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Bitcoin - Reversal is imminent - CME Future Gaps#BTC/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + It's unusual to see consecutive unfilled CME futures gaps, but recent market volatility has created just that scenario. Historically, CME gaps tend to be filled sooner or later, and current market conditions suggest that prices may be heading directly towards these gaps. + The appearance of two consecutive unfilled gaps is a rare occurrence. Given the strong historical tendency for these gaps to be filled, it’s likely that the market will attempt to revisit these levels. + The recent bounce from support has been robust, indicating strong upward momentum. This move bolsters confidence that the gaps will be filled in the coming weeks, especially as traders and investors often target these areas. + With the current price action showing strength after the bounce, it seems increasingly probable that the price is headed towards the gaps. If this momentum continues, we could see these gaps filled relatively soon. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 57000 Stop Loss: 50000 ------------------------------ Target 1: 59900 Target 2: 61000 Target 3: 65000 Target 4: 70000 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 1D Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
CME:BTC1!Long
by VectorAlgo
BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k areaIt seems that BTC is approaching its bottom in the 51k area, as seen from several indicators including: 1. Fibo 0.618 (goldenratio) correction from impulsive wave from January to March 2. Major support at 51k has not been visited since February 3. Finishing ABCDE correction wave 4. Bottom trendline descending channel formed since March 5. Liquidity heatmap is around 51k 6. CME gap at 58k has been filled, and another gap has emerged above in the 59.5k - 62k area 7. Fear and greed at 26 (FEAR)
CME:BTC1!Long
by wahing19
47k Coming for Bitcoin?$Bitcoin #CME 1D chart; The gap formed by the opening last week has not yet been filled. I think the rise will not start before this place is filled. The Bat Harmonic structure, which is also formed in the current structure, points us to $ 47k levels. It is difficult to say anything clear if it will come true. However, we should not forget that this possibility also exists. Bitcoin had received an upward reaction with the support it received with its last visit to the IMB level. However, as can be seen, it has not yet made any contact with the IMB zone at $ 47k levels. It doesn't always touch these areas, of course, but why not:)
CME:BTC1!Short
by ugurtash
CME 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit Takle profit: + 1/3 1 to 2 R/R + 1/3 to a Daily CREEK + 1/3 to a monthly 1/2 Daily Context "- short balance - unvolumed ICE level + support level + biggest volumed of the Day wave" Monthly context "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction - volumed T2 + support level - unvolumed manipulation"
NASDAQ:CMELong
by MishaSuvorov
MBT long/short if-then scenarioIf price returns to discount, then I am looking at Friday's BISI for longs. There is 1D v.POC & t.POC in proximity. I prefer this first, as untapped t.POC at 69650 is a great initial target for longs Stop loss near the 67100 local low upon End of Value The higher probability, if price forces a higher high I am looking for a short Right above this local high is a t.POC, there is also as SIBI from Thursday. Also a very large volume node & potential for RSI bear div. I will NOT put blind limits for anything. I will be watching structure on the lower TF (5min) as we approach these key levels; among other edge, & these are just key levels N.F.A.
CME:MBT1!
by dontbeal8m8
The btcusd weekly on the CMEWeekly session just closed which erases the last four weeks of declines and uncertainties, the candle is larger and also seems to express decision. I think it is normal to see movements of this type after quite significant bearish pressure, it is not a clear signal that the correction is over, but we can see it as a beginning or at least an important rebound. The minimum at 56.5k USD therefore becomes the level where the margins of those who have gone long in recent weeks are placed. If I analyze the futures, it is necessary to think in these terms. On derivatives there is a technique of the large managers called "stop hunting loss or margin call", means that once the level in which the liquidations are concentrated has been identified, the price will go there and then resume the previous run or direction, after all, here we are dealing with brokers who trade against you , so for every user who gains, they lose. The CME is different but not so much, it is taking shares of open interest, as can be seen below, taking advantage of the moment in which others flee from the exchanges, maybe things are correlated or maybe not. It remains strange that once the institutions entered, the battles to regulate this and that began. Those who have known Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies for a while know well that they were created to improve old methods, but here we are witnessing a fusion between old and new, so the price movements we are seeing have become much more technical, yes says that the market has achieved more efficiency than in the past, perhaps, what has not changed and will never change is the method for taking money from all participants.
