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Cmefutures

Bullish: a guarantee BTC is going back to $12k?While there is a continued argument between “gaps always fill” and “gaps mean nothing”, the fact is: the Bitcoin futures contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) generally always fills its gaps - but is this becoming a guarantee of future performance? Since the CME only trades during the working week, if BTC makes a big price move during the weekend, the CME reopens on Monday with a blank gap between the Friday close price and Monday open price - not something we are traditionally used to in the 24/7 Bitcoin world. What is interesting about this is that in the following days the gap is always filled by BTC's price moving back to cover the area the CME missed... does this mean once a gap is created you have a near certainty that BTC will revisit that price level? Perhaps. But beware an example on November 5th when the gap was filled by a huge CME wick that did not occur in other exchanges (we fell back through that area regardless in the following days, but that's beside the point). So what is perhaps most interesting is that in all its history the CME has filled all its gaps... except one: during the weekend of August 10-11th the CME left an as yet unfilled gap between $11695 and $12000 . Is this all coincidence or could this be as close as we'll get in crypto to a guarantee of future BTC value to $12k+ after the current dip? Please give me a thumbs up and follow me if you found my analysis interesting. This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Save crucial space on your Trading View chart by utilising the free RSI and StochRSI indicator which overlays both in a clear and concise fashion.
CME:BTC1!Long
by BCryptological
Bullish: A guarantee we are going back to $12k?While there is a continued argument between “gaps always fill” and “gaps mean nothing”, the fact is: the Bitcoin futures contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) generally always fills its gaps - but is this becoming a guarantee of future performance? Since the CME only trades during the working week, if BTC makes a big price move during the weekend, the CME reopens on Monday with a blank gap between the Friday close price and Monday open price - not something we are traditionally used to in the 24/7 Bitcoin world. What is interesting about this is that in the following days the gap is always filled by BTC's price moving back to cover the area the CME missed... does this mean once a gap is created you have a near certainty that BTC will revisit that price level? Perhaps. But beware an example on November 5th when the gap was filled by a huge CME wick that did not occur in other exchanges (we fell back through that area regardless in the following days, but that's beside the point). So what is perhaps most interesting is that in all its history the CME has filled all its gaps... except one: during the weekend of August 10-11th the CME left an as yet unfilled gap between $11695 and $12000 . Is this all coincidence or as close as we'll get in crypto to a guarantee of future BTC performance to $12k+ after the current dip? Please give me a thumbs up and follow me if you found my analysis interesting. This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Save crucial space on your Trading View chart by utilising the free RSI and StochRSI indicator which overlays both in a clear and helpful fashion.
CME:BTC1!Long
by BCryptological
Have we all been looking at the wrong BTC chart?A glimmer of home in these bearish times. Whilst the bounce in late October came off the 200 weekly moving average in the BTCUSD charts, once we switch to the CME Bitcoin Futures chart (who promised to "tame" Bitcoin) it takes a different significance - with a direct bounce off the 200 daily moving average. All CME gaps (due to large weekend BTCUSD price movement being missed by CME when it is not open) eventually get filled, so do not underestimate the influence of CME Futures on BTC price movement. Incidentally, CME Bitcoin Futures still has a gap at $11695-11795 and history would dictate that one way or another we will revisit that area - even if only in a CME wick spiking up. The CME daily 200MA is exactly where we struggled during the spring bull run, exactly where we found strong support in October, and it just happens to be exactly where we are right now. Whilst most other technical analysis would suggest we are going to $6750 (then further down into the $5-6k range), if the CME daily 200MA holds it could well prove to be the support and excellent entry point of the next bullish move . Keep an eye on it. Save crucial space on your Trading View chart by utilising the free RSI and StochRSI indicator which overlays both in a clear and helpful fashion. Add the essential 50, 100 and 200 moving average to your chart too. Please give me a thumbs up and follow me if you found my analysis interesting. This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
CME:BTC1!Long
by BCryptological
2
