed either before the dump, or after the dump is over and price bounce above 8k. I'd prefer to see it untouched until BTC hit 8k, as this will be more bullish and promising. In case price first go up and then down, there will be less "reasons" to come back.
Bitmex/Binance has a little different numbers, but close. Zone from 8150 to 8300 represents strongest support for bullish bounce. 8000 obviously can be wicked within that move as well. If bullish bounce scenario won't happen, price may retrace further to 7555 - 7700 zone. That still leaves the big picture positive, while switching BTC into consolidation period that will take longer time to resume and build new uptrend.