CME:BTC1!
by Melupira89
Volumes. Why every trader should be able to work with them.The third “stream” of incoming real data, which simply cannot be ignored when analyzing a chart, is volumes. I’ll try to explain why the third stream, what are the first two. On any chart of a trading instrument there are two scales, price and time. These are two real and independent incoming data streams. All Technical Analysis studies them inside and out. Price behavior is studied in the form of graphic figures, support/resistance levels, candlestick analysis and patterns, trend lines and channels, the movement of waves of price movement, using indicators, Renko charts, tic-tac-toe, etc. and so on. The time scale is divided into seasonality, quarters, trading sessions, sessions for hours before and after lunch, and simply into hours and minutes of possible manipulations (in ICT smartmoney, for example, Kill zones, macros). I would call volumes the third stream of data, the “3rd scale on the chart.” This is an independent and independent flow of data about the turnover of money, or more precisely, contracts traded at a certain time and at a certain price. All indicators and volume analysis tools do not depend on price and time in the direct sense. They work with their data coming from the exchange. A clear example... Any oscillator, for example, depends on the price, is calculated using a formula based on the price value, and produces a certain “averaged” option.” The cumulative delta curve is constructed based on data on the number of contracts traded from the exchange, and does not depend in any way on the price value; it has its own data. Volumes also include not only analysis using various indicators and clusters. And the ability to work with COT reports, open interest and other data from CME. This is also data on contracts traded by different groups of participants. And understanding how options work, all markets are closely related and influence each other. There are many complex risk hedging designs. Nobody wants to lose money. And I think ignoring this data flow and not being able to work with it is, at the very least, stupid. And simply, isn’t it interesting to look inside a candle or figure to see what’s really going on there? The price is in a “triangle or sideways”, accumulation/distribution is taking place, but is anything really happening there? Are you waiting for a rollback to imbalance (FVG), but is there this imbalance there? Are you waiting for a reaction to a level, “liquidity withdrawal”, order block, but is there something or someone inside the reaction or not? By the way, I don’t know the fourth data stream, if you know, please let me know. I'll be happy to study it. I hope the information will be useful. Don't forget to like, subscribe, share with friends, leave comments. All you have to do is click a button, and I love seeing feedback. Thank you.
Education
by Forex_Hoby
Three Factors Keeping Oil Prices in CheckAT A GLANCE: Despite ongoing geopolitical conflict, oil prices and volatility are relatively low A rise in U.S. crude production and weak demand in China are helping oil inventories maintain average levels Considering many factors like the Russia-Ukraine war, OPEC+ cutting production by 3.6 million barrels per day and conflict in the Middle East, many traders might be surprised to find out that oil prices are only around $82 per barrel and that implied volatility on crude options are trading at relatively low levels below 40%. Inventories Remain at Average Levels So why are crude oil prices not higher and more volatile? Part of the answer lies in inventories. Crude and product inventories are right around their seasonally adjusted averages for the past five years. This suggests that at least some cushion exists in the event of a supply disruption. Given that oil production is about 3.5% lower globally than it would have been without OPEC+ production cuts, how is it possible that oil inventories are still at average levels? There are two reasons. First, a boom in U.S. production has replaced about one third of what OPEC cut. The second reason is weak demand. China buys about 10 million barrels per day in the international markets, and its economy has been growing much more slowly than it was a few years ago. Slow growth in China often hits oil prices with a lag of about 12 months and may be among the factors preventing a further rise in global crude prices. Higher Prices Expected? That said, traders are displaying some signs of nervousness. The skew on CME Group’s WTI CVOL index is quite positive at the moment, suggesting that some traders are buying out of the money call options to protect themselves from the possibility of much higher prices. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by CME_Group
2
