Get started

Cme!

Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P and RussellHow to use related markets to complement each other? Definitely you can apply this technique to other related markets. In this tutorial, I am seeing Nasdaq as a leading indicator for the rest may likely to follow. i) Nasdaq bear trend was nicely formed, but not yet for the Dow Jones, S&P and Russell. ii) Nasdaq in the short-term has also a confirmation for a rebound, and I believe the rest of the indices likely to follow subsequently. Discussion: • Drawing primary and secondary trendline • Nasdaq has broken above, the rest should catch-up, why? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Feel free to leave any comments below, I love to exchange ideas with you.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by konhow
18
Commitment of Traders Report from Last Week - BTC UpdateGoing over the CME Gap that exists above us as well as the current Price Action. BTC failing it's swing was a great short after we short squeezed to the level. Swings, S/Rs, and Demand Zones are being respected perfectly. Scalping in this zone don't do anything except look for mechanical failures and retests/gains. Low liquidity expected. Lose or gain the Swing Levels then target the stuff above and below Otherwise look to play the bounces within these Swings.
by TrendmasterOfficial
2
Market Range - What are they trying to tell us?When the market range, it is telling us they are lost with the main direction. And we are seeing that between all the US major stock indices and many stocks since the second week of May. Prices basically still trading around the same price since then. In today’s tutorial, we will discuss: • How to identify when market started to enter into a range and • Which direction will it ultimately break away from a range market? The concept of “Less is More” When we trade into a contract that is within our means, we will be able to focus on trade set-up that is so helpful for entry, stop loss and profit taking than trying to manage our emotions as we have over traded. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by konhow
BTC CME Gap What is CME Gap? (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) ( CME ) A CME gap is created when the price of Bitcoin opens above or below the previous day's close on the CME exchange. One of the prime reasons for CME gap creation is that CME markets remain closed over the weekend and during a part of the day. Bitcoin, on other spot exchanges, is traded 24×7. Historically, the percentage of CME gaps that get filled is between 60-80%. Hence, using it as an indicator provides you with a degree of accuracy. A review of previous events could shade more light on this claim. There is a possibility of a reversal because the GAPS are filled This is my idea. I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider it FINANCIAL ADVICE. This chart is likely to help you in making better trade decisions. I am not a market maker I could be wrong. Everything is on the chart. Thank you
CME:BTC1!Long
by TheCryptoCity
4
In Search of an Edge for Non-Professional TradersCBOT:ZW1! What do Gold, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat have in common? Their prices all go up in a global crisis. In other words, these strategically important commodities are positively correlated with the level of risk. “Risk Up, Price Up; and Risk Down, Price Down”. Everyday non-professional traders (NonProfs) usually have a disadvantage trading these futures contracts. Let’s see who we are up against: • Commercial Firms, including producers, processors, merchants, and major users of the underlying commodities. • Financial Institutions, such as investment banks, hedge funds, asset managers, proprietary trading firms, commodity trading advisors and futures commission merchants. These professional traders (Profs) have industry knowledge, market information, research capabilities, trading technologies, high-speed and seemingly unlimited amount of money. They contribute to about 80% of trading volume for a typical futures contract. So, what could you do in an uphill battle? Recall our Three-Factor Commodity Pricing Model( ): Commodities Futures Price = Intrinsic Value + Market Sentiment + Global Crisis Premium In peaceful times, the coefficient of Crisis Premium is zero. The Profs win out easily. When a global crisis breaks out, price pattern may be altered completely. The chart illustrates how CBOT Wheat Futures behaves before and after the start of Russia-Ukraine conflict. Based on Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), a baseline futures price reflects all information regarding the Intrinsic Value and Market Sentiment factors. However, the Crisis Premium is unknown to all of us. The Profs could not use fundamental analysis or technical analysis to gain a better understanding of Mr. Putin’s mindset. Few had inside information of the inner working of the Kremlin or the Russian generals, either. Your guesses are just as good as the Profs when it comes to what’s happening next. An analogue: In a close-range hand combat, the Profs have no use for their arsenal of missiles, fighter jets and tanks. NonPros with limited resources are on an equal footing to trade against the Profs. It’s critical to pick a fight that you have a chance to win. Recall that we discussed how to define global crisis with binary outcomes, and select financial instruments based on their responses to those outcomes. ( ) For CBOT Wheat Futures, Ukraine conflict has become the dominant price driver since February 14th. But after four months, we still have no clue when or how the war could end. Let’s define it in two simple outcomes: War and Peace. The first one includes all scenarios that the war would continue or intensify, where the second one could be a peace deal or a victory in favor of either Russia of Ukraine. As a NonProf, you don’t want to dive deep into the impossible task of forecasting the different scenarios. Keep it simple: War = Risk Up, Peace = Risk Down. The probability of either outcome is real. It’s difficult to predict which one is more likely. Therefore, directional trades of Long or Short are both risky. Many event shocks exist to make the wheat price fluctuate. If a major wheat producing country announces an export ban, wheat price could fly because of global market shortage. However, a phone call between Mr. Putin and Mr. Zelenskyy could punch wheat price to the ground. Russia is the No. 1 wheat exporter. An end of the conflict could end the sanctions against Russia and increase global supply by 44 million tons of wheat. Looking back in 2018 and 2019, we know how strongly Gold Futures reacted to a call between the U.S. and China. A Long Strangle options strategy may be appropriate under these circumstances. Investor would purchase a Call and a Put option with a different strike price: an out-of-the-money (OTM) call option and an OTM put option simultaneously on the same wheat futures contract. This is based on my belief that wheat futures price could experience a very large movement, but I am unsure of which direction the move will take. The following is an illustration (not an actual trading strategy): September Wheat Futures (ZWU2) is quoted at $10.54/bushel on June 14th. An OTM call with a $12.00 strike price is quoted at 17 cents. An OTM put with a $9.00 strike price is quoted at 4.625 cents. Look at the chart again, you will see wheat price at $7.80 right before the war and up to $13.70 in early March. A Long Strangle will cost $1,081.25, as each call and put contract is based on 5,000 bushels of Chicago wheat. This is the maximum amount you would lose if wheat price stuck at current level in the next two months. A big move, either up or down, could make one of the two trades profitable, and hopefully with enough profit margins to cover the other losing trade. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CBOT:ZW1!