BTC Falling Wedge Pattern| CME GAP Filled|Buyers Looking Strong!Hello Traders! Update on Bitcoin's recent developments in this falling wedge pattern, The CME future gap finally filled, with a large wick (check linked chart), this was not displayed on the spot charts which is weird, but I am under the assumption that it has filled... Price is holding up in a tight range near resistance, will we see a continuation in the bull trend from here? Points to consider, - Trend structurally still putting in lower highs - Price respecting structural support - Major resistance line currently being tested - Stochastics is flattening out - RSI below resistance - EMA’s looking bullish - Volume is declining - VPVR decreasing in volume of transactions Bitcoins falling wedge pattern now has multiple touch points and a fake out, which confirms the significance of the current area it’s trading in. Price is respecting structural support within the pattern, this is a very key level, and price action suggests that buyers are strong at current given time. Major resistance level is currently being tested, price is holding up at this critical level with a clear cluster of candles, again signalling that buyers are strong. The stochastics is currently flattening out which signals that a move is imminent, there is momentum stored both ways for a bearish and or bullish break. RSI is currently trading below resistance, needs to enter green zone for a bull break, it can stay in that zone for an extended period of time as price history suggests. The EMA’s are looking quite bullish, it needs to hold price as support, this will further give the bulls momentum to push price through Bitcoins current resistance line. Volume is visibly declining, signalling volatility is imminent, and an influx in bull or bear volume will confirm the next impulsive move. VPVR has decreased in volume of transactions rapidly from current levels up; this suggests that a bull break will have little resistance posed by the VPVR as not much volume has been traded in the upper regions. Overall, IMO, Price has held up and above the structural resistance which is very bullish, indicates that buyers are strong in this area. Volume is declining at a key resistance point; a break will need an influx of volume, which is imminent. A bull break will allow this pattern to come to fruition and will change the overall market structure, allowing it to put in a higher low. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin Price Action? Please leave a like and comment And remember, “The obvious rarely happens, the unexpected constantly occurs.” – Jesse Livermore
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by AzizKhanZamani
Could we fill the CME Gap ?Since this massive spike it seems the bullish sentiment is expanding quickly. Which is excellent. Bullish sentiment is something that we need in order to continue the run up. However, when taking a closer look at the recent leg on larger time frames. It appears to be nothing other than a simple retest of the major resistance line down, and the bottom of the daily pennant that was broken down from just a few weeks back.. Until these lines are broken it will be very difficult for me to add leverage positions with confidence. Demonstrating the retest and major resistance: Since I not leveraged, I am doing my best to search for major support. At the moment, it seems that 8700 could be that level . Here's why: 1. At 8700 we have the 50% retracement from the recent top. Which is also the same retracement level that we hit this last bounce from the top. 2. Based on the range that we created the first weeks of October, 8700 should provide decent horizontal support. 3. Last but not least, 8700 also marks the bottom of the CME gap that was created over the weekend! Now I have never been a gap trader, however with the additional technical support, it seems like a good place for me to put my money. Also note: We have yet to break back above major resistance. Trade carefully. I hope you all enjoyed this article and maybe even found it a bit interesting! Wish you all the best of luck!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by oh92
6
BTC $950 CME Futures Gap| Correction Imminent| BTC Local TopHello Traders! What goes up… Must come down! Today’s update will be on Bitcoin in comparison with the CME futures Chart, a massive $950.00 Gap that with a high degree of probability, will get filled. Is this the local top for Bitcoin?, we have a handful of indicators that point towards that… Points to consider, - Trend highly overextended - Local Support at .50 Fibonacci (.382 on the CME futures chart) - Structural resistance being rested - Stochastics in upper region - RSI in overbought territory - EMA’s yet to meet price - Volume influx is very high Bitcoins impulse move continues to be overextended in a parabolic manner, with indicators way overextended; we need a healthy correction at some point. Price was initially met with high selling pressure at local top, signalling a volume climax. Local support is found at the .50 Fibonacci level, a retracement to the level will close the CME futures gap (.382 Fib Retracement), where price is likely to hold support at this area due to market structure, previous resistance turned into support. Major structural resistance is currently being tested, it is in confluence with downs sloping resistance, the consecutive lower highs. This is a very critical area in the trend, if broken, will change the overall market structure for Bitcoin. The stochastics are currently in the upper regions for both charts, this signals that there is a lot of stored momentum to the downside if price was to correct. We don’t really have a clear direction from the Stochastics as it can stay over extended for a long period of time. The RSI is quite interesting however, it is in highly overbought territory, last time we tested these areas, Bitcoin experienced a huge correction over 20%... EMA’s however are yet to meet price, we need it to hold support at the .50 Fibonacci level if price where to retrace from local highs, the will validate support and in confluence close the open gap on the CME futures chart (.328 Fibonacci level). The VPVR on the CME futures chart indicates that there is very little volume of transactions between structural resistance and the .382 Fibonacci level (close of gap). This signals that the VPVR will pose very little resistance if price was to start a healthy pull back. The volume is way above average, signalling buying climax that ran into strong selling pressure, hence the massive wick as bullish pressure got exhausted… In other words, sellers are very strong in upper regions, putting more emphasis on a correction. Overall, IMO, BTC is likely to be topping out, we may see a final impulse move up, but that will just make the trend even more unsustainable. A correction back to the $8,800 mark (.50 and .382 Fibonacci levels), is highly probable, as this will fill the CME futures gap. This will also be very healthy for the price and will cool of the overextended indicators. What are your thoughts on BTC and the futures gap? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money every day, as though they were working for regular wages.” – Jesse Livermore
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by AzizKhanZamani
0042 - Short E-Mini S&P Future ContractsPrecio de Entrada: 2955.25 USD Stop-Loss: 2997.25 USD Objetivo Mínimo: 2819.25 USD Objetivo Máximo: 2819.25 USD Razonamiento: - Entre el 01 y 02 de Octubre el precio rompe a la baja zona de soporte en donde confluyen el mínimo del mes de Julio 2019 y un nivel invertido semanal. De tal modo que el sentimiento de mercado que tomo es bajista. - El precio de entrada se encuentra justo en el mínimo del mes de Julio de 2019 que ahora debería funcionar como resistencia. Se busca operar el test al nivel invertido. - El stop se encuentra justo por encima del high de la vela del 01 de Octubre que fue la que rompió a la baja el soporte. - El Objetivo Mínimo y Máximo se encuentran justo por encima de un nivel de soporte que demostró ser una fuerte resistencia en los meses de Octubre, Noviembre y Diciembre de 2018 a la vez que fue un fuerte soporte durante el mes de Agosto de 2019.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by IsaacAsimov
0041 - Long Gold Future ContractsPrecio de Entrada: 1495.70 USD Stop-Loss: 1477.60 USD Objetivo Mínimo: 1542.90 USD Objetivo Máximo: 1552.50 USD Razonamiento: - Luego de romper el soporte en los 1490 USD, el precio se recupera y vuelve al rango en un corto plazo. De tal modo que asumo un sentimiento de mercado alcista y el rompimiento como falso. - La entrada se encuentra justo por encima del soporte, esperando entrar en un test a dicho nivel, lo cual, dibujaria adicionalmente un higher low. - El stop esta por debajo del ultimo swing low en 4H. - El Objetivo Mínimo se encuentra al nivel del ultimo swing high. - El Objetivo Máximo se encuentra en la parte alta del rango.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by IsaacAsimov
Ethereum appears to be trading in a bull flag.Or a descending triangle. One thing to keep in mind everyone, the CME Group, one of the world’s largest financial exchanges, is prepping to launch a product for Ethereum, if I'm not mistaken they already launched. For those unaware, the CME is a Chicago-based institution that famously launched Bitcoin futures near the peak of 2017’s boom. Recently they've announced they'll be launching Bitcoin Options in Q1 2020 as well, in a response to Bakkt "IMO." They'll try any way possible to manipulate.. I find it hard to believe that only 3 JPM employees are are responsible for manipulating the Gold & Silver futures markets etc, via "CME" in most cases keep in my mind. If you honestly think that they are not doing their best to manipulate Ethereum etc, than you are just silly. Is what it is, glta.
KRAKEN:ETHUSDLong
by ScotianBot
3
E-MINI DOW JONES FUTURES 1D RANGE TRADESRanges, Triangles, Descending Triangles, and Ascending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns. Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction. Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend. Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern. What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ). Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place. Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement. When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility ) this shows a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern. Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close. 1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line). a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size. b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume look at the volume settings on the chart – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+) 2 - Enter two trades. 3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR. 4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR. 5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price. 6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven. 7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price. *8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade *9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open. a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size. b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open. c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade. d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Tradingstrategyguides
BTC CME FUTURE'S GAPBTC CME FUTURE'S Watch out with this GAP on BITCOIN CME FUTURES most likely GAP will be filled look at what happened on the previous gap. Check this out Guys join our team :) Affordable VIP Signals krypto-signals.com Free to Join updates and more TA analysis t.me Friendly Community Feel Free to join ask for any Coin you want to request for analysis we will do TA for free Let's Help each other to build Strong relationship. Friendly admin,support and other members. Join Chat Group: t.me
CME:BTC1!