COT reports + SMT. How to determine the long-term trend (BIAS).A pattern in the COT reporting curve to determine long-term trend or bias (BIAS). With a scope from several weeks to months. Of course, reports arrive with a delay, but on a long-term scale this is not a big problem. Many people use divergences, or SMT in the teachings of Smartmoney Michael Huddleston (ICT), when analyzing charts. Why not use COT and divergence reports together as a useful chart analysis tool. Everyone probably noticed that the positions of Commercial traders in the curve constructed from reports coincides with the price movement (there is some direct correlation, and a large one). After a long observation and playing with the scale, obvious discrepancies in correlations and emerging divergences (SMT) caught my eye. And very often at the peaks of movements, followed by a reversal. Data reports are of course released once a week. Therefore, tracking such SMTs can be used as an additional factor to determine bias in the analysis of higher time frames. And already having a bias for the next few weeks, or even a couple of months. You can look for signals in trades with confirmation on lower timeframes. I like these divergences, they are built on an indicator that is completely independent of price. unlike any RSI, Stochastics, etc. The curve is constructed solely based on trading volumes on the CME exchange, and does not depend in any way on the price, therefore it does not follow the price further to infinity. This is a direct correlation of two different data streams, and their divergence (divergence). I think I’ll make a separate short article about “data streams”, what I mean by this. And finally, of course, the tool is not the holy grail. But with a proper and adequate approach in skillful hands, it is a very good tool that can be kept in mind during a complex analysis of charts. At a minimum, if divergence occurs, you can be wary and reconsider your plans. I hope the information will be useful. Don't forget to like, subscribe, share with friends, leave comments. All you have to do is click a button, and I love seeing feedback. Thank you.
CME:6E1!Education
by Forex_Hoby
Gap closed on Bitcoin futures.With a candle that can be seen as a hammer, the price closed the gap by taking buy orders that were in the majority compared to sells, the candle is evident. In the related analysis I had written that it would be a very useful level, given that gaps often work well as supports or resistances, in this case it has become a very useful support, a perforation of the minimum of this candle would be a sign of weakness, but let's see better the context in which we find ourselves. At this moment the price of btc is correcting in the medium term (2/3 months), therefore faced with a movement of approximately 88 days, a correction could occur (which has drawn a new high) linked to this cycle, of course if if the scenario changes, the session count would also change. So far the price is moving higher and there is no reason to think otherwise, so my bullish hypothesis or scenario continues to be useful in understanding where we are now. Possible even very violent increases could appear before long, we are at the end of this correction which has not yet given the final blow, the classic strong decline, unless it was this weekly candle which we can call hammer, the last decline of the correction. Now we need caution and above all trust in the trend.
CME:BTC1!
by Melupira89
BTC: Long at Breakout or Sell at Breaker Block?Assessing two potential scenarios for BTC, my bias leans bullish. The recent closure of the CME gap and successful liquidity sweep above the gap contribute to this optimistic outlook. However, a critical factor to consider is the breaker block, particularly as it aligns with a corrective wave level, creating confluence for the short side. Monitoring the market's response to this level is crucial, as a retracement might occur, possibly heading towards the 36k-32k range. Staying adaptable to evolving market dynamics is key in navigating these scenarios.
Long
by infamous7
1
Bitcoin Weekly CME Gaps 2019 - 2024Here I've highlighted all the weekly CME gaps for Bitcion, showing all but One have now filled. Technically, there's still one open just under $10,000 at / around $9750. Unlikely this will ever fill at this point, but as of today Bitcoin filled the recent gap just under $40,000, which clears Bitcoin for runing higher. However I still believe we'll re-test $38,000, followed by a bounce. And potentially, if not likely, a deeper drop to re-test $32k before the bull run ensues. Interesting chart just showing how often these do back-fill and re-test.
CME:BTC1!
by BrettFogle
BITCOIN GAPS IN PERFECT LOCATION!!?! Still Bullish!There are 2 gaps on the #CME that will most likely get filled. A short move up to fill the most recent gap , then a move down to fill the gap around $39500. This will still keep #Bitcoin in an HTF uptrend. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
CME:BTC1!
by Navitility