by JimHuangChicago
4
Showcase: Trading the e-mini Dow Jones (YM) 22-06-201. Did a long trade (paper trading) on e-mini Dow Jones. 2. Reason for the long trade: a) Price do a higher lower; a UT bar appears but the next bar overtake the UT. b) Volume is supporting the upward move. c) Strong support level at 29910 range. 3. Trade entered with SL @ 50pts and TP @ 75pts; as price move upwards with unrealised profit, the SL is revised upwards to minimise the losses and eventually lock-in the profit. 4. Price eventually do a pullback after breaking the recent Resistance (29966 range); our SL got hit and we exited with a realised profit of 24pts. 5. Price may move upwards from hereon; it is OK to exit with a small profit rather than be ambitious.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by mdalifalwi
All CME Gaps Filled! Last gap has been filled at 18400 there are no more gaps to be filled at lower levels , next gap is at 30k. Is this the bottom? very high chance that it is the bottom waiting for lower prices at this point would be crazy Chainlink hasn't even made lower lows. My worst case is 14k but now that we filled the last CME gap and we have this springboard on the daily hitting perfectly best to close all shorts. We at the bottom of the Mayer band this happens only in extreme cycle bottoms.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Sporia
11
CME gap 9 may 2022Hello friends. are you okay? thanks god... because crypto market open green in monday we can still see it bullish for mid time. and we have some factors that show this opinion and strenghen our analyze lets look at them : 1-we can see two important levels of fibo retracement around CME gap. these levels are 38.2% and 61.8%. so we have an overlap area here. 2-we have a gap in CME from 9 may 2022. because of weak momentum market couldnt fill it until now. but if we breakout this pattern that i illustrate in chart we can fill it! 3-we have an old trendline that can be act as an resistance level there. 4-moving average 55 is here just around levels that cme gap occured. 5-and in the end i see increase in volumes in lower levels of this pattern and it could be showing that we have good supports in this levels. . . . dont forget to manage your capital and risk. . . . if you take a trade you must set a good stoploss. (NOTE!!! this article is my own opinion and its not a trade advice. please tarde on your own opinion and use others opinion to improve your analyze.) . . . so i will do that.please support me and i wish use your experience and you can help me to improve my abilities. thank you all.have good days.
CME:BTC1!Long
by TraderAmin-KZ
IBM USD NYSE: NEW ALL TIME HIGHS COMING, ASCENDING CHANNEL ??IBM has been in an ascending channel formation for a while now. We've had two touches and I believe there is one more then a correction to the bottom support line before the decision of whether this channel will break to the upside or whether we will break to the downside. Thats years away and we can revisit that then but for now it looks like IBM is about to make a nice move to the upside to new all time highs in the $300 dollar range. The MACD is curled and primed and the BBWP shows volatility is expanding while the RSI is kinda neutral but headed upwards. I think a nice move in the works, and it has probably already started. This is not financial or trading advice, this is just my opinion and what I am doing. Leave a comment below and follow me for more! Thank you and good luck!
NYSE:IBMLong
by Bitgolder
Bitcoin Daily Analysis UpdateAccording to the last Bitcoin analysis, the price does not follow any specific trend. BTC is in a frustrating trading range for 3 weeks and just doing Accumulation for the next movement. because of the weekend, there is no clear decision for buyers or sellers. I think we should wait until Monday to see powerful movement with high volume. Use stop loss in all your trades. The market is bearish clearly. Permanent support is 27000$ -29500$ and minor resistance is about 30500$ -31500 $ Area. This analysis will be updated.
by Trader_Needs