by kryptoben
8
BTC Thoughts Thru September (Novice Analysis)Potential Bull Flag waiting to play out on the BTC CME Futures Expecting overall decline in volume to continue until bottom of flag is tapped again and the CME Gap (green circle) is filled 1M candle printing out an attractive inverted hammer for August to add conviction to my bullish bias This implies we continue upward after filling the gap and buyers overtake sellers in this last beauteous opportunity to buy BTC under $10k before attacking ATH
CME:BTC1!
by Hrempe
Bitcoin - 6K Confirmed ! (The Perfect FIB) {PART 2}Hey lovely people , Welcome to part 2 of the PERFECT FIB After all the hate comments and a time of indecision we finally dropped towards my TP (0.618 FIB) which right now exactly corresponds with the blue MA line. Now I'm waiting to see how it will respond, If it goes below the MA line with a daily close I will be crazy bearish. If it bounces off I will see how the market will respond and make a new TA based out of that. Sounds like a win/win ? That's because we always win :) (with right risk management) Like this post & Follow, so I can keep making these (winning) TA's for you guys. - Crypto Doggo
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by themarketdog
Bitcoin - FIB PLAYED OUT PERFECTLY! (Trade Setup NO RISK) Hello and welcome back again. As you can see from my previous post, the FIB line acted as perfect resistance killing all the poor NASA moonboys. Even after a retest of the level the moonboys got crushed like some dog snacks, before even testing the level. Now i'll be quick for the trade setup that I will be using for a NO RISK trade with big gains :)! If you used my previous trade setup you should allready be in profit now so good job to you precious human 1. The 12246 Short > 10900 Level (Selling 50% of my trade making this a NO RISK trade WITH BIG WINS ALLREADY) 2. I will be holding the rest for 6K-7K Region, Why I think this will play out ? (Because it is to easy, now we have leveraged trading introduced people can make BIG money very quickly, thats why they need to shake out some moonboy hands) EXPLAINING MY THOUGHTS: The 6K region was always in my mind, I was just searching for a way to verify it (which I did if the fib playes out). Making money is never easy, people are just so greedy and naive thinking that bitcoin will always moon and never come back down again, and they will get burned for it ! A bullrun will eventually happen but it won't be like the other bullruns we have seen. Because of leveraged trading people can make money going up and down so thats exactly how the bullrun will commense. A slow rise with many pumps and dumps making sure to shake weak hands and new traders coming in the space.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by themarketdog
Bitcoin 6K Confirmed ! (u are using the FIB wrong !!!) The dump today didn't come as a surprise, well it didn't for me lol ;) You see, the way I do my TA is different then the rest of the sheep. Everyone knows that there are CME gaps to fill and those will get filled no matter what, but the fun part is, they are finessing everybody while doing it. Everyone was bearish when bitcoin was at 9100, where is that energy now? The moment they change your bias will be the moment they will dump there bags. But for the big guys to drop there bags they need liquidity, thats why the "lower high was broken" but did it really break ? no because there is a new lower high right now Long live bitcoin right :)
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by themarketdog
48
BTC safely above double top neckline..may go fill gap at 11.2k. We can see price action has broken back above the yellow horizontal double top neckline keeping us safe from a dreaded double top breakdown for now. We are also once again back above the top trendline of the falling wedge which previously had a fakeout breakout but this time around could very likely reach its breakout target(which from this spot on the wedge is around 11.1k) I think if this does occur, FOMO will give us the ability to then take price action up another pip or 2 to fill the CME gap at 11.2 either that or cme could trade at a slight premium around there and fill the gap without btc reaching 11.2 itself. Either way if we breakout here I think the 11.2 cme gap is likely to get filled and then the impending 4hr death cross will have very good odds of sending price action back down to those 8.5 / 7.2k gap levels. I think absolute worse case scenario here is 6k before the ned of the correction but I could see us skyrocketing back up after only reaching 8.6-8.5k. Also price action doesn't have to hit 8.5k to fill the gap if suddenly the CME contract were to start trading at a discount. For now I'm going temporarily long until the 4hr death cross...then neutral until I see whether the deahcross will be sustained, or just a fakeout.